TheProSource NFL FB 10/5
Indianapolis -3 ** TOP Play **
Carolina -9
Arizona -1
Dallas OVER 44 ** TOP Play **
GL
Indianapolis -3 ** TOP Play AFC South GOM**
vs Houston 1 pm et
We backed the Colts in their only win this year, away at
Minnesota. We'll side with them again off their BYE, and
looking up in the Div at the 4-0 Titans. We get value as
the Colts started out of sync, while the expectations are
high for the Texans to finally have a good year. We think
it will be hard for Houston to focus off a crushing OT loss
at Jacksonville last week. Short line here, and the Colts
have only lost to Houston once in 12 games. A rested &
desperate Colts team should start to get back on track.
This looks like a good spot, with 3 gms under their belts,
and the BYE to tweak the problems. Here we'll note that
Road Favorites coming off a bye week are 35-13, almost
65% S2001..including a dangerous 8-2 last season.
We have some great system support to:
Play ON any away team in this spread range, the game
must be a Div game, and our Play On team must be off
a home loss of 3 or less pts. 13-2-2 ATS, 87%
we also hav a play against system to:
Play Against a division home dog in this spread range,
off back-to-back away dog SU losses, versus an opponent
off a SU loss. 11-2 ATS, 85%
Wild stat here has Indy 3-0 as rd favs off their bye S1990.
Indy on a 5-0 ats Oct run, Houst on an 0-5 ats Oct run.
Carolina - 9
vs Kansas City 1 pm et
We layed a TD last week with Carolina and covered. We're
coming right back and laying the wood again, backed by a
great play against system.
The Panthers will choke off the KCrunning game like they
did vs Atlanta last week, and let the KC back-up QB try
and beat them. Road games vs tough defenses are not
a good thing for journeyman NFL QB's
Carolina is 93-10-1 ATS when they win SU , including a
45-8-1 ATS mark at home. Last weeks win was the Chiefs
first win in TWELVE games. We have a phenomnal %
here if Carolina wins.
Play Against any away underdog with the Chiefs WL%
and in this spread range, if they won SU the previous week
as an underdog of 7(+) pts and they’re playing a team
off a win. 26-8-2 ATS, 76% over the last 17 years.
Carolina has some OL trouble, but KC has lots of troubles
Here's what we know about the Panthers' injuries from
Sunday's game:OT Jordan Gross suffered a concussion.
Teammates spoke to him and said he was alert in the
locker room at halftime. His status for next week's game
against Kansas City isn't known.OT Jeff Otah said he
sprained his right ankle and that it's OK. Otah also said
he could have come back in the game if another offensive
lineman had gotten hurt
Arizona -1
vs Buffalo 4:15 et
Maybe a game we shouldn't be playing, but we like the
Cards at home when Warner is at QB. We mentioned in
our winning total analysis last week with AZ Over, that
this team can score with Warner. The 17 pts at DC 2 wks
ago was kind of an anomoly. It was the first time in 11
games that AZ did not score 21 or more pts in a game.
Going back to Gm 9 LY on, look how the offense has done:
31, 35, 31, 27, 21, 24, 30, 48 , 23 , 31...then the 17 at Wash.
AZ had averaged 29 ppg the lst 10 gms before Washington,
and dumped 35 on the jets last week.
The Bills are 4-0 but they have started to struggle. They
needed comebacks against bad teams in the last 2 gms.
Buffalo will face long travel thru the 3 hr time zone, will be
playing on grass, and face an offense that can put up huge
numbers. Arizona lost in the two East coast games, but
things will be a lot better back in the desert.
This is a rare spot for the Cards. A wild stat has AZ 7-1
as favs vs a team that is off 3 wins. We can also note new
HC Wisenhuts perfect 5-0 ATS mark vs the AFC (4-1 ATS)
Another wild stat on the other side is the Bills 0-10 SU run
before their BYE ( 2-6-1 ATS)
We have one system that is 23-7 ATS, but one of the big
parameters is to play on a non-division home dog ...
with AZ laying just -1 , we'll go ahead and take the chance
with other nice factors in place.
Dallas OVER 44 ** TOP Play Inter Conf TOM **
vs Cincinnati 4:15 et
A few of out best totals systems at work.
Over system that came up just once all of last season in
just it's 3rd losing effort in 25 chances.
Over System that is 22-3 , 88% for 20+ NFL seasons.
Another Over system that came up just once all of last
season in it's first losing effort, after rattling off 14 Overs
in a row.
It got right back on track winning for us in Wk 3
...15-1 Over system thru 14 seasons....94%
This game looks like a big mismatch, and Dallas will
more than likely slack off on defense late in game.
Indianapolis -3 ** TOP Play **
Carolina -9
Arizona -1
Dallas OVER 44 ** TOP Play **
GL
Indianapolis -3 ** TOP Play AFC South GOM**
vs Houston 1 pm et
We backed the Colts in their only win this year, away at
Minnesota. We'll side with them again off their BYE, and
looking up in the Div at the 4-0 Titans. We get value as
the Colts started out of sync, while the expectations are
high for the Texans to finally have a good year. We think
it will be hard for Houston to focus off a crushing OT loss
at Jacksonville last week. Short line here, and the Colts
have only lost to Houston once in 12 games. A rested &
desperate Colts team should start to get back on track.
