John morrison nfl system plays 11/22
>>
Official NFL System Plays
Note: It is okay to wager on Detroit at the ML and lace w:st="on">Clevelandlace> at the Point Spread!
11/22 Detroit [A] (Bet on the Money Line)
11/22 Cleveland [A] (Bet on the Point Spread)
11/22 New York Giants (Bet on the Money Line)
>>
Official NFL System Plays
Note: It is okay to wager on Detroit at the ML and lace w:st="on">Clevelandlace> at the Point Spread!
11/22 Detroit [A] (Bet on the Money Line)
11/22 Cleveland [A] (Bet on the Point Spread)
11/22 New York Giants (Bet on the Money Line)
DCI
NFL
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Indianapolis 21, BALTIMORE 18
DALLAS 25, Washington 10
Cleveland vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
GREEN BAY 24, San Francisco 21
JACKSONVILLE 25, Buffalo 15
Pittsburgh 23, KANSAS CITY 13
MINNESOTA 32, Seattle 17
N.Y. GIANTS 26, Atlanta 24
New Orleans 38, TAMPA BAY 20
Arizona 35, ST. LOUIS 12
San Diego 25, DENVER 21
NEW ENGLAND 34, N.Y. Jets 13
Cincinnati 25, OAKLAND 6
Philadelphia 23, CHICAGO 22
Monday, November 23, 2009
HOUSTON 28, Tennessee 20
NFL
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Indianapolis 21, BALTIMORE 18
DALLAS 25, Washington 10
Cleveland vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
GREEN BAY 24, San Francisco 21
JACKSONVILLE 25, Buffalo 15
Pittsburgh 23, KANSAS CITY 13
MINNESOTA 32, Seattle 17
N.Y. GIANTS 26, Atlanta 24
New Orleans 38, TAMPA BAY 20
Arizona 35, ST. LOUIS 12
San Diego 25, DENVER 21
NEW ENGLAND 34, N.Y. Jets 13
Cincinnati 25, OAKLAND 6
Philadelphia 23, CHICAGO 22
Monday, November 23, 2009
HOUSTON 28, Tennessee 20
NFL
Dunkel
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 22
Game 407-408: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 115.543; Detroit 120.318
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 35
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under
Game 409-410: Buffalo at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.031; Jacksonville 129.807
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 6; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 9; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9); Under
Game 411-412: Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.675; Kansas City 126.321
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 11 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Over
Game 413-414: Indianapolis at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 141.294; Baltimore 142.210
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Over
Game 415-416: Atlanta at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.138; NY Giants 134.398
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 43
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 46
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Under
Game 417-418: San Francisco at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 128.529; Green Bay 135.589
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-6 1/2); Under
Game 419-420: Seattle at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.828; Minnesota 137.314
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10 1/2); Under
Game 421-422: Washington at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 126.798; Dallas 138.917
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 12; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 423-424: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 140.560; Tampa Bay 131.674
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9; 48
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 11 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+11 1/2); Under
Game 425-426: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 132.391; St. Louis 123.721
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick St. Louis (+9 1/2); Over
Game 427-428: NY Jets at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 133.917; New England 145.321
Dunkel Line: New England by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); Under
Game 429-430: Cincinnati at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 132.104; Oakland 124.067
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 36
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+10); Over
Game 431-432: San Diego at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.307; Denver 136.545
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 433-434: Philadelphia at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.920; Chicago 129.547
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Over
Dunkel
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 22
Game 407-408: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 115.543; Detroit 120.318
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 35
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under
Game 409-410: Buffalo at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.031; Jacksonville 129.807
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 6; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 9; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9); Under
Game 411-412: Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.675; Kansas City 126.321
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 11 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Over
Game 413-414: Indianapolis at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 141.294; Baltimore 142.210
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Over
Game 415-416: Atlanta at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.138; NY Giants 134.398
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 43
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 46
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Under
Game 417-418: San Francisco at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 128.529; Green Bay 135.589
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-6 1/2); Under
Game 419-420: Seattle at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.828; Minnesota 137.314
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10 1/2); Under
Game 421-422: Washington at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 126.798; Dallas 138.917
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 12; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 423-424: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 140.560; Tampa Bay 131.674
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9; 48
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 11 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+11 1/2); Under
Game 425-426: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 132.391; St. Louis 123.721
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick St. Louis (+9 1/2); Over
Game 427-428: NY Jets at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 133.917; New England 145.321
Dunkel Line: New England by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); Under
Game 429-430: Cincinnati at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 132.104; Oakland 124.067
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 36
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+10); Over
