Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Sunday, January 26th
2014 NFL Pro Bowl Game Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Team Rice/Team Sanders under 89 1/2
January's NBA on TV Triple Lock Parlay of the Month!!!!!
San Antonio/Miami over 203
LA Lakers/Knicks under 206 1/2
Brooklyn/Boston under 193
NBA Best Bets
Orlando/New Orleans over 198
Detroit/Dallas under 208 1/2
Portland/Golden State under 216 1/2
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
Team Rice/Team Sanders under 89 1/2
January's NBA on TV Triple Lock Parlay of the Month!!!!!
San Antonio/Miami over 203
LA Lakers/Knicks under 206 1/2
Brooklyn/Boston under 193
NBA Best Bets
Orlando/New Orleans over 198
Detroit/Dallas under 208 1/2
Portland/Golden State under 216 1/2
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 1/26/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 1/26/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Teams
-- Spurs won 11 of their last 14 games. Miami won four of last five.
-- Nets won nine of last ten games (8-2 vs. spread).
-- Portland won seven of its last nine games.
•Cold Teams
-- New York lost five of its last six games. Lakers lost nine of last eleven games, covered six of last seven.
-- New Orleans lost its last six home games. Magic lost their last seven road games (0-7 vs. spread).
-- Cleveland lost six of its last nine home games. Suns lost last three road games, all by 5 or less points.
-- Celtics lost 13 of last 15 games (2-6 vs. spread last eight at home).
-- Pistons lost four of their last five games. Dallas lost three of last four.
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last five games. Nuggets lost three of their last four.
•Totals
-- Six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Last seven Lakers games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 12 Orlando road games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Phoenix games went over total; four of Cleveland's last five stayed under.
-- Five of last six Boston home games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Golden State games.
-- Eight of last ten Denver games went over the total.
•Series Records
-- Heat won their last four games with San Antonio.
-- Lakers won eight of last ten games with New York, but lost last two in this arena, by 7-9 points.
-- Pelicans won five of last six games with Orlando; underdogs won all six of the games SU.
-- Suns won last three games with Cleveland, after losing previous seven.
-- Celtics won four of last five games with Brooklyn.
-- Mavericks won eight of last nine games with Detroit.
-- Warriors won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Nuggets won their last nine games with Sacramento.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- SAN ANTONIO is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 110, OPPONENT 96.8.
-- DETROIT is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 101.7, OPPONENT 103.2.
-- SAN ANTONIO is 16-3 against the 1rst half line (+12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 51.7, OPPONENT 43.7.
-- BOSTON is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 47.3, OPPONENT 44.6.
-- ERIK SPOELSTRA is 19-4 UNDER (+14.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was SPOELSTRA 94.7, OPPONENT 87.0.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- PHOENIX is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 90.9, OPPONENT 104.4.
-- NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 105.3, OPPONENT 106.5.
-- LA LAKERS are 1-12 against the 1rst half line (-12.2 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.2, OPPONENT 53.4.
-- SAN ANTONIO is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.9, OPPONENT 45.6.
-- TERRY STOTTS is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was STOTTS 106.0, OPPONENT 107.6.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs versus the money line (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points.
(28-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.3%, +25.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -115
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +11.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2, +13.7 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-28, +25.5 units).
-- Play On - Road teams (LA LAKERS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games.
(80-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +52.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (61-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.8, Opponent 100.9 (Average point differential = +1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 56 (53.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (22-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (185-130).
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (LA LAKERS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more.
(36-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.6, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-44).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots.
(28-5 since 1996.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
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Sunday's Match-ups
#801 SAN ANTONIO @ #802 MIAMI
(TV: 1:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: Heat -3.5, Total: 203) - What might have been an intriguing rematch of last season's NBA Finals has lost some luster as the San Antonio Spurs head to Miami missing several key players for their showdown with the Heat. The Spurs are down three starters — center Tiago Splitter (shoulder), forward Kawhi Leonard (finger) and guard Danny Green (finger) — but still managed a 105-79 win at Atlanta on Friday to open their three-game road trip. The Heat have won four straight regular-season meetings with San Antonio.
The Heat also have been short-handed recently with star guard Dwyane Wade missing the past four contests because of his ailing knees, but Wade is expected to play against the Spurs, allowing Ray Allen to move back to a reserve role. "It's a luxury to have the group that we have, to be able to rely on other guys when we have some of our big guys out," Heat star LeBron James told the South Florida Sun Sentinel. "With D-Wade being out for a period of time, to be able to have a Hall of Famer backing him up … it definitely helps us." Miami has won four straight at home, where it boasts an 18-3 record and has won seven of its eight matchups with Western Conference opponents, while San Antonio is 6-0 on the road against Eastern Conference teams.
•ABOUT THE SPURS (33-10 SU, 22-21-0 ATS): San Antonio has reeled off a season-high six-game road winning streak since its last defeat away from home Dec. 16 against the Los Angeles Clippers. The streak survived a trip to Atlanta on Friday as reserves Boris Diaw (21 points) and Patty Mills (18) were the unlikely stars. "We've got big shoes to fill until everyone gets back, Mills told reporters. "Guys go down and we have to stick to the game plan."
•ABOUT THE HEAT (31-12 SU, 18-25-0 ATS): Miami has won four of five following a season-high three-game losing streak and remains entrenched in the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference. With Wade sidelined, Chris Bosh has been the No. 2 option behind James (26.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 6.5 assists) and the big man poured in 31 points in Thursday's 109-102 win over the visiting Los Angeles Lakers. The Heat nonetheless will welcome Wade's return — they're 24-6 when he plays and 7-6 without him.
•PREGAME NOTES: James has scored in double figures in 537 consecutive games, the fourth-longest streak in NBA history.... Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is tied with Red Auerbach for 10th place all-time with 938 wins.... Miami is 25-1 when holding opponents under 100 points.... The Spurs are 10-2 against the spread in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season.... The Heat are 25-12 versus the spread after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 599 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 401 times. *EDGE against the spread =SAN ANTONIO. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 500 times, while MIAMI won 480 times. In 1000 simulated games, 619 games went over the total, while 358 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 587 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 382 times. *EDGE against first half line =SAN ANTONIO. In 1000 simulated games, 571 games went over first half total, while 429 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-17 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-16 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--27 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 19-14 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--23 of 36 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
--Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Miami.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
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#803 LA LAKERS @ #804 NEW YORK
(TV: 3:30 PM EST, ABC - Line: Knicks -5.5, Total: 206.5) - Two iconic franchises having less-than-impressive seasons square off on one of the game's great stages when the New York Knicks host the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks haven't had much to get excited about, but Carmelo Anthony provided an exception by pouring in a franchise-record 62 points in Friday's 125-96 win over Charlotte. The Lakers have lost three straight and 15 of their last 18 after a 114-105 loss at lowly Orlando on Friday.
Anthony's big night powered the Knicks to their first win in four tries on their current eight-game home stand and snapped a five-game skid. "Just to see everybody smiling once again, that's what I was more excited to see," Anthony told reporters. "Guys on the bench smiling, high-fiving, having fun once again. That's the only thing I care about." In addition to the franchise mark, Anthony eclipsed the Madison Square Garden record of 61 points, and the previous owner — Lakers star Kobe Bryant — won't be able to do anything to get it back this time around, as he's sidelined with a fractured left knee.
•ABOUT THE LAKERS (16-28 SU, 24-19-1 ATS): If Los Angeles ever had a chance in the loaded Western Conference, it was torpedoed by injuries. Center Pau Gasol has played well in the new year, averaging 20.6 points, 12 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.8 blocks over the past 12 games — but the Lakers are 3-9 during that stretch. The Lakers also seem to have found their point guard, albeit out of desperation, as Kendall Marshall is averaging 12.1 points and 11.9 assists in 12 games as a starter.
•ABOUT THE KNICKS (16-27 SU, 17-26-0 ATS): New York will need more big games from Anthony to have any chance at slipping back into the playoff mix, as forwards Andrea Bargnani (torn elbow ligament), Amar'e Stoudemire (ankle) and Kenyon Martin (ankle) are all sidelined. The Knicks did activate Metta World Peace before Friday's game, but he didn't see action against the Bobcats. Despite all the injury woes and an ugly record, the Knicks are still in contention to make the postseason in the weak Eastern Conference, just 1 1/2 games behind eighth-place Charlotte.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Lakers have allowed 100 or more points in 11 consecutive games, matching their longest such stretch since a 13-game streak spanning the end of the 1991-92 season and the start of the 1992-93 campaign.... The Knicks are just 8-15 at home, including a 1-7 mark against Western Conference teams.... Gasol has recorded 20 or more points and 10 or more rebounds in eight of his last 12 games, including three straight.... The Knicks are 4-13 against the spread in home games versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK covered the spread 532 times, while LA LAKERS covered the spread 468 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK won the game straight up 656 times, while LA LAKERS won 313 times. In 1000 simulated games, 576 games went under the total, while 424 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, LA LAKERS covered the first half line 481 times, while NEW YORK covered the first half line 480 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 585 games went under first half total, while 376 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA LAKERS is 18-15 against the spread versus NEW YORK since 1996.
--LA LAKERS is 23-10 straight up against NEW YORK since 1996.
--19 of 33 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--LA LAKERS is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against NEW YORK since 1996.
--18 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 7-0 in Lakers last 7 overall.
--Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 road games.
--Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 games following a ATS win.
