CFL DUNKEL
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
Game 447-448: BC at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: BC 109.602; Montreal 121.649
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 12; 56
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Over
Game 449-450: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 108.679; Winnipeg 111.150
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 51
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Under
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
Game 447-448: BC at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: BC 109.602; Montreal 121.649
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 12; 56
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Over
Game 449-450: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 108.679; Winnipeg 111.150
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 51
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Under
CFL WRITE-UP
Week 11 CFL
September 13
BC Lions (4-5) @ Montreal (7-2)-- Alouettes are 4-0 at home, winning by 34-13-25-9 points (2-2 as HF). Lions ran ball for 253 yards last week in 19-12 upset (+6.5) win, BC's third win in last four games. Lions have turned ball over 19 times in last six games (-12), while Als have yet to be negative in turnovers in any game this season. Under is 5-1 in last six BC games, 5-2 in last seven Montreal tilts. Lions are 3-1 as a dog this year.
Saskatchewan (5-4) @ Winnipeg (3-6)-- Riders had five takeaways last week in 29-14 win ovr Winnipeg; Saskatchewan is 1-4 when it allows 34 or more points, 4-0 when it allows less. Even with Bishop an upgrade at QB for Bombers, they've scored an average of 19.8 ppg in five games he started. Winnipeg got outrushed 117-37 in Regina; they're 1-2 at home, losing 19-5 to Argos, 39-12 to Als. Five of last seven Bomber tilts went under the total.
Week 11 CFL
September 13
BC Lions (4-5) @ Montreal (7-2)-- Alouettes are 4-0 at home, winning by 34-13-25-9 points (2-2 as HF). Lions ran ball for 253 yards last week in 19-12 upset (+6.5) win, BC's third win in last four games. Lions have turned ball over 19 times in last six games (-12), while Als have yet to be negative in turnovers in any game this season. Under is 5-1 in last six BC games, 5-2 in last seven Montreal tilts. Lions are 3-1 as a dog this year.
Saskatchewan (5-4) @ Winnipeg (3-6)-- Riders had five takeaways last week in 29-14 win ovr Winnipeg; Saskatchewan is 1-4 when it allows 34 or more points, 4-0 when it allows less. Even with Bishop an upgrade at QB for Bombers, they've scored an average of 19.8 ppg in five games he started. Winnipeg got outrushed 117-37 in Regina; they're 1-2 at home, losing 19-5 to Argos, 39-12 to Als. Five of last seven Bomber tilts went under the total.
Trend Report
Sunday, September 13
1:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. MONTREAL
British Columbia is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Montreal is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against British Columbia
4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Sunday, September 13
1:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. MONTREAL
British Columbia is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Montreal is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against British Columbia
4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Indian Cowboy
5 Unit Play. Over 44 Jets @ Texans (Sunday @ 1pm). The Jets offense looked great over the offseason and that is primarily due to the wealth of quality quarterbacks they have. The total on this game has gone up slightly since its release and rightfully so. I suspect the Jets will be active dogs in this contest and put up 20+ points and in the same token, I expect a strong Houston offense against a porous Jets defense. But, more importantly, the Jets have a great shot at winning this game outright and I suspect they will be game. I look for the Jets to lead and early and help push this game over the posted total as Schaub and company will be playing catchup. The Over is 5-2-1 for the Jets when they are dogs by this margin and the Over is 6-0 for the Texans in September.
3 Unit Play. Under 43.5 Dolphins @ Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm). Its tough for me to say this as a Falcons fan, but this is a dangerous game for Atlanta. The Dolphins looked great over the preseason. I know the preseason doesn’t count for much to must, but the Dolphins went 4-0 and their defense looked solid holding opponents to just 13 total points on the road. This coaching staff and management stresses defense relentlessly. I’m not a big fan of the Dolphins offense as much as I am of their defense, but I suspect this game likely dips under the posted total. With the Dolphins offense still not having a wealth of playmakers and the Dolphins defense expected to carry the mantle, I like this game going under in Hotlanta as scoring will likely be at a premium.
