Service Plays Sunday 09/13/09

[patriots12]

CPW,
Can you confirm? Here is on the website for Freddy Wills
Thanks


**NFL OPENING DAY 1:00PM PACKAGE 2-PLAYS 10** TOTAL! ONLY $20

Eagles vs. Panthers (1:00pm et)
To Win 4**

vs.

Broncos vs. Bengals (1:00pm et)
To Win 6**

vs.

and further down this is listed


Sunday NFL POD 4-Dimes (1-5 scale) $20 Guaranteed!

 

[kaos77]

kelso baltimore

is this his 50 unit?

 

[Typhoon]

When did Root start rating the picks with units (10, 6, 4)?

This has me questioning these plays...

These are from his "Perfect Play Club "

 

[MikeJoe206]

Stan Sharp NFL LAS VEGAS INSIDER GAME

Indianapolis Colts

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
9/13/09- Sunday MLB

6-0 (+46 ) day on the diamond yesterday

10*cws/laa over 9
10*colorado-130
7*cards-154
7*pitt.+140
7*oak/minn over 9
5*lad-114


***bought and confirmed

 

[SMITTYWANTSWINNERS]

football jesus

redskins +7.0
panther+2
detroit +14
chicagp+4.5
cleveland +4.5

he also has arizona -6

Hey fellas, can someone confirm these picks? Ryangenero in post #219 in Saturday's service play thread said not all the picks posted yesterday were FBJ's and Sportsrmylife said they were...Thanks for getting the picks cpaw :toast: good luck everybody, smoke up and enjoy the games!!

 

[EagleFan]

Phil Steele

4* Dallas
3* Cinn
3* Houston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills NFL POD (0-1)
4-Dime NFL Sunday Play of the Day!
Bears vs. Packers (8:20pm et)
vs.
The Bottom Line
Take Packers -4 (4-Dime POD 1-5 scale)

wills
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->The Bottom Line
Take Packers -4 (4-Dime POD 1-5 scale)
Sunday opening night will be our POD and I'm riding high with the Packers here. There are just too many adjustments that I think Cutler is going to have to make to play in this division that he won't get his first walk through. Although I do see the Bears right in the thick of things to win this division I do not see it here tonight against the Packers in what should be a high scoring affair. Last year the Packers dominated the Bears for the 1st 6 quarters. They won at home 37-3 and then they backed that up with a 14-3 lead at the half in Chicago only to fall 17-3 in the final two quarters to lose 20-17.

The Bears weakness is their pass defense and it's something the Packers can do with 2nd year starter Aaron Rodgers who threw for 487 yards last year against the Bears with 4TD and 2INT. One year later and one year better will be Rodgers and I think he is a top 5 QB in this league right now! That is saying a lot and he has the weapons in Jennings and Driver and Lee to get the job done against the Bears. The guy will be whether or not the Packers can play defense this year. That remains to be the question and we will find out.

Packers made the switch from the 4-3 to the 3-4 and they have a new defensive staff. They drafted BJ Raji out of BC to play DT at 6-2 337lbs he is beast although he is questionable Sunday I am confident he'll make the start and should help force the Bears to have to throw the ball something that is going to be a challenge early in the season while Cutler gets his feet wet. The Bears main tagets will be Olsen and Clark along with Forte and Hester. If Hester can have a big year at WR this team could be on its way. I just think they will struggle facing the Packers new defense and the Packers will be able to score a bunch of points with their passing attack!
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly's LTS

2* Miami
2* Jax
2* San Francisco

 

[EagleFan]

Brandon Lang Full Card
<HR style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #d1d1e1; COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sunday's Selections ...

30 DIMER - CAROLINA PANTHERS - Going against the big line move and coming with Carolina today.



This line opened up Panthers -1, and has moved it's way all the way to the Eagles -2 1/2 as of this writing Saturday night.



I have a Carolina Panther team that was 8-0 SU at home last year, but I guess nobody remembers that. All anyone remembers is the implosion in the playoffs versus Arizona.



