Service Plays Sunday 11/01/09

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degenerate
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norm hitzges 1310 DFW The Ticket

first, let me say that Norm is not doing very well. 25-38 in NFL. that said, he's been pretty decent year-in and year-out. furthermore, he has a triple play on Dallas this week. so, here you go:

NFL
Triple Play—Dallas -9.5 vs Seattle
Single Plays
·Jacksonville +3 vs Tennessee
·Carolina +10 vs Arizona
·Houston -3.5 vs Buffalo
·Indianapolis -12.5 vs San Francisco
·Detroit -4 vs St. Louis
·San Diego -16.5 vs Oakland
·New Orleans -10 vs Atlanta
·Cleveland/Chicago Under 40
 
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Dr. Bob

3 Star Selection
***BUFFALO 23 Houston (-3.5) 19
10:00 AM Pacific, 01-Nov-09
I'll take Buffalo in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more (at -115 odds or better.

2 Star Selection
**Jacksonville 25 TENNESSEE (-3.0) 20
01:05 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-09
I'll take Jacksonville in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.

2 Star Selection
**NEW ORLEANS (-10.0) 33 Atlanta 17
05:30 PM Pacific, 02-Nov-09
I'll take New Orleans in a 2-Star Best Bet at-10 points or less.

Strong Opinion
Denver 21 BALTIMORE (-3.5) 20
10:00 AM Pacific, 01-Nov-09
In other words, Baltimore only dominated mediocre and bad teams at home.

Strong Opinion
Carolina 16 ARIZONA (-10.0) 21
01:15 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-09
I'll consider Carolina a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more based on the strong technical analysis.

The math model chance to cover listed below is based on the historical performance of my model for each difference from the line and does not take into account key numbers or any situational analysis, which may favor the opposite side (as has been the case numerous times this season). Please read my full analysis of a game to find out what my final prediction is. All games not part of the Best Bet email can be found on the site in the free analysis section.
 

MY HEART IS A HOME AND FEAR DONT LIVE HERE
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dover picks



dallas -9 3 units
detroit -3 2 units
saints -9 1 unit


ytd ats 17-7 plus 16 units



den/balt over 41 1 units
st.louis/detroit under 46 units 1 unit
car/ariz over 41 1 unit
atl/no over 54 2 units


ytd totals 7-2 plus 9 units
 

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Sirduke Sports

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/1/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Easy Winner</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>222</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Dallas Cowboys -9.5</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>9*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/1/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Attack Dog</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>219</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>St Louis Rams +4</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>11*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/1/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Private Players</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>208</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Baltimore Ravens -3</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>8*</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>1st ever attack dog club in the NFL.
 
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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 24-17 +15.90%

3% INDIANAPOLIS -12.5
3% TENNESSEE -3
3% NY GIANTS -1
3% NEW ORLEANS -10.5
3% NY GIANTS/PHILADLEPHIA OVER 44
3% ATLANTA/NEW ORLEANS OVER 54
 

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--- hilton contest ---
(week 8 / nfl)
----------------------------

top 5 most picked (incl tied teams)
(18-18 ats) / top pick: (3-4 ats)

nyg (137)
balt (104)
nyj (97)
gb (92)
hstn (84)

---------------------------------

largest difference between teams

nyg (104)
nyj (55)
jx'ville (39)
gb & balt (31)
-----------------------------------

top contestant(s)

(26-9): Dnvr / chic / miami / dall / nyg
(25-9-1): Gb / sf / seatt / ariz / philly
(24-10): Dnvr / hstn / minn / indy / jx'ville
(5 of top 7 have dnvr)

-------------------------------------------

bottom feeder(s) (9-26 ats)

minn / miami / rams / jx'ville / nyg
(4 of bottom 6 have balt)

-------------------------------------------

teams picked the fewest times (7-6 s/u & ats)
(picked 25 or less times)

sd (17) / oak (24) / det (25)
 