Game 431-432: San Diego at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.307; Denver 136.545
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 433-434: Philadelphia at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.920; Chicago 129.547
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Over
Tuley the Tout 11/22
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*Bills +9 vs. Jaguars...Jags shouldn't be favored by this much over anyone (see two weeks ago vs. Chiefs)
Chiefs +10 vs. Steelers...we're still seeing inflated lines even with dogs barking lately
*Ravens +1 vs. Colts...Colts moved to favoritism from earlier in week, I like that, gonna keep fading Colts
Falcons +7 vs. Giants...we got the +7 we wanted...Turner out but so is Pierce
*49ers +6.5 vs. Packers...not sure we'll get 7 here, but will still play as this should be low-scoring tight game
*Seahawks +11 vs. Vikings...Seattle can actually win this if they don't beat themselves, grab 11 before it disappears
Redskins +11 vs. Cowboys...more inflation, though I don't like backing this Skins team
Bears +3 vs. Eagles...change in plans, wait in case we get 3.5 as it's heading that way
*Titans +5 vs. Texans...Tennessee playing like last year; Texans still not reliable as fave
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*Bills +9 vs. Jaguars...Jags shouldn't be favored by this much over anyone (see two weeks ago vs. Chiefs)
Chiefs +10 vs. Steelers...we're still seeing inflated lines even with dogs barking lately
*Ravens +1 vs. Colts...Colts moved to favoritism from earlier in week, I like that, gonna keep fading Colts
Falcons +7 vs. Giants...we got the +7 we wanted...Turner out but so is Pierce
*49ers +6.5 vs. Packers...not sure we'll get 7 here, but will still play as this should be low-scoring tight game
*Seahawks +11 vs. Vikings...Seattle can actually win this if they don't beat themselves, grab 11 before it disappears
Redskins +11 vs. Cowboys...more inflation, though I don't like backing this Skins team
Bears +3 vs. Eagles...change in plans, wait in case we get 3.5 as it's heading that way
*Titans +5 vs. Texans...Tennessee playing like last year; Texans still not reliable as fave
BRYAN LEONARD'S AFC SUPER PLAY
New York at New England
The Jets are fading fast after taking care of the Patriots 16-9 in the earlier meeting. New York has dropped 5 of their last 6 games with the only victory coming against the Raiders. They have lost two key cogs along the defensive line which has really slowed down their pass rush. Offensively New York has struggled a bit against questionable defenses. In fact, if you look at whom the Jets have played you can make a case that the offense is actually worse than the numbers would show.
The Patriots are off an embarrassing loss last week to the Colts. They had that game firmly in their grasp and let it slip away. Now they are back home looking to avenge the earlier loss to the hated Jets. Wes Welker didn't play in that meeting and his absence was a major reason why Brady struggled. That and it being his second game back since his season ending injury. New England has been money in the bank off a loss under Belichick. This year alone they covered the spread by margins of 12 and 50 points after suffering defeats.
New York has played the Patriots tough the past few seasons but this is a game in which New England will run up the score if given the chance. Remember that 59-0 victory over Tennessee earlier this season.
PLAY NEW ENGLAND
New York at New England
The Jets are fading fast after taking care of the Patriots 16-9 in the earlier meeting. New York has dropped 5 of their last 6 games with the only victory coming against the Raiders. They have lost two key cogs along the defensive line which has really slowed down their pass rush. Offensively New York has struggled a bit against questionable defenses. In fact, if you look at whom the Jets have played you can make a case that the offense is actually worse than the numbers would show.
The Patriots are off an embarrassing loss last week to the Colts. They had that game firmly in their grasp and let it slip away. Now they are back home looking to avenge the earlier loss to the hated Jets. Wes Welker didn't play in that meeting and his absence was a major reason why Brady struggled. That and it being his second game back since his season ending injury. New England has been money in the bank off a loss under Belichick. This year alone they covered the spread by margins of 12 and 50 points after suffering defeats.
New York has played the Patriots tough the past few seasons but this is a game in which New England will run up the score if given the chance. Remember that 59-0 victory over Tennessee earlier this season.
PLAY NEW ENGLAND
Sunday NFL System Club Play GC-
On Sunday the NFL system club play is Over the total in the Colts at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system I use that dates to 1989. What we want to do is go over the total for teams on the road when the spread is -3 to +3 if they are off a home game where the spread was -3 to +3 and they scored 35 or more points, with 250 or more yards passing,and today's opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed over 85% of the time and averages 52 points per game in all games it has applied to over the last 20 years.
The Colts are coming off the big gift win at home against the Patriots,a game they should have lost. The last 2 years they have had no problems with the Ravens defense,torching them for 75 points. In fact the last time these 2 teams played here the game produced 64 points. The Colts should have no problems scoring today.
Baltimore is coming off a solid defensive effort in shutting out the pathetic Cleveland Offense. However they were somewhat conservative on offense knowing the Browns would be hard pressed to score on them. Look for the Ravens to open it up on offense today and score some points on an Indy defense that was really picked apart last week by the Patriots. Take the Over here today. In late phone action I have a Huge card with the NFC Game of the year, the Big Triple system dog of the week,which cashed again last week with Gbay and the Blowout system with a 100% subset system plus 1 other big 92% system play. NFL has been piping hot cashing 9 of the last 12. NBA 13-1 rare system play and any College hoops system plays will be on later report .Saturday we crushed big again SWEEPING the board 4-0 in football.More damage today. Don't miss out,jump on and make some nice change with the Holidays fast approaching. Go over the total here with The Colts and Ravens. BOL GC
On Sunday the NFL system club play is Over the total in the Colts at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system I use that dates to 1989. What we want to do is go over the total for teams on the road when the spread is -3 to +3 if they are off a home game where the spread was -3 to +3 and they scored 35 or more points, with 250 or more yards passing,and today's opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed over 85% of the time and averages 52 points per game in all games it has applied to over the last 20 years.