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#805 ORLANDO @ #806 NEW ORLEANS
(TV: 6:00 PM EST, FSN Orlando, FSN New Orleans - Line: Pelicans -6.5, Total: 198.5) - The Orlando Magic look to build off one of their best performances of the season when they start a three-game road trip at the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tobias Harris collected 28 points and a career-high 20 rebounds as the Magic rallied to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 114-105 at home on Friday for their second victory in 14 games, but they own a league-worst 3-18 road record. The injury-ravaged Pelicans have won two of three – both on the road -- after an eight-game losing streak.
New Orleans is without three of its top six scorers indefinitely due to injuries and Tyreke Evans (fifth) missed the 103-101 win at Detroit on Friday with an illness. Orlando, which beat the Pelicans 110-90 on Nov. 1 at home, has been without 7-0 center Nikola Vucevic (concussion) for the last 10 games. The Magic still have five active players averaging at least 13 points, led by Arron Afflalo (20.3).
•ABOUT THE MAGIC (12-32 SU, 19-25-0 ATS): Orlando is now 2-14 without Vucevic in the lineup and had been struggled on the glass without their center until Friday, when it pounded the Lakers 51-40 on the boards. Harris has recorded three double-doubles in his last six games and moved into a tie for second on the team in scoring with Jameer Nelson and Victor Oladipo at 13.7 points. Center Kyle O’Quinn has taken advantage of more playing time to average 9.5 points and 6.7 rebounds over the last six contests.
•ABOUT THE PELICANS (17-25 SU, 18-22-2 ATS): Ryan Anderson (back), Jrue Holiday (leg) and Jason Smith (knee) won’t be back for a while and Evans, averaging 12.8 points, is considered day-to-day. Anthony Davis is averaging a double-double (20 points, 10.2 rebounds) and had 26 and 17, respectively, against Orlando earlier this season. Guard Eric Gordon had the winning shot in Friday’s victory and averages 15.9 points while swingman Anthony Morrow returned from missing three games with an illness to pour in 21 points.
•PREGAME NOTES: New Orleans G Austin Rivers is averaging 12 points on 14-of-30 shooting over his last three outings.... Nelson posted his 600th career steal on Friday in his 624th game – all with Orlando.... Davis averages 3.03 blocks to lead the league and the Pelicans are among the leaders in the NBA with an average of 6.2.... The Magic are 8-23 against the spread versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of more than 46% over the last two seasons.... The Pelicans are 1-11 versus the spread revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the spread 522 times, while ORLANDO covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS won the game straight up 680 times, while ORLANDO won 295 times. In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went under the total, while 489 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the first half line 548 times, while ORLANDO covered the first half line 452 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 496 games went under first half total, while 455 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-20 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996.
--NEW ORLEANS is 29-22 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996.
--23 of 44 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--NEW ORLEANS is 27-21 versus the first half line when playing against ORLANDO since 1996.
--24 of 46 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Magic are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
--Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
--Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
--Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans.
--Underdog is 22-7-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games.
--Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
--Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Pelicans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
--Pelicans are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#807 PHOENIX @ #808 CLEVELAND
(TV: 6:00 PM EST, FSN Phoenix, FSN Ohio Cleveland - Line: Cavaliers -1, Total: 204) - The Phoenix Suns had built some momentum with three wins in their previous four games before a setback against Washington at home on Friday. A Sunday visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers, where they have won three straight, could do them well. The Suns handed the Wizards 21 turnovers last time out and were beaten on the boards 44-30 - a familiar recipe for disaster according to forward P.J. Tucker, who told the Arizona Republic, "Whenever that stuff goes together, it's a setup for a bad situation."
Cleveland snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Milwaukee on Friday and, after wrapping up 2013 11 games under .500 at 10-21, the Cavaliers have shown subtle improvement at 6-6 in the month of January. Forward Tristan Thompson said the team is progressing as a group, albeit slowly, telling the Cleveland Plain Dealer, "It's a process and we've got to keep working at it and getting better." Thompson (14 points, 10 rebounds) and guard Kyrie Irving (10 points and 10 assists) each notched double-doubles while Anderson Varejao led all scorers with 16 points in Friday's win.
•ABOUT THE SUNS (24-18 SU, 27-14-1 ATS): Phoenix sits seventh in the Western Conference standings but is just a half-game in front of Dallas and is slumping with six losses in the last 10 games. The Suns are a team that has surprised this season and are only a few days removed from a 24-point thrashing of the powerhouse Indiana Pacers, allowing them to look at Friday's slip-up as an aberration. "It was a tough night," said coach Jeff Hornacek. Channing Frye took it as a lesson, adding, "We can't win like that."
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (16-27 SU, 19-24-0 ATS): Cleveland's effort against Milwaukee was appreciated by coach Mike Brown, who said, "I'll take this every game." The Cavaliers are still a team that is very much trying to find its identity, however, and part of that comes with taking the same approach to every game at this level. "We've got to be professionals," Thompson said. "We can't wait for a guy to dunk on us or (Brown) to show some emotion for us to turn on the engine."
•PREGAME NOTES: Phoenix is 6-4 in its last 10 visits to Cleveland and has won three straight in the series overall.... The Suns' 104.2 points is good for seventh in the NBA while the Cavaliers rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring, averaging 96.4 points.... Cleveland has been solid on the offensive boards all year, averaging 12.5 - good for fifth in the league.... The Suns are 22-9 against the spread versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the spread 579 times, while CLEVELAND covered the spread 395 times. *EDGE against the spread =PHOENIX. In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX won the game straight up 551 times, while CLEVELAND won 421 times. In 1000 simulated games, 592 games went over the total, while 386 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the first half line 558 times, while CLEVELAND covered the first half line 442 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 542 games went over first half total, while 424 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CLEVELAND is 18-15 against the spread versus PHOENIX since 1996.
--PHOENIX is 21-12 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996.
--17 of 33 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--CLEVELAND is 21-12 versus the first half line when playing against PHOENIX since 1996.
--20 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
--Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
--Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
--Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Favorite is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
--Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Under is 5-0 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U
--Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games.
--Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#809 BROOKLYN @ #810 BOSTON
(TV: 6:30 PM EST, ESPN, YES (Brooklyn), CSN New England (Boston) - Line: Nets -4, Total: 191.5) - The Brooklyn Nets are on a role and have their sights set on the top of the Atlantic Division, but the game might be secondary to some players when they visit the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Celtics legends Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, who served as the captain for Boston for over a decade, will make their return for the first time since being traded over the summer. Current captain Rajon Rondo is one of the few familiar faces left from the Pierce-Garnett glory years.
Pierce and Garnett left to chase another ring together with Brooklyn and it finally appears as though the team may have what it takes to make a run at the Eastern Conference elite with nine wins in the last 10 games. The Celtics are losers of 13 of their last 15 but fans are expected to pack the arena on Sunday while the team pays tribute to the two former franchise cornerstones. “I just know that the emotions will probably be high, just because of the success that we had while we were in Boston,” Garnett told reporters. “We had some really good years there, some really promising years. I think it’s going to be forever, we’re embedded in it.”
•ABOUT THE NETS (19-22 SU, 20-21-0 ATS): Brooklyn picked up its fourth straight win with a 107-106 triumph over the Dallas Mavericks on Friday and unveiled a new weapon in Mirza Teletovic, who posted a career-high 34 points and buried seven 3-pointers. Teletovic’s emergence could take some pressure off Pierce, who is averaging a career-low 12.9 points in his first season with the Nets. “It’s going to be a lot of emotions,” Pierce told reporters of his return to Boston. “You play your whole life there, you win a championship there, I mean, being the first time back... It’s going to be special. I don’t know how I’ll react, what emotions are going to be going through my head.”
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (15-30 SU, 22-22-1 ATS): Boston was thumped 101-83 on Friday by an Oklahoma City squad that was without Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook and is still monitoring Rondo’s minutes. The former All-Star sat out Wednesday’s win over Washington as a precaution and was limited to 22 minutes on Friday but is expected to be in the lineup against his former teammates. The Celtics are expected to be without fellow guards Avery Bradley (ankle) and Jerryd Bayless (toe), leaving Phil Pressey as the backup point guard and Jeff Green as the shooting guard in a bigger starting unit.
•PREGAME NOTES: Celtics F Jared Sullinger dislocated his right index finger on Friday but is expected to play on Sunday.... Garnett (10 points, 11 rebounds) posted his second double-double of the season on Friday.... Brooklyn took the first meeting at home 104-96 on Dec. 10 despite just four points from Pierce.... The Celtics are 13-1 ATS versus the spread in home games on Sunday games over the last three seasons.... The Nets are 10-1 ATS in road games when playing six or less games in 14 days over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON covered the spread 573 times, while BROOKLYN covered the spread 404 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOSTON. In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN won the game straight up 502 times, while BOSTON won 466 times. In 1000 simulated games, 544 games went over the total, while 456 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON covered the first half line 547 times, while BROOKLYN covered the first half line 413 times. *EDGE against first half line =BOSTON. In 1000 simulated games, 516 games went over first half total, while 484 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BROOKLYN is 40-35 against the spread versus BOSTON since 1996.
--BOSTON is 40-37 straight up against BROOKLYN since 1996.
--42 of 76 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 42-34 versus the first half line when playing against BOSTON since 1996.
--38 of 76 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Celtics are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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#811 DETROIT @ #812 DALLAS
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, FSN Detroit, FSN Southwest (Dallas) - Line: Mavericks -6.5, Total: 209) - The Dallas Mavericks look to get back on track after a 1-3 stretch when they start a four-game homestand against the Detroit Pistons on Sunday night. The Mavericks lost 107-106 on Friday at Brooklyn to complete a three-game trip with one victory but will face three teams with losing records over the next nine days on their home court. The Pistons come in with three consecutive losses – the last two by a combined five points -- to drop out of the top eight in the Eastern Conference.
