B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* N F C TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Falcons/Cowboys UNDER 47.5(-105 at 5dimes)
The books are way off the mark with this one folks. They are expecting a high-scoring game, but what they fail to realize is that both of these defenses are actually carrying their teams this year, not the offense. Dallas has lost firepower now that T.O. is gone, and Atlanta isn't as spectacular offensively as most thought they'd be entering the season. Both teams are allowing less than 20 points on average this year, with the Falcons giving up 15.4 points/game and the Cowboys 19.6. Atlanta is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. The UNDER is 12-2-2 in Cowboys last 16 games following a bye week. The UNDER is 38-16-1 in Falcons last 55 road games overall. Take the UNDER 47.5 points here.
5* N F C TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Falcons/Cowboys UNDER 47.5(-105 at 5dimes)
The books are way off the mark with this one folks. They are expecting a high-scoring game, but what they fail to realize is that both of these defenses are actually carrying their teams this year, not the offense. Dallas has lost firepower now that T.O. is gone, and Atlanta isn't as spectacular offensively as most thought they'd be entering the season. Both teams are allowing less than 20 points on average this year, with the Falcons giving up 15.4 points/game and the Cowboys 19.6. Atlanta is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. The UNDER is 12-2-2 in Cowboys last 16 games following a bye week. The UNDER is 38-16-1 in Falcons last 55 road games overall. Take the UNDER 47.5 points here.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W id ow W ise guy NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at betus)
Off their first loss of the season, an embarrassing one to say the least, the New York Giants bounce back at home on NBC's Sunday Night Football this weekend. They let New Orleans put up 34 points in the first half and the rest was history in a 48-27 road loss last Sunday. The Giants failed to even show up, but there's no question New York will be extremely pissed off over the loss and come back against the Cardinals playing with an attitude and a chip on their shoulder. Arizona is coming off back-to-back wins, so they are riding high right now. But the Cardinals are about to get knocked off their pedestal by a better, more physical Giants' team Sunday. New York will hit 'em in the mouth early and often with the running game, and Eli Manning will be on top of his game with precision play-action passes. New York beat Arizona 37-29 on the road last year, doing whatever they wanted to offensively against this Cardinals' defense. New York is 2-0 at home this season, winning by 21.5 points/game. The Giants are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. The Giants are 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992. Arizona is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Giants are 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons, covering 88% of the time in this spot. This Giants' defense will force Kurt Warner into a couple interceptions Sunday as they get constant pressure on Arizona's immobile QB, not allowing him to survey the field. New York is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. They have the motivational edge in this one after their brutal loss to the Saints last week, and New York will respond like champions Sunday. Take the Giants and lay the points.
6* W id ow W ise guy NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at betus)
Off their first loss of the season, an embarrassing one to say the least, the New York Giants bounce back at home on NBC's Sunday Night Football this weekend. They let New Orleans put up 34 points in the first half and the rest was history in a 48-27 road loss last Sunday. The Giants failed to even show up, but there's no question New York will be extremely pissed off over the loss and come back against the Cardinals playing with an attitude and a chip on their shoulder. Arizona is coming off back-to-back wins, so they are riding high right now. But the Cardinals are about to get knocked off their pedestal by a better, more physical Giants' team Sunday. New York will hit 'em in the mouth early and often with the running game, and Eli Manning will be on top of his game with precision play-action passes. New York beat Arizona 37-29 on the road last year, doing whatever they wanted to offensively against this Cardinals' defense. New York is 2-0 at home this season, winning by 21.5 points/game. The Giants are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. The Giants are 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992. Arizona is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Giants are 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons, covering 88% of the time in this spot. This Giants' defense will force Kurt Warner into a couple interceptions Sunday as they get constant pressure on Arizona's immobile QB, not allowing him to survey the field. New York is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. They have the motivational edge in this one after their brutal loss to the Saints last week, and New York will respond like champions Sunday. Take the Giants and lay the points.
Chris Jordans picks for today...
Chris Jordan Sunday's winners ... He hit big play yesterday...
400♦ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Talk about teams at the opposite ends of the spectrum, this one shouldn't even be close by the time they head into the locker room at intermission.
Indianapolis is No. 1 in league passing offense (326 yards per game) and completion percentage (73.5), and much of that can be attributed to the protection Peyton Manning is receiving, as the Colts' offensive line have allowed an NFL-low-tying two sacks, just the same as the Falcons.
Now you put that offense into this matchup off a bye week, which was preceded by a trio of blowouts over the Cardinals (31-10), Seahawks (34-17), and Titans (31-9) and you ask one of the worst teams in the league to play keep up? I don't think so.
The Rams, who have now lost 16 straight dating back to last season, and who is 5-33 in its last 38 games dating back to 2007, rank last in NFL scoring offense with just 9.0 points per game and is still just one of three teams in the league without a rushing touchdown, along with the Bills and Chiefs.
And for as anemic as St. Louis has been on offense, I can't imagine what it'll look like off a well-rested defense that has allowed an NFL-low two touchdowns through the air and a league-low-tying six total touchdowns this season. Can you imagine if Indy's stop unit sees the return of star safety Bob Sanders?
It's really not going to be fair, as the Manning is en route to having one of his most successful seasons ever. He's dissected some of the better defenses in the league, not to mention some of the worst, and now he's going up against a defense that ranks 27th in in the league's passing defense category.
I realize we're not too far removed from this being a high-scoring affair, but today it'll be a miracle to see the Rams put any points on the board whatsoever.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Manning take a seat late in this one, once the Colts get up by 28 or more points.
100♦ OVER Cowboys/Falcons - While Dallas is hoping to emerge from its bye week with offensive intensity, it better be concerned with how the Falcons will counter today. They're off to a 4-1 start - the franchise's best record after five games since 2004 - and has one of the more explosive offensive units in the NFL.
Of course it all depends on Michael Turner, whose running antics set up Atlanta's passing game perfectly. Of course, even if he is lethargic, sophomore signal-caller Matt Ryan has been rock solid behind a stellar offensive line that has allowed a sack in four straight games. He is capable of setting up his dink-and-dunk passes for offensive-drive production, or can go vertical with speddy wideout Roddy White.
I do believe the Cowboys will dictate the pace in this one, however, as the Cowboys have won both of their games after a bye in the team's first two seasons under Wade Phillips. And since Dallas has tallied the second-most yards in the NFL this season, I believe we're going to see the Pokes come out swinging today. Felix Jones and Marion Barber are back to provide the 'Boys with full strength attack on the ground, and it appears Tony Romo has found his new favorite target in Miles Austin.
Look for both offensive units to be on blast today, as this total will soar.
Chris Jordan Sunday's winners ... He hit big play yesterday...
400♦ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Talk about teams at the opposite ends of the spectrum, this one shouldn't even be close by the time they head into the locker room at intermission.