The Colts are coming off the big gift win at home against the Patriots,a game they should have lost. The last 2 years they have had no problems with the Ravens defense,torching them for 75 points. In fact the last time these 2 teams played here the game produced 64 points. The Colts should have no problems scoring today.
Baltimore is coming off a solid defensive effort in shutting out the pathetic Cleveland Offense. However they were somewhat conservative on offense knowing the Browns would be hard pressed to score on them. Look for the Ravens to open it up on offense today and score some points on an Indy defense that was really picked apart last week by the Patriots. Take the Over here today. In late phone action I have a Huge card with the NFC Game of the year, the Big Triple system dog of the week,which cashed again last week with Gbay and the Blowout system with a 100% subset system plus 1 other big 92% system play. NFL has been piping hot cashing 9 of the last 12. NBA 13-1 rare system play and any College hoops system plays will be on later report .Saturday we crushed big again SWEEPING the board 4-0 in football.More damage today. Don't miss out,jump on and make some nice change with the Holidays fast approaching. Go over the total here with The Colts and Ravens. BOL GC
Brandon Lang
Sunday's Selection ... NOTE:
Doesn't get much better than this.
Peyton Manning, on the road, where he has won 8 in a row, versus a team he has beaten 6 in a row.
You will not get this kind of value with the Colts the rest of the year, and by God I am not about to pass it up.
I haven't lost in the NFL on Sunday in 2 weeks. I am 10-1-1 paid and comp plays the last 2 weeks. I just handed the world the Dolphins outright Thursday.
Now here is why Indy is my One-and-Only 75 dime winner today.
75 DIME - INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - MONEY LINE - (Buy down the 1/2 point in this game if you have Indianapolis at -1 1/2, -2, -2 1/2 or even -3. Never get beaten by the hook.).
Peyton owns the Ravens.
Last year he was rusty when he faced them, and lit them up 31-3 like it was nobody's business - and how did Joe Flacco do against Indy's cover two defense?
The Ravens only crossed into Colts territory on three of their 12 drives and turned the ball over five times.
Not enough for you, let me take you back to the 2006 season when the Ravens met the Colts in the 2nd round of the NFL playoffs in Baltimore.
Ravens were off a bye week. They had the # 2 run defense. The # 6 pass defense. The # 1 overall defense. They were ready.
Peyton Manning and the Colts won the game 15-6 on the way to their Super Bowl victory.
Now let's fast forward to 2009. Trust me folks, a lot has changed.
Ravens are no longer the big feared defense. In fact, they are nowhere close, and you had better believe Peyton can't wait to attack them again.
Let me break it down a little easier for you.
In their 5 wins this year the QB's the Ravens have beaten are Matt Cassell, Philip Rivers, Brady Quinn twice and Kyle Orton.
Let me point out that in their win over the Chargers, Rivers was 25 for 45 for 421 yards and if not for a horrific 4th and 1 play call, they don't beat Philip Rivers.
The weakness of this Ravens defense is their secondary and if you don't get pressure with your blitz, your man to man coverage behind it is going to get lit up like a Christmas tree at night.
Question, who is the best QB in the NFL at handling the blitz? Answer is 100% without a doubt Peyton Manning.
This is as bad a matchup for the Ravens as you can ask for, and I fully expect Peyton to do what he always does versus this Baltimore team and that is execute his offense to precision and get the win.
I am aware of the flat spot for Indy in this game off the big home win over the Patriots and if they were playing anybody else other than the Ravens I might be inclined to look the other way.
Fact of the matter is Ray Lewis and this Ravens defense could match wits with Peyton 100 times, and I would go with Peyton all 100, unless the Ravens made a drastic change in their defensive philosophy.
That is not happening in mine or yours lifetime. The Ravens do what they do. Blitz, and play man behind it. If you can protect and beat us. Congrats. You beat us but it still won't stop us from blitzing. It is who they are.
Honestly, beating a team once or twice in a row, or even 3 times in a row maybe considered lucky...but 6 times in a row? With the same QB and the same basic defense this QB has seen all 6 times.
Do you really think the Ravens can come up with anything in this game Peyton hasn't seen from them before? And he faces probably the easiest Ravens defense he has seen in the previous 6 meetings.
Offensively the Ravens are struggling bigtime. You saw those struggles on Monday night versus the worst run defense in the NFL of the Cleveland Browns and a pass attack which made 2nd year QB Joe Flacco look very average.
