GMC CFB Selections
126 North Carolina -8
133 Central Michigan +8.5
150 Lsu -6.5
158 Miami -3
160 Notre Dame +2.5
126 North Carolina -8
133 Central Michigan +8.5
150 Lsu -6.5
158 Miami -3
160 Notre Dame +2.5
WAYNE ROOT
Pinnacle---Stanford (Pac 12 game of the Year)
USC is a perfect 2-0 and looked great against Arkansas St and Idaho, (hahaha). Such a tune-up. Those contest were no test for QB Cody Kessler and his corral of talented receivers. First of all, USC is no stranger to losing to the Cardinal. This is the biggest game each season for Stanford as it is used as their biggest recruiting tool in the SoCal market. Stanford is very capable on offense and can move the ball and score. That's all you need to win in the Pac 12. The Trojan defense is just not there and their offense alone with Cody Kessler is very over-rated. The game-plan falls right into our lap. Stanford will establish the run thus eating up yards and the clock while wearing down a defense with average talent and no depth. Stanford's defense is above average and should not have any problem keeping this game in hand and very possibly coming away with an outright win. Root is the best at underdogs winning games outright. Stanford brings out "key" leadership on both sides of the ball and after USC's 2 cupcake wins to start the season, they may not know how much more difficult Stanford is to play and come out flat and having to play catch-up themselves. TAKE STANFORD
Inner Circle---Texas (Shocker of September)
Texas knows how to deal with a loss and deals it swiftly. After the Notre Dame loss, both offensive coordinators were demoted from calling plays. After the Rice game where Texas was out gained 462-277, the AD (who hired HC Strong) was fired by the school President. This may really light a fire under head coach Charlie Strong ( who was not a choice by the big Texas boosters). Let's face it, Strong's job is the hottest "hot-seat" in the country. So it's time to play hard-nose Charlie ball against this 3-0 Cal team. They must put pressure on QB Jared Goff. That will be a formable task. But Saturday's game is more about desire, focusing and playing hard; something Strong is usually good at giving that attitude to a team. It's guaranteed that his team will put forth their best effort in this contest. They may have letdowns later this season but not one Saturday. The Cal defense is their Achilles Heel. QB Jarrod Heard for the Longhorns will be the difference in this game now with some experience of playing a game under his belt. Cal will discover that no matter what all the press clipping say about this Texas team this week, they will have a very difficult time getting out of Austin with a win, let alone with a point spread cover as a road favorite, TAKE TEXAS
Perfect Play---Purdue
Not only is the first time in school history that Virginia Tech has played in the State of Indiana, but this is QB Brenden Motley's first career road start. The game plan will be an easy one for Purdue's defense. The Hokies will run almost every play. Coach Beamer will play it safe and safe is rarely good enough. Especially as an 6 point road favorite. Maybe that's why he continues to average 5 to 6 losses a year recently. He has plenty of running backs but none that are great. Purdue's QB is the real deal. Austin Appleby, has the great arm but does make some mistakes. He needs to limit his turnovers. It's difficult to handicap T.O.'s but in this case, plan on the opportunistic Hokies to try to bang him up in the backfield. The biggest Hokie loss is all-everything middle linebacker Andrew Motuapuaka which should help the Purdue passing situations. Purdue will play fast on offense, no huddle and limit Beamer's substitutions. The Boilermakers will try to force Va Tech to early mistakes and force him to throw the ball; something Motley's not very proficient at doing. This is the "key" game for Hazell's program and he's looking for that win for his much needed stamp of approval from the fans. A big game for sure. TAKE PURDUE
No Limit---Notre Dame
How does one this rate? A close game where Notre Dame barely came out alive against Virginia or 2 Georgia Tech wins where they defeated Alcorn St and Tulane? We'll side with the home underdog and trust as a small underdog that they will come to play and win at home. For Notre Dame, CJ Prosise replaces Tarean Folston at running back after his torn ACL and DeShone Kizer replaced QB Malik Zaire. Both players have experience and are capable. Meanwhile, we'll attack the line value. The Fighting Irish knows that this is their only true test for the season so everything has been built around this game since last season. They'll be ready. TAKE NOTRE DAME
Millionaires---UCLA
This may be somewhat unprecedented in that 2 good quarterbacks are starting and both are true freshmen.
