Totals 4 U
Southern California @ Arizona State
Southern California (15-7, 6-4 PAC 10) The Trojans were overmatched from the gate last Saturday by UCLA’s defense, heading into the break with a 21-44 deficit, before finally falling at Pauley Pavilion 60-76 in a game Tim Floyd’s (78-44 in 4th season at Los Angeles) crew committed 23 turnovers. Before you write this unit off, though, consider the Bruins are crushing everyone right now and USC had previously banked 3 consecutive big wins over Washington State, Stanford, and California. Possibly a bigger issue is the dislocated finger suffered in that game by Wooden Award Candidate 6’9” 225 junior F Taj Gibson (14.3p, 10.0r) just prior to halftime. X-rays were negative and we expect Gibson (.574 field, conference-best 63 blocks) to go but keep an eye on his mitts when the Trojan travel to Arizona Thursday night. Size across the board (36.7 rebounds vs. 31.1 for opponents) is the major feature of this squad with 6’5” junior guard Daniel Hackett (11.2p, 3.9r, 5.0a) and Dwight Lewis (15.5p, 3.1r, 1.5a) manning the backcourt and capable deep threats (combined 57 of 151) for a team that has only attempted 264 shots from behind the arc all season. In the swing is 6’7” 220 G/F DeMar DeRozan (12.5p, 5.2r, 1.1a) and joining Gibson on the blocks is a super garbage man in 6’7” 230 freshman F Leonard Washington (7.3p, 4.9r) who is healthy again after missing 5 games to injury. Coach Floyd generally plays only about 7 deep but his contributing bench players also bring the beef with 6’10” 225 senior F Keith Wilkinson (3.5p, 3.1r, 1.3a) a veteran that can be relied on for productive minutes and 6’10” 220 freshman F Nikola Vucevic (2.5p, 2.3r) a talented youngster still growing into his body that has shown flashes of a fine future. In the PAC 10 there are few nights off and USC has run the gauntlet pretty well, managing a 5-3 mark over their last 8 opponents that currently sport a 133-51 combined record, and their 7 losses have come to teams sitting at 122-40. By the numbers Southern California scores 68.9 points per game (.470 field, .314 from 3-point) while a stacked schedule to average 62.2 points per game (.396 field, .334 from 3-point) and hold a 3-6 mark away from the Galen Center.
Arizona State (18-5, 7-4 PAC 10) The Sun Devils overcame a poor shooting performance (16 of 42) Saturday in Corvallis with smothering defense to top the Beavers 49-38 to complete last week’s road sweep over Oregon and Oregon State. 6’1” junior PG Derek Glasser (7.1p, 2.3r, 4.9a) was held out of that contest after taking a scary fall last week at Oregon from a hard pick. The diagnosis was a neck sprain and he should return this week but keep an eye out for Glasser Thursday night when the Devils host UCLA Thursday night. In his place 6’2” sophomore Jamelle McMillan (4.5p, 2.0r, 1.9a) made the most of his 2nd start this season with 14 points, 4 boards, 4 assists, and 5 steals with his father, former NBA star and current Portland Trailblazers coach Nate McMillan, in attendance. Guard play drives Coach Herb Sendek’s (47-40 in 3rd season at Tempe) philosophy and he has super personnel this season’s attempt for a back to back 20-win season. 6’5” sophomore G James Harden (21.9p, 5.4r, 4.0a, 42 steals) not only leads the conference in scoring and steals per game but is a dynamite shooter from behind the arc with 40 makes in 108 attempts and is our selection for the nation’s best all-around young player. Yes, at Arizona State! Swingman 6’6” 205 sophomore G/F Rihards Kuksiks (10.4p, 3.9r, 1.1a) is also a marksman with 59 makes behind the arc in 127 tries and 6’3” sophomore G Ty Abbott (7.0p, 4.2r, 1.8a) rounds out the backcourt. The Sun Devils don’t have a ton of capable players to man the blocks but the guy they do is pure warrior. 6’9” 240 senior F Jeff Pendergraph (13.7p, 7.9r, 1.0a) has superb body control and leads the NCAA in shooting percentage at a whopping 67.6% with 127 buckets in 188 shots. Other than McMillan, the only other notable bench contributor is 6’3” junior G Jerren Shipp (3.5p, 2.1r, 1.0a) – brother of UCLA’s Josh whom he will face Thursday night. By the numbers Arizona State scores 70.2 points (.480 field, .355 from 3-point) per game while allowing only 58.4 (.401 field, .322 from 3-point) to opponents and hold an 8-2 record at Wells Fargo Arena.
SELECTION: The Sun Devils play on the perimeter is as good as any squad in the country - both on offense where they boast the conference’s best assist/turnover ratio at 1.33 and have nailed 182 of 513 shots from downtown and on defense where they heist 6.4 steals per game. A season advantage on the boards of 32.0 to 28.9 per game is enough to hold their own against the Trojans and a free throw edge of 74.1% versus just 67.1% for USC seals the deal. Take Arizona State.