Truth be told, the offense is regressing with Cam Cameron, and I don't see it getting that much better on a short week versus the Colts.
Indy is 9-0 and I just don't see Joe Flacco doing something Tom Brady couldn't do and that is beat the Colts. Teams now have film to work with on young Mr. Flacco and you can see it with how he is struggling in year # 2 as is Matt Ryan of Atlanta.
Lastly, the line move in this game doesn't scare me at all as I felt Indy should have opened at -3 and it seems the line is working it's way up to that as kickoff draws near.
At the end of the day you will never get Peyton Manning at this kind of money line price any probably for the rest of his career and it's because of this I am banking on him big time today.
15 DIME - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - Great spot for the road dog here.
First and foremost, great line value here with the Niners courtesy of the Packers big win over the Cowboys.
Off that win the linemakers sees fit to jack up this number near a touchdown, and it's value I will not pass up.
This is a Niners team that in the same situation went into Indy and took Peyton and the Colts down to the wire in an 18-14 Indy win.
The 49ers have covered every road game this year, including an outright win at Arizona, and we all know what should have been an outright win at Minnesota if not for the last second heroics of Brett Favre.
Their other two road games were the aforementioned Colts, and the 3 point loss at Houston catching 3 1/2.
This team performs well in the role of road dog, and they have also been performing well under Mike Singletary to the tune of 6-1 ATS last 7 on the road.
The Packers are not good enough to be laying this kind of number against anybody as evidenced by their 2 outright home losses to the Bengals as a 9 1/2 point favorite, and the Vikings as a 3-point favorite.
I will gladly grab great value with San Francisco today and watch them be in this game the whole way and it wouldn't suprise me if they won the game outright.
FREE SELECTION - MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Sunday's Selection ... NOTE:
Doesn't get much better than this.
Peyton Manning, on the road, where he has won 8 in a row, versus a team he has beaten 6 in a row.
You will not get this kind of value with the Colts the rest of the year, and by God I am not about to pass it up.
I haven't lost in the NFL on Sunday in 2 weeks. I am 10-1-1 paid and comp plays the last 2 weeks. I just handed the world the Dolphins outright Thursday.
Now here is why Indy is my One-and-Only 75 dime winner today.
75 DIME - INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - MONEY LINE - (Buy down the 1/2 point in this game if you have Indianapolis at -1 1/2, -2, -2 1/2 or even -3. Never get beaten by the hook.).
Peyton owns the Ravens.
Last year he was rusty when he faced them, and lit them up 31-3 like it was nobody's business - and how did Joe Flacco do against Indy's cover two defense?
The Ravens only crossed into Colts territory on three of their 12 drives and turned the ball over five times.
Not enough for you, let me take you back to the 2006 season when the Ravens met the Colts in the 2nd round of the NFL playoffs in Baltimore.
Ravens were off a bye week. They had the # 2 run defense. The # 6 pass defense. The # 1 overall defense. They were ready.
Peyton Manning and the Colts won the game 15-6 on the way to their Super Bowl victory.
Now let's fast forward to 2009. Trust me folks, a lot has changed.
Ravens are no longer the big feared defense. In fact, they are nowhere close, and you had better believe Peyton can't wait to attack them again.
Let me break it down a little easier for you.
In their 5 wins this year the QB's the Ravens have beaten are Matt Cassell, Philip Rivers, Brady Quinn twice and Kyle Orton.
Let me point out that in their win over the Chargers, Rivers was 25 for 45 for 421 yards and if not for a horrific 4th and 1 play call, they don't beat Philip Rivers.
The weakness of this Ravens defense is their secondary and if you don't get pressure with your blitz, your man to man coverage behind it is going to get lit up like a Christmas tree at night.
Question, who is the best QB in the NFL at handling the blitz? Answer is 100% without a doubt Peyton Manning.
This is as bad a matchup for the Ravens as you can ask for, and I fully expect Peyton to do what he always does versus this Baltimore team and that is execute his offense to precision and get the win.
I am aware of the flat spot for Indy in this game off the big home win over the Patriots and if they were playing anybody else other than the Ravens I might be inclined to look the other way.
Fact of the matter is Ray Lewis and this Ravens defense could match wits with Peyton 100 times, and I would go with Peyton all 100, unless the Ravens made a drastic change in their defensive philosophy.
That is not happening in mine or yours lifetime. The Ravens do what they do. Blitz, and play man behind it. If you can protect and beat us. Congrats. You beat us but it still won't stop us from blitzing. It is who they are.
Honestly, beating a team once or twice in a row, or even 3 times in a row maybe considered lucky...but 6 times in a row? With the same QB and the same basic defense this QB has seen all 6 times.
Do you really think the Ravens can come up with anything in this game Peyton hasn't seen from them before? And he faces probably the easiest Ravens defense he has seen in the previous 6 meetings.
Offensively the Ravens are struggling bigtime. You saw those struggles on Monday night versus the worst run defense in the NFL of the Cleveland Browns and a pass attack which made 2nd year QB Joe Flacco look very average.