UCLA true freshman quarterback Josh Rosen entered the season under lofty expectations, while BYU’s first-year passer Tanner Mangum was relatively unknown outside of Provo until Heisman Trophy candidate Taysom Hill went down for the season. Rosen presents a mighty challenge to the Cougars defense. He’s completed 50-of-77 passes for 574 yards and four touchdowns to one interception for a 142.1 passer rating. This is the first ranked opponent for Rosen so he'll have to maintain his Bruins' average of 35.5 points a game. With one of the best offensive lines in the Pac 12, mission accomplished. TAKE UCLA
Pinnacle---Stanford (Pac 12 game of the Year)
USC is a perfect 2-0 and looked great against Arkansas St and Idaho, (hahaha). Such a tune-up. Those contest were no test for QB Cody Kessler and his corral of talented receivers. First of all, USC is no stranger to losing to the Cardinal. This is the biggest game each season for Stanford as it is used as their biggest recruiting tool in the SoCal market. Stanford is very capable on offense and can move the ball and score. That's all you need to win in the Pac 12. The Trojan defense is just not there and their offense alone with Cody Kessler is very over-rated. The game-plan falls right into our lap. Stanford will establish the run thus eating up yards and the clock while wearing down a defense with average talent and no depth. Stanford's defense is above average and should not have any problem keeping this game in hand and very possibly coming away with an outright win. Root is the best at underdogs winning games outright. Stanford brings out "key" leadership on both sides of the ball and after USC's 2 cupcake wins to start the season, they may not know how much more difficult Stanford is to play and come out flat and having to play catch-up themselves. TAKE STANFORD
Inner Circle---Texas (Shocker of September)
Texas knows how to deal with a loss and deals it swiftly. After the Notre Dame loss, both offensive coordinators were demoted from calling plays. After the Rice game where Texas was out gained 462-277, the AD (who hired HC Strong) was fired by the school President. This may really light a fire under head coach Charlie Strong ( who was not a choice by the big Texas boosters). Let's face it, Strong's job is the hottest "hot-seat" in the country. So it's time to play hard-nose Charlie ball against this 3-0 Cal team. They must put pressure on QB Jared Goff. That will be a formable task. But Saturday's game is more about desire, focusing and playing hard; something Strong is usually good at giving that attitude to a team. It's guaranteed that his team will put forth their best effort in this contest. They may have letdowns later this season but not one Saturday. The Cal defense is their Achilles Heel. QB Jarrod Heard for the Longhorns will be the difference in this game now with some experience of playing a game under his belt. Cal will discover that no matter what all the press clipping say about this Texas team this week, they will have a very difficult time getting out of Austin with a win, let alone with a point spread cover as a road favorite, TAKE TEXAS
Perfect Play---Purdue
Not only is the first time in school history that Virginia Tech has played in the State of Indiana, but this is QB Brenden Motley's first career road start. The game plan will be an easy one for Purdue's defense. The Hokies will run almost every play. Coach Beamer will play it safe and safe is rarely good enough. Especially as an 6 point road favorite. Maybe that's why he continues to average 5 to 6 losses a year recently. He has plenty of running backs but none that are great. Purdue's QB is the real deal. Austin Appleby, has the great arm but does make some mistakes. He needs to limit his turnovers. It's difficult to handicap T.O.'s but in this case, plan on the opportunistic Hokies to try to bang him up in the backfield. The biggest Hokie loss is all-everything middle linebacker Andrew Motuapuaka which should help the Purdue passing situations. Purdue will play fast on offense, no huddle and limit Beamer's substitutions. The Boilermakers will try to force Va Tech to early mistakes and force him to throw the ball; something Motley's not very proficient at doing. This is the "key" game for Hazell's program and he's looking for that win for his much needed stamp of approval from the fans. A big game for sure. TAKE PURDUE
No Limit---Notre Dame
How does one this rate? A close game where Notre Dame barely came out alive against Virginia or 2 Georgia Tech wins where they defeated Alcorn St and Tulane? We'll side with the home underdog and trust as a small underdog that they will come to play and win at home. For Notre Dame, CJ Prosise replaces Tarean Folston at running back after his torn ACL and DeShone Kizer replaced QB Malik Zaire. Both players have experience and are capable. Meanwhile, we'll attack the line value. The Fighting Irish knows that this is their only true test for the season so everything has been built around this game since last season. They'll be ready. TAKE NOTRE DAME
Millionaires---UCLA
This may be somewhat unprecedented in that 2 good quarterbacks are starting and both are true freshmen.
