Joe Gavazzi (Winning Sports Advice)
Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25 ET
Before you get enthralled with an MNF buy sign from the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 24 point outburst in the closing minutes of the 1st half that resulted in a hang-on-for your life (30-23) win against Houston, note that the Steelers were outrushed in that contest 132-76. It was also the first time the Texans had defeated any of their 1st seven opponents in the stats column. At 4-3 SU, this is hardly vintage Pittsburgh with a defense that allows 23 PPG, 4.4 YPR and 345 YPG. The fact they have alternated wins and losses the entire season speaks loudly against them in this game. Certainly no surprise that it is easy to love the Indy Colts! Last week, as my Top LTS play, the Colts ruled the Bengals (27-0), outrushing then 34/171 to 12/32 for an overall yardage edge of 506-135. Now, the Colts average 31 PPG on 451 YPG, best in the league, while averaging 32 carries per game for 122 YPG, while allowing an average of just 21 carries per game for 97 RYPG and a total of only 311 YPG, again best in the league. That has translated to a recent 5-0 SU ATS run for the Ponies, following opening game losses to Denver and Philly. In those 5 contests, they have outscored the opposition 165-75 and covered by 67 points. Lest you think they are only a dome team, note their recent outdoor record of 9-3 ATS. Must side with the best offense and best defense in the league on a big momentum run against the inconsistent Steelers, who have little to recommend!
Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25 ET
Before you get enthralled with an MNF buy sign from the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 24 point outburst in the closing minutes of the 1st half that resulted in a hang-on-for your life (30-23) win against Houston, note that the Steelers were outrushed in that contest 132-76. It was also the first time the Texans had defeated any of their 1st seven opponents in the stats column. At 4-3 SU, this is hardly vintage Pittsburgh with a defense that allows 23 PPG, 4.4 YPR and 345 YPG. The fact they have alternated wins and losses the entire season speaks loudly against them in this game. Certainly no surprise that it is easy to love the Indy Colts! Last week, as my Top LTS play, the Colts ruled the Bengals (27-0), outrushing then 34/171 to 12/32 for an overall yardage edge of 506-135. Now, the Colts average 31 PPG on 451 YPG, best in the league, while averaging 32 carries per game for 122 YPG, while allowing an average of just 21 carries per game for 97 RYPG and a total of only 311 YPG, again best in the league. That has translated to a recent 5-0 SU ATS run for the Ponies, following opening game losses to Denver and Philly. In those 5 contests, they have outscored the opposition 165-75 and covered by 67 points. Lest you think they are only a dome team, note their recent outdoor record of 9-3 ATS. Must side with the best offense and best defense in the league on a big momentum run against the inconsistent Steelers, who have little to recommend!
