Service Plays Sunday 1/10/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, JANUARY 10

Game 105-106: Baltimore at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 136.463; New England 142.116
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under

Game 107-108: Green Bay at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 134.923; Arizona 137.538
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Arizona by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday, January 10

BALTIMORE (9 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 6) - 1/10/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-98 ATS (+21.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (11 - 5) at ARIZONA (10 - 6) - 1/10/2010, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
GREEN BAY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
GREEN BAY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Sunday, January 10th

AFC Wild Card TV: CBS

Baltimore at New England, 1:00 ET

Baltimore:
6-1 Under off road game
0-3 ATS at New England

New England:
17-6 Under in playoff games
11-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

NFC Wild Card TV: FOX

Green Bay at Arizona, 4:30 ET

Green Bay:
11-4-1 ATS this season
6-0 ATS vs. NFC West

Arizona:
4-0 Under as a home favorite of 7 points or less
5-1 Under revenging home loss by 21+ points

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL ADDITIONAL

Wild Card Playoffs

Trend Report

Sunday, January 10

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Baltimore is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New England is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore


4:40 PM
GREEN BAY vs. ARIZONA
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

 

[pointclickcars]

Straightupbet

New England -3
Arizona -1

They are extremely good in NFL

 

[Tech34]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tech34
....I have Lang's NFL picks for this weekend. He does a weekly spot on a local sports talk radio show in Jacksonville,fl with CBSSPORTSLINE.COM columist Pete Prisco.


He had Eagles to cover over Cowboys ....Prisco liked the Boys.

.........Pats to cover vs. Baltimore Prisco agreed.

.........Cincy to cover vs. the Jets......I think Prisco was on the fence in this game....I'm not sure.

........Packers over Arizona....Langer loves the over at 46.5...I like the over as well. ....Prisco did say he liked the over in every game...lol.

...I heard these picks thursday 01/07/10 on the radio.......you never know Langer will prob give out something else on his site.....he is such a dipshit,listening to him talk every thursday is annoying,but there are no other good sports talk shows in jax. Prisco is pretty good,he knows his NFL.

 

[mikejersey25]

Docs

5 Unit Play. #107 Take Green Bay +1 over Arizona (Sunday 4:30 pm Fox) NFL Playoff Game of the Year. Green Bay 27, Arizona 23.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

Pats-3 5*

AZ/GB ov 47 5*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diceituponline - Hammer's NFL Wild Card Weekend

Wild Card Weekend Jan 10

NFL: Baltimore +3.5 = 10 Dimes
NFL: Green Bay +1 = 10 Dimes

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL WRITE-UP

Week Wild Card Weekend

Sunday, January 10

Ravens @ Patriots-- Baltimore (+2) lost 27-21 here back in Week 4, in game where Ravens had twice as much penalty yardage (85-41) as Patriots, with a roughing-passer penalty one of big calls of game. Ravens complained long and loud about it after game; now they get chance at revenge. Baltimore was 3-5 on road this year; this is also their third consecutive away game. Huge injury for New England is Welker's knee injury; their defensive coordinator was taken to hospital during Houston game last week-- not sure of his status for this. Pats are 8-0 at home this year. Five of last six New England games stayed under the total, just like eight of last ten Baltimore games did.

Packers @ Cardinals-- Green Bay won seven of last eight games, losing by a point in Pittsburgh on last play of game, when Big Ben threw for 503 yards in bizarre game; Packers crushed Arizona here LW, but once Minnesota lost, the Cardinals used passive gameplan and yanked Warner very early. Arizona won all three of its home playoff games; they were just 4-4 at home this year. Not sure about Boldin's leg injuries, which are potential problem. Six of last seven Redbird games stayed under the total. Packers have 39 TDs on their last 122 drives over the last 11 games, as Rodgers has proven to be more than an able replacement for Favre. Pack held eight of last nine foes under 82 rush yards.

 

[STACKSONDECK]

dover picks


packers 3 units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Blezow

He went 14-3 on his locks this year. (27-7-1 last 35),
He also had a great week last week Going 13-3 in all his plays & went 2-1 on his 3 pack of BB

Pats - 3 1/2 for his One & Only Lock-14-3 This Year
SUNDAY

PATRIOTS (-31⁄2) over Ravens

Over 43

This hasn’t been a banner year for the Patriots. The defense has slipped. Wes Welker got hurt last week against the Texans. Even Bill Belichick was raked over the coals for his fourth-down call in Indy. And Tom Brady is entering the playoffs with numerous injuries. Added up, it’s a lot, but still not enough to expect the Patriots to lose at home, where they are 8-0 this season and 8-0 in the playoffs in the Brady/Belichick era, to a Ravens team that needed late-season wins over the Lions, Bears and Raiders to get to 9-7.

Patriots 27-17-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
heres the rest of his plays

Jets + 2 1/2
Jets 16-10

Eagles (+4) over COWBOYS

Over 45

The Cowboys won both games against the Eagles this season, including a 24-0 wipeout last week with the NFC East title (and a bye for Philly) on the line. With a late-season surge, they beat away the Tony Romo December blues of the past few years.

But this one’s all about pedigree. Andy Reid is 6-0 in the first game of a playoff season, and Donovan McNabb has won three playoff road games. By comparison, the Cowboys haven’t won in the postseason since 1996, Wade Phillips is 0-4 lifetime, and Romo 0-2.

Reid has had a little time now to adjust to the huge loss of center Jamaal Jackson, and the Birds have a big edge with David Akers over Shaun Suisham if it comes down to a late kick.