3 Unit Play. #462. Cleveland Browns +4 (Sunday @ 1pm). I think the public is being set up for a burial here. With 77% riding the coat tails of Minnesota, I think the Browns likely get it done. Cleveland looked against Tennessee and Detroit at home and frankly, they looked against Chicago on the road. It is a battle of the Minnesota defense vs. the Cleveland offense. This game can go many ways, but at the end of the day, it is the biggest public fade of the day and now as the line stands at four. I like the Browns to cover here and have an outside shot at winning outright. I love public fades and usually I will be on at least one such fade. These two teams are familiar with each other and with having this game as a home opener and the line refusing to budge beyond the 4 point margin here, I look for the Browns to indeed make an upset. Remember, regardless of which quarterback takes over for Cleveland, they will be on a short leash and I expect efficient offensive drives. In the end, Cleveland likely loses by a field goal and I think the four points become significant here.
3 Unit Play. San Francisco 49ers +6.5 (Sunday @ 4:15pm). I think Arizona looked dismal during the preseason. With San Fran ending last season extremely strong, and making more strides this offseason, I expect them to start off very well in this division opener. This is a game that I believe San Fran can win outright and I think the points are an added bonus. I like the 49ers plus the points as remember, this team lost in a last second possession in this same field last time and they are certainly capable of winning this game outright. Arizona was outscored 53-100 during the preseason. This is a chance for San Fran to start the season fresh and frankly, I would not be a bit surprised if Singletary and company win this division or make the Wild Card this year.
5 Unit Play. Over 44 Jets @ Texans (Sunday @ 1pm). The Jets offense looked great over the offseason and that is primarily due to the wealth of quality quarterbacks they have. The total on this game has gone up slightly since its release and rightfully so. I suspect the Jets will be active dogs in this contest and put up 20+ points and in the same token, I expect a strong Houston offense against a porous Jets defense. But, more importantly, the Jets have a great shot at winning this game outright and I suspect they will be game. I look for the Jets to lead and early and help push this game over the posted total as Schaub and company will be playing catchup. The Over is 5-2-1 for the Jets when they are dogs by this margin and the Over is 6-0 for the Texans in September.
3 Unit Play. Under 43.5 Dolphins @ Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm). Its tough for me to say this as a Falcons fan, but this is a dangerous game for Atlanta. The Dolphins looked great over the preseason. I know the preseason doesn’t count for much to must, but the Dolphins went 4-0 and their defense looked solid holding opponents to just 13 total points on the road. This coaching staff and management stresses defense relentlessly. I’m not a big fan of the Dolphins offense as much as I am of their defense, but I suspect this game likely dips under the posted total. With the Dolphins offense still not having a wealth of playmakers and the Dolphins defense expected to carry the mantle, I like this game going under in Hotlanta as scoring will likely be at a premium.
3 Unit Play. #462. Cleveland Browns +4 (Sunday @ 1pm). I think the public is being set up for a burial here. With 77% riding the coat tails of Minnesota, I think the Browns likely get it done. Cleveland looked against Tennessee and Detroit at home and frankly, they looked against Chicago on the road. It is a battle of the Minnesota defense vs. the Cleveland offense. This game can go many ways, but at the end of the day, it is the biggest public fade of the day and now as the line stands at four. I like the Browns to cover here and have an outside shot at winning outright. I love public fades and usually I will be on at least one such fade. These two teams are familiar with each other and with having this game as a home opener and the line refusing to budge beyond the 4 point margin here, I look for the Browns to indeed make an upset. Remember, regardless of which quarterback takes over for Cleveland, they will be on a short leash and I expect efficient offensive drives. In the end, Cleveland likely loses by a field goal and I think the four points become significant here.
3 Unit Play. San Francisco 49ers +6.5 (Sunday @ 4:15pm). I think Arizona looked dismal during the preseason. With San Fran ending last season extremely strong, and making more strides this offseason, I expect them to start off very well in this division opener. This is a game that I believe San Fran can win outright and I think the points are an added bonus. I like the 49ers plus the points as remember, this team lost in a last second possession in this same field last time and they are certainly capable of winning this game outright. Arizona was outscored 53-100 during the preseason. This is a chance for San Fran to start the season fresh and frankly, I would not be a bit surprised if Singletary and company win this division or make the Wild Card this year.