Detroit gives up an average of 102.9 points to rank just behind Dallas (102.4) while the Pistons allow 46.8 percent shooting – 29th in the league. Dirk Nowitzki and Monta Ellis, who average almost 41 points between them, hope to exploit Detroit’s inconsistent defense. Pistons’ leading scorer Brandon Jennings rebounded from a zero-point outing with 58 points combined in the last two.
•ABOUT THE PISTONS (17-26 SU, 17-25-1 ATS): Andre Drummond comes in with seven straight double-doubles while averaging 12.8 points and a team-high 12.8 rebounds, and said the team remains confident. “We never have doubts,” Drummond told reporters after the 103-101 loss to New Orleans on Friday. “We just make poor decisions down the stretch of the game sometimes and we have to get better at it.” Jennings leads a balanced offense at 16.6 points, followed by Josh Smith (15.4) and reserve Rodney Stuckey (14.3).
•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (25-20 SU, 25-20-0 ATS): Dallas has yielded an average of 110 points over the last six contests and coach Rick Carlisle told reporters after the loss at Brooklyn, “We were just poor defensively.” The Mavericks can put the ball in the basket through, ranking in the top third in the league in scoring, led by Nowtzki (21) and Ellis (19.9 points, six assists). Veteran reserve Vince Carter made 8-of-15 from the field and scored 19 points against Brooklyn after shooting only 31.7 percent over his previous five outings.
•PREGAME NOTES: Detroit has not won a regular-season series against the Mavericks since 1997-98 and dropped the last five games at Dallas.... Stuckey has scored at least 20 points in four of his last five games for the Pistons.... Dallas F Shawn Marion (seven) leads the team in rebounding averages 11.3 points.... The Pistons are 10-1 against the spread in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons.... The Mavericks are 15-3 against the spread versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of more than 46% - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the spread 578 times, while DETROIT covered the spread 422 times. *EDGE against the spread =DALLAS. In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS won the game straight up 719 times, while DETROIT won 259 times. In 1000 simulated games, 667 games went under the total, while 308 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the first half line 562 times, while DETROIT covered the first half line 438 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 661 games went under first half total, while 339 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DETROIT is 18-14 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1996.
--DALLAS is 19-13 straight up against DETROIT since 1996.
--19 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--DETROIT is 17-15 versus the first half line when playing against DALLAS since 1996.
--19 of 32 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
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#813 DENVER @ #814 SACRAMENTO
(TV: 9:00 PM ET, Altitude (Denver), KXTV (Sacramento) - Line: Available) - The Sacramento Kings might again be without two of the better players when they host the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Center DeMarcus Cousins (ankle) and forward Rudy Gay (Achilles) both missed Friday’s overtime loss to the Indiana Pacers and Cousins has a better chance of returning than Gay does for the contest with Denver. The Nuggets posted an impressive win over Indiana on Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak.
Forward Wilson Chandler had a season-best 25 points against the Pacers but remains miffed as to why his team can’t solidly put things together. “If we play well, we can contend with any team,” Chandler said after the win over Indiana. “We’ve played well against a lot of top teams this year but we’ve lost to some of the bottom teams. We’ve got to play every team like they’re the best in the league.” Sacramento guards Marcus Thornton (42) and Isaiah Thomas (38) each matched their career-best point totals in Friday’s game.
•ABOUT THE NUGGETS (21-21 SU, 20-22-0 ATS): Seven different Denver players scored in double digits against the Pacers and Chandler was the most efficient as he knocked down four 3-pointers during his best scoring performance of the campaign. “I was just being a little aggressive and I was taking good shots,” Chandler said. “I probably took one or two bad shots but I was being aggressive and taking good shots at the same time.” Chandler is playing his best basketball of the season and is averaging 21 points over the last five games.
•ABOUT THE KINGS (15-27 SU, 19-22-1 ATS): Thornton knocked down seven 3-pointers and Thomas carried the Kings down the stretch of the overtime loss to the Pacers. Thornton came out firing with 22 first-quarter points as he sensed Sacramento needed an offensive boost with Cousins and Gay not available. “I took it upon myself to be that guy,” he said afterward. “It was a great team effort.” Thomas is averaging 29 points over the past four games with both of his career-best 38-point efforts are included in the hot streak.
•PREGAME NOTES: Sacramento defeated the Nuggets 90-88 on Oct. 30 to halt a nine-game losing streak in the series.... Thomas has made at least one 3-pointer in 36 consecutive games, which ties for second in franchise history with Peja Stojakovic and is only three shy of Mitch Richmond’s club record.... Denver PG Ty Lawson has 11 double-doubles over the past 12 games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
Note: There are currently *No EDGES available for this matchup due to No-Line posted at the present time. In 1000 simulated games, SACRAMENTO won the game straight up 555 times, while DENVER won 421 times.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DENVER is 31-28 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 35-29 straight up against DENVER since 1996.
--31 of 61 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 33-27 versus the first half line when playing against DENVER since 1996.
--32 of 62 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS win.
--Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
--Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 5-1-1 in Kings last 7 games following a ATS win.
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#815 PORTLAND @ #816 GOLDEN STATE
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, CSN Northwest (Portland), CSN Bay Area (Golden State) - Line: Warriors -4.5, Total: 216.5) - The Golden State Warriors are losers of five of their last seven games and are watching their defense abandon them since a 10-game winning streak that bridged December and January. The Warriors will need to tighten that up in a hurry when they take on the visiting Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. The Trail Blazers lead the NBA in scoring average and took down the Minnesota Timberwolves 115-104 on Saturday.
Golden State limited opponents to 92.8 points during its winning streak but is surrendering 108.4 over the last seven contests, including a 121-120 home setback to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. “We’ve done a bad job - everybody on the floor, breakdowns,” coach Mark Jackson told reporters. “There is not one guy that is doing their job defensively. Everybody in uniform has been bad defensively for us and it’s disappointing right now.” Portland can spread teams out beyond the 3-point line or pound it inside to LaMarcus Aldridge.
•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (33-11 SU, 25-19-0 ATS): Portland took a 113-101 decision at Golden State on Nov. 23 in a game that included three ejections. Aldridge led the way with 30 points and 21 rebounds in that win and has put up at least 21 points in 11 straight games. The Blazers did not have it from 3-point range on Saturday, going 4-for-16, but took to the interior to outrebound (50-40) and outscore the Timberwolves in the paint (60-46). Portland has had its struggles on the road, however, dropping its last two away from home.
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (26-18 SU, 19-23-2 ATS): Stephen Curry recorded 33 points and 15 assists on Friday but could not get off a potential go-ahead shot in the final minutes and was upset about not winning while putting up 120 points. “It’s not winning basketball and we’ve got to figure it out,” Curry said. “There’s not much else to really say about it, just we’ve shown we can do it and good teams do it every game. Three losses in the last four or five games where we’ve scored over 115 points, so scoring the ball is not a problem.” Curry is averaging 29.2 points and 10 assists over the last five but struggled to 22 points on 8-of-21 shooting to go along with 11 assists and five turnovers in the Nov. 23 meeting.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Warriors have allowed 30 or more first-quarter points in seven of the last 11 games.... Portland matched last season’s win total with the win over the Timberwolves on Saturday.... Golden State G Klay Thompson is 15-for-30 from 3-point range over the last four games.... The Trail Blazers are 17-7 versus the spread in road games after one or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons.... The Warriors are 0-8 against the spread versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 522 times, while PORTLAND covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE won the game straight up 614 times, while PORTLAND won 365 times. In 1000 simulated games, 518 games went over the total, while 482 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 508 times, while PORTLAND covered the first half line 492 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 486 games went under first half total, while 478 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-27 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996.
--PORTLAND is 36-30 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--37 of 62 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-24 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--35 of 65 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
--Trail Blazers are 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Golden State.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
--Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 Sunday games.
--Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
--Over is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
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NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 1/26/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Teams
-- Spurs won 11 of their last 14 games. Miami won four of last five.
-- Nets won nine of last ten games (8-2 vs. spread).
-- Portland won seven of its last nine games.
•Cold Teams
-- New York lost five of its last six games. Lakers lost nine of last eleven games, covered six of last seven.
-- New Orleans lost its last six home games. Magic lost their last seven road games (0-7 vs. spread).
-- Cleveland lost six of its last nine home games. Suns lost last three road games, all by 5 or less points.
-- Celtics lost 13 of last 15 games (2-6 vs. spread last eight at home).
-- Pistons lost four of their last five games. Dallas lost three of last four.
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last five games. Nuggets lost three of their last four.
•Totals
-- Six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Last seven Lakers games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 12 Orlando road games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Phoenix games went over total; four of Cleveland's last five stayed under.
-- Five of last six Boston home games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Golden State games.
-- Eight of last ten Denver games went over the total.
•Series Records
-- Heat won their last four games with San Antonio.
-- Lakers won eight of last ten games with New York, but lost last two in this arena, by 7-9 points.
-- Pelicans won five of last six games with Orlando; underdogs won all six of the games SU.
-- Suns won last three games with Cleveland, after losing previous seven.
-- Celtics won four of last five games with Brooklyn.
-- Mavericks won eight of last nine games with Detroit.
-- Warriors won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Nuggets won their last nine games with Sacramento.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- SAN ANTONIO is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 110, OPPONENT 96.8.
-- DETROIT is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 101.7, OPPONENT 103.2.
-- SAN ANTONIO is 16-3 against the 1rst half line (+12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 51.7, OPPONENT 43.7.
-- BOSTON is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 47.3, OPPONENT 44.6.
-- ERIK SPOELSTRA is 19-4 UNDER (+14.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was SPOELSTRA 94.7, OPPONENT 87.0.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- PHOENIX is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 90.9, OPPONENT 104.4.
-- NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 105.3, OPPONENT 106.5.
-- LA LAKERS are 1-12 against the 1rst half line (-12.2 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.2, OPPONENT 53.4.
-- SAN ANTONIO is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.9, OPPONENT 45.6.
-- TERRY STOTTS is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was STOTTS 106.0, OPPONENT 107.6.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs versus the money line (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points.
(28-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.3%, +25.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -115
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +11.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2, +13.7 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-28, +25.5 units).
-- Play On - Road teams (LA LAKERS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games.
(80-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +52.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (61-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.8, Opponent 100.9 (Average point differential = +1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 56 (53.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (22-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (185-130).
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (LA LAKERS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more.
(36-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.6, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-44).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots.
(28-5 since 1996.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
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Sunday's Match-ups
#801 SAN ANTONIO @ #802 MIAMI
(TV: 1:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: Heat -3.5, Total: 203) - What might have been an intriguing rematch of last season's NBA Finals has lost some luster as the San Antonio Spurs head to Miami missing several key players for their showdown with the Heat. The Spurs are down three starters — center Tiago Splitter (shoulder), forward Kawhi Leonard (finger) and guard Danny Green (finger) — but still managed a 105-79 win at Atlanta on Friday to open their three-game road trip. The Heat have won four straight regular-season meetings with San Antonio.
The Heat also have been short-handed recently with star guard Dwyane Wade missing the past four contests because of his ailing knees, but Wade is expected to play against the Spurs, allowing Ray Allen to move back to a reserve role. "It's a luxury to have the group that we have, to be able to rely on other guys when we have some of our big guys out," Heat star LeBron James told the South Florida Sun Sentinel. "With D-Wade being out for a period of time, to be able to have a Hall of Famer backing him up … it definitely helps us." Miami has won four straight at home, where it boasts an 18-3 record and has won seven of its eight matchups with Western Conference opponents, while San Antonio is 6-0 on the road against Eastern Conference teams.
•ABOUT THE SPURS (33-10 SU, 22-21-0 ATS): San Antonio has reeled off a season-high six-game road winning streak since its last defeat away from home Dec. 16 against the Los Angeles Clippers. The streak survived a trip to Atlanta on Friday as reserves Boris Diaw (21 points) and Patty Mills (18) were the unlikely stars. "We've got big shoes to fill until everyone gets back, Mills told reporters. "Guys go down and we have to stick to the game plan."
•ABOUT THE HEAT (31-12 SU, 18-25-0 ATS): Miami has won four of five following a season-high three-game losing streak and remains entrenched in the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference. With Wade sidelined, Chris Bosh has been the No. 2 option behind James (26.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 6.5 assists) and the big man poured in 31 points in Thursday's 109-102 win over the visiting Los Angeles Lakers. The Heat nonetheless will welcome Wade's return — they're 24-6 when he plays and 7-6 without him.
•PREGAME NOTES: James has scored in double figures in 537 consecutive games, the fourth-longest streak in NBA history.... Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is tied with Red Auerbach for 10th place all-time with 938 wins.... Miami is 25-1 when holding opponents under 100 points.... The Spurs are 10-2 against the spread in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season.... The Heat are 25-12 versus the spread after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 599 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 401 times. *EDGE against the spread =SAN ANTONIO. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 500 times, while MIAMI won 480 times. In 1000 simulated games, 619 games went over the total, while 358 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 587 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 382 times. *EDGE against first half line =SAN ANTONIO. In 1000 simulated games, 571 games went over first half total, while 429 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 20-17 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 22-16 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--27 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 19-14 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--23 of 36 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
--Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Miami.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
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#803 LA LAKERS @ #804 NEW YORK
(TV: 3:30 PM EST, ABC - Line: Knicks -5.5, Total: 206.5) - Two iconic franchises having less-than-impressive seasons square off on one of the game's great stages when the New York Knicks host the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks haven't had much to get excited about, but Carmelo Anthony provided an exception by pouring in a franchise-record 62 points in Friday's 125-96 win over Charlotte. The Lakers have lost three straight and 15 of their last 18 after a 114-105 loss at lowly Orlando on Friday.
Anthony's big night powered the Knicks to their first win in four tries on their current eight-game home stand and snapped a five-game skid. "Just to see everybody smiling once again, that's what I was more excited to see," Anthony told reporters. "Guys on the bench smiling, high-fiving, having fun once again. That's the only thing I care about." In addition to the franchise mark, Anthony eclipsed the Madison Square Garden record of 61 points, and the previous owner — Lakers star Kobe Bryant — won't be able to do anything to get it back this time around, as he's sidelined with a fractured left knee.
•ABOUT THE LAKERS (16-28 SU, 24-19-1 ATS): If Los Angeles ever had a chance in the loaded Western Conference, it was torpedoed by injuries. Center Pau Gasol has played well in the new year, averaging 20.6 points, 12 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.8 blocks over the past 12 games — but the Lakers are 3-9 during that stretch. The Lakers also seem to have found their point guard, albeit out of desperation, as Kendall Marshall is averaging 12.1 points and 11.9 assists in 12 games as a starter.
•ABOUT THE KNICKS (16-27 SU, 17-26-0 ATS): New York will need more big games from Anthony to have any chance at slipping back into the playoff mix, as forwards Andrea Bargnani (torn elbow ligament), Amar'e Stoudemire (ankle) and Kenyon Martin (ankle) are all sidelined. The Knicks did activate Metta World Peace before Friday's game, but he didn't see action against the Bobcats. Despite all the injury woes and an ugly record, the Knicks are still in contention to make the postseason in the weak Eastern Conference, just 1 1/2 games behind eighth-place Charlotte.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Lakers have allowed 100 or more points in 11 consecutive games, matching their longest such stretch since a 13-game streak spanning the end of the 1991-92 season and the start of the 1992-93 campaign.... The Knicks are just 8-15 at home, including a 1-7 mark against Western Conference teams.... Gasol has recorded 20 or more points and 10 or more rebounds in eight of his last 12 games, including three straight.... The Knicks are 4-13 against the spread in home games versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK covered the spread 532 times, while LA LAKERS covered the spread 468 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK won the game straight up 656 times, while LA LAKERS won 313 times. In 1000 simulated games, 576 games went under the total, while 424 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, LA LAKERS covered the first half line 481 times, while NEW YORK covered the first half line 480 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 585 games went under first half total, while 376 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA LAKERS is 18-15 against the spread versus NEW YORK since 1996.
--LA LAKERS is 23-10 straight up against NEW YORK since 1996.
--19 of 33 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--LA LAKERS is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against NEW YORK since 1996.
--18 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 7-0 in Lakers last 7 overall.
--Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 road games.
--Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 games following a ATS win.
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#805 ORLANDO @ #806 NEW ORLEANS
(TV: 6:00 PM EST, FSN Orlando, FSN New Orleans - Line: Pelicans -6.5, Total: 198.5) - The Orlando Magic look to build off one of their best performances of the season when they start a three-game road trip at the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tobias Harris collected 28 points and a career-high 20 rebounds as the Magic rallied to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 114-105 at home on Friday for their second victory in 14 games, but they own a league-worst 3-18 road record. The injury-ravaged Pelicans have won two of three – both on the road -- after an eight-game losing streak.
New Orleans is without three of its top six scorers indefinitely due to injuries and Tyreke Evans (fifth) missed the 103-101 win at Detroit on Friday with an illness. Orlando, which beat the Pelicans 110-90 on Nov. 1 at home, has been without 7-0 center Nikola Vucevic (concussion) for the last 10 games. The Magic still have five active players averaging at least 13 points, led by Arron Afflalo (20.3).
•ABOUT THE MAGIC (12-32 SU, 19-25-0 ATS): Orlando is now 2-14 without Vucevic in the lineup and had been struggled on the glass without their center until Friday, when it pounded the Lakers 51-40 on the boards. Harris has recorded three double-doubles in his last six games and moved into a tie for second on the team in scoring with Jameer Nelson and Victor Oladipo at 13.7 points. Center Kyle O’Quinn has taken advantage of more playing time to average 9.5 points and 6.7 rebounds over the last six contests.
•ABOUT THE PELICANS (17-25 SU, 18-22-2 ATS): Ryan Anderson (back), Jrue Holiday (leg) and Jason Smith (knee) won’t be back for a while and Evans, averaging 12.8 points, is considered day-to-day. Anthony Davis is averaging a double-double (20 points, 10.2 rebounds) and had 26 and 17, respectively, against Orlando earlier this season. Guard Eric Gordon had the winning shot in Friday’s victory and averages 15.9 points while swingman Anthony Morrow returned from missing three games with an illness to pour in 21 points.
•PREGAME NOTES: New Orleans G Austin Rivers is averaging 12 points on 14-of-30 shooting over his last three outings.... Nelson posted his 600th career steal on Friday in his 624th game – all with Orlando.... Davis averages 3.03 blocks to lead the league and the Pelicans are among the leaders in the NBA with an average of 6.2.... The Magic are 8-23 against the spread versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of more than 46% over the last two seasons.... The Pelicans are 1-11 versus the spread revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the spread 522 times, while ORLANDO covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS won the game straight up 680 times, while ORLANDO won 295 times. In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went under the total, while 489 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the first half line 548 times, while ORLANDO covered the first half line 452 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 496 games went under first half total, while 455 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-20 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996.
--NEW ORLEANS is 29-22 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996.
--23 of 44 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--NEW ORLEANS is 27-21 versus the first half line when playing against ORLANDO since 1996.
--24 of 46 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Magic are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
--Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
--Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
--Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans.
--Underdog is 22-7-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games.
--Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
--Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Pelicans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
--Pelicans are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#807 PHOENIX @ #808 CLEVELAND
(TV: 6:00 PM EST, FSN Phoenix, FSN Ohio Cleveland - Line: Cavaliers -1, Total: 204) - The Phoenix Suns had built some momentum with three wins in their previous four games before a setback against Washington at home on Friday. A Sunday visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers, where they have won three straight, could do them well. The Suns handed the Wizards 21 turnovers last time out and were beaten on the boards 44-30 - a familiar recipe for disaster according to forward P.J. Tucker, who told the Arizona Republic, "Whenever that stuff goes together, it's a setup for a bad situation."
Cleveland snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Milwaukee on Friday and, after wrapping up 2013 11 games under .500 at 10-21, the Cavaliers have shown subtle improvement at 6-6 in the month of January. Forward Tristan Thompson said the team is progressing as a group, albeit slowly, telling the Cleveland Plain Dealer, "It's a process and we've got to keep working at it and getting better." Thompson (14 points, 10 rebounds) and guard Kyrie Irving (10 points and 10 assists) each notched double-doubles while Anderson Varejao led all scorers with 16 points in Friday's win.
•ABOUT THE SUNS (24-18 SU, 27-14-1 ATS): Phoenix sits seventh in the Western Conference standings but is just a half-game in front of Dallas and is slumping with six losses in the last 10 games. The Suns are a team that has surprised this season and are only a few days removed from a 24-point thrashing of the powerhouse Indiana Pacers, allowing them to look at Friday's slip-up as an aberration. "It was a tough night," said coach Jeff Hornacek. Channing Frye took it as a lesson, adding, "We can't win like that."
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (16-27 SU, 19-24-0 ATS): Cleveland's effort against Milwaukee was appreciated by coach Mike Brown, who said, "I'll take this every game." The Cavaliers are still a team that is very much trying to find its identity, however, and part of that comes with taking the same approach to every game at this level. "We've got to be professionals," Thompson said. "We can't wait for a guy to dunk on us or (Brown) to show some emotion for us to turn on the engine."
•PREGAME NOTES: Phoenix is 6-4 in its last 10 visits to Cleveland and has won three straight in the series overall.... The Suns' 104.2 points is good for seventh in the NBA while the Cavaliers rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring, averaging 96.4 points.... Cleveland has been solid on the offensive boards all year, averaging 12.5 - good for fifth in the league.... The Suns are 22-9 against the spread versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the spread 579 times, while CLEVELAND covered the spread 395 times. *EDGE against the spread =PHOENIX. In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX won the game straight up 551 times, while CLEVELAND won 421 times. In 1000 simulated games, 592 games went over the total, while 386 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the first half line 558 times, while CLEVELAND covered the first half line 442 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 542 games went over first half total, while 424 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CLEVELAND is 18-15 against the spread versus PHOENIX since 1996.
--PHOENIX is 21-12 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996.
--17 of 33 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--CLEVELAND is 21-12 versus the first half line when playing against PHOENIX since 1996.
--20 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
--Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
--Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
--Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Favorite is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
--Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Under is 5-0 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U
--Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games.
--Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#809 BROOKLYN @ #810 BOSTON
(TV: 6:30 PM EST, ESPN, YES (Brooklyn), CSN New England (Boston) - Line: Nets -4, Total: 191.5) - The Brooklyn Nets are on a role and have their sights set on the top of the Atlantic Division, but the game might be secondary to some players when they visit the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Celtics legends Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, who served as the captain for Boston for over a decade, will make their return for the first time since being traded over the summer. Current captain Rajon Rondo is one of the few familiar faces left from the Pierce-Garnett glory years.
Pierce and Garnett left to chase another ring together with Brooklyn and it finally appears as though the team may have what it takes to make a run at the Eastern Conference elite with nine wins in the last 10 games. The Celtics are losers of 13 of their last 15 but fans are expected to pack the arena on Sunday while the team pays tribute to the two former franchise cornerstones. “I just know that the emotions will probably be high, just because of the success that we had while we were in Boston,” Garnett told reporters. “We had some really good years there, some really promising years. I think it’s going to be forever, we’re embedded in it.”
•ABOUT THE NETS (19-22 SU, 20-21-0 ATS): Brooklyn picked up its fourth straight win with a 107-106 triumph over the Dallas Mavericks on Friday and unveiled a new weapon in Mirza Teletovic, who posted a career-high 34 points and buried seven 3-pointers. Teletovic’s emergence could take some pressure off Pierce, who is averaging a career-low 12.9 points in his first season with the Nets. “It’s going to be a lot of emotions,” Pierce told reporters of his return to Boston. “You play your whole life there, you win a championship there, I mean, being the first time back... It’s going to be special. I don’t know how I’ll react, what emotions are going to be going through my head.”
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (15-30 SU, 22-22-1 ATS): Boston was thumped 101-83 on Friday by an Oklahoma City squad that was without Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook and is still monitoring Rondo’s minutes. The former All-Star sat out Wednesday’s win over Washington as a precaution and was limited to 22 minutes on Friday but is expected to be in the lineup against his former teammates. The Celtics are expected to be without fellow guards Avery Bradley (ankle) and Jerryd Bayless (toe), leaving Phil Pressey as the backup point guard and Jeff Green as the shooting guard in a bigger starting unit.
•PREGAME NOTES: Celtics F Jared Sullinger dislocated his right index finger on Friday but is expected to play on Sunday.... Garnett (10 points, 11 rebounds) posted his second double-double of the season on Friday.... Brooklyn took the first meeting at home 104-96 on Dec. 10 despite just four points from Pierce.... The Celtics are 13-1 ATS versus the spread in home games on Sunday games over the last three seasons.... The Nets are 10-1 ATS in road games when playing six or less games in 14 days over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON covered the spread 573 times, while BROOKLYN covered the spread 404 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOSTON. In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN won the game straight up 502 times, while BOSTON won 466 times. In 1000 simulated games, 544 games went over the total, while 456 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON covered the first half line 547 times, while BROOKLYN covered the first half line 413 times. *EDGE against first half line =BOSTON. In 1000 simulated games, 516 games went over first half total, while 484 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BROOKLYN is 40-35 against the spread versus BOSTON since 1996.
--BOSTON is 40-37 straight up against BROOKLYN since 1996.
--42 of 76 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 42-34 versus the first half line when playing against BOSTON since 1996.
--38 of 76 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Celtics are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
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#811 DETROIT @ #812 DALLAS
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, FSN Detroit, FSN Southwest (Dallas) - Line: Mavericks -6.5, Total: 209) - The Dallas Mavericks look to get back on track after a 1-3 stretch when they start a four-game homestand against the Detroit Pistons on Sunday night. The Mavericks lost 107-106 on Friday at Brooklyn to complete a three-game trip with one victory but will face three teams with losing records over the next nine days on their home court. The Pistons come in with three consecutive losses – the last two by a combined five points -- to drop out of the top eight in the Eastern Conference.
Detroit gives up an average of 102.9 points to rank just behind Dallas (102.4) while the Pistons allow 46.8 percent shooting – 29th in the league. Dirk Nowitzki and Monta Ellis, who average almost 41 points between them, hope to exploit Detroit’s inconsistent defense. Pistons’ leading scorer Brandon Jennings rebounded from a zero-point outing with 58 points combined in the last two.
•ABOUT THE PISTONS (17-26 SU, 17-25-1 ATS): Andre Drummond comes in with seven straight double-doubles while averaging 12.8 points and a team-high 12.8 rebounds, and said the team remains confident. “We never have doubts,” Drummond told reporters after the 103-101 loss to New Orleans on Friday. “We just make poor decisions down the stretch of the game sometimes and we have to get better at it.” Jennings leads a balanced offense at 16.6 points, followed by Josh Smith (15.4) and reserve Rodney Stuckey (14.3).
•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (25-20 SU, 25-20-0 ATS): Dallas has yielded an average of 110 points over the last six contests and coach Rick Carlisle told reporters after the loss at Brooklyn, “We were just poor defensively.” The Mavericks can put the ball in the basket through, ranking in the top third in the league in scoring, led by Nowtzki (21) and Ellis (19.9 points, six assists). Veteran reserve Vince Carter made 8-of-15 from the field and scored 19 points against Brooklyn after shooting only 31.7 percent over his previous five outings.
•PREGAME NOTES: Detroit has not won a regular-season series against the Mavericks since 1997-98 and dropped the last five games at Dallas.... Stuckey has scored at least 20 points in four of his last five games for the Pistons.... Dallas F Shawn Marion (seven) leads the team in rebounding averages 11.3 points.... The Pistons are 10-1 against the spread in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons.... The Mavericks are 15-3 against the spread versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of more than 46% - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the spread 578 times, while DETROIT covered the spread 422 times. *EDGE against the spread =DALLAS. In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS won the game straight up 719 times, while DETROIT won 259 times. In 1000 simulated games, 667 games went under the total, while 308 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the first half line 562 times, while DETROIT covered the first half line 438 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 661 games went under first half total, while 339 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DETROIT is 18-14 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1996.
--DALLAS is 19-13 straight up against DETROIT since 1996.
--19 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--DETROIT is 17-15 versus the first half line when playing against DALLAS since 1996.
--19 of 32 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
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#813 DENVER @ #814 SACRAMENTO
(TV: 9:00 PM ET, Altitude (Denver), KXTV (Sacramento) - Line: Available) - The Sacramento Kings might again be without two of the better players when they host the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Center DeMarcus Cousins (ankle) and forward Rudy Gay (Achilles) both missed Friday’s overtime loss to the Indiana Pacers and Cousins has a better chance of returning than Gay does for the contest with Denver. The Nuggets posted an impressive win over Indiana on Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak.