Indianapolis is No. 1 in league passing offense (326 yards per game) and completion percentage (73.5), and much of that can be attributed to the protection Peyton Manning is receiving, as the Colts' offensive line have allowed an NFL-low-tying two sacks, just the same as the Falcons.
Now you put that offense into this matchup off a bye week, which was preceded by a trio of blowouts over the Cardinals (31-10), Seahawks (34-17), and Titans (31-9) and you ask one of the worst teams in the league to play keep up? I don't think so.
The Rams, who have now lost 16 straight dating back to last season, and who is 5-33 in its last 38 games dating back to 2007, rank last in NFL scoring offense with just 9.0 points per game and is still just one of three teams in the league without a rushing touchdown, along with the Bills and Chiefs.
And for as anemic as St. Louis has been on offense, I can't imagine what it'll look like off a well-rested defense that has allowed an NFL-low two touchdowns through the air and a league-low-tying six total touchdowns this season. Can you imagine if Indy's stop unit sees the return of star safety Bob Sanders?
It's really not going to be fair, as the Manning is en route to having one of his most successful seasons ever. He's dissected some of the better defenses in the league, not to mention some of the worst, and now he's going up against a defense that ranks 27th in in the league's passing defense category.
I realize we're not too far removed from this being a high-scoring affair, but today it'll be a miracle to see the Rams put any points on the board whatsoever.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Manning take a seat late in this one, once the Colts get up by 28 or more points.
100♦ OVER Cowboys/Falcons - While Dallas is hoping to emerge from its bye week with offensive intensity, it better be concerned with how the Falcons will counter today. They're off to a 4-1 start - the franchise's best record after five games since 2004 - and has one of the more explosive offensive units in the NFL.
Of course it all depends on Michael Turner, whose running antics set up Atlanta's passing game perfectly. Of course, even if he is lethargic, sophomore signal-caller Matt Ryan has been rock solid behind a stellar offensive line that has allowed a sack in four straight games. He is capable of setting up his dink-and-dunk passes for offensive-drive production, or can go vertical with speddy wideout Roddy White.
I do believe the Cowboys will dictate the pace in this one, however, as the Cowboys have won both of their games after a bye in the team's first two seasons under Wade Phillips. And since Dallas has tallied the second-most yards in the NFL this season, I believe we're going to see the Pokes come out swinging today. Felix Jones and Marion Barber are back to provide the 'Boys with full strength attack on the ground, and it appears Tony Romo has found his new favorite target in Miles Austin.
Look for both offensive units to be on blast today, as this total will soar.
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
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NFL FOOTBALL LATE STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR
436 NY Giants -7 8:20 EST
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Everything is FUNNY when your making MONEY! We are making the GREEN as we are on a 46-20 run and the Boys are right back at it with another PERFECT WINNER in the NFL! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our team an 88% chance of covering for us! Get our NFL FOOTBALL LATE STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR for just $35 GUARANTEED! 10/23/2009
NFL FOOTBALL LATE STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR
436 NY Giants -7 8:20 EST
Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
$45.00 Guaranteed: Matt had a WINNING NFL Week 6 as he went a SOLID 4-2 ATS (66.7%) with his Premium Reports! He has shown a profit in each of the last three weeks and four of the last five while bringing home +34.9 Units over that stretch! He is releasing a HUGE 10* DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday and his 10* Plays are a NEAR PERFECT 6-1 ATS! The streak is extended in a big way! Guaranteed!
10* San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
$45.00 Guaranteed: Matt had a WINNING NFL Week 6 as he went a SOLID 4-2 ATS (66.7%) with his Premium Reports! He has shown a profit in each of the last three weeks and four of the last five while bringing home +34.9 Units over that stretch! He is releasing a HUGE 10* DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday and his 10* Plays are a NEAR PERFECT 6-1 ATS! The streak is extended in a big way! Guaranteed!
10* San Diego Chargers
Lang
Sunday's Selections ...
NOTE:
They flat out dominated Maryland.
Only once did Maryland drive the field all game, and even then they settled for a field goal. Their next field goal was set up by a Duke interception. Their only touchdown was on a 3rd and 18 screen pass from their own 33 that went for 67 yards for a touchdown.
Duke fumbled at the Maryland 30, going in for at least 3 points and lastly, how about a fumble at the Maryland 1 yard line to start the 4th quarter and for all intents and purposes, a push instead of a win.
So I move on to today and my 3rd straight 50 dime winner in the NFL. That is how good my 50 dime run has been in the NFL.
Not a bad 4-1-1 run with 50 dime releases. Not bad at all, but let's be honest with one another here, 5-1-1 is a whole lot better.
So let's get to it.
50 DIME - OAKLAND RAIDERS - Wouldn't suprise me if the Raiders knocked off the Jets exactly the way they did the Eagles.
Let's see, off a divisional home loss in OT, to traveling 3 time zones to the west coast, with a rookie QB who confidence is already shaky, facing an improving Oakland team without all pro nose guard Kris *******.
And the linesmaker sees fit to ask the Jets to cover a near touchdown?
Folks, this may sound really simple but if you can beat the Philadelphia Eagles and their offense at home, you can beat the Jets and a rookie QB as well. It really is simple as that.
I like the way this Raiders defense matches up with the Jets offense. Forget about the Raiders offense. That isn't the matchup that will determine this football game. It will be the Jets offense with young Mr. Sanchez at the helm versus the Raiders defense.
Folks, they made Donovan McNabb look very average. Very average. In fact they made the whole Eagles team look average and that was an Eagles team playing arguably their best ball of the year.
Now they get a Jets team playing perhaps their worst ball of the year and the bottom line is this as bad a situation the Jets could be possiby coming into. Simple as that.
For head coach Rex Ryan the honeymoon is over and the reality is setting in that I just don't have that good a football team.
My 50 dimer is the Raiders and I wouldn't be suprised to see the Raiders do exactly to the Jets what they did to the Eagles and that is win the game outright.
50 dime Raiders
15 DIME, 3-TEAM - 10-POINT TEASER - Going to have some fun today taking 10 points away from the Colts, Patriots and Steelers to prevent any crazy backdoor madness that may occur.
Let's start with the Colts coming off their bye week ready to just shred this Rams team much the way everyone else has. The Colts have put up over 30 points in their last 3 games and have beaten the Arizona Cardinals by 21 on the road and the Titans by 22 on the road.
There is nothing that leads me to believe they won't manhandle this Rams team by at least 17 points or more today.
All Colts teased down.
Same goes for the Patriots. They are getting a terrible Bucs team led by their head coach who resembles Gary Coleman from Different Strokes more so than a head coach in the NFL. Only difference is Mr. Drummond is nowhere in sight to help him.
