Service Plays Sunday 11/29/09

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Sunday’s Comp Play

NFL

Well here's the deal. These two teams have been on a roller coaster all season long. The Niners started out strong and have folded, while Jacksonville has bee either great or very bad. The Jags are coming off of (3) straight wins and seem to be clicking on offense with MJD as the superstar they were looking for early on. He has finally turned it on and should stay hot, even against a good SF run defense. When the Jags have won this season, they have put up points, and that should happen here. Meanwhile, when San Fran has struggled, they have given up points in bunches, much to the dismay of tough-guy coach Mike Singletary. The Niners have shown some spark in their offense since Alex Smith has been under center, and I think they'll hit on a couple of big plays here. Look for both defenses to be susceptible to the big play, especially early, and look for this one to go over. Take OVER 41.5 in the Jacksonville at San Francisco game

(1) Premium play available on Sunday
This play is a 20-unit selection.
 

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Kelso Sun FB Clubs

5 units Tennessee -2
4 units Dolphins -3.5
3 units Jax/49ers UNDER 41.5

15 units Rams +4
 
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bdougsports

Sunday November 29, 2009

*Monster Play*
49ers -3 vs. Jaguars
The Faguars travel all the way to San Fran after 3 straight wins. They are probably feeling pretty good about themselves so we really like this spot. The Niners have won only 1 of their last 6 games, but have played some really tough opponents. The Jags can run the ball with our man crush MJD, but outside that we don’t trust them. They had opportunities to crush the Bills last week and chose to grind it out. San Fran can shut down the run so look for Garrard to make some mistakes. The Jags allow 26 points on the road compared to 16 at home. The last time the Jags traveled to the West Coast was a 41-0 defeat at the hands of a bad Seahawks team.

Titans -3 vs. Cardinals
All Vince Young does is win games. No seriously, they showed his stats during the game last week and he's won 8 in a row and overall is 22-11 as a starter. Arizona is 5-0 on the road so far this year and this looked like another win just a short couple of weeks ago. But the Titans are playing with a lot of confidence right now, and Chris Johnson is playing possessed. Every time he touches the ball, the defense has to think that he is taking it to the house. He's incredible. Arizona finally loses one on the road.

Texans +3.5 vs. Colts
This is the Texans Superbowl after losing their primetime game last week. They cannot afford to go 5-6. Obviously the Colts want to win but they really don’t need to. The Texans had opportunities to beat the Colts at Indy but their kicker sucked it up again. The Colts are very good but in no means are they crushing their opponents. Their last 4 wins came by margins of 2, 1, 3, and 4. This game means much more to the Texans and we get two very similar teams. Take the home dog in the outright upset. Colts lose today.

Dolphins -3 @ Bills
The Phins are the better team, plain and simple. Even without Ronnie Brown, the offense was able to move the ball last week against Carolina. They are technically still alive for a playoff berth, so they'll be playing their asses off. The Bills will be playing their first game at home under new head coach Perry Fewell and could be playing with a lot of emotion. Too bad their talent doesn't match up with Miami. We like the Dolphins here in a tough divisional match up.

Panthers +3 @ Jets
Jake Delhomme on the road, yes we ARE crazy. The Jets are on their way down, the panthers are on their way up. It's as simple as that. The Jets run D will have its hands full with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Sanchize will probably throw a couple of picks and the Panthers will win this one going away. Jets suck.
 
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Mr A

Sunday, November 29, 2009 1:00 PM EST.
Indianapolis Colts (10-0) at Houston Texans (5-5)
Reliant Stadium - Houston, Texas
Indianapolis has won the last five meetings, but went just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 contests against the Texans in Houston. Expect to see a close battle at Reliant Stadium. The last three games in this series have been decided by six points or less. Take the points! TheTexans are 7-1 against the spread as a home underdog.
Oddsmakers: Indianapolis as a -3½ point road favorite with the total listed at 47½ 'over'.
Houston Texans +3½

