6* W id ow W ise guy 2009 N F C E ast G AM E OF THE Y EAR on Philadelphia Eagles -3(+111 at
5dimes)
The Cowboys have yet to pick up a signature win this season, and they're not about to get one in Philly Sunday night. Dallas is playing their best football right now, but their 3 straight wins have come against the Chiefs, Falcons and Seahawks. That's far from impressive. If you want to look at a team that steps up in big games, then look to the Eagles who just trounced the Giants last week 40-17 at home. The Eagles have held 5 straight opponents to 17 points or less, playing tremendous defense. We really feel that Philly is the more complete team, with more playmakers on offense and a better all-around defense. The numbers prove that as Dallas allows 342 yards/game while the Eagles give up just 297 yards/game. What will kill Dallas Sunday is their terrible pass defense, where they give up 237 passing yards/game compared to the 194 passing yards/game the Eagles give up. The Eagles are 3-1 at home this season, with their only loss to the Saints when Donovan McNabb wasn't playing due to a rib injury. Philly scores 32.2 points/game at home and averages 291 passing yards/game on their home turf. The Eagles rise up off a big division win, and that's proven by the fact that Philly is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1992. The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. Brian Westbrook is back in the lineup this week, giving the Eagles another playmaker to go along with Jackson, Maclin, Celek and McCoy. The Eagles have too many weapons on offense, the better defense, and they are playing at home Sunday night. Take the Eagles and lay the points.
5* A F C T OT AL OF T HE M ON TH on Texans/Colts OVER 47.5(-110 at bookm)
This one is a no-brainer Sunday folks, because when Indy and Houston get together, offensive fireworks always ensue. The OVER is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings, where the Colts and Texans have combined to score at least 48 points every time. Both teams are dominant offensively again this year, as the Texans average 28.5 points/game on the road while the Colts put up 28.1 points/game overall. Houston is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Texans are 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in dome games since 1992. Houston is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992. Get ready for a 9th consecutive shootout in this AFC South rivalry Sunday. Take the OVER 47.5 points.
4* on Ravens/Bengals UNDER 44(-110 at
betus)
In the first meeting between Baltimore and Cincinnati, the Bengals topped the Ravens on the road by a final of 17-14. Expect this to be another fierce defensive battle in their second meeting, this time in Cincy. The UNDER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings, where these teams have combined to score 37 points or less in all 4 meetings. The odds makers aren't giving this Cincinnati defense enough credit Sunday, and they are giving their offense way too much respect. The Bengals give up just 18.3 points/game this season defensively. The Ravens allow a respectable 19.6 points/game, which is impressive considering the tough schedule they have faced already. The UNDER is 7-1 in Ravens last 8 games as a favorite. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 10-4-1 in Bengals last 15 home games. Take the UNDER 44 points here.
4* on Seattle Seahawks -10(-103 at
5dimes)
Seattle has been dominant at home against inferior opponents. Yes, they are just 2-5 this season, but after both the Cardinals and 49ers lost last week they are not far back in the NFC West division. The Seahawks' two wins have come at home by finals of 41-0 over Jacksonville and 28-0 over the Rams. That was the same St. Louis team that the Lions lost 17-10 at home last week. This game has blowout written all over it as the Seahawks roll Sunday. The Lions are 0-3 on the road this season, losing by an average of 22.7 points/game. In fact, they have lost all 3 of their road games by 18 points or more. Detroit is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992. This is a tough road trip out on the West Coast for the Lions, which is never easy for any opponents. The Lions are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take Seattle and lay the points.
4* on New York Giants -3.5(-110 at sia)
After 3 straight losses, the Giants bounce back in a big way at home Sunday against the vulnerable San Diego Chargers. The Chargers' three losses this season have come against the Ravens, Steelers and Broncos which are three teams that are the same caliber as the Giants. Their wins have come against the Raiders twice, Chiefs and the Dolphins. San Diego is simply overmatched Sunday, and they are up against a very hungry oponnent determined to end this 3-game skid. The Giants have been battling injuries, but they have three key players on defense that have returned to practice this week and will likely get the start. Michael Boley, Aaron Ross and Chris Canty are the three key players, and they have been missed the last 3 weeks as New York has imploded defensively. The Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. They did beat the Raiders last week, but only by a final of 24-16 as they let Oakland hang around. That was the same Raiders' team that the Giants beat 44-7 back on October 11th. The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Take New York and lay the points. (We'll take the Giants all the way up to -5.5 as a 4* Play, 3* Play at -6 or more)