Now I completely understand how that can leave a lasting effect on someone's mind, but this is a new year and new team, and in my opinion it's not Carolina with a bunch of holes, it's the Eagles.



Rookie starting in the secondary with the heart-and-soul of that secondary gone in Brian Dawkins, starting middle linebacker gone due to injury and a patch work offensive line to start your offense with.



Steve Smith and Julius Peppers take note for a monster day.



The bottom line for me is the line move in this game, and an undefeated regular season by the Panthers last year, and Jake Delhomme looking for redemption.



I feel Vegas had this number right when they first put it out at Panthers -1, and that was Vegas telling you they expected Carolina was going to win this game.



CAROLINA PANTHERS - 1 PM



10 DIMER - MIAMI DOLPHINS - DOG LOCK - Great spot to grab the Dolphins and the points in what I feel is a field goal game.



In the 43 year history of their franchise, the Falcons have never had back-to-back winning seasons, yet everyone is talking about this team being one of the teams to beat in the NFC.



The bottom line is they caught about every break in the world last year in their great run but I truly don't feel they will be as fortunate this year.



This is a Dolphins team that went 6-2 ATS on the road last year, and I love their defense and how they match up with what Atlanta wants to do on the offensive sie of the football.



I really feel this is a field goal game, and getting 4 points is a lot of points in a game between two teams I feel are evenly matched.



My dollar is on the Dolphins and it wouldn't suprise me if they went ahead and pulled off the outright upset.



Grab Miami and the points here.



MIAMI DOLPHINS - 1 PM



10 DIMER - CINCINNATI BENGALS - This is going to get ugly early.



Denver is in a lot of trouble, not only in this spot here but all year long.



I don't believe Kyle Orton is the answer, and he does come into this game banged up. Or Chris Simms, who is banged up. Or rookie Brandstater. In fact, any QB they put in here will not be the answer. The problems run deeper for this team.



Their defense was ranked in the bottom 5 of the NFL last year, and they didn't do much to get better in the off season and now they face a Bengals offense that resembles the playoff offense of a few years back.



Yes, Carson Palmer has a tender ankle, but that doesn't concern me with who he is playing against. This is a bad Denver team. Really bad.



Under Shanahan, Denver went 14-34 ATS last 48 games on the vegas board. Let's fire him and bring in a 32 year old who tries to go get Matt Cassel, angers Jay Cutler and you expect good things from this crew?



This is a huge statement game for the Bengals, and I do mean huge, and with the momentum and home crowd and return of Carson Palmer, Ochocinco and Chris Henry, I like the Bengals by double digits today.



Rolling with the Bengals.



CINCINNATI BENGALS - 1 PM



10 DIME - 6-POINT SAME GAME TEASER - SF & OVER - Numbers don't lie when these two meet in Arizona.



Not only have the Niners covered the last 4 meetings in Arizona, but the last 4 meetings, and 8 of the last 11 have gone OVER the total.



I don't know what it is but when these two get together in Arizona, you can rest assured you are going to get a San Francisco cover, and the game is going to go over the total as well.



You can't help but think about Kurt Warner and the Cardinals missing offensive coordinator Todd Haley a little bit in this game, but where the real holes lie is in their defense.



I am banking on the history of these two in Arizona today, as I tease the Niners to a double digit dog, and tease the total down, and go over in a nice same game teaser on the afternoon card.



Niners and over the way to go in a 2-team, 6-point teaser.



FREE PICK WINNER - GREEN BAY PACKERS

<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stan Sharp NFL LAS VEGAS INSIDER GAME

Indianapolis Colts

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jerrad Hendrikson

Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas
Minnesota Vikings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun-Sports Executive Club

5* NFC Game of the Week

Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pick: Dallas Cowboys -5.5

The Dallas Cowboys open the 2009 campaign on the highway with a trip to Cigar City to face the relatively new-look Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Gone is HC John Gruden and cover-2 genius Monte Kiffin as his era came to an end when he accepted the DC job at the University of Tennessee where his son Lane is the head coach.