I had New England 59-0 last week as a 15 dime winner, and I was impressed with how well their offense looked in the snow. For my dollar, Tom Brady and the Patriots are back.
Tease the Patriots down.
I don't see Bill Belichick taking this game lightly at all. He will do exactly what he did last week and that is win and win big. He wants his offense in rhythm, and his defense to get it going as well. I can't see how the Patriots don't win this game by 17 or more.
All Patriots teased down.
The Steelers are facing a Vikings team that has faced the Lions, Browns and Rams on the road. They should have lost to the Ravens and Niners at home, and maybe the Packers if not for 2 critical turnovers by Aaron Rodgers inside the Minnesota 20.
I see the Vikings as a 4-2 team or maybe even a 3-3 team, and when the smoke clears today, the Steelers will bring the Vikings down to earth. Simple as that. They are ripe to go down and with Winfield out for the Vikes, Big Ben will take advantage all day long.
All Steelers teased to get points.
10 DIME - CHICAGO BEARS - They are a very small dog here today but as of this writing the line is +1.
Fact of the matter is, I just don't think the this Bengals team is as good as everyone is making them out to be.
They are off 3 very emotional games with the Steelers, Ravens and Texans and now get a hungry Bears team off a tough loss to the Falcons.
Jay Cutler is looking much better running this Bears offense and as each week goes by the Bears offense is getting that much better.
Lastly, the underdog in every single Bengals game this year has covered the number and I have no problem grabbing this small dog to get it done once again.
Bears are 10 dime dog #1 today.
10 DIME - ATLANTA FALCONS -I don't care if the Cowboys are off a bye week, they are just not a good enough football team to be laying more than a field goal versus a team the caliber of the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons just seem to continue to find ways to win football games, and I love the way they match up across the board with this Dallas bunch.
This game will come down to which QB will be able to make plays, consistent plays and my money is on Matt Ryan.
I love the way this kid has been playing but more importantly, like the way they are calling the plays for him.
This is a game that will go down to the wire and getting 4 points is without question the way to go. I will force this Cowboy team to play 60 minutes of perfect football to cover this number.
For the most part they haven't been able to do this with any consistency and that has been their problem under Wade Phillips.
I am going to war with the Falcons plus some really nice points this afternoon in Big D.
10 DIME - MIAMI DOLPHINS - This game reminds me of the Super Bowl between the Giants and the Bills. You remember that one don't you? Norwood miss.
Funny thing is, you remember what the line was for that game? Yup, Bills -6 1/2. Hmmmm.
You remember the head coach for the Giants? Yup, Parcells, now the GM of the Dolphins.
The key to that game was time of possession. The Giants kept Jim Kelly on the sidelines holding the ball for 39 minutes and it was the key to the victory for Bill Parcells and his Giants.
Trust me, with a bye week to help his head coach prepare for this Saints offense and the gameplan will be exactly as it was against Peyton Manning and the Colts. Keep Brees sitting on the sidelines.
Give the Saints credit they are winning impressively but really against who? Nobody who will attack you in the manner in which the Dolphins will.
In my opinion the best team in the NFL is the Colts, and Miami took them to the wire, which is exactly what I feel they will do here.
And the cherry on top of the Sunday is they catch the Saints in the ultimate flat spot off the big win over the Giants.
Wouldn't suprise me if the Dolphins shocked the world and won this game outright.
10 DIME - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - The San Diego Chargers shouldn't be laying points against anybody right now. Simple as that. They are as poorly coached as any team in the NFL.
Their offensive line is in shambles and coming off the home loss to Denver, a game they had 2 weeks to prepare for, well let's just say they are in for a long afternoon versus the Chiefs.
Kansas City just keeps getting better each week under head coach Todd Haley, who I feel will coach circles around Norv Turner today.
I used the Chiefs as a dog over the Cowboys and they didn't let me down, and I feel today they are a very live dog versus a Chargers team that just can't seem to find themselves.
Chiefs played the Chargers very tough last year losing both games by a single point and have actually covered 5 of the last 7 meetings, and 3 of the last 4 at home.
You throw in a 1-4 road chalk run for the Chargers and this adds up to another Chiefs home cover and possible outright upset.
All over Kansas City again today.
FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA CARDINALS
Sunday's Selections ...
NOTE:
They flat out dominated Maryland.
Only once did Maryland drive the field all game, and even then they settled for a field goal. Their next field goal was set up by a Duke interception. Their only touchdown was on a 3rd and 18 screen pass from their own 33 that went for 67 yards for a touchdown.
Duke fumbled at the Maryland 30, going in for at least 3 points and lastly, how about a fumble at the Maryland 1 yard line to start the 4th quarter and for all intents and purposes, a push instead of a win.
So I move on to today and my 3rd straight 50 dime winner in the NFL. That is how good my 50 dime run has been in the NFL.
Not a bad 4-1-1 run with 50 dime releases. Not bad at all, but let's be honest with one another here, 5-1-1 is a whole lot better.
So let's get to it.
50 DIME - OAKLAND RAIDERS - Wouldn't suprise me if the Raiders knocked off the Jets exactly the way they did the Eagles.
Let's see, off a divisional home loss in OT, to traveling 3 time zones to the west coast, with a rookie QB who confidence is already shaky, facing an improving Oakland team without all pro nose guard Kris *******.
And the linesmaker sees fit to ask the Jets to cover a near touchdown?
Folks, this may sound really simple but if you can beat the Philadelphia Eagles and their offense at home, you can beat the Jets and a rookie QB as well. It really is simple as that.
I like the way this Raiders defense matches up with the Jets offense. Forget about the Raiders offense. That isn't the matchup that will determine this football game. It will be the Jets offense with young Mr. Sanchez at the helm versus the Raiders defense.
Folks, they made Donovan McNabb look very average. Very average. In fact they made the whole Eagles team look average and that was an Eagles team playing arguably their best ball of the year.
Now they get a Jets team playing perhaps their worst ball of the year and the bottom line is this as bad a situation the Jets could be possiby coming into. Simple as that.
For head coach Rex Ryan the honeymoon is over and the reality is setting in that I just don't have that good a football team.
My 50 dimer is the Raiders and I wouldn't be suprised to see the Raiders do exactly to the Jets what they did to the Eagles and that is win the game outright.
50 dime Raiders
15 DIME, 3-TEAM - 10-POINT TEASER - Going to have some fun today taking 10 points away from the Colts, Patriots and Steelers to prevent any crazy backdoor madness that may occur.
Let's start with the Colts coming off their bye week ready to just shred this Rams team much the way everyone else has. The Colts have put up over 30 points in their last 3 games and have beaten the Arizona Cardinals by 21 on the road and the Titans by 22 on the road.
There is nothing that leads me to believe they won't manhandle this Rams team by at least 17 points or more today.
All Colts teased down.
