Randle the Handle
Seattle –1 +1.11 over OAKLAND PINNACLE
The A’s finally beat the Mariners last night but that doesn’t change the fact that they’ve still lost 11 of 15 games to the M’s and not only are they at a disadvantage on the mound, but they have a big psychological disadvantage as well. The M’s own them and with Doug Fister facing Gio Gonzalez they have a great chance to take three out of four games. Fister is a rather unknown at this point, as he started the season in the minors and got the call in early August. He has just five starts and he’s looking better with each passing one. Fister has pitched into the seventh inning in three of his last four and is coming off a 7.1, five-hit and one run gem against the tough Angels. He also one-hit the White Sox in six innings and went seven full against the Yanks and allowed eight hits and three runs. This kid is a keeper and personally, I’ve watched his last four starts and just love the way he pitches. He keeps the ball low, he throws strikes and he has outstanding movement and poise. The league is hitting just .213 off him and this is his easiest assignment to date. The A’s are fifth worst in the majors in team batting average and this is the first time they’ll see Fister. Gonzalez, meanwhile, has pitched 10 innings this season vs Seattle and has a BAA of .308 against them to go along with a 6.30 ERA. At home, in seven starts covering 34 frames, Gonzalez is 1-4 with an 8.21 ERA. Of the 46 hits he’s allowed in those 34 innings (.326 BAA), 10 have gone yard. The M’s are a –1.14 favorite, and you can play that if you like because it’s a definite underlay but I’ll lay the run with a take-back because the M’s should roll again. Play: Seattle –1 +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
NY Yankees –1½ +1.10 over TORONTO PINNACLE
First off, the Yanks are 14-5 against southpaws on the road and overall they’re 31-14 against left-handed starters and it’s not like they’re facing a tough one here. Brian Tallet is a career reliever that was in the rotation for a bunch of starts but was subsequently returned to the pen before being inserted again due to an injury. He has a very average home ERA of 4.82, and overall his ERA is 5.17. Secondly, the Blue Jays have been a dumpster-fire since about mid May and losing has been very contagious. The Jays, as a team are batting .215 over the last 10 days and that’s the worst mark in the AL and the second worst in the majors over that span. Let’s also not forget that they spent four days in Texas recently, scored 18 runs in one game, yet they’re still hitting .215 over that 10-game stretch. Sergio Metre is slowly but surely coming around. He has an outstanding groundball to fly ball ratio and that’s a great indication that he’s on the verge of something good. Of the last 57 batters Mitre has faced, 33 of them have grounded out and just 15 have popped out. He threw a six-inning, one-hit gem against the South Side in his last start and these Jays have made a habit of making pitchers look fantastic. Anyway, the Yanks offense should have a huge day against this still Tallet and the Jays offense will likely pull another no-show. Play: NY Yankees –1½ +1.10 (Risking 2 units).