Forward Wilson Chandler had a season-best 25 points against the Pacers but remains miffed as to why his team can’t solidly put things together. “If we play well, we can contend with any team,” Chandler said after the win over Indiana. “We’ve played well against a lot of top teams this year but we’ve lost to some of the bottom teams. We’ve got to play every team like they’re the best in the league.” Sacramento guards Marcus Thornton (42) and Isaiah Thomas (38) each matched their career-best point totals in Friday’s game.
•ABOUT THE NUGGETS (21-21 SU, 20-22-0 ATS): Seven different Denver players scored in double digits against the Pacers and Chandler was the most efficient as he knocked down four 3-pointers during his best scoring performance of the campaign. “I was just being a little aggressive and I was taking good shots,” Chandler said. “I probably took one or two bad shots but I was being aggressive and taking good shots at the same time.” Chandler is playing his best basketball of the season and is averaging 21 points over the last five games.
•ABOUT THE KINGS (15-27 SU, 19-22-1 ATS): Thornton knocked down seven 3-pointers and Thomas carried the Kings down the stretch of the overtime loss to the Pacers. Thornton came out firing with 22 first-quarter points as he sensed Sacramento needed an offensive boost with Cousins and Gay not available. “I took it upon myself to be that guy,” he said afterward. “It was a great team effort.” Thomas is averaging 29 points over the past four games with both of his career-best 38-point efforts are included in the hot streak.
•PREGAME NOTES: Sacramento defeated the Nuggets 90-88 on Oct. 30 to halt a nine-game losing streak in the series.... Thomas has made at least one 3-pointer in 36 consecutive games, which ties for second in franchise history with Peja Stojakovic and is only three shy of Mitch Richmond’s club record.... Denver PG Ty Lawson has 11 double-doubles over the past 12 games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
Note: There are currently *No EDGES available for this matchup due to No-Line posted at the present time. In 1000 simulated games, SACRAMENTO won the game straight up 555 times, while DENVER won 421 times.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DENVER is 31-28 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 35-29 straight up against DENVER since 1996.
--31 of 61 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 33-27 versus the first half line when playing against DENVER since 1996.
--32 of 62 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS win.
--Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
--Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
--Under is 5-1-1 in Kings last 7 games following a ATS win.
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#815 PORTLAND @ #816 GOLDEN STATE
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, CSN Northwest (Portland), CSN Bay Area (Golden State) - Line: Warriors -4.5, Total: 216.5) - The Golden State Warriors are losers of five of their last seven games and are watching their defense abandon them since a 10-game winning streak that bridged December and January. The Warriors will need to tighten that up in a hurry when they take on the visiting Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. The Trail Blazers lead the NBA in scoring average and took down the Minnesota Timberwolves 115-104 on Saturday.
Golden State limited opponents to 92.8 points during its winning streak but is surrendering 108.4 over the last seven contests, including a 121-120 home setback to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. “We’ve done a bad job - everybody on the floor, breakdowns,” coach Mark Jackson told reporters. “There is not one guy that is doing their job defensively. Everybody in uniform has been bad defensively for us and it’s disappointing right now.” Portland can spread teams out beyond the 3-point line or pound it inside to LaMarcus Aldridge.
•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (33-11 SU, 25-19-0 ATS): Portland took a 113-101 decision at Golden State on Nov. 23 in a game that included three ejections. Aldridge led the way with 30 points and 21 rebounds in that win and has put up at least 21 points in 11 straight games. The Blazers did not have it from 3-point range on Saturday, going 4-for-16, but took to the interior to outrebound (50-40) and outscore the Timberwolves in the paint (60-46). Portland has had its struggles on the road, however, dropping its last two away from home.
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (26-18 SU, 19-23-2 ATS): Stephen Curry recorded 33 points and 15 assists on Friday but could not get off a potential go-ahead shot in the final minutes and was upset about not winning while putting up 120 points. “It’s not winning basketball and we’ve got to figure it out,” Curry said. “There’s not much else to really say about it, just we’ve shown we can do it and good teams do it every game. Three losses in the last four or five games where we’ve scored over 115 points, so scoring the ball is not a problem.” Curry is averaging 29.2 points and 10 assists over the last five but struggled to 22 points on 8-of-21 shooting to go along with 11 assists and five turnovers in the Nov. 23 meeting.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Warriors have allowed 30 or more first-quarter points in seven of the last 11 games.... Portland matched last season’s win total with the win over the Timberwolves on Saturday.... Golden State G Klay Thompson is 15-for-30 from 3-point range over the last four games.... The Trail Blazers are 17-7 versus the spread in road games after one or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons.... The Warriors are 0-8 against the spread versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 522 times, while PORTLAND covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE won the game straight up 614 times, while PORTLAND won 365 times. In 1000 simulated games, 518 games went over the total, while 482 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 508 times, while PORTLAND covered the first half line 492 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 486 games went under first half total, while 478 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-27 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996.
--PORTLAND is 36-30 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--37 of 62 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-24 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--35 of 65 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
--Trail Blazers are 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Golden State.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
--Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 Sunday games.
--Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
--Over is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
_______________________________
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
CBB MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA
Play On - A favorite (NEBRASKA) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, with all five starters returning from last season
84-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% 37.8 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 2.8 units )
CBB QUINNIPIAC at MANHATTAN
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (QUINNIPIAC) in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after a loss by 15 points or more
111-147 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.0% 71.3 units )
16-11 this year. ( 59.3% 17.8 units )
CBB MARIST at CANISIUS
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (CANISIUS) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better
92-47 since 1997. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )
CBB MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA
Play On - A favorite (NEBRASKA) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, with all five starters returning from last season
84-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% 37.8 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 2.8 units )
CBB QUINNIPIAC at MANHATTAN
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (QUINNIPIAC) in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after a loss by 15 points or more
111-147 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.0% 71.3 units )
16-11 this year. ( 59.3% 17.8 units )
CBB MARIST at CANISIUS
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (CANISIUS) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better
92-47 since 1997. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )
Suns at Cavs: What bettors need to know
Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.5, 204.5)
The Phoenix Suns had built some momentum with three wins in their previous four games before a setback against Washington at home on Friday. A Sunday visit to Cleveland could do them well, with three straight wins over the Cavaliers. The Suns handed the Wizards 21 turnovers last time out and were beaten on the boards 44-30 - a familiar recipe for disaster, according to forward P.J. Tucker, who told the Arizona Republic, "Whenever that stuff goes together, it's a setup for a bad situation."
Cleveland snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Milwaukee on Friday and after wrapping up 2013 11 games under .500 at 10-21, the Cavaliers have shown subtle improvement at 6-6 in the month of January. Forward Tristan Thompson said the team is progressing as a group, albeit slowly, telling the Cleveland Plain Dealer, "It's a process and we've got to keep working at it and getting better." Thompson (14 points, 10 rebounds) and guard Kyrie Irving (10 and 10) each notched double-doubles, while Anderson Varejao led all scorers with 16 points in Friday's win.
TV: 6 p.m. ET, FSN Arizona (Phoenix), FSN Ohio (Cleveland)
ABOUT THE SUNS (24-18): Phoenix sits seventh in the Western Conference standings at present but with Dallas just a half game in its rear view and at 4-6 in its last 10 games, things aren't exactly comfortable. But the Suns are a team that has surprised this season and is only a few days removed from a 24-point thrashing of the powerhouse Indiana Pacers, allowing them to look at Friday's slip-up as an aberration. "It was a tough night," said Jeff Hornacek and Channing Frye took it as a lesson, adding, "We can't win like that."
ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (16-27): Cleveland's effort against Milwaukee left was appreciated by coach Mike Brown, who said, "I'll take this every game." The Cavaliers are still a team that is very much trying to find its identity, however, and part of that comes with taking the same approach to every game at this level. "We've got to be professionals," said Thompson, adding, "We can't wait for a guy to dunk on us or (Brown) to show some emotion for us to turn on the engine."
TRENDS:
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.
* Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Suns last five overall.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Phoenix is 6-4 in its last 10 visits to Cleveland and has won three straight as the road team in the series.
2. The Suns' 104.2 points per game is good for seventh in the NBA, while the Cavaliers rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring, averaging 96.4 points.
3. Cleveland has been solid on the offensive boards all year, averaging 12.5 per game - good for sixth in the league.
Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.5, 204.5)
The Phoenix Suns had built some momentum with three wins in their previous four games before a setback against Washington at home on Friday. A Sunday visit to Cleveland could do them well, with three straight wins over the Cavaliers. The Suns handed the Wizards 21 turnovers last time out and were beaten on the boards 44-30 - a familiar recipe for disaster, according to forward P.J. Tucker, who told the Arizona Republic, "Whenever that stuff goes together, it's a setup for a bad situation."
Cleveland snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Milwaukee on Friday and after wrapping up 2013 11 games under .500 at 10-21, the Cavaliers have shown subtle improvement at 6-6 in the month of January. Forward Tristan Thompson said the team is progressing as a group, albeit slowly, telling the Cleveland Plain Dealer, "It's a process and we've got to keep working at it and getting better." Thompson (14 points, 10 rebounds) and guard Kyrie Irving (10 and 10) each notched double-doubles, while Anderson Varejao led all scorers with 16 points in Friday's win.
TV: 6 p.m. ET, FSN Arizona (Phoenix), FSN Ohio (Cleveland)
ABOUT THE SUNS (24-18): Phoenix sits seventh in the Western Conference standings at present but with Dallas just a half game in its rear view and at 4-6 in its last 10 games, things aren't exactly comfortable. But the Suns are a team that has surprised this season and is only a few days removed from a 24-point thrashing of the powerhouse Indiana Pacers, allowing them to look at Friday's slip-up as an aberration. "It was a tough night," said Jeff Hornacek and Channing Frye took it as a lesson, adding, "We can't win like that."
ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (16-27): Cleveland's effort against Milwaukee left was appreciated by coach Mike Brown, who said, "I'll take this every game." The Cavaliers are still a team that is very much trying to find its identity, however, and part of that comes with taking the same approach to every game at this level. "We've got to be professionals," said Thompson, adding, "We can't wait for a guy to dunk on us or (Brown) to show some emotion for us to turn on the engine."
TRENDS:
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.
* Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Suns last five overall.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Phoenix is 6-4 in its last 10 visits to Cleveland and has won three straight as the road team in the series.
2. The Suns' 104.2 points per game is good for seventh in the NBA, while the Cavaliers rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring, averaging 96.4 points.
3. Cleveland has been solid on the offensive boards all year, averaging 12.5 per game - good for sixth in the league.
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half
27-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 22.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% 4.6 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 playing with 2 days rest, on Sunday games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half
27-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 22.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% 4.6 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 playing with 2 days rest, on Sunday games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )
World Class Capper
NHL
3* Rangers vs Devils - Over 5 goals @ +105
Starts at 12:35 PM est
NCAAB
3* SMU -4 point spread @ -110
Starts at 3:00 PM est
3* Oregon -6 point spread @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est
NBA
4* Lakers vs Knicks - Over 207 points @ -110
Starts at 3:30 PM est
4* Suns vs Cavaliers - Over 204.5 points @ -110
Starts at 6:05 PM est
4* Mavericks vs Pistons - Over 208 points @ -110
Starts at 7:35 PM est
NHL
3* Rangers vs Devils - Over 5 goals @ +105
Starts at 12:35 PM est
NCAAB
3* SMU -4 point spread @ -110
Starts at 3:00 PM est
3* Oregon -6 point spread @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est
NBA
4* Lakers vs Knicks - Over 207 points @ -110
Starts at 3:30 PM est
4* Suns vs Cavaliers - Over 204.5 points @ -110
Starts at 6:05 PM est
4* Mavericks vs Pistons - Over 208 points @ -110
Starts at 7:35 PM est
Advanced Sports Investments
college hoops
jeff's college dog (5-6 -1.60)
1x- georgia tech +5 nc st (1pm)
jimmys college play (10-3-2 +6.70)
1x- wisc gb -13 detroit (2pm)
nba
marc's nba under play (1-3 -2.30)
1x- new orleans/orlando - under 198.5 (6pm)
nhl
marc's nhl total play (4-2-3 +1.85)
1x- winnipeg/chicago over 5.5 -127 (7pm)
college hoops
jeff's college dog (5-6 -1.60)
1x- georgia tech +5 nc st (1pm)
jimmys college play (10-3-2 +6.70)
1x- wisc gb -13 detroit (2pm)
nba
marc's nba under play (1-3 -2.30)
1x- new orleans/orlando - under 198.5 (6pm)
nhl
marc's nhl total play (4-2-3 +1.85)
1x- winnipeg/chicago over 5.5 -127 (7pm)
DAVID BANKS
NBA
Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics
Two teams heading in opposite directions in the Atlantic Division square
off on ESPN Sunday evening when the red-hot Brooklyn Nets (19-22, 20-21 ATS)
take the short trip to visit to the reeling Boston Celtics (15-30, 22-22-1
ATS) at TD Garden in Boston at 6:35 ET. The Nets may be three games under
.500, but they have won four games in a row and are 9-1 since their 10-21 start
to move to within 2 games of the first place Raptors. The Celtics recently
welcomed back Rajon Rondo, but they have lost 13 of their last 15 games
overall and are 1-4 since Rondo came back with the win coming in the only game
he missed since his return.
With all of that said, the Nets have not been the most reliable of
favorites this season, a role they will undoubtedly be cast in here, going just 9-12
ATS as chalk with a losing 10-11 straight up record, as worst of all, they
have gone 2-6 both straight up and ATS as road favorites! However, the
'under' could be worth a look here as Brooklyn seems like the only one of these
teams capable of scoring points right now. The Nets have topped 100 points in
all four games of their current winning streak but the 'over' and 'under'
split 2-2 in those games with their defense allowing an average of just 96.5
points. Brooklyn has now climbed into the top half of the league in both
points against (14th) and field goal percentage allowed (13th), and they appear
to have a good chance to continue that defensive improvement vs. what has
been a struggling offense for most of the season that has looked even worse
while trying to get Rondo back into game shape.
The Celtics are 26th in the NBA in scoring at just 95.1 points per game and
23rd in field goal percentage at 43.8 percent, and the excitement
surrounding Boston when Rondo returned after missing nearly a year with a torn ACL
quickly waned when it became apparent that he is nowhere near where he was
before the injury yet. Rondo has averaged only 5.0 points in his four games
back, although his 5.2 assists while averaging 22 minutes are commendable and
can be seen as a positive sign. Still, the bottom line is that the Celtics as
a team have averaged 91.0 points in his four games back after losing 101-83
Friday to a Thunder team that played without both Kevin Durant and Russell
Westbrook for the first time in its history since moving to Oklahoma City.
And Boston has no choice but to keep playing Rondo as that is the only way
that he will get back in shape, even if it means giving away more games in
what looks like a lost season under first year NBA coach Brad Stevens.
The 'under' is 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games following an ATS loss, 6-2
in their last eight games vs. teams with losing straight up records and 5-0
in their last five games after allowing 100 points or more in their
previous game. The 'under' is also 4-1 in the Nets' last five games vs. teams with
losing straight up records and 3-1-1 in their last five road games.
PICK: OVER 193
NBA
Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics
Two teams heading in opposite directions in the Atlantic Division square
off on ESPN Sunday evening when the red-hot Brooklyn Nets (19-22, 20-21 ATS)
take the short trip to visit to the reeling Boston Celtics (15-30, 22-22-1
ATS) at TD Garden in Boston at 6:35 ET. The Nets may be three games under
.500, but they have won four games in a row and are 9-1 since their 10-21 start
to move to within 2 games of the first place Raptors. The Celtics recently
welcomed back Rajon Rondo, but they have lost 13 of their last 15 games
overall and are 1-4 since Rondo came back with the win coming in the only game
he missed since his return.
With all of that said, the Nets have not been the most reliable of
favorites this season, a role they will undoubtedly be cast in here, going just 9-12
ATS as chalk with a losing 10-11 straight up record, as worst of all, they
have gone 2-6 both straight up and ATS as road favorites! However, the
'under' could be worth a look here as Brooklyn seems like the only one of these
teams capable of scoring points right now. The Nets have topped 100 points in
all four games of their current winning streak but the 'over' and 'under'
split 2-2 in those games with their defense allowing an average of just 96.5
points. Brooklyn has now climbed into the top half of the league in both
points against (14th) and field goal percentage allowed (13th), and they appear
to have a good chance to continue that defensive improvement vs. what has
been a struggling offense for most of the season that has looked even worse
while trying to get Rondo back into game shape.
The Celtics are 26th in the NBA in scoring at just 95.1 points per game and
23rd in field goal percentage at 43.8 percent, and the excitement
surrounding Boston when Rondo returned after missing nearly a year with a torn ACL
quickly waned when it became apparent that he is nowhere near where he was
before the injury yet. Rondo has averaged only 5.0 points in his four games
back, although his 5.2 assists while averaging 22 minutes are commendable and
can be seen as a positive sign. Still, the bottom line is that the Celtics as
a team have averaged 91.0 points in his four games back after losing 101-83
Friday to a Thunder team that played without both Kevin Durant and Russell
Westbrook for the first time in its history since moving to Oklahoma City.
And Boston has no choice but to keep playing Rondo as that is the only way
that he will get back in shape, even if it means giving away more games in
what looks like a lost season under first year NBA coach Brad Stevens.
The 'under' is 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games following an ATS loss, 6-2
in their last eight games vs. teams with losing straight up records and 5-0
in their last five games after allowing 100 points or more in their
previous game. The 'under' is also 4-1 in the Nets' last five games vs. teams with
losing straight up records and 3-1-1 in their last five road games.
PICK: OVER 193
SPORTS WAGERS NHL
N.Y. RANGERS -107 over New Jersey
The Devils are within one point of a playoff spot. There is a log jam in the East as eight teams, separated by an incredible two points, battle for three playoff spots. Every game is crucial and the Devils have as good a shot as any of them of making the playoffs proving they stick with Cory Schneider as their #1 goaltender. Schneider was #2 for most of this year but that has recently changed because anyone with any hockey knowledge knows that he’s a far better option than Martin Brodeur. However, Brodeur gets the call for this game because as Peter DeBoer and Lou Lou Lamoriello stated, “he’s earned this right”. In other words, this is a courtesy start for another “Winter Classic” at Yankee Stadium. Brodeur’s .905 save percentage is one of the worst in the league and it’s even worse when you consider that he’s faced fewer shots on net per game than any goalie in the league. Over his last dozen starts, Brodeur has save percentage games of .889, .893, .792, .818, .783, .875, .824 and .818. Playing outdoors in frigid temperatures against one of the hottest teams in the league is a recipe for disaster.
The Rangers have won seven of 10 and have picked up points in eight of 10. Over their past nine games, the Rangers have allowed two goals or fewer eight times. Overall, the Rangers have allowed just 16 goals against over their past nine games. Rick Nash is playing at another level right now and has never looked better since joining the Blue Shirts. With goaltending being as significant as the starting pitchers in baseball, the Rangers have a huge edge in this game. We once again turn to Peter DeBoer, who started the following, “It really is an easy decision from a right thing to do perspective,'' he said. ''His career, 20 years with the Devils and what he's done in being the face of this franchise.'' DeBoer’s decision to start Brodeur makes our decision of backing the Rangers in a pick ‘em game an easy choice for us too.