Sunday, November 29, 2009 4:15 PM EST.
Chicago Bears (4-6) at Minnesota Vikings (9-1)
Mall of America Field - Minneapolis, Minnesota
Minnesota has won six of the last seven games at home against Chicago, going 5-2 ATS. Go with the superior team to give the Bulls their fourth straight defeat. The home team in this series is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Oddsmakers: Minnesota as a -11 point home favorite with the total listed at 47 'over'.
Minnesota Vikings -11
 
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JB Computer Picks

Sunday, November 29th 2009
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12
Miami Dolphins -3
Cincinnati Bengals -14
Indianapolis Colts -4
Carolina Panthers +3
Philadelphia Eagles -9
St. Louis Rams +3
KanCity Chiefs +14
San Francisco 49ers -3
Tennessee Titans -3 ***
Chicago Bears +11
Pittsburgh Steelers (NA)

Monday, November 30th, 2009


New England Patriots +3
 
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Gina's NFL Predictions

Sunday, November 29th, 1:00 p.m. est.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-9) at Atlanta Falcons (5-5)
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, Georgia

Atlanta has lost six of its last 9 games against Tampa Bay at home, going 2-7 ATS. However, Tampa Bay is in a shamble this season, just one win thus far, going 3-7 ATS . Go with the Falcons to grab a win against a pathetic opponent.
Atlanta Falcons -12


Sunday, November 29th, 4:15 p.m. est.
Arizona Cardinals (7-3) at Tennessee Titans (4-6)
LP Field - Nashville, Tennessee

Tennessee Titans’ vulnerable pass defense will have a big chore against Arizona’s offense. Look for Cardinals signal-caller Kurt Warner and running back Chris Johnson to trounce Tennessee and snatch their fifth straight victory. Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games, 5-1 ATS in its last 6 on the road.
Arizona Cardinals +2

Sunday, November 29th, 8:20 p.m. est.
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) at Baltimore Ravens (5-5)
M&T Bank Stadium - Baltimore, Maryland

Baltimore is 10-4 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 14 games at home. Meanwhile, the Steelers are 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games and 3-6 ATS in its last 9 versus Baltimore. Go with the Ravens at home. Steelers Ben Roethlisberger could be out Sunday and strong safety Troy Polamalu is out. The Ravens will take advantage of Pittsburgh’s trouble lineup.
Baltimore Ravens -7
 
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don wallace sports

Arizona +3
Carolina +3
Houston +3.5
Cleveland +13.5
San Fancisco - 3
Chicago + 10.5
Miami -3
 
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Randall the Handle

Buccaneers @ Falcons

This isn’t always so complicated. The Falcons are lousy on the road (1-5) and very strong at home (4-0). The Buccaneers are lousy everywhere. Atlanta returns to the Georgia Dome for only the second time since mid-October and will remain here for the next three weeks. If last year’s surprise playoff team wants to participate in this year’s post-season, it must put together a string of wins and it must start right now, especially with Eagles and Saints on deck. Tampa offers little challenge as it continues to shuffle coaching personnel around while working with a subpar roster. TAKING: Atlanta –11½ RISKING: 2.12 units to win 2



Steelers @ Ravens
With Ben Roethlisberger woozy after being concussed last week and Troy Polamalu still out, expect the Ravens to exploit such vulnerability like a pack of lions spotting a wounded antelope. Baltimore will not lack motivation heading into this one as a win would have them tied for second place in the difficult AFC North while a loss will put them in a difficult position for post-season activity. Pittsburgh has been less than lucrative when traveling this year with just one cover in five away games. If Baltimore’s offence and defence ever decide to show up on same day, look out. TAKING: Baltimore –



Colts @ Texans

The Texans are as tough as Jello. Laden with talent, they just can’t seem to turn the toughness corner. Even so, we’re going to call for them to finesse their way to a win here against an Indianapolis team that has been winning on a wing and a prayer. While still undefeated, the Colts have won their last four games by a combined 10 points. After bruising game in Baltimore, they must stay on the road and face a Houston team that was a wide-left field goal away from taking Indy to overtime just three weeks ago. Colts coasting with five-game lead in division while Texans are desperate. TAKING: Houston +3 ½ RISKING: 2.2 units to win to 2 Sports Interaction