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TOP 15 NFL HANDICAPPERS
AS OF 11/1/09
#1 MILLIONAIRE CLUB (NFL 7-1~ 88%)
#2 LVSS (NFL 17-5 ~ 77%)
#3 THE UNKNOWN (NFL 22-8 ~ 73%)
#4 WORLD WAGER (NFL 10-4 ~ 71%)
#5 MVP POWERLOCKS (NFL 5-2 ~ 71%)
#6 LATE INFO (NFL 5-2 ~ 71% - 47-26 Since start of '06)
#7 TRU-LINE (NFL 9-4 ~ 69%)
#8 SPORTS UNLIMITED (NFL 13-6 ~ 68%)
#9 THE SPORTS GURU (NFL 14-7 ~ 67%)
#10 SCORE (NFL 16-8 ~ 67%)
#11 POINTWISE (NFL 30-16 ~ 65%)
#12 END ZONE (NFL 9-5 ~ 64%)
#13 VEGAS CONNECTION (NFL 12-7 ~ 63%)
#14 THE EDGE (NFL 13-8 ~ 62%)
#15 WINDY CITY SPORTS (NFL 13-8 ~ 62%)
 

degenerate
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ACE-ACE

$600.00 Take #211 Houston (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
Houston is playing really good football right now and they have just beaten two good teams in San Francisco and Cincinnati. The Texans have been a strong road team. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven away from home. I didn’t think that Buffalo looked that good in Carolina last week in their win. And the Bills have lost their home field edge in recent years. They are just 6-19 ATS at home against teams above .500.

$2200.00 Take #213 Minnesota (+3) over Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
This is my Game of the Week and it is part of the “99 System”. Right now everyone thinks that Green Bay is going to get revenge on Minnesota and Brett Favre. But I don’t think that’s the case and the 99 System doesn’t think that’s the case either! The stats in this matchup all favor the Vikings. Minnesota is coming off a loss but they actually out-stated Pittsburgh last week. Green Bay beat cream puff Cleveland and before that beat a bad Detroit team. So those two wins are a bit misleading. I like the Vikings to sweep the series.

$500.00 Take #217 Miami (+3.5) over New York Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
The Dolphins are probably the best 2-4 team in the NFL. They nearly beat New Orleans last week. They also lost a close game to Indianapolis early this year. Those are two of the best teams in football and the Dolphins lost both games late. I like the number here in a game that I think should be close and should be back-and-forth, just like the first meeting. I am not fooled by the Jets win in Oakland. The Raiders are terrible.

$800.00 Take #225 Jacksonville (+3) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
Jacksonville blew the Titans off the field in the first meeting and I think that they will do the same thing here. Tennessee went from having the best secondary in the NFL to having the worst because of injuries. The Titans can’t stop people. And now they have a quarterback controversy. Right now I don’t think that the Titans should be laying points to anyone. They have lost five straight ATS and I think their terrible season continues this week.

$2000.00 Take #229 New York Giants (‘Pick’) at Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
This is one of my “99 System” picks. I really like the Giants to get revenge in this game after losing at home in the playoffs to the Eagles last year. Some of the Giants players didn’t like a lot of the things that were said after that game. The spread in this game has dropped from 2.5 and even 3.0 at some books to the current ‘pick ‘em’. That is very telling to this veteran capper. Brian Westbrook likely isn’t going to play for the Eagles this weekend. We have seen Philly be a different team over the last few years when he doesn’t play.


each one of those picks are also my Hilton Plays


cant see this going down!!

Sweethheart Teaser 13 point move

mia +16.5
Min+16
jax +16
nyg +13..................................... $500 to win $350


Best to All

Ace-Ace

ak Allen eastman
 

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Current Top 10 NFL handicappers from the Scamdicappers website:

top_handicappers_nfl.png
 
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Don Wallace Sports
New York -1 over Philly
Carolina +10 over Arizona
Denver +3.5 over Baltimore
San Francisco +13 over Indy
Cleveland +13.5 over Chicago
Minnesota +3 over Green Bay
 