Same goes for the Patriots. They are getting a terrible Bucs team led by their head coach who resembles Gary Coleman from Different Strokes more so than a head coach in the NFL. Only difference is Mr. Drummond is nowhere in sight to help him.
I had New England 59-0 last week as a 15 dime winner, and I was impressed with how well their offense looked in the snow. For my dollar, Tom Brady and the Patriots are back.
Tease the Patriots down.
I don't see Bill Belichick taking this game lightly at all. He will do exactly what he did last week and that is win and win big. He wants his offense in rhythm, and his defense to get it going as well. I can't see how the Patriots don't win this game by 17 or more.
All Patriots teased down.
The Steelers are facing a Vikings team that has faced the Lions, Browns and Rams on the road. They should have lost to the Ravens and Niners at home, and maybe the Packers if not for 2 critical turnovers by Aaron Rodgers inside the Minnesota 20.
I see the Vikings as a 4-2 team or maybe even a 3-3 team, and when the smoke clears today, the Steelers will bring the Vikings down to earth. Simple as that. They are ripe to go down and with Winfield out for the Vikes, Big Ben will take advantage all day long.
All Steelers teased to get points.
10 DIME - CHICAGO BEARS - They are a very small dog here today but as of this writing the line is +1.
Fact of the matter is, I just don't think the this Bengals team is as good as everyone is making them out to be.
They are off 3 very emotional games with the Steelers, Ravens and Texans and now get a hungry Bears team off a tough loss to the Falcons.
Jay Cutler is looking much better running this Bears offense and as each week goes by the Bears offense is getting that much better.
Lastly, the underdog in every single Bengals game this year has covered the number and I have no problem grabbing this small dog to get it done once again.
Bears are 10 dime dog #1 today.
10 DIME - ATLANTA FALCONS -I don't care if the Cowboys are off a bye week, they are just not a good enough football team to be laying more than a field goal versus a team the caliber of the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons just seem to continue to find ways to win football games, and I love the way they match up across the board with this Dallas bunch.
This game will come down to which QB will be able to make plays, consistent plays and my money is on Matt Ryan.
I love the way this kid has been playing but more importantly, like the way they are calling the plays for him.
This is a game that will go down to the wire and getting 4 points is without question the way to go. I will force this Cowboy team to play 60 minutes of perfect football to cover this number.
For the most part they haven't been able to do this with any consistency and that has been their problem under Wade Phillips.
I am going to war with the Falcons plus some really nice points this afternoon in Big D.
10 DIME - MIAMI DOLPHINS - This game reminds me of the Super Bowl between the Giants and the Bills. You remember that one don't you? Norwood miss.
Funny thing is, you remember what the line was for that game? Yup, Bills -6 1/2. Hmmmm.
You remember the head coach for the Giants? Yup, Parcells, now the GM of the Dolphins.
The key to that game was time of possession. The Giants kept Jim Kelly on the sidelines holding the ball for 39 minutes and it was the key to the victory for Bill Parcells and his Giants.
Trust me, with a bye week to help his head coach prepare for this Saints offense and the gameplan will be exactly as it was against Peyton Manning and the Colts. Keep Brees sitting on the sidelines.
Give the Saints credit they are winning impressively but really against who? Nobody who will attack you in the manner in which the Dolphins will.
In my opinion the best team in the NFL is the Colts, and Miami took them to the wire, which is exactly what I feel they will do here.
And the cherry on top of the Sunday is they catch the Saints in the ultimate flat spot off the big win over the Giants.
Wouldn't suprise me if the Dolphins shocked the world and won this game outright.
10 DIME - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - The San Diego Chargers shouldn't be laying points against anybody right now. Simple as that. They are as poorly coached as any team in the NFL.
Their offensive line is in shambles and coming off the home loss to Denver, a game they had 2 weeks to prepare for, well let's just say they are in for a long afternoon versus the Chiefs.
Kansas City just keeps getting better each week under head coach Todd Haley, who I feel will coach circles around Norv Turner today.
I used the Chiefs as a dog over the Cowboys and they didn't let me down, and I feel today they are a very live dog versus a Chargers team that just can't seem to find themselves.
Chiefs played the Chargers very tough last year losing both games by a single point and have actually covered 5 of the last 7 meetings, and 3 of the last 4 at home.
You throw in a 1-4 road chalk run for the Chargers and this adds up to another Chiefs home cover and possible outright upset.
All over Kansas City again today.
FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA CARDINALS
maddux sports
#413 - NFL - 3 units on San Diego -4.5
#417 - NFL - 4 units on Chicago & Cincinnati Over 42.5
#427 - NFL - 3 units on NY Jets -6
#434 - NFL - 5 units on Dallas -4
#436 - NFL - 3 units on NY Giants -
Play with caution, they are down a lot for the yr so far, cant even remember the last time they hit their 5 unit plays, watch them win today after this post.
#413 - NFL - 3 units on San Diego -4.5
#417 - NFL - 4 units on Chicago & Cincinnati Over 42.5
#427 - NFL - 3 units on NY Jets -6
#434 - NFL - 5 units on Dallas -4
#436 - NFL - 3 units on NY Giants -
Play with caution, they are down a lot for the yr so far, cant even remember the last time they hit their 5 unit plays, watch them win today after this post.
Last edited by a moderator:
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we are releasing our ONE AND ONLY NFL BLOWOUT BOMB! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will be a winner or you will not be charged! We were 39-14 last year with our NFL CRUSHER SELECTIONS and 23-12 two years ago for a total of 62-26 in the NFL the past two years! If you NEED ONE BIG GAME...LOOK NO FURTHER!!! 10/25/2009
ONE AND ONLY NFL BLOWOUT BOMB
417 Chicago -1 4:15 EST
Date: Sunday, October 25, 2009
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Dominic Fazzini
Sunday's plays
30 Dime -- GIANTS (minus points vs. Cardinals)
10 Dime -- Colts (minus points vs. RAMS)
GIANTS
Let me start by saying this: The Cardinals suck playing in the Meadowlands.
Arizona has played at Giants Stadium against both the Giants and Jets 17 times since moving to Phoenix in 1988, and it has won there just twice, and the last time was in 1999.
The Cardinals' running game is horrendous, averaging just 57.6 yards per game, and that doesn't bode well for the health of quarterback Kurt Warner.
The Giants were unable to sack Saints quarterback Drew Brees last week in New Orleans' 48-27 victory last week after getting 15 in starting 5-0. But with Arizona's inability to balance things out on offense, New York is going to pin its ears back in an effort to keep constant pressure on Warner, who has a propensity to fumble the ball on occasion when harrassed.
The Giants' running game, which ranks fifth in the league with 147.7 yards per game, should help keep Arizona's offense off the field, and New York QB Eli Manning should be able to move the ball against the Cards' pass defense. The Giants average nearly 30 points per game, and they might surpass that total tonight.