Vegas Sports Informer's
NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
6 Unit Play. #460 Take Cincinnati -4 over Denver (Sunday 9/13 1:00 PM)
(Game of the Month)The big advantage for the Bengals in this game will be the QB play. I will take a healthy Carson Palmer over Kyle Orton any day of the week. Cincinnati is 3-1 SU & ATS in Week 1. Denver is 7-21-1 ATS against AFC teams. Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
2 Unit Play. #474 Take NY Giants -6 ½ over Washington (Sunday 9/13 4:15 PM)
In a huge NFC East matchup of two teams with strong defenses and rather conservative approaches on the other side of the ball (both teams will want to establish the run), this game will likely come down to the better QB. I’m taking Eli Manning to have a better game then Jason Campbell. New York is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings against Washington.
4 Unit Play. #478 Take Green Bay -3 ½ over Chicago (Sunday 9/13 8:20 PM NBC)
A huge matchup in Cheese Country as division rivals kickoff in Week #1. We like the home team Packers in this one as Aaron Rogers should be able to throw against the Bears defense. Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC North teams. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC North teams. The Bears have struggled in Green Bay going 5-11-1 ATS in Cheese Country.
2 Unit Play. #481 Take Over 43 San Diego at Oakland (Monday 9/14 10:15 PM ESPN)
I’m looking for a huge offensive bang from the San Diego Chargers Monday night against the Oakland Raiders. San Diego should be able score in the 30 range against the Black/Silver and if the Raiders can hit double-digits we will be happy. San Diego is 7-0 O/U in the month of September. Oakland is 4-1 O/U in Week 1.
NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
6 Unit Play. #460 Take Cincinnati -4 over Denver (Sunday 9/13 1:00 PM)
(Game of the Month)The big advantage for the Bengals in this game will be the QB play. I will take a healthy Carson Palmer over Kyle Orton any day of the week. Cincinnati is 3-1 SU & ATS in Week 1. Denver is 7-21-1 ATS against AFC teams. Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
2 Unit Play. #474 Take NY Giants -6 ½ over Washington (Sunday 9/13 4:15 PM)
In a huge NFC East matchup of two teams with strong defenses and rather conservative approaches on the other side of the ball (both teams will want to establish the run), this game will likely come down to the better QB. I’m taking Eli Manning to have a better game then Jason Campbell. New York is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings against Washington.
4 Unit Play. #478 Take Green Bay -3 ½ over Chicago (Sunday 9/13 8:20 PM NBC)
A huge matchup in Cheese Country as division rivals kickoff in Week #1. We like the home team Packers in this one as Aaron Rogers should be able to throw against the Bears defense. Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC North teams. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC North teams. The Bears have struggled in Green Bay going 5-11-1 ATS in Cheese Country.
2 Unit Play. #481 Take Over 43 San Diego at Oakland (Monday 9/14 10:15 PM ESPN)
I’m looking for a huge offensive bang from the San Diego Chargers Monday night against the Oakland Raiders. San Diego should be able score in the 30 range against the Black/Silver and if the Raiders can hit double-digits we will be happy. San Diego is 7-0 O/U in the month of September. Oakland is 4-1 O/U in Week 1.
Dave Busk
Sunday
6 Unit Pick #465 Take Jacksonville (+7) over Indianapolis (Sept 13, 1:00)
Last year Jacksonville early on was touted as being a good team and from the start it wasn’t good with a teammate being shot and paralyzed and that seem to carry over to the season where they lost their first two games before walking into Indianapolis and walking out on the winning side as a four point road pup’s. This team had a ton of injuries in 2008 mainly to the offensive line and they just seem to falter. This team is still good and I think catching the Colts at the best time, the Colts are dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball most notable with safety Saunders out. They also will be starting a rookie cornerback along with breaking in two new coordinator’s and a new head coach. I don’t think the Colts are “season ready” ! The Jag’s are a live team in 2009 and very live here on Sunday.
4 Unit Pick #478 Take Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (Sept. 13 8:15)
On paper both teams look like they have improved. The Bears went out and stole the show aquiring Jay Cutler but haven’t really improved any where else to get this team as good as the press they get. Don’t expect their defense to be what it has been in the past as they’re starting to age. The Pack quietly have become a threat in the NFC. Aaron Rodgers is the real deal throwing over 4000 yards last year and lit it up in the preseason. They brought in a new defensive coordinator in Dom Capers and with all the talk around the division with the new quarterbacks seems to have deflected the pressure that surround this team last year with Farve leaving. Sunday night will be a statement game.