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Indian Cowboy

6 Unit Play. Take the Atlanta Falcons +10 over the New Orleans Saints (Monday Night Football @ 8pm est). These two teams are division rivals. You think Atlanta will not be fired up coming off the tough loss to Dallas? You better believe it. The Falcons struggled in the atmosphere at Dallas, but this is their chance to redeem themselves a bit against a rival in New Orleans and on top of that, if the Falcons can defeat this team, they will not be that far out for the division crown. Heck, the Falcons will be 5-2 and the Saints would be 6-1 pending a Falcons win. The Falcons know this and the Saints did show some weaknesses against the Dolphins. I like the Falcons to be an active dog here as I see this game likely going over. But, more importantly, I like the Falcons here, as a dog, coming off a loss, against a division rival and looking to shock the football world so to speak by winning this game outright. I think folks will be surprised at how well this team will be prepared for this game. Do not underestimate this Falcons team and of course, the Saints get to show off their stuff in front of the league on MNF, but in the same token, this does have plenty of holes on defense and the Falcons can run the heck out of the ball. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS coming off a straight up loss.
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Jacksonville at Tennessee (Sunday 11/01 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Jacksonville +3 (-115)
Another first will take place in this strange NFL season as the Titans come into this game favored. It's the first time to my knowledge that a team that lost by the most points of any team their last time out (59) has been favored in their next game. It is hard to say what is going on in Tennessee, but certain to say it is not good. The Titans were 13-3 last year, and have opened this season 0-6. Many thought at 0-3 that this team would turn it on. Then they dropped to 0-4 and again, most thought the same thing. But when they went to 0-5, this team obviously quit, playing the worst game I can remember seeing a team play vs. New England two weeks ago. So why would they show up after needing a win for two weeks in the worst way, and then when their season was completely over, just go through the motions? They showed no resolve or pride, and I don't expect them to suddenly find it at 0-6 knowing that their season is all but over. Desperate to do something (nothing else has worked), Jeff Fisher benched Kerry Collins in favor of Vince Young. Young is supposed to save this team? Child please. It's reported that Fisher didn't even want to do this but owner Bud Adams told him to. That shows you how much faith Fisher has in Young. But, Fisher's attentions would be better focused on a defense that has allowed 33 points and over 400 yards per game! Jacksonville has a different mission as they can move to 4-3 and become viable playoffs contenders with a win. They have begun to play much better in recent weeks, going 3-1 the last four . The oddsmakers keep living on the Titans of a year ago, and this team is not only is losing, they are not even competitive as they have dropped each of their last three games by 20+ including one to the Jags. While he's had his ups and downs as coach of the Jags, Jack Del Rio is at his best as an underdog where he has posted a 32-21 ATS mark. Jacksonville is the better team on this field and I am backing them with the points.
 
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Sunday NFL System Club Play-Afc Total info

On Sunday the NFL System Club/Bonus Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 227 at 4:15 eastern. The Panthers qualify in a solid 43-13 system here today that pertains to their home favored loss last week vs the Bills. What we want to do is play on any dog of +2.5 or more off a loss as a 7+ favorite,if they allowed 27 or less in the loss and our opponent comes in off a spread win in their last game.
Arizona comes into this one off a pair of road underdog wins. Last week they beat the Giants as a 7 point dog and a prior win at Seattle as a 3 point dog. Today this is a potential flat spot laying the big number against a Panther team that has not played as bad as their record indicates. The turnovers is what been killing the Carolina team this year. Arizona is 0-7 ats as favorites off a non division dog win and 1-7 ats as non divisional favorites of more than 7 points. Look for the Panthers to stay within the number here today.
For those looking for something to pound I have the AFC Total of the year from a solid 15-1 system that dates to the mid 70/S,as well as a triple system side and a 4-22 Power angle play that dates to 1980. NBA and Bases will be on the late report.Congrats to those with me on Saturday as we had another stellar day as we cashed the first 5 star in NBA play with the sixers and the blowout and dog of the week plays with Texas A@@M and Oregon Don't miss any of today's big plays. Take the Carolina Panthers as the system club play. BOL GC-
 

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Bob Valentino

Sunday's NFL winner ...
25 DIME: COWBOYS (minus the points vs. Seahawks)



NOTE: Make sure to get Dallas at -9 1/2. DO NOT wait to place your wager, as this number is already at 10 in some spots, and there's no reason you should law that key number when there are plenty of places to get 9 1/2.

Guys I cant do this much but I just wanted to pitch in and help out.
 
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NFL
Dunkel Index


Minnesota at Green Bay
The Vikings look to bounce back from their loss to Pittsburgh and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Minnesota is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Vikings favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 207-208: Denver at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 137.991; Baltimore 137.761
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Under

Game 209-210: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.735; Chicago 139.155
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 19 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 13; 40
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-13); Under

Game 211-212: Houston at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 128.808; Buffalo 133.854
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: Minnesota at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 136.781; Green Bay 133.644
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 50
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Over

Game 215-216: San Francisco at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 129.703; Indianapolis 146.460
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 17; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 11 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-11 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Miami at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 132.720; NY Jets 137.096
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Over

Game 219-220: St. Louis at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 115.486; Detroit 122.157
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 221-222: Seattle at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.932; Dallas 141.548
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 15 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Dallas by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Oakland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 121.036; San Diego 134.610
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: San Diego by 17; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+17); Under

Game 225-226: Jacksonville at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 127.290; Tennessee 131.841
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under

Game 227-228: Carolina at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.145; Arizona 134.574
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+10 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: NY Giants at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 141.721; Philadelphia 136.419
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+1); Over
 

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