Arizona went 0-5 on the East Coast last year during the regular season, and the Giants are going to be determined to bounce back with a big victory after getting embarassed by the Saints last week. Take New York to win by double digits tonight.
COLTS
The Rams might be the worst team in football, and now they get to play an undefeated Colts team that is coming off a bye week. That's not a good situation for St. Louis to be in today.
Peyton Manning is having perhaps the best season of his career, as hard as that is to believe, completing 73.5 percent of his passes for 1,645 yards and 12 touchdowns with just four interceptions.
And now he gets to tee off against a St. Louis defense that is allowing 252 yards through the air per game, ranking 27th in the NFL.
The Rams are averaging a league-worst nine points per game, and although they should be slightly better with Marc Bulger back at quarterback, they have nowhere near the firepower to stay close to Indianapolis.
To make things even worse for St. Louis, Colts safety Bob Sanders might return to the lineup today, and cornerback Kelvin Hayden should be back after missing three games with a hamstring injury.
The Rams have lost 16 straight games, and they could get demoralized early facing the quick-strike attack of Manning and Co. And Indianapolis is 4-0 straight up and ATS after a bye.
The Colts also are 4-0 ATS overall, 4-0 against losing teams, 6-1-1 on the road, 9-2 in October and 12-4 on the road vs. NFC opponents. St. Louis, meanwhile, is 8-17 ATS overall, 3-9 at home and 3-12 as a home underdog. Take Indianapolis to win by more than 20 points today.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
Sunday's plays
30 Dime -- GIANTS (minus points vs. Cardinals)
10 Dime -- Colts (minus points vs. RAMS)
GIANTS
Let me start by saying this: The Cardinals suck playing in the Meadowlands.
Arizona has played at Giants Stadium against both the Giants and Jets 17 times since moving to Phoenix in 1988, and it has won there just twice, and the last time was in 1999.
The Cardinals' running game is horrendous, averaging just 57.6 yards per game, and that doesn't bode well for the health of quarterback Kurt Warner.
The Giants were unable to sack Saints quarterback Drew Brees last week in New Orleans' 48-27 victory last week after getting 15 in starting 5-0. But with Arizona's inability to balance things out on offense, New York is going to pin its ears back in an effort to keep constant pressure on Warner, who has a propensity to fumble the ball on occasion when harrassed.
The Giants' running game, which ranks fifth in the league with 147.7 yards per game, should help keep Arizona's offense off the field, and New York QB Eli Manning should be able to move the ball against the Cards' pass defense. The Giants average nearly 30 points per game, and they might surpass that total tonight.
Arizona went 0-5 on the East Coast last year during the regular season, and the Giants are going to be determined to bounce back with a big victory after getting embarassed by the Saints last week. Take New York to win by double digits tonight.
COLTS
The Rams might be the worst team in football, and now they get to play an undefeated Colts team that is coming off a bye week. That's not a good situation for St. Louis to be in today.
Peyton Manning is having perhaps the best season of his career, as hard as that is to believe, completing 73.5 percent of his passes for 1,645 yards and 12 touchdowns with just four interceptions.
And now he gets to tee off against a St. Louis defense that is allowing 252 yards through the air per game, ranking 27th in the NFL.
The Rams are averaging a league-worst nine points per game, and although they should be slightly better with Marc Bulger back at quarterback, they have nowhere near the firepower to stay close to Indianapolis.
To make things even worse for St. Louis, Colts safety Bob Sanders might return to the lineup today, and cornerback Kelvin Hayden should be back after missing three games with a hamstring injury.
The Rams have lost 16 straight games, and they could get demoralized early facing the quick-strike attack of Manning and Co. And Indianapolis is 4-0 straight up and ATS after a bye.
The Colts also are 4-0 ATS overall, 4-0 against losing teams, 6-1-1 on the road, 9-2 in October and 12-4 on the road vs. NFC opponents. St. Louis, meanwhile, is 8-17 ATS overall, 3-9 at home and 3-12 as a home underdog. Take Indianapolis to win by more than 20 points today.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
Jeff Benton
Sunday's NFL winners ...
30 Dime: DOLPHINS (plus the points vs. Saints) ... NOTE: As expected, the public is hammering New Orleans and driving this number up to 7 in some spots. So make sure you grab Miami at +7. If you absolutely can't, buy the half-point to take 6 1/2 to 7. ... Even though I think Miami will win this game outright or at least stay comfortably within the pointspread, we do NOT want to get beat by the hook if the Saints do win by 7.
15 Dime: COLTS (in the FIRST HALF vs. Rams) ... NOTE: This is a play on the Colts in the FIRST-HALF ONLY. That means you're looking at Indianapolis minus-7 or minus-7 1/2.
Dolphins
Dome team on the road + quality opponent coming off a bye + unorthodox offense + legitimate letdown situation + public darling status = trouble for the best team in football.
Confused? I’ll make sense of it for you. Just know that the New Orleans Saints are in for a dogfight today in Miami. In fact, I actually believe this is the week the Saints go down.
Let’s take point #1: The Saints are a team built for the controlled comforts of their Superdome. It’s a fact. Yes, New Orleans won its two road games this year by 26 and 20 points. But the first was against the Donovan McNabb-less Eagles (the same Eagles who just lost at the Raiders), and playing in Philadelphia in mid-September is a lot different than late October. The second was a 27-7 win at Buffalo the very next week, but when you look inside the boxscore of that game you’ll see that was a 10-7 game into the fourth quarter. Drew Brees struggled (16-for-29, 172 yards, no TDs) against a really bad Buffalo defense, and if not for a big rushing day (222 yards) that allowed New Orleans to pull away late, that would’ve been a nail-biter to the finish. Again, the freakin’ BILLS were within three points of the Saints 50 minutes into that game!