THE REST

Browns @ Bengals

The Bengals were embarrassed after losing to Raiders last week. The Browns are embarrassing every week. While we fully expect Cincinnati to regain its focus, it is difficult to spot two touchdowns with a team that has exceeded 18 points just once in past six games.TAKING: Cleveland +14


Bears @ Vikings

This price may seem a bit steep considering long history with these two. However, current form has them headed in opposite directions and with Chicago adding more to its already long list of wounded, Vikes not afraid to pour it on.TAKING: Minnesota –10 ½



Redskins @ Eagles

The Redskins have been badly bitten by the injury bug and with their already limited productivity, things could get progressively worse.. However, Eagles just too erratic to be giving this many points and Washington has only lost once by more than 10 points.TAKING: Washington +9



Dolphins @ Bills

Prefer rested and playoff hopeful Dolphins to a Buffalo squad that has basically thrown in the towel. The Bills lost a couple more players last week and may also be without the services of RB Marshawn Lynch. Once a tough out here, the Bills have dropped eight of past nine at the Ralph.TAKING: Miami –3½



Cardinals @ Titans

Oddly, the Cardinals are 2-3 at home while sporting a 5-0 road record. Despite their travelling prowess and being Super Bowl runner-up, Arizona still finds itself in underdog role here. Titans definitely improved but we’re not quite ready to grant this much respect.TAKING: Arizona +3



Seahawks @ Rams

Not at all interested in giving away points with this sorry Seahawks squad that is a dismal 0-5 both straight up and versus spread on road thus far. To add to its woes, this is Seattle’s third consecutive road game. Short price is justified.TAKING: St. Louis +3



Panthers @ Jets
Both quarterbacks might provide opposing team with more points than they do their own.. When the dust settles, we expect Rex Ryan’s bunch to cause more damage as an already shaky Jake Delhomme has makeshift line in front of him.TAKING: NY Jets –3



Jaguars @ 49ers

After a three-game winning streak, the Jaguars suddenly find themselves in the playoff hunt but we’re not buying it. Jacksonville’s past three home game victories have occurred by 3-points in each case to the Rams, Chiefs and Bills. This assignment is tougher.TAKING: San Francisco –3


Chiefs @ Chargers
Chargers on a roll with five consecutive wins and now find themselves atop AFC West. This might be a flat spot for them after climb and impressive win over Denver last week. Chiefs are showing gradual improvements and figure to be better than 37-7 setback in first meeting.TAKING: Kansas City +14


Patriots @ Saints
Very quietly, the Patriots have allowed the second least amount of points in the NFL. As luck would have it, the Saints have scored a league-leading 369 points. Something has to give and that being the case, the better defence combined with a dangerous offence, while getting points is the prudent move here.TAKING: New England +3
 
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SPORTS WAGERS
HOUSTON +1.61 over Indianapolis

The Colts are 10-0 and they’re cruising to an easy division championship with no threats in sight. Now after a holiday Thanksgiving in which they didn’t have to worry about a damn thing, they could be very ripe to get beat. These Colts have blown away weak teams but against tough teams they’ve won by the slimmest of margins. The best thing about that is they’ve played four close games in a row that all came down to the final drive and that intensity level definitely takes its toll. The Colts are coming off a bruising 17-15 win over the Ravens last week after that memorable comeback against New England the week before. In its two previous games they barely escaped with wins over these same Texans, 20-17 in Indianapolis and a narrow 18-14 victory over the 49ers, also in Indianapolis. That’s four wins in a row by a combined 10 points and now with virtually nothing at stake, we could certainly see the Colts take a breather. It’s virtually impossible to play with high intensity every game all year long and these Colts have been pushed to the limit in four consecutive games now. Enter the dangerous Texans, who incidentally, outplayed the Colts in that 20-17 loss, and whom is sitting at 5-5. This could be its playoff lives on the line and it says here that they’ll be the more focused team and the more determined team and in the world of the NFL that will almost always get you a win. Play: Houston +1.61 (Risking 2 units).