Truth be told, the offense is regressing with Cam Cameron, and I don't see it getting that much better on a short week versus the Colts.
Indy is 9-0 and I just don't see Joe Flacco doing something Tom Brady couldn't do and that is beat the Colts. Teams now have film to work with on young Mr. Flacco and you can see it with how he is struggling in year # 2 as is Matt Ryan of Atlanta.
Lastly, the line move in this game doesn't scare me at all as I felt Indy should have opened at -3 and it seems the line is working it's way up to that as kickoff draws near.
At the end of the day you will never get Peyton Manning at this kind of money line price any probably for the rest of his career and it's because of this I am banking on him big time today.
15 DIME - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - Great spot for the road dog here.
First and foremost, great line value here with the Niners courtesy of the Packers big win over the Cowboys.
Off that win the linemakers sees fit to jack up this number near a touchdown, and it's value I will not pass up.
This is a Niners team that in the same situation went into Indy and took Peyton and the Colts down to the wire in an 18-14 Indy win.
The 49ers have covered every road game this year, including an outright win at Arizona, and we all know what should have been an outright win at Minnesota if not for the last second heroics of Brett Favre.
Their other two road games were the aforementioned Colts, and the 3 point loss at Houston catching 3 1/2.
This team performs well in the role of road dog, and they have also been performing well under Mike Singletary to the tune of 6-1 ATS last 7 on the road.
The Packers are not good enough to be laying this kind of number against anybody as evidenced by their 2 outright home losses to the Bengals as a 9 1/2 point favorite, and the Vikings as a 3-point favorite.
I will gladly grab great value with San Francisco today and watch them be in this game the whole way and it wouldn't suprise me if they won the game outright.
FREE SELECTION - MINNESOTA VIKINGS
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
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6* W ido w W ise guy 2009 A FC D OG OF THE YE AR on Oakland Raiders +10(-110 at sia)
HUGE letdown spot for Cincinnati here. The Bengals are now in control of the AFC North, sweeping their season series with both Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Coming off their 18-12 road win over the Steelers last week, it's only human nature that the Bengals have a letdown on the road against Oakland Saturday. Now we're not saying the Raiders are for sure going to pull off the upset, but we are saying there's no chance in hell Cincinnati comes away with a double-digit victory on the road. It's always tough for an East Coast travel out to the West Coast, which is just another factor that favors the Raiders here. RB Cedric Benson, one of the top backs in the league, may not play Sunday for Cincinnati. That's why they signed Larry Johnson, and without Benson at full strength this team just isn't the same. Oakland will be able to blitz the hell out of the Bengals, which is something they found to be very effective against the Eagles a few weeks back as they upset Philly 13-9 at home as 14-point underdogs. The Bengals are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. Cincinnati is clearly overrated right now after their fast start with big wins over good teams, but that's why the dog is showing so much value Sunday and we'll take advantage. Take the Raiders as our 2009 AFC DOG OF THE YEAR Sunday! (Recommend Buying to +10)
5* W ise guy N BC S un day Ni ght P arlay (TOTAL) on Eagles -3/OVER 45(-105 at 5dimes)
In a game between two beat up defenses and two very good passing teams, we will side with the OVER Sunday night in what will likely be a very high-scoring affair. Philly is scoring 26.9 points/game this season, while the Bears have been at their best offensively at home, scoring 29.0 points/game. Both teams average 249 passing yards/game this season. McNabb threw for 433 yards against the Chargers last week, so this offense is really hitting on all cylinders. Look for them to punch it in this week when they get into the red zone. Jay Cutler has thrown for 347 and 307 yards in his last 3 games, respectively, but 5 interceptions really cost them against the 49ers last week. Both teams are moving the ball at will, but each is killing themselves with mistakes. We see each team correcting most of those mistakes this week, and it will certainly result in more points. Philly is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. The Bears are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER 45 points.
5* W is eg uy N BC Su n day N igh t Pa rlay (Side) on Eagles -3/OVER 45(-102 at 5dimes)
The Eagles aren't about to drop 3 straight games. They did lose to Dallas at home, and to the Chargers on the road, both games they easily could have won. The Bears lost 21-41 in their last home games against Arizona, allowing 256 passing yards and 5 touchdowns from Kurt Warner. They also gave up 182 rushing yards to the Cardinals in that game. The Bears are simply beat up defensively, and they don't have the caliber of players who can stop one of the best offenses in the league in the Eagles. Philly puts up 26.9 points/game this season, and Donovan McNabb is coming off a career day against the Chargers last week with 433 passing yards. He has been torching opposing defenses all year with weapons such as Jackson, Celek, Maclin and Avant. Not to mention LeSean McCoy, who is great at catching the ball out of the backfield and will play a key role tonight. Cutler doesn't have the same kind of weapons McNabb does, and that's why he is having to force balls, which has led to just 14 touchdowns and 17 intercetpions from Cutler this season. Home-field hasn't been much of an advantage when these teams meet up. The road team is 4-1 S.U. in the last 5 meetings. Chicago simply has a lot more problems that need ironed out than the Eagles do, making Philly the right play tonight. McNabb has thrown 12 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions, so he can be trusted a lot more than Cutler can Sunday night. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. They always tend to bounce back following a loss, and coming off 2 losses we cannot see any scenario where they lose Sunday night. Take the Eagles and lay the points.