Point #2: The Dolphins have proven the last two weeks they’re not a pushover. After three straight losses to start the season – including near-misses to the Colts (27-23 home loss) and Chargers (23-13 road loss, with San Diego getting seven of its points on a pick-six) – Miami has bounced back with two extremely impressive divisional home wins over the Bills (38-10) and then-undefeated Jets (31-27) on Monday night two weeks ago. Chad Henne (20-for-26, 241 yards, two TDs, no INTs) came of age in that game against New York, and RB Ronnie Brown and the Dolphins’ Wildcat formation ripped through a stout Jets defense. Which brings me to …
Point #3: The Wildcat is not a fad, folks. That’s proven by the fact that the Dolphins lead the NFL in rushing at 177 yards per game, they’re fifth in the league at 4.8 yards per carry and – perhaps most impressively – despite an NFL-high 36.6 rushing attempts per game, many of those crazy misdirection moves out of the Wildcat, the Dolphins have fumbled just once all season (it was a costly one, too, as a simple missed handoff from QB Chad Pennington to Brown on a straight-ahead run at the goal line in San Diego prevented Miami from taking an early 7-0 lead in a game it would eventually lose). Simply put, I just do not believe that the Saints’ defense, much-improved as it is, is going to be able to stop the Dolphins’ rushing attack, not with one week to prepare and not when coming off such a huge win last week over New York. And that brings me to …
Point #4: Last week, New Orleans came out of its bye and thoroughly crushed an outstanding Giants team, winning 48-27 – and the game wasn’t even that close. I backed New York with a 15 Dime play in that game and was dead-freakin’-wrong, plain and simple. But the Saints put two weeks of preparation into that contest, they were playing in front of a frenzied home crowd and they were catching a cocky Giants team that had fattened up on the Bucs, Chiefs and Raiders in consecutive weeks. That leaves New Orleans primed for a letdown today, especially having to go on the road for a ho-hum, who-cares, non-conference matchup. Also, the shoe is on the other foot for the Saints today, as the Dolphins are the team coming off a bye and they’re the team playing at home where they’re 2-1 SU and ATS – and the only loss was that 27-23 Monday Night setback to the Colts, whom Miami dominated in every way but on the scoreboard. And we know Indianapolis is good – very, very good, and very much the equal of the Saints … the wildly popular Saints, which leads me to …
Point #5: Everyone’s in love with New Orleans right now – and I mean EVERYONE. That’s easy to understand, seeing that they’re 5-0 SU and ATS, they won all five of those games by two touchdowns or more and they’re coming off that incredibly impressive rout of the Giants. But we all know that the NFL is an ebb-and-flow league – that’s what makes it the most difficult sport to handicap. As good as the Saints have looked this year, they’re not going 16-0 SU and they’re not going 16-0 ATS. They’re going to face adversity (like they did against at Buffalo in Week 2 and, to a lesser extent, against the Jets two games ago). And as I’ve detailed above, this is THE perfect spot for New Orleans to stumble.
This much we know for a fact: Because the Saints have become betting darlings, this pointspread is wildly inflated. It has to be when a team has covered in all five of its games, 15 of its last 21 since last year and is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. But don’t forget that back in Week 2, Peyton Manning and the Colts went to South Beach to face a Dolphins team coming off an ugly 19-7 season-opening loss at Atlanta … and Indy was only favored by a field goal. Yep, the Colts were three-point favorites in Miami; New Orleans is 6½-point favorites. See what I mean by inflated?
Bottom line: With two weeks to get ready, I expect the Dolphins’ defense to throw some confusing looks at Brees and wouldn’t be surprised if New Orleans’ All-Pro QB had an outing similar to ones he had against Buffalo (172 yards, no TDs) and the Jets (190 yards, no TDs). At the same time, the bye week afforded Miami extra time to open more of the playbook to Henne and add new wrinkles to the Wildcat – don’t be surprised to see more of rookie Pat White, who can actually throw the football out of the formation.
In the end, I smell an outright upset, something in the 24-21 range. But if the oddsmakers are going to be THIS generous with this spread, we’ll accept their generosity and grab the points with Miami, which is 4-1-1 ATS following a bye the last six years and 6-1 ATS in its last seven in October.
Colts (in the first half ONLY)
First, let me explain why I’m not laying the full two touchdowns with Indianapolis in St. Louis today: I don’t believe Peyton Manning is going to play this entire game, and if he does, I doubt he’s going to be throwing with what I believe will be a huge second-half lead. Beyond that, it’s hard – REALLY hard – to cover two touchdowns on the road in the NFL. Just ask the Eagles, who lost outright at Oakland last week as a 14-point chalk. And the Colts have struggled as a big chalk in recent years, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite of more than 10 points.
In the first half of this contest, though, the Colts offer a ton of value. For one thing, look at how they’ve jumped on their last three opponents: On Sept. 27 on a Sunday night in Arizona, Manning tossed three second-quarter TD strikes in a span of 3 minutes, 15 seconds and Indy took a 21-3 lead into halftime. The following week against the Matt Hasselbeck-less Seahawks, Indy once again jumped out 21-3 at the break, with two of the scores coming courtesy of Manning’s golden arm. Finally, two weeks ago on a Sunday night in Tennessee, Manning again tossed two first-half scoring passes and Indy held a 21-9 halftime advantage.
Now, let’s just assume that the Colts once again “only” find the end zone three times in the first 30 minutes today at St. Louis. If that happens, they’re easily covering the first-half number, because the Rams’ offense is atrocious. Don’t be fooled by that 23-20 overtime loss at Jacksonville last week – the Jaguars stink, especially on defense (they gave up 41 points the previous week at Seattle). Prior to that 20-point effort, the Rams had scored 0, 7, 17, 0 and 10 points in their first five games – we’re not talking about first-half point outputs, either. Those were the Rams’ point totals for the entirety of those games. This should put it in perspective. The Colts have scored 21 points in each of their last three first halves – so 63 points in all. St. Louis has scored 54 points ALL SEASON LONG – we’re talking all six games, including last week’s 20-point effort at Jacksonville.
Here are the Rams’ first-half point totals this year: 0 (at Seattle), 7 (at Washington), 14 (vs. Green Bay), 0 (at San Francisco), 3 (vs. Minnesota) and 10 (at Jacksonville). And only twice (at Washington and at Jacksonville, two of the worst teams in the league) has St. Louis covered a first-half number.
It’s not just the offense, either. St. Louis has given up 23, 38, 35, 36 and 28 points in five of its six games (only team that couldn’t score against the Rams was the Redskins – enough said!) That Rams defense has been torched for an average of 252 passing yards and 132.5 rushing yards (so 384.5 total yards) per game!
Honestly, guys, the only potential hiccup I see in winning this play is the fact Indy is coming off a bye and thus could be sluggish out of the gate. And I’ll admit that would be a big concern of mine … if this was just about any other team but the Colts, who have the best quarterback in football leading an offense that he could guide to the end zone blindfolded. Also, Manning is one of a bunch of veterans on the Colts’ roster who know how to get their engine revved up following a bye. So lay the first-half points with confidence and don’t be surprised if they barely break a sweat in taking a 24-point lead into the locker room against the pathetic Rams.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
Sunday's NFL winners ...
30 Dime: DOLPHINS (plus the points vs. Saints) ... NOTE: As expected, the public is hammering New Orleans and driving this number up to 7 in some spots. So make sure you grab Miami at +7. If you absolutely can't, buy the half-point to take 6 1/2 to 7. ... Even though I think Miami will win this game outright or at least stay comfortably within the pointspread, we do NOT want to get beat by the hook if the Saints do win by 7.