TENNESSEE –3 +1.04 over Arizona

Speaking of teams that could take a “breather”, one need not look further than these Cardinals. They have a comfortable three-game lead in the division and they have games left against Detroit and St. Louis to assist them in their quest to win the division should they need it. Furthermore, they have a big match-up on deck next week against the Vikes and this one is against an AFC opponent on the road, thus, it’s not that crucial. It’s also worth noting that Kurt Warner suffered a mild concussion last week and one solid hit and he could get knocked out again. The Cards are not going to take any chance of leaving him in should that happen. For the Titans, this one is extremely crucial, as they were left for dead four weeks ago but a sudden surge has them in a position to get right back in the playoff picture with a win here. Chris Johnson is in the zone right now and is virtually unstoppable. Vince Young also poses problems with his ability to run. The Cards are good and they’re well balanced but this is not a favorable spot for them and you know they’re going to come up lame sooner or later, as they always do. This looks like the perfect spot for that to happen. Play: Tennessee –3 +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Alex Smart

<TABLE class=data id=hcFreePicks_tblFreePick><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead id=hcFreePicks_tdGame>ALEX SMART
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles Nov 29, 2009 1:00PM
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdSport></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdPick>PICK: Under

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Anyone have his other plays, like the CFL Grey Cup today?

Thanks!
</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_dLineRow><TD class=datacell></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Karl Garrett

30 dime ATL
30 dime SF
30 dime KC

p/c

plz get stan sharp and please get booooj
 

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ATS LOCK CLUB
12 Units on Atlanta (-11.5) over Tampa Bay, 1:00pmET
6 Units on Philadelphia (-9.5) over Washington, 1:00pmET
5 Units on Indianapolis (-3) over Houston, 1:00pmET
5 Units on Baltimore (-6.5) over Pittsburgh, 8:20pmET
 

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday 29th

4* Best Bet = Minnesota
3* = Arizona
3* = Miami
2* = Seattle
2* = "over" N.Orleans/N.England (Mon.)
 

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Matt Fargo COMP

SPORT: National Football League Picks
PICK: Miami Dolphins
Offered at: -2.5 5Dimes
REASON FOR PICK: Playing on a southern teams coming north in the latter stages of the NFL season can be tough to do but this is a case where it won’t matter. Miami is back into the playoff picture after win in three of its last four games and five of its last seven following a 0-3 start. The Dolphins are coming off a victory in Carolina last time out and that is important not just for the win but for when it was. They get an extra three days to rest and prepare and this time of year, there is not a bigger schedule benefit. This will be first bad weather game of the season for Miami although it will not be horrible. The Dolphins gameplan will not have any bearing on how the weather turns out as it will be a game of running the ball. Unlike last week when Jacksonville did not take advantage of the porous Bills rushing defense, the Dolphins will. Ricky Williams has been solid in taking over for the injured Ronnie Brown as he has rushed for more than 100 yards in each of his past two games, and also scored two touchdowns last week against the Panthers. Buffalo will have trouble stopping the run and it is going to have trouble running the ball on offense as well. As many are probably already aware, the offensive line is on shambles for the Bills as two more offensive linemen went down last week and right now, the Bills have just seven healthy linemen, and only five of them were on the active roster last week. That is a recipe for disaster in both the running game as pass protection. Terrell Owens had a breakout game last week against the Jaguars but that was mostly due to one big play. The quarterback situation is still a mess with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center and while some insist he isn’t horrible, his 56.8 passer rating shows otherwise. The Bills have turned the ball over at least twice in eight of their last nine games and that certainly is not going to bring in many wins. Even with the Dolphins being only one game over .500 should the beat the Bills, they would be one game behind the division leading Patriots whom they lost to earlier in the year. The Patriots and Miami both sit at 3-1 in the division, the Dolphins would be 4-1 going into the Patriots game with a win here and that is huge. A slip up here and the division is likely gone. Miami is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games following a win and over the last two years under head coach Tony Sparano, it is 8-1 ATS in conference road games. Buffalo is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games. 3* Miami Dolphins

Anyone have Ben burns?
 

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