5* W iseg uy NFL "B LOO D B AT H" of the W ee k on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at sia)
Off 4 straight losses and off a bye week, it's now or never for New York. We're going to predict that they get the job done Sunday and win by at least a touchdown against an Atlanta Falcons' team that is falling fast. Atlanta has lost 3 straight road games by 9, 8 and 16 points. Now, Michael Turner is doubtful to play Sunday with an injury, leaving the Falcons short-handed against a very hungry Giants' team that has had a bye week to get healthy. The Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Atlanta will be forced to try and move the ball through the air Sunday, and that will play right into the Giants' hands. Matt Ryan threw 2 interceptions in a 21-37 road loss at Dallas, 3 interceptions in a 27-35 road loss at New Orleans, and 2 more interceptions in a 19-28 road loss at Carolina during their 3-game road losing streak. He is making mistakes because nobody is getting open on the outside, and teams are able to key in on Tony Gonzalez to take away their best weapon. New York has had 2 weeks to prepare for Ryan and the Falcons, and they'll have the perfect game plan to come away with a blowout home win as they force Atlanta's QB into more mistakes, while taking care of the ball themselves and getting back to running the football. Take the Giants and lay the points.
4* on Washington Redskins +12(-110 at Sia)
Washington always seems to play the Cowboys tough. Now coming off a huge win over the Broncos, the Redskins finally have some positive vibes to build off of as they head to the "Big D" Sunday. Washington is 5-3 S.U. and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cowboys. 4 of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less, with the lone exception being a 27-6 home win for Washington in 2007. You have to go all the way back to their first meeting of 2006 to find the last time the Redskins lost by double-digits to the Cowboys. Dallas was exploited last week against Green Bay, and this team is not as good as their 6-3 record indicates. Washington has allowed just 19.0 points/game this season, and their defense alone gives the Redskins a great chance to pull off this upset Sunday. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Dallas is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC East foes. The Redskins are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992. Take Washington and the points.
4* on Buffalo Bills +9(-110 at bookm)
Jacksonville is 5-4 this season, but only 1 of their 5 wins have come by more than 7 points. That came at home against Tennessee early in the season as they caught the Titans playing their worst football of the season. The Jaguars should not be this heavily favored Sunday, and the only reason they are is due to their big road win last week against the Jets by 2 points. The Jaguars have won back-to-back home games, but needed overtime to beat the Cardinals by 3 points and they managed to beat the Chiefs by just 3 points in their last home contest as well. Buffalo is better than both those squads, and the firing of Dick Jauron should give this team a much-needed change. Jauron doesn't get the most out of his players because he is too passive. A head-coaching change will give these players a jump-start, and we would not be surprised one bit to see Buffalo pull off this upset. They were tied 17-17 with the Titans in the fourth quarter on the road last week before giving that game away. But Trent Edwards was returning from a concussion last week, and in his second game back against the Jaguars we fully expect him to be much more efficient. Jackonsville is scoring just 20.1 points/game and allowing 24.4 points/game, not numbers you would expect from a team with a 5-4 record through 9 games. This line has been inflated based off of public perception, and that's why all the value is on the Bills here Sunday. The Bills are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The Jaguars are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Needless to say, the Jaguars are terrible in the role of the favorite. Take Buffalo and the points.