15 Dime: COLTS (in the FIRST HALF vs. Rams) ... NOTE: This is a play on the Colts in the FIRST-HALF ONLY. That means you're looking at Indianapolis minus-7 or minus-7 1/2.
Dolphins
Dome team on the road + quality opponent coming off a bye + unorthodox offense + legitimate letdown situation + public darling status = trouble for the best team in football.
Confused? I’ll make sense of it for you. Just know that the New Orleans Saints are in for a dogfight today in Miami. In fact, I actually believe this is the week the Saints go down.
Let’s take point #1: The Saints are a team built for the controlled comforts of their Superdome. It’s a fact. Yes, New Orleans won its two road games this year by 26 and 20 points. But the first was against the Donovan McNabb-less Eagles (the same Eagles who just lost at the Raiders), and playing in Philadelphia in mid-September is a lot different than late October. The second was a 27-7 win at Buffalo the very next week, but when you look inside the boxscore of that game you’ll see that was a 10-7 game into the fourth quarter. Drew Brees struggled (16-for-29, 172 yards, no TDs) against a really bad Buffalo defense, and if not for a big rushing day (222 yards) that allowed New Orleans to pull away late, that would’ve been a nail-biter to the finish. Again, the freakin’ BILLS were within three points of the Saints 50 minutes into that game!
Point #2: The Dolphins have proven the last two weeks they’re not a pushover. After three straight losses to start the season – including near-misses to the Colts (27-23 home loss) and Chargers (23-13 road loss, with San Diego getting seven of its points on a pick-six) – Miami has bounced back with two extremely impressive divisional home wins over the Bills (38-10) and then-undefeated Jets (31-27) on Monday night two weeks ago. Chad Henne (20-for-26, 241 yards, two TDs, no INTs) came of age in that game against New York, and RB Ronnie Brown and the Dolphins’ Wildcat formation ripped through a stout Jets defense. Which brings me to …
Point #3: The Wildcat is not a fad, folks. That’s proven by the fact that the Dolphins lead the NFL in rushing at 177 yards per game, they’re fifth in the league at 4.8 yards per carry and – perhaps most impressively – despite an NFL-high 36.6 rushing attempts per game, many of those crazy misdirection moves out of the Wildcat, the Dolphins have fumbled just once all season (it was a costly one, too, as a simple missed handoff from QB Chad Pennington to Brown on a straight-ahead run at the goal line in San Diego prevented Miami from taking an early 7-0 lead in a game it would eventually lose). Simply put, I just do not believe that the Saints’ defense, much-improved as it is, is going to be able to stop the Dolphins’ rushing attack, not with one week to prepare and not when coming off such a huge win last week over New York. And that brings me to …
Point #4: Last week, New Orleans came out of its bye and thoroughly crushed an outstanding Giants team, winning 48-27 – and the game wasn’t even that close. I backed New York with a 15 Dime play in that game and was dead-freakin’-wrong, plain and simple. But the Saints put two weeks of preparation into that contest, they were playing in front of a frenzied home crowd and they were catching a cocky Giants team that had fattened up on the Bucs, Chiefs and Raiders in consecutive weeks. That leaves New Orleans primed for a letdown today, especially having to go on the road for a ho-hum, who-cares, non-conference matchup. Also, the shoe is on the other foot for the Saints today, as the Dolphins are the team coming off a bye and they’re the team playing at home where they’re 2-1 SU and ATS – and the only loss was that 27-23 Monday Night setback to the Colts, whom Miami dominated in every way but on the scoreboard. And we know Indianapolis is good – very, very good, and very much the equal of the Saints … the wildly popular Saints, which leads me to …
Point #5: Everyone’s in love with New Orleans right now – and I mean EVERYONE. That’s easy to understand, seeing that they’re 5-0 SU and ATS, they won all five of those games by two touchdowns or more and they’re coming off that incredibly impressive rout of the Giants. But we all know that the NFL is an ebb-and-flow league – that’s what makes it the most difficult sport to handicap. As good as the Saints have looked this year, they’re not going 16-0 SU and they’re not going 16-0 ATS. They’re going to face adversity (like they did against at Buffalo in Week 2 and, to a lesser extent, against the Jets two games ago). And as I’ve detailed above, this is THE perfect spot for New Orleans to stumble.
This much we know for a fact: Because the Saints have become betting darlings, this pointspread is wildly inflated. It has to be when a team has covered in all five of its games, 15 of its last 21 since last year and is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. But don’t forget that back in Week 2, Peyton Manning and the Colts went to South Beach to face a Dolphins team coming off an ugly 19-7 season-opening loss at Atlanta … and Indy was only favored by a field goal. Yep, the Colts were three-point favorites in Miami; New Orleans is 6½-point favorites. See what I mean by inflated?
Bottom line: With two weeks to get ready, I expect the Dolphins’ defense to throw some confusing looks at Brees and wouldn’t be surprised if New Orleans’ All-Pro QB had an outing similar to ones he had against Buffalo (172 yards, no TDs) and the Jets (190 yards, no TDs). At the same time, the bye week afforded Miami extra time to open more of the playbook to Henne and add new wrinkles to the Wildcat – don’t be surprised to see more of rookie Pat White, who can actually throw the football out of the formation.
In the end, I smell an outright upset, something in the 24-21 range. But if the oddsmakers are going to be THIS generous with this spread, we’ll accept their generosity and grab the points with Miami, which is 4-1-1 ATS following a bye the last six years and 6-1 ATS in its last seven in October.
Colts (in the first half ONLY)
First, let me explain why I’m not laying the full two touchdowns with Indianapolis in St. Louis today: I don’t believe Peyton Manning is going to play this entire game, and if he does, I doubt he’s going to be throwing with what I believe will be a huge second-half lead. Beyond that, it’s hard – REALLY hard – to cover two touchdowns on the road in the NFL. Just ask the Eagles, who lost outright at Oakland last week as a 14-point chalk. And the Colts have struggled as a big chalk in recent years, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite of more than 10 points.
In the first half of this contest, though, the Colts offer a ton of value. For one thing, look at how they’ve jumped on their last three opponents: On Sept. 27 on a Sunday night in Arizona, Manning tossed three second-quarter TD strikes in a span of 3 minutes, 15 seconds and Indy took a 21-3 lead into halftime. The following week against the Matt Hasselbeck-less Seahawks, Indy once again jumped out 21-3 at the break, with two of the scores coming courtesy of Manning’s golden arm. Finally, two weeks ago on a Sunday night in Tennessee, Manning again tossed two first-half scoring passes and Indy held a 21-9 halftime advantage.