CHICAGO -1½ +129 over Winnipeg
For the first time this season, we’re spotting 1½-pucks in an NHL game because this is the perfect spot to do so. Winnipeg has played some fine hockey since changing coaches with five wins in six games. The Jets only loss over that span occurred against San Jose on Thursday night. However, fatigue set in last night, as Winnipeg blew a 4-1 lead over the Maple Leafs before winning in in OT. After playing in Anaheim on Tuesday, San Jose on Thursday, and back home last night against the Leafs, the Jets will now travel again for the fourth consecutive game in six days in three different time zones. Winnipeg is in no position here, physically or mentally, to do battle with Chicago.
The Blackhawks are coming off back-to-back losses for only the third time this season. Previously, after losing two in a row, Chicago responded with a 5-1 victory over Minnesota and a 6-2 victory Florida. The other time they lost consecutive games, they ended up losing three in a row but that fate does not await them here. The Blackhawks are an offensive juggernaut. Their 189 goals scored is tops in the NHL and they’ve outscored the Jets 15-5 over the last three times they’ve played them. This is the Jets worst scheduling date of the season. They are in a letdown spot after three emotional games, capped off by last night’s OT win over the Maple Leafs in front of a packed and enthusiastic house. Winnipeg could not have hand-picked a worse time to face the Blackhawks, a rested squad in a foul mood.
N.Y. RANGERS -107 over New Jersey
The Devils are within one point of a playoff spot. There is a log jam in the East as eight teams, separated by an incredible two points, battle for three playoff spots. Every game is crucial and the Devils have as good a shot as any of them of making the playoffs proving they stick with Cory Schneider as their #1 goaltender. Schneider was #2 for most of this year but that has recently changed because anyone with any hockey knowledge knows that he’s a far better option than Martin Brodeur. However, Brodeur gets the call for this game because as Peter DeBoer and Lou Lou Lamoriello stated, “he’s earned this right”. In other words, this is a courtesy start for another “Winter Classic” at Yankee Stadium. Brodeur’s .905 save percentage is one of the worst in the league and it’s even worse when you consider that he’s faced fewer shots on net per game than any goalie in the league. Over his last dozen starts, Brodeur has save percentage games of .889, .893, .792, .818, .783, .875, .824 and .818. Playing outdoors in frigid temperatures against one of the hottest teams in the league is a recipe for disaster.
The Rangers have won seven of 10 and have picked up points in eight of 10. Over their past nine games, the Rangers have allowed two goals or fewer eight times. Overall, the Rangers have allowed just 16 goals against over their past nine games. Rick Nash is playing at another level right now and has never looked better since joining the Blue Shirts. With goaltending being as significant as the starting pitchers in baseball, the Rangers have a huge edge in this game. We once again turn to Peter DeBoer, who started the following, “It really is an easy decision from a right thing to do perspective,'' he said. ''His career, 20 years with the Devils and what he's done in being the face of this franchise.'' DeBoer’s decision to start Brodeur makes our decision of backing the Rangers in a pick ‘em game an easy choice for us too.
CHICAGO -1½ +129 over Winnipeg
For the first time this season, we’re spotting 1½-pucks in an NHL game because this is the perfect spot to do so. Winnipeg has played some fine hockey since changing coaches with five wins in six games. The Jets only loss over that span occurred against San Jose on Thursday night. However, fatigue set in last night, as Winnipeg blew a 4-1 lead over the Maple Leafs before winning in in OT. After playing in Anaheim on Tuesday, San Jose on Thursday, and back home last night against the Leafs, the Jets will now travel again for the fourth consecutive game in six days in three different time zones. Winnipeg is in no position here, physically or mentally, to do battle with Chicago.
The Blackhawks are coming off back-to-back losses for only the third time this season. Previously, after losing two in a row, Chicago responded with a 5-1 victory over Minnesota and a 6-2 victory Florida. The other time they lost consecutive games, they ended up losing three in a row but that fate does not await them here. The Blackhawks are an offensive juggernaut. Their 189 goals scored is tops in the NHL and they’ve outscored the Jets 15-5 over the last three times they’ve played them. This is the Jets worst scheduling date of the season. They are in a letdown spot after three emotional games, capped off by last night’s OT win over the Maple Leafs in front of a packed and enthusiastic house. Winnipeg could not have hand-picked a worse time to face the Blackhawks, a rested squad in a foul mood.
SPORTS WAGERS NBA
Detroit +6½ -105 over DALLAS
Detroit is somewhat of an enigma with some outstanding individual talent but a season of inconsistent play sees them battling for a playoff spot when they should be sitting comfortably in one instead. Case in point was Detroit’s 103-101 loss to New Orleans on Friday at the Palace. The Pistons used a 30-4 run to turn a 10-point deficit into a 16-point lead and subsequently lost the game. Three of their last six losses have been by four points or less. The Pistons’ stock is low right now with three straight losses and that includes a loss against the dreadful Bucks on Wednesday. Detroit has also lost nine of its past 12 games but it has been much better on the road with 10 wins in 21 games and this is another winnable road game.
The Mavericks are a careless team that turns the ball over far too often to be spotting points with. Those turnovers become four-point swings very quickly. Dallas also returns home after a three-game trip and after playing five of its last six on the road. The Mavericks have to be at their absolute best to win games. Unlike other powers in the West, Dallas is too soft defensively to withstand anything other than a 100% full out effort. They have also shown a propensity for allowing the opposition big runs almost every game and that’s another difficult thing to overcome when spotting points. The Pistons like the road very much so taking back significant points in a game they have a distinct chance of winning outright is the prudent way to go.
SACRAMENTO over Denver
Line is off board Sunday morning but it’s a game worth playing and we’ll post the number as soon as it becomes available. The Nuggets played Portland on Thursday and had Friday off before hosting Indiana Saturday night (they beat Indy). That’s two Class-A teams in back-to-back games. After playing the Blazers and Pacers in their previous two contests and playing three games in four days, the erratic Nuggets don’t figure to be very sharp here.
Sacramento is likely without Rudy Gay but that’s fine, as it allows us a better line in a favorable spot. The Kings have been outstanding at home with three wins in four games with only loss occurring against Indiana in OT. We'll update both the analysis and line soon.
Detroit +6½ -105 over DALLAS
Detroit is somewhat of an enigma with some outstanding individual talent but a season of inconsistent play sees them battling for a playoff spot when they should be sitting comfortably in one instead. Case in point was Detroit’s 103-101 loss to New Orleans on Friday at the Palace. The Pistons used a 30-4 run to turn a 10-point deficit into a 16-point lead and subsequently lost the game. Three of their last six losses have been by four points or less. The Pistons’ stock is low right now with three straight losses and that includes a loss against the dreadful Bucks on Wednesday. Detroit has also lost nine of its past 12 games but it has been much better on the road with 10 wins in 21 games and this is another winnable road game.
The Mavericks are a careless team that turns the ball over far too often to be spotting points with. Those turnovers become four-point swings very quickly. Dallas also returns home after a three-game trip and after playing five of its last six on the road. The Mavericks have to be at their absolute best to win games. Unlike other powers in the West, Dallas is too soft defensively to withstand anything other than a 100% full out effort. They have also shown a propensity for allowing the opposition big runs almost every game and that’s another difficult thing to overcome when spotting points. The Pistons like the road very much so taking back significant points in a game they have a distinct chance of winning outright is the prudent way to go.
SACRAMENTO over Denver
Line is off board Sunday morning but it’s a game worth playing and we’ll post the number as soon as it becomes available. The Nuggets played Portland on Thursday and had Friday off before hosting Indiana Saturday night (they beat Indy). That’s two Class-A teams in back-to-back games. After playing the Blazers and Pacers in their previous two contests and playing three games in four days, the erratic Nuggets don’t figure to be very sharp here.
Sacramento is likely without Rudy Gay but that’s fine, as it allows us a better line in a favorable spot. The Kings have been outstanding at home with three wins in four games with only loss occurring against Indiana in OT. We'll update both the analysis and line soon.
River City Sharps
The Cal Bears invade Pauley Pavilion for a matchup of two of the best teams in the Pac-12 right now, both trying to chase down Arizona. Cal enters this game playing really well at 14-5 overall, but they are just 4-5 on the road this season. For UCLA, home has been a very good place to be, where they sport a 12-1 record and are averaging almost 85 ppg. Anderson and Adams have been playing out of their minds for the Bruins and give UCLA a great 1-2 punch, while Cal is going to look to Bird for most of their offensive production now that he is back and healthy. We saw Cal play in Maui and get absolutely manhandled by an everage Dayton team. While we know that was an early game, they really struggled to compete on the glass and we think the same thing holds true today. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - UCLA (-6)
The Cal Bears invade Pauley Pavilion for a matchup of two of the best teams in the Pac-12 right now, both trying to chase down Arizona. Cal enters this game playing really well at 14-5 overall, but they are just 4-5 on the road this season. For UCLA, home has been a very good place to be, where they sport a 12-1 record and are averaging almost 85 ppg. Anderson and Adams have been playing out of their minds for the Bruins and give UCLA a great 1-2 punch, while Cal is going to look to Bird for most of their offensive production now that he is back and healthy. We saw Cal play in Maui and get absolutely manhandled by an everage Dayton team. While we know that was an early game, they really struggled to compete on the glass and we think the same thing holds true today. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - UCLA (-6)