4* on San Francisco 49ers +7(-115 at bodog)
We'll take the touchdown on the 49ers, who have been very competitive on the road this season. Though the 49ers are 1-3 SU on the road, they are 3-0-1 ATS. San Francisco has lost 3 road games all by 3 points each, and they also have a road win over the Cardinals. So they have yet to lose a road game by more than 3 points. They brand of football they play gives them a chance to win every game, which is with a solid running game and a stout defense. Defensively, they give up just 88 rushing yards/game and 3.3 yards/carry. They will stop the Packers' running game, and make Aaron Rodgers try to beat them. When Rodgers does that, he is very prone to making mistakes. With their huge win over the Cowboys last week, 17-7, this is certainly a letdown spot for Green Bay. The 49ers have had 3 extra days to prepare for the Packers after playing on Thursday last week. This will also be a big factor heading into this showdown. Under Mike Singletary, the 49ers are 6-2-1 ATS in 9 road games. The 49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. This team is at their best in the role of the dog as the preceeding trend indicates. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Take the 49ers and the points. (Recommend Buying to +7)
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6* W ido w W ise guy 2009 A FC D OG OF THE YE AR on Oakland Raiders +10(-110 at sia)
HUGE letdown spot for Cincinnati here. The Bengals are now in control of the AFC North, sweeping their season series with both Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Coming off their 18-12 road win over the Steelers last week, it's only human nature that the Bengals have a letdown on the road against Oakland Saturday. Now we're not saying the Raiders are for sure going to pull off the upset, but we are saying there's no chance in hell Cincinnati comes away with a double-digit victory on the road. It's always tough for an East Coast travel out to the West Coast, which is just another factor that favors the Raiders here. RB Cedric Benson, one of the top backs in the league, may not play Sunday for Cincinnati. That's why they signed Larry Johnson, and without Benson at full strength this team just isn't the same. Oakland will be able to blitz the hell out of the Bengals, which is something they found to be very effective against the Eagles a few weeks back as they upset Philly 13-9 at home as 14-point underdogs. The Bengals are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. Cincinnati is clearly overrated right now after their fast start with big wins over good teams, but that's why the dog is showing so much value Sunday and we'll take advantage. Take the Raiders as our 2009 AFC DOG OF THE YEAR Sunday! (Recommend Buying to +10)
5* W ise guy N BC S un day Ni ght P arlay (TOTAL) on Eagles -3/OVER 45(-105 at 5dimes)
In a game between two beat up defenses and two very good passing teams, we will side with the OVER Sunday night in what will likely be a very high-scoring affair. Philly is scoring 26.9 points/game this season, while the Bears have been at their best offensively at home, scoring 29.0 points/game. Both teams average 249 passing yards/game this season. McNabb threw for 433 yards against the Chargers last week, so this offense is really hitting on all cylinders. Look for them to punch it in this week when they get into the red zone. Jay Cutler has thrown for 347 and 307 yards in his last 3 games, respectively, but 5 interceptions really cost them against the 49ers last week. Both teams are moving the ball at will, but each is killing themselves with mistakes. We see each team correcting most of those mistakes this week, and it will certainly result in more points. Philly is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. The Bears are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER 45 points.
5* W is eg uy N BC Su n day N igh t Pa rlay (Side) on Eagles -3/OVER 45(-102 at 5dimes)
The Eagles aren't about to drop 3 straight games. They did lose to Dallas at home, and to the Chargers on the road, both games they easily could have won. The Bears lost 21-41 in their last home games against Arizona, allowing 256 passing yards and 5 touchdowns from Kurt Warner. They also gave up 182 rushing yards to the Cardinals in that game. The Bears are simply beat up defensively, and they don't have the caliber of players who can stop one of the best offenses in the league in the Eagles. Philly puts up 26.9 points/game this season, and Donovan McNabb is coming off a career day against the Chargers last week with 433 passing yards. He has been torching opposing defenses all year with weapons such as Jackson, Celek, Maclin and Avant. Not to mention LeSean McCoy, who is great at catching the ball out of the backfield and will play a key role tonight. Cutler doesn't have the same kind of weapons McNabb does, and that's why he is having to force balls, which has led to just 14 touchdowns and 17 intercetpions from Cutler this season. Home-field hasn't been much of an advantage when these teams meet up. The road team is 4-1 S.U. in the last 5 meetings. Chicago simply has a lot more problems that need ironed out than the Eagles do, making Philly the right play tonight. McNabb has thrown 12 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions, so he can be trusted a lot more than Cutler can Sunday night. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. They always tend to bounce back following a loss, and coming off 2 losses we cannot see any scenario where they lose Sunday night. Take the Eagles and lay the points.
5* W iseg uy NFL "B LOO D B AT H" of the W ee k on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at sia)
Off 4 straight losses and off a bye week, it's now or never for New York. We're going to predict that they get the job done Sunday and win by at least a touchdown against an Atlanta Falcons' team that is falling fast. Atlanta has lost 3 straight road games by 9, 8 and 16 points. Now, Michael Turner is doubtful to play Sunday with an injury, leaving the Falcons short-handed against a very hungry Giants' team that has had a bye week to get healthy. The Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Atlanta will be forced to try and move the ball through the air Sunday, and that will play right into the Giants' hands. Matt Ryan threw 2 interceptions in a 21-37 road loss at Dallas, 3 interceptions in a 27-35 road loss at New Orleans, and 2 more interceptions in a 19-28 road loss at Carolina during their 3-game road losing streak. He is making mistakes because nobody is getting open on the outside, and teams are able to key in on Tony Gonzalez to take away their best weapon. New York has had 2 weeks to prepare for Ryan and the Falcons, and they'll have the perfect game plan to come away with a blowout home win as they force Atlanta's QB into more mistakes, while taking care of the ball themselves and getting back to running the football. Take the Giants and lay the points.
4* on Washington Redskins +12(-110 at Sia)
Washington always seems to play the Cowboys tough. Now coming off a huge win over the Broncos, the Redskins finally have some positive vibes to build off of as they head to the "Big D" Sunday. Washington is 5-3 S.U. and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cowboys. 4 of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less, with the lone exception being a 27-6 home win for Washington in 2007. You have to go all the way back to their first meeting of 2006 to find the last time the Redskins lost by double-digits to the Cowboys. Dallas was exploited last week against Green Bay, and this team is not as good as their 6-3 record indicates. Washington has allowed just 19.0 points/game this season, and their defense alone gives the Redskins a great chance to pull off this upset Sunday. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Dallas is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC East foes. The Redskins are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992. Take Washington and the points.