Both of these teams were 9-7 a year ago but the expectations for the current season are much different for each of them. The Cowboys have added and removed some personnel but the core is still there with the one exception, Terrell Owns departure for Buffalo which many believe helped this Cowboys team and they should now be ready to make a run. The Bucs on the other hand have a lot of work to do on both sides of the ball with a new coaching staff, QB, RB and an aging defensive secondary who had to learn an entirely new defensive scheme so there will be some growing pains this season in Tampa.

On offense QB Tony Romo has plenty of weapons with a strong stable of running backs including Marion Barber, Felix Jones who averaged an amazing 8.9 yards per carry on thirty carries last season before the injury bug got him and Tashard Choice. Even with Owens gone Romo still has viable targets in Roy Williams and Patrick Crayton both should have solid seasons in 09.

The Dallas defense was hurt by the absence of CB Terrance Newman much of last season but he is now healthy and as we saw in the latter part of the year when he returned they are a very good defensive team with him in the lineup. Last season Dallas led the league with 59 sacks and that will be a problem for Bucs QB Leftwich who has a very slow delivery.

The Bucs cannot match the fundamental advantages the Boys have on them; their offense could be ok with QB Byron Leftwich and newly acquired RB Derrick Ward from the Giants but they are still not in the class of this Cowboys team. The fact the Bucs released their new OC Jeff Jagodzinski just two weeks ago doesn’t scream continuity among the ranks and certainly will make things harder to begin the season.

Defensively the Bucs have tons of questions none more apparent than an aging secondary that had to learn a new system and the loss of their heart and soul in LB Derrick Brooks. Their inability to cover during the preseason certainly didn’t go unnoticed by the Cowboys coaching staff and they will be looking to exploit that weakness on Sunday.

The Cowboys play solid defense, have a very good rushing attack and they can throw the ball around facing a team that is just “ok” in a couple of these areas and questionable at best in the others. Laying less than a TD even on the road should not be a problem for this Cowboys team against a Bucs squad that still has major questions on both sides of the ball.

The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS as a road favorite before playing at home in each of the next two weeks, 12-3 ATS before playing the Giants, and 6-2 ATS as a non-division road favorite. We also note that the Cowboys have won and covered their opener the last two seasons and have won and covered the last two versus the Bucs.

Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Cowboys win by 9.2 points over the Bucs and our PPR (Player Performance Ratings) Index also favors the road team by 9.9 points on Sunday in Tampa Bay. Lay the chalk with the Cowboys as they open for the third straight year with a win and cover.

Graded Selection: 5* Dallas Cowboys 23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9


4* Perfect Trio “Shocker”

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Pick: San Francisco 49ers +6

The Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers square-off in the desert on Sunday afternoon. The Cards are coming off a surprising season winning the NFC and eventually losing in the Super Bowl to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 49ers didn’t have that type of season but they came on strong to end 2008 and have a promising future.

The 49ers begin their first full season under head coach Mike Singletary. After he took over last season they went 5-4 SU and 5-3-1 ATS which was a complete turnaround from the first part of the season when they were only 2-5 SU/ATS. They got better as the season wore on going 5-2 SU to close out the year for new head man Mike Singletary.

These two teams met in San Francisco last season for their openers with the Cardinals coming away with a 23 to 13 win as 2.5 point favorites. Arizona was able to complete the season sweep but it was not an easy task in the desert as the Cards defense had to hold San Fran on the last play of the game at the goal line winning 29 to 24.

This series and game hold several key situations that point directly to a winner. We know the road team in this series is 5-3 SU but a very powerful 8-0 ATS. Super Bowl losers are 9-24 ATS in September and an amazing 0-9 ATS in the first week of the season. Arizona is 1-8 ATS during the month of September facing division foes seeking revenge. Mike Singletary is 4-1 ATS as an underdog and the 49ers are 6-0 ATS as division road dogs of nine or fewer points. The Cardinals are 2-14 ATS as a favorite versus a divisional opponent before playing on the road and 2-13 ATS as a home favorite versus a divisional opponent before playing on the road.