Eagles 24-23




Sunday
SUNDAY

PATRIOTS (-31⁄2) over Ravens Best Bet



CARDINALS (-1) over Packers

Over 471⁄2

Kurt Warner is going to Canton on the wings of his great playoff performances, and even though Aaron Rodgers (30 TDs, 7 INTs) quickly has risen to the upper echelon, it’s hard to go against Warner at home in the tournament.

The Pack’s bugaboo in their losses this season has been sacks, and the Cards bring seven sacks off each edge up front in Calais Campbell (he’ll cast up his broken thumb) and Darnell Dockett. With the pressure and the ballhawks in the secondary, the Cards D can thwart Rodgers enough to make it winnable for Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin (betting he’ll play, too).

Cardinals 28-24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wayne Root

Sunday:
Vegas Legand - Ravens
No Limit - Cardinals (Wildcard Game of the Year)

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Baltimore at New England (Sunday 1/10 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: New England -3 (-120)
The New England Patriots once again find themselves playing in January, and once again playing host. Despite winning 11 games last season with a backup quarterback, they missed the playoffs. As a result you can bet they are pumped to be here and will be looking to make the most of it. And unlike the last time they were here, they have something to prove in 2009. They aren't getting the respect they have gotten in years past, as shown by this line and the lack of media attention. By some accounts, they don't deserve it as they posted what looks to be a good, but not great, season. They went 10-6 and never seemed to be among the league's elite as the attention went to Indy, New Orleans, San Diego and Minnesota. But, let's l ook a bit deeper. New England's six losses this season came to some pretty good teams, or teams playing very well. They lost to Denver early on when the Broncos were playing very good football and in the midst of their 6-0 run. They lost to an Indianapolis teamthat could have gone 16-0 this season if they so chose. They lost to a 13-3 New Orleans team as well and posted a fairly meaningless loss to Houston at the end of the year. They didn't have any really embarrasing losses on the year, and most importantly, they really took care of business at home. More on that in a minute. Some will point to the loss of Wes Welker as a problem here. As good Welker he is, this offense is more systematic than player-dependent. Julian Edelman, in less than a full game last week, came in to grab 10 passes for 103 yards. He also performed very well when we filled in for Welker earlier in the season. He's a dropoff, but not enough to make a huge difference. If this game were in Baltimore, I might like the Ravens. But it's in Foxboro and that is very important. At home this season New England was an absolute juggernaut. They went 8-0, outscoring opponents 31 to 13 in the process. That's a margin of 18 points per game. The last time they lost at home withTom Brady under center was 24 games ago, on November 12, 2006! Let's not forget who we are backing here. This team still has Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and Randy Moss playing at home. In years past, that would command a TD+ line but we lay only a field goal here against a team that was 3-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road this season! Baltimore was actually outscored by their opponents on the road in 2009. Why so much respect here? The Ravens are tough against the run, but are vulnerable to the type of air attack they will face here. The Ravens faced six top QBs this season in Phillip Rivers, Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Big Ben. They lost five of the six games, including the last five straight. The Pats usually win the games they are supposed to. Over the past fifteen years, they are 23-5 ATS vs. teams at .500 to .600. They are also 22-10 ATS over that span at home vs. good defenses (those allowing 17 or fewer points per game). With "The Hoody" in charge, thisteam is 67-53 ATS as a favorite and 30-16 ATS when coming off a loss as they are here.
I like the Pats to get it done and win and cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vinnie Iyer


Shootout of the Week
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots. Remember Mark Clayton's drop on the Ravens' final drive against the Pats in Week 4? Had he caught that ball, there's a good chance the Ravens would have emerged winners from what was a 27-21 loss at Foxborough.

You know in the rematch that Baltimore will be adept at shutting down the Patriots' mix of backs in the running game. In turn the Patriots will work to take away what the Ravens do best -- move the ball with feature back Ray Rice.

.That should make Joe Flacco and Tom Brady confident to take to the air, where neither will be daunted by the other's team pass rush or secondary. Without having to worry about pesky Wes Welker, however, look for the Ravens to bracket their coverage on Randy Moss so they aren't beat deep, making Brady dink and dunk more, increasing the chance of a turnover.

As for Flacco, working with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, the Ravens will spread out the Patriots' defense with the pass, and then come back to the run with Rice and Willis McGahee to steal a victory later. Ravens 30, Patriots 27

Upset of the Week
Green Bay Packers over Arizona Cardinals. We've already picked the Jets and Ravens as underdogs, so going with the Packers is pure gravy. The Packers just throttled the resting Cards in Glendale last week, and they won't let up with more on the line.

Green Bay's 3-4 is capable of keeping Beanie Wells and Arizona's ground game in check, which will put the Packers in a good situation against the pass. Clay Matthews will lead the charge to put pressure on Kurt Warner, and as usual, cornerback Charles Woodson will come up with a big play or two.

Offensively, the Packers will keep Arizona off-balance with a balanced attack and Aaron Rodgers' mobility helping them make some big plays. They'll mix in Ryan Grant effectively to keep the Cardinals' aggressive front honest, and they'll score the decisive touchdown late. Packers 24, Cardinals 20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FleaPicker


BALTIMORE
GREEN BAY

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pilfo

The Patriots are a team that has been running on heart, guts and great game-planning. Brady has been admirable and the defense is over-performing. The running game has been good also. That is where it ends though. The crude reality is that the Pats are banged up and the Ravens defense will be targeting Brady and all other injured players that take the filed. The Ravens offensive running game will dictate this game and open up the passing game to Mason and Kelly Washington who is actually the best receiver on the team. Look for a very physical game that wears down the Pats midway through the 3rd quarter.
Prediction: Ravens 24-20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JB Computer Picks

Sunday, January 10th, 2009 (eastern time)
Baltimore Ravens +3½
Green Bay Packers +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Norm Hitzges

·Double Play--Green Bay +1 vs Arizona