This looks like a good spot, with 3 gms under their belts,
and the BYE to tweak the problems. Here we'll note that
Road Favorites coming off a bye week are 35-13, almost
65% S2001..including a dangerous 8-2 last season.
We have some great system support to:
Play ON any away team in this spread range, the game
must be a Div game, and our Play On team must be off
a home loss of 3 or less pts. 13-2-2 ATS, 87%
we also hav a play against system to:
Play Against a division home dog in this spread range,
off back-to-back away dog SU losses, versus an opponent
off a SU loss. 11-2 ATS, 85%
Wild stat here has Indy 3-0 as rd favs off their bye S1990.
Indy on a 5-0 ats Oct run, Houst on an 0-5 ats Oct run.
Carolina - 9
vs Kansas City 1 pm et
We layed a TD last week with Carolina and covered. We're
coming right back and laying the wood again, backed by a
great play against system.
The Panthers will choke off the KCrunning game like they
did vs Atlanta last week, and let the KC back-up QB try
and beat them. Road games vs tough defenses are not
a good thing for journeyman NFL QB's
Carolina is 93-10-1 ATS when they win SU , including a
45-8-1 ATS mark at home. Last weeks win was the Chiefs
first win in TWELVE games. We have a phenomnal %
here if Carolina wins.
Play Against any away underdog with the Chiefs WL%
and in this spread range, if they won SU the previous week
as an underdog of 7(+) pts and they’re playing a team
off a win. 26-8-2 ATS, 76% over the last 17 years.
Carolina has some OL trouble, but KC has lots of troubles
Here's what we know about the Panthers' injuries from
Sunday's game:OT Jordan Gross suffered a concussion.
Teammates spoke to him and said he was alert in the
locker room at halftime. His status for next week's game
against Kansas City isn't known.OT Jeff Otah said he
sprained his right ankle and that it's OK. Otah also said
he could have come back in the game if another offensive
lineman had gotten hurt
Arizona -1
vs Buffalo 4:15 et
Maybe a game we shouldn't be playing, but we like the
Cards at home when Warner is at QB. We mentioned in
our winning total analysis last week with AZ Over, that
this team can score with Warner. The 17 pts at DC 2 wks
ago was kind of an anomoly. It was the first time in 11
games that AZ did not score 21 or more pts in a game.
Going back to Gm 9 LY on, look how the offense has done:
31, 35, 31, 27, 21, 24, 30, 48 , 23 , 31...then the 17 at Wash.
AZ had averaged 29 ppg the lst 10 gms before Washington,
and dumped 35 on the jets last week.
The Bills are 4-0 but they have started to struggle. They
needed comebacks against bad teams in the last 2 gms.
Buffalo will face long travel thru the 3 hr time zone, will be
playing on grass, and face an offense that can put up huge
numbers. Arizona lost in the two East coast games, but
things will be a lot better back in the desert.
This is a rare spot for the Cards. A wild stat has AZ 7-1
as favs vs a team that is off 3 wins. We can also note new
HC Wisenhuts perfect 5-0 ATS mark vs the AFC (4-1 ATS)
Another wild stat on the other side is the Bills 0-10 SU run
before their BYE ( 2-6-1 ATS)
We have one system that is 23-7 ATS, but one of the big
parameters is to play on a non-division home dog ...
with AZ laying just -1 , we'll go ahead and take the chance
with other nice factors in place.
Dallas OVER 44 ** TOP Play Inter Conf TOM **
vs Cincinnati 4:15 et
A few of out best totals systems at work.
Over system that came up just once all of last season in
just it's 3rd losing effort in 25 chances.
Over System that is 22-3 , 88% for 20+ NFL seasons.
Another Over system that came up just once all of last
season in it's first losing effort, after rattling off 14 Overs
in a row.
It got right back on track winning for us in Wk 3
...15-1 Over system thru 14 seasons....94%
This game looks like a big mismatch, and Dallas will
more than likely slack off on defense late in game.
ATS Football Lock Club
6 units on the Indianapolis Colts (-3) over the Houston Texans, 1:00
5 units on the Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over the Tennessee Titans, 1:00
5 units on the Seattle Seahawks (+7) over the New York Giants, 1:00
4 units on the San Fran 49'ers (+3 1/2) over the New England Patriots, 4:00
6 units on the Indianapolis Colts (-3) over the Houston Texans, 1:00
5 units on the Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over the Tennessee Titans, 1:00
5 units on the Seattle Seahawks (+7) over the New York Giants, 1:00
4 units on the San Fran 49'ers (+3 1/2) over the New England Patriots, 4:00
ATS Lock Club
6 units on the Indianapolis Colts (-3) over the Houston Texans, 1:00
5 units on the Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over the Tennessee Titans, 1:00
5 units on the Seattle Seahawks (+7) over the New York Giants, 1:00
4 units on the San Francisco 49'ers (+3 1/2) over the New England Patriots, 4:00
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6 units on the Indianapolis Colts (-3) over the Houston Texans, 1:00
5 units on the Baltimore Ravens (+2 1/2) over the Tennessee Titans, 1:00
5 units on the Seattle Seahawks (+7) over the New York Giants, 1:00
4 units on the San Francisco 49'ers (+3 1/2) over the New England Patriots, 4:00
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