1 Unit Pick #464 Take Houston (-4.5) over the New York Jets (Sept. 13 1:00)
The Jets made some big news in the off season with hiring new head coach Rex Ryan and the drafting of high profile quarteback Mark Sanchez. Tough spot here for Sanchez here as he makes his first pro start on the road vs. a quietly improving Texan team. Houston is improving on both sides of the ball and I think head coach Gary Kubiak hard work will show in 2009. This is a winnable game for the Texans, one that they wouldn’t win in the past but this team is growing and playing a team that in some ways resembles them a couple of years ago. The oddsmaker wouldn’t hang my number in week one because of Houston’s past, but I think this number should be Texans (-6) get on it.
Sunday
6 Unit Pick #465 Take Jacksonville (+7) over Indianapolis (Sept 13, 1:00)
Last year Jacksonville early on was touted as being a good team and from the start it wasn’t good with a teammate being shot and paralyzed and that seem to carry over to the season where they lost their first two games before walking into Indianapolis and walking out on the winning side as a four point road pup’s. This team had a ton of injuries in 2008 mainly to the offensive line and they just seem to falter. This team is still good and I think catching the Colts at the best time, the Colts are dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball most notable with safety Saunders out. They also will be starting a rookie cornerback along with breaking in two new coordinator’s and a new head coach. I don’t think the Colts are “season ready” ! The Jag’s are a live team in 2009 and very live here on Sunday.
4 Unit Pick #478 Take Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (Sept. 13 8:15)
On paper both teams look like they have improved. The Bears went out and stole the show aquiring Jay Cutler but haven’t really improved any where else to get this team as good as the press they get. Don’t expect their defense to be what it has been in the past as they’re starting to age. The Pack quietly have become a threat in the NFC. Aaron Rodgers is the real deal throwing over 4000 yards last year and lit it up in the preseason. They brought in a new defensive coordinator in Dom Capers and with all the talk around the division with the new quarterbacks seems to have deflected the pressure that surround this team last year with Farve leaving. Sunday night will be a statement game.
1 Unit Pick #464 Take Houston (-4.5) over the New York Jets (Sept. 13 1:00)
The Jets made some big news in the off season with hiring new head coach Rex Ryan and the drafting of high profile quarteback Mark Sanchez. Tough spot here for Sanchez here as he makes his first pro start on the road vs. a quietly improving Texan team. Houston is improving on both sides of the ball and I think head coach Gary Kubiak hard work will show in 2009. This is a winnable game for the Texans, one that they wouldn’t win in the past but this team is growing and playing a team that in some ways resembles them a couple of years ago. The oddsmaker wouldn’t hang my number in week one because of Houston’s past, but I think this number should be Texans (-6) get on it.
Allen Eastman
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 43.5 Denver at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
4-Unit Play. Take #457 Philadelphia (-1.5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #469 Dallas (-6) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
7-Unit Play. Take #478 Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
2-Unit Play. Take #468 New Orleans (-13) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #471 San Francisco (+6.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 43.5 Denver at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
4-Unit Play. Take #457 Philadelphia (-1.5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #469 Dallas (-6) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
7-Unit Play. Take #478 Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
2-Unit Play. Take #468 New Orleans (-13) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #471 San Francisco (+6.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 13)
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Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Bonus Plays for Sunday...
Chicago Bears +4 (2*) FP
This was the early play on their recorded message line.
The normally have two Bonus Plays for Sunday's....
Should call the recorded message and check in the morning...
Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Bonus Plays for Sunday...
Chicago Bears +4 (2*) FP
This was the early play on their recorded message line.
The normally have two Bonus Plays for Sunday's....
Should call the recorded message and check in the morning...
Last edited by a moderator:
Vegas Wise Guy Sports
09/13 NFL ST. LOUIS RAMS +8.5
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Seahawks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 1.
Seahawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
09/14 NFL NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -10.5
Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East.
09/13 NFL ST. LOUIS RAMS +8.5
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Seahawks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 1.
Seahawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
09/14 NFL NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -10.5
Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East.