Arizona’s offense is based on timing and it appeared to be off during the preseason and there defense came on at the end of last year but we believe they come back down to earth here and not play to that level on Sunday. The Cardinals ranked last in the league in rushing offense with only 73.6 yards per game. They must improve there if they hope to help their defense stay off the field.

San Francisco’s QB Shaun Hill does a good job of protecting the football and limiting mistakes, this will be crucial today if they hope to capture a win. He will have help from RB Frank Gore who has been a thorn in the side of the Cards defensive unit and from WR Isaac Bruce who had 61 receptions and was second only to Gore with seven touchdowns.

Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Cardinals win by 1.4 points and our PPR (Player Performance Ratings) Index favors the 49ers by 0.92 points over the Cards. The combination of fundamental factors, math model indicators and solid technical support for the visitor we will take the points here as the 49ers shock the defending NFC Champs and get the win in the desert on Sunday.

Graded Selection: 4* San Francisco 49ers 24 Arizona Cardinals 23


4* “Major” Total Play of the Week

Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants (NFL) - 4:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Under 37

The New York Giants play host to the Washington Redskins in the Meadowlands on Sunday afternoon. Both teams appear to have taken great strides to improve their defense, the Giants just return key players from injury while the Skins acquired big man Albert Haynesworth from the Titans and drafted Brian Orakpo in the first round from Texas.

For the Giants the loss of Plaxico has left them very slim in the WR department and the Skins just do not have the talent there either both teams will look to rush the ball and set up play action passes. This contest should come down to a defensive battle because that is where both teams have playmakers which will be able to control the tempo on both sides of the ball.

This series has been dominated by the under, the last four, five of the last six and seven of the last ten have all fallen below the posted total. Washington HC Jim Zorn’s team was 3-12-1 under last season and nothing has changed other than defensive additions which should translate into another solid year of unders.

The Redskins are 0-6 Under in their season opener, 6-25-3 Under as a dog versus a divisional opponent, 1-12-2 Under as a dog versus a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent, 0-9 Under on the road versus a divisional opponent before playing at home, 4-18-1 Under on the road when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season and The Redskins are 1-11 Under since October 05, 2008. The Giants are 3-17-1 Under as a home favorite on artificial turf when they play on the road in each of the next two weeks and 4-14 Under at home when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season.

NFL Teams are 1-14-1 Under on the road versus a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent, 2-16 Under as a dog versus a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent, 1-10-1 Under as a dog versus a divisional opponent before playing at home and 0-7 Under as a road dog versus a divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent.

With series history on our side along with fundamental and technical support we will play this game to fall well below the posted total in the Meadowlands on Sunday afternoon.

Graded Selection: 4* Washington Redskins / New York Giants UNDER 37

 

[BigDaddy99]

Magliosa
Denver Under
San Fran

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

tony diamond
baltimore

 

[Rockawaythenite]

vr
vegas-runner | NFL Total Sun, 09/13/09 - 1:00 PM KL
double-dime bet 469 DAL / 470 TAM Over 39.0 SportBet
Analysis: ”** NFL 2* PERSONAL PLAY

 

[icethekicker]

ATS LOCK CLUB

7 atlanta -4
6 minnesota -3 1/2
5 cinncy -4 1/2
4 over 46 chicago/green bay

 

[BigDaddy99]

Las Vegas Sports
Cincinnati
Washington

 

[Rockawaythenite]

vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 09/13/09 - 1:00 PM KL
triple-dime bet 457 PHI -2.5 (-105) BetUS vs 458 CAR
Analysis: ~*** NFL 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***

 

[BigDaddy99]

tony diamond
baltimore

Plus
Colts
Tampa Bay