4* on Buffalo Bills +9(-110 at bookm)
Jacksonville is 5-4 this season, but only 1 of their 5 wins have come by more than 7 points. That came at home against Tennessee early in the season as they caught the Titans playing their worst football of the season. The Jaguars should not be this heavily favored Sunday, and the only reason they are is due to their big road win last week against the Jets by 2 points. The Jaguars have won back-to-back home games, but needed overtime to beat the Cardinals by 3 points and they managed to beat the Chiefs by just 3 points in their last home contest as well. Buffalo is better than both those squads, and the firing of Dick Jauron should give this team a much-needed change. Jauron doesn't get the most out of his players because he is too passive. A head-coaching change will give these players a jump-start, and we would not be surprised one bit to see Buffalo pull off this upset. They were tied 17-17 with the Titans in the fourth quarter on the road last week before giving that game away. But Trent Edwards was returning from a concussion last week, and in his second game back against the Jaguars we fully expect him to be much more efficient. Jackonsville is scoring just 20.1 points/game and allowing 24.4 points/game, not numbers you would expect from a team with a 5-4 record through 9 games. This line has been inflated based off of public perception, and that's why all the value is on the Bills here Sunday. The Bills are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The Jaguars are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Needless to say, the Jaguars are terrible in the role of the favorite. Take Buffalo and the points.
4* on San Francisco 49ers +7(-115 at bodog)
We'll take the touchdown on the 49ers, who have been very competitive on the road this season. Though the 49ers are 1-3 SU on the road, they are 3-0-1 ATS. San Francisco has lost 3 road games all by 3 points each, and they also have a road win over the Cardinals. So they have yet to lose a road game by more than 3 points. They brand of football they play gives them a chance to win every game, which is with a solid running game and a stout defense. Defensively, they give up just 88 rushing yards/game and 3.3 yards/carry. They will stop the Packers' running game, and make Aaron Rodgers try to beat them. When Rodgers does that, he is very prone to making mistakes. With their huge win over the Cowboys last week, 17-7, this is certainly a letdown spot for Green Bay. The 49ers have had 3 extra days to prepare for the Packers after playing on Thursday last week. This will also be a big factor heading into this showdown. Under Mike Singletary, the 49ers are 6-2-1 ATS in 9 road games. The 49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. This team is at their best in the role of the dog as the preceeding trend indicates. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Take the 49ers and the points. (Recommend Buying to +7)
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Guaranteed Pick: Carlo Campanella GOY
Game: Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders Nov 22 2009 4:15PM
Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals
Reason: For those who don't think that Cincinnati (7-2) is for real, and will win the AFC North, they have already beaten their 2 biggest Division rivals, Pittsburgh and Baltimore twice each, and that 4-0 record will allow them to win any tie-breaker. Cincinnati comes off an impressive 18-12 win at Pittsburgh last Sunday and now heads Oakland knowing they are 6-1 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. In their only other back-to-back road games this season, they impressively defeated Baltimore 17-14 as 8-point dogs. With Oakland, Cleveland, and Detroit their next 3 games on the schedule, these Bengals know that it's time to step up their game, as they can easily extend their Division lead against these opponents that combine for a 4-22 record this season. No letdown here, as the Bengals defense ranks #2 against the run and held a tough Pittsburgh ground attack to just 80 yards on 18 carries last Sunday. With Oakland benching starting QB Russell for inexperienced QB Gradkowski, expect the Bengals to key on the run and force the Raiders to pass the ball. Lay the lumber with road favorite Cincinnati improves on their 3-1 ATS road record this season.
10* Play On Bengals
Game: Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders Nov 22 2009 4:15PM
Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals
Reason: For those who don't think that Cincinnati (7-2) is for real, and will win the AFC North, they have already beaten their 2 biggest Division rivals, Pittsburgh and Baltimore twice each, and that 4-0 record will allow them to win any tie-breaker. Cincinnati comes off an impressive 18-12 win at Pittsburgh last Sunday and now heads Oakland knowing they are 6-1 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. In their only other back-to-back road games this season, they impressively defeated Baltimore 17-14 as 8-point dogs. With Oakland, Cleveland, and Detroit their next 3 games on the schedule, these Bengals know that it's time to step up their game, as they can easily extend their Division lead against these opponents that combine for a 4-22 record this season. No letdown here, as the Bengals defense ranks #2 against the run and held a tough Pittsburgh ground attack to just 80 yards on 18 carries last Sunday. With Oakland benching starting QB Russell for inexperienced QB Gradkowski, expect the Bengals to key on the run and force the Raiders to pass the ball. Lay the lumber with road favorite Cincinnati improves on their 3-1 ATS road record this season.
10* Play On Bengals