Now, let’s just assume that the Colts once again “only” find the end zone three times in the first 30 minutes today at St. Louis. If that happens, they’re easily covering the first-half number, because the Rams’ offense is atrocious. Don’t be fooled by that 23-20 overtime loss at Jacksonville last week – the Jaguars stink, especially on defense (they gave up 41 points the previous week at Seattle). Prior to that 20-point effort, the Rams had scored 0, 7, 17, 0 and 10 points in their first five games – we’re not talking about first-half point outputs, either. Those were the Rams’ point totals for the entirety of those games. This should put it in perspective. The Colts have scored 21 points in each of their last three first halves – so 63 points in all. St. Louis has scored 54 points ALL SEASON LONG – we’re talking all six games, including last week’s 20-point effort at Jacksonville.
Here are the Rams’ first-half point totals this year: 0 (at Seattle), 7 (at Washington), 14 (vs. Green Bay), 0 (at San Francisco), 3 (vs. Minnesota) and 10 (at Jacksonville). And only twice (at Washington and at Jacksonville, two of the worst teams in the league) has St. Louis covered a first-half number.
It’s not just the offense, either. St. Louis has given up 23, 38, 35, 36 and 28 points in five of its six games (only team that couldn’t score against the Rams was the Redskins – enough said!) That Rams defense has been torched for an average of 252 passing yards and 132.5 rushing yards (so 384.5 total yards) per game!
Honestly, guys, the only potential hiccup I see in winning this play is the fact Indy is coming off a bye and thus could be sluggish out of the gate. And I’ll admit that would be a big concern of mine … if this was just about any other team but the Colts, who have the best quarterback in football leading an offense that he could guide to the end zone blindfolded. Also, Manning is one of a bunch of veterans on the Colts’ roster who know how to get their engine revved up following a bye. So lay the first-half points with confidence and don’t be surprised if they barely break a sweat in taking a 24-point lead into the locker room against the pathetic Rams.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
Doug Williams
Green Bay @ Cleveland +9.5
Big season bounce back by the Browns? Nope...but Green Bay is on the verge of reeling themselves.
Browns cover +9.5
NYJ @ Oakland +6
Huga AND surprising win by Oakland last week, and a helluva cover, they seem to like this spot!
Oakland Covers +6
New Orleans @ Miami +6
Of all the things Miami does poorly, laying an egg at home isn't one of them. New Orleans is a very good team, but I like this Miami D when it gets going, also, the book isn't out on Henne, or is it?
Saints Cover -6
Chicago @ Cincinnati -1
Who are these Bengals we're seeing all of a sudden? Talk about a team off the radar. But the play here isnt the side with Chicago coming to town, its the total:
Over 41.5.
Green Bay @ Cleveland +9.5
Big season bounce back by the Browns? Nope...but Green Bay is on the verge of reeling themselves.
Browns cover +9.5
NYJ @ Oakland +6
Huga AND surprising win by Oakland last week, and a helluva cover, they seem to like this spot!
Oakland Covers +6
New Orleans @ Miami +6
Of all the things Miami does poorly, laying an egg at home isn't one of them. New Orleans is a very good team, but I like this Miami D when it gets going, also, the book isn't out on Henne, or is it?
Saints Cover -6
Chicago @ Cincinnati -1
Who are these Bengals we're seeing all of a sudden? Talk about a team off the radar. But the play here isnt the side with Chicago coming to town, its the total:
Over 41.5.
Steve Duemig
Sunday sweep
30 Dime Dolphins
What we have here is the lines maker making you pay a premium if you want to play on the Saints..Their beating of the Giants in easy fashion has everyone and their uncle on the Saints. No Thanks, I'm going with the undervalued home dog Dolphins who can control the clock with the best run game in the game. I know we have been down this route before with the Colts game but not even the Colts were laying this number at Miami. The line opened at 7 and was quickly taken out when the wiseguys noticed the over valuing in the line. It probably won't touch 7 again but 6.5 should be available by game time because of the huge public support expected on the Saints come game day. Take the points.
10 Dime Raiders
Oakland is a very live dog here in this game. They woke up after being called out by the Giants who claimed that playing them was like being in a scrimmage. When your manhood is called out, hopefully you respond. The Raiders responded in a big way by out righting the Eagles as a two TD dog. That usually never happens in the NFL, but it did. The Raiders did it with defense against one of the leagues best offenses and they even kept them out of the end zone! Public is still believing in the Jets who have lost 3 straight games. Both QB's should struggle in this game, with Russel going against Ryan's all outs and Sanchez throwing into a really good ball hawking Oakland secondary. The Jets will really start to miss their anchor on the defensive line Jenkins who they had to put on IR. I don't see where the Jets should be going on the road these days and laying almost a TD. Even if it is the Raiders.
5 Dime Cowboys
Even though the public is all over the Falcons betting on them in 76% of wagers, the line has moved the other way. It opened at Dallas - 3 and has moved to an even larger spread with the Cowboys. So if the public money is going on the Falcons how can the line be moving the wrong way, or as we call it "reverse line action"? It means that the real money is heading on the Cowboys as they come of the bye and get Felix Jones back as well. We need to follow the real money here in this one. Romo has had some time to work in his new stud receiver Miles Austin and the Dallas rush game is back full force.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
Sunday sweep
30 Dime Dolphins
What we have here is the lines maker making you pay a premium if you want to play on the Saints..Their beating of the Giants in easy fashion has everyone and their uncle on the Saints. No Thanks, I'm going with the undervalued home dog Dolphins who can control the clock with the best run game in the game. I know we have been down this route before with the Colts game but not even the Colts were laying this number at Miami. The line opened at 7 and was quickly taken out when the wiseguys noticed the over valuing in the line. It probably won't touch 7 again but 6.5 should be available by game time because of the huge public support expected on the Saints come game day. Take the points.
10 Dime Raiders
Oakland is a very live dog here in this game. They woke up after being called out by the Giants who claimed that playing them was like being in a scrimmage. When your manhood is called out, hopefully you respond. The Raiders responded in a big way by out righting the Eagles as a two TD dog. That usually never happens in the NFL, but it did. The Raiders did it with defense against one of the leagues best offenses and they even kept them out of the end zone! Public is still believing in the Jets who have lost 3 straight games. Both QB's should struggle in this game, with Russel going against Ryan's all outs and Sanchez throwing into a really good ball hawking Oakland secondary. The Jets will really start to miss their anchor on the defensive line Jenkins who they had to put on IR. I don't see where the Jets should be going on the road these days and laying almost a TD. Even if it is the Raiders.
5 Dime Cowboys
Even though the public is all over the Falcons betting on them in 76% of wagers, the line has moved the other way. It opened at Dallas - 3 and has moved to an even larger spread with the Cowboys. So if the public money is going on the Falcons how can the line be moving the wrong way, or as we call it "reverse line action"? It means that the real money is heading on the Cowboys as they come of the bye and get Felix Jones back as well. We need to follow the real money here in this one. Romo has had some time to work in his new stud receiver Miles Austin and the Dallas rush game is back full force.
PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME
