Dave Blezow
It's difficult to tell whether the Giants’ defense was so great on Sunday night, or whether the Bears’ offensive line was so bad. Chicago could have lined up five landscaping barrels in front of Jay Cutler and he would have been better-protected.
So that certainly wasn’t a game from which one could draw definitive conclusions about the strength of Big Blue, especially since the offense was a no-show for much of the game, the special teams was still questionable and the punter laughable.
The real test will come Sunday in Houston. The Texans are 3-1, having beaten the Colts and lost to the Cowboys at Reliant Stadium. They have had major problems on defense (linebacker Brian Cushing returns from suspension) and injuries to pass catchers (Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels). The Giants have a boatload of injuries, including their top two centers and Ahmad Bradshaw. The closest of calls, but the nod to the Big Blue pass rush.
The pick: Giants +3.
Broncos (+7) over RAVENS: Can’t give the full touchdown with the Ravens, especially off a win at the archrival Steelers and with Knowshon Moreno likely returning to augment Denver’s No. 1 passing attack.
BILLS (pick) over Jaguars: The Bills are going to win a couple of games this season, and this is one of the likeliest spots, against a Jaguars team traveling off a last-second win over the Colts.
Chiefs (+7 1/2) over COLTS: Most will jump on Indy at any price off a loss, with the Chiefs at an already unfathomable 3-0. But KC can run and stop the run, and the Colts can’t run or stop the run. That’s a formula for a close game, especially since KC coordinators Charlie Weis and Romeo Crennel have had two weeks to prepare for a very familiar opponent.
LIONS (-3) over Rams: Detroit has covered as ‘dogs vs. the Bears, Eagles and Packers, but has lost 41 of the last 44 outright. Also hard to expect a three-game winning streak from the Rams, even if Sam Bradford is the best player on the field.
Falcons (-3) over BROWNS: Falcons got away with one last week vs. the 49ers. Browns are coming off a home win vs. the Bengals, but gave up a ton in the passing game, and Matt Ryan can exploit that.
BENGALS (-6 1/2) over Buccaneers: Going on the assumption that if Charlie Batch can hit 70 percent of his passes and throw for three touchdowns at the Bucs, then Carson Palmer, Ochocinco and T.O. will get ‘em good off a loss.
PANTHERS (-1) over Bears: It’s the bounce-back theory vs. the have-to-win-eventually theory. The 0-4 Panthers were so close last week at New Orleans, and are preferable to Todd Collins, playing hurt behind a translucent offensive line.
Packers (-2 1/2) over REDSKINS: Donovan McNabb got his homecoming win at Philly, but the Redskins, now missing Clinton Portis, have not displayed the consistent quality to merit backing vs. the Packers.
Saints (-7) over CARDINALS: Saints haven’t done much to warrant this choice as yet, but have to give Drew Brees a shot against a poor defensive team with a first-time quarterback, Max Hall.
Chargers (-6) over RAIDERS: Chargers have won 13 in a row vs. the Raiders by an average of 14.4 points. Hard to go against that, especially with Ryan Mathews healthy and Darren McFadden hurting.
COWBOYS (-7) over Titans: Normally like the Titans with this many points, but believe the Cowboys are ready to start rolling off their first win and a bye.
49ERS (-3) over Eagles: San Francisco is 0-4 but could have beaten the Saints and should have beaten the Falcons. Worried a little about this line, but the 49ers will be out for blood, and they won’t have to worry about Michael Vick.
MONDAY NIGHT
JETS (-4) over Vikings: While other teams are losing players left and right, the Jets are getting back Santonio Holmes and probably Calvin Pace and Darrelle Revis. They’ve been able to prepare for this, so Rex Ryan will be able to throw some wrinkles at the Vikings they haven’t seen on film. It will take time for the Vikings to fit Randy Moss into a West Coast offense, and Brett Favre usually makes the big mistakes Mark Sanchez thus far has avoided.
BEST BETS: Packers, Panthers, Bengals.
LAST WEEK : 8-6 overall, 1-2 Best Bets.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: (1-3 in 2010, 29-12-1 last 42). Packers .