UCLA true freshman quarterback Josh Rosen entered the season under lofty expectations, while BYU’s first-year passer Tanner Mangum was relatively unknown outside of Provo until Heisman Trophy candidate Taysom Hill went down for the season. Rosen presents a mighty challenge to the Cougars defense. He’s completed 50-of-77 passes for 574 yards and four touchdowns to one interception for a 142.1 passer rating. This is the first ranked opponent for Rosen so he'll have to maintain his Bruins' average of 35.5 points a game. With one of the best offensive lines in the Pac 12, mission accomplished. TAKE UCLA
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CFB
UNLV @ Michigan 12:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#114) Michigan -34
The UNLV Rebels travel to Michigan to take on the Wolverines on Saturday afternoon. UNLV is 0-2 SU while Michigan comes in at 1-1 SU on the season. UNLV is giving up 229 yards per game rushing, 306.5 yards per game passing for a combined 535.5 total yards per game this season. Michigan is allowing only 237.5 total yards per game this year. UNLV probably won't score here. Michigan will run up and down the field with ease. UNLV is allowing 37.5 points per game overall and 38 points per game on the road this season. Michigan beat Oregon State 35-7 last week and Oregon State is much better than UNLV. Should be a blowout there. We'll play Michigan for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Louisiana Tech @ Kansas State 3:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#143) Louisiana Tech +9 1/2
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travel to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. Louisiana Tech is putting up big numbers on offense again this year. Louisiana Tech is averaging 215 yards per game on the ground, 368.5 yards per game in the air for a combined 583.5 total yards per game. Louisiana Tech is 31-15 ATS last 46 games after a loss against a conference opponent. Louisiana Tech is scoring 50 points per game overall this year and 38 points per game away from home. Kansas State defense has been incredible so far this year but they now run up against a high powered offensive attack from Louisiana Tech. They haven't been tested like they will here today. We'll play Louisiana Tech for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Memphis @ Bowling Green 3:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#172) Bowling Green +3
The Memphis Tigers travel to Bowling Green to take on the Falcons on Saturday afternoon. A couple of explosive offenses here in this one. Bowling Green is averaging 462 yards per game passing this year and a whopping 624.5 total yards per game on the season. Memphis is 12-26 ATS last 38 games after two or more consecutive SU wins. Bowling Green is scoring 39 points per game overall this year. Memphis hasn't really been tested yet this year as they played Missouri State and Kansas. Bowling Green went into Big 10 country last weekend in Maryland and took care of business easily 48-27. We'll side with the home team here. We'll play Bowling Green for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
BYU @ UCLA 10:30 PM EST
Play On: 5* (#204) UCLA -16
They BYU Cougars travel to UCLA to take on the Bruins on Saturday night. I really think UCLA is the real deal this year! They return 18 starters from a 10-3 SU team last year. Both teams come in at 2-0 SU on the season and both ranked nationally. BYU is giving up 308 yards per game passing this year and UCLA will take advantage of that as they are averaging 302 yards per game passing on offense. UCLA is averaging 514.5 total yards per game this year. UCLA defense is allowing only 286.5 total yards per game this season. UCLA is scoring 35.5 points per game overall this year and 34 points per game at home this season. UCLA defense is allowing only 9.5 points per game overall this season. UCLA is 5-1 ATS overall last 6 meetings vs BYU and is 2-0 SU and ATS at home vs BYU since 1992. We'll play UCLA for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
CFB
UNLV @ Michigan 12:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#114) Michigan -34
The UNLV Rebels travel to Michigan to take on the Wolverines on Saturday afternoon. UNLV is 0-2 SU while Michigan comes in at 1-1 SU on the season. UNLV is giving up 229 yards per game rushing, 306.5 yards per game passing for a combined 535.5 total yards per game this season. Michigan is allowing only 237.5 total yards per game this year. UNLV probably won't score here. Michigan will run up and down the field with ease. UNLV is allowing 37.5 points per game overall and 38 points per game on the road this season. Michigan beat Oregon State 35-7 last week and Oregon State is much better than UNLV. Should be a blowout there. We'll play Michigan for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Louisiana Tech @ Kansas State 3:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#143) Louisiana Tech +9 1/2
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travel to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. Louisiana Tech is putting up big numbers on offense again this year. Louisiana Tech is averaging 215 yards per game on the ground, 368.5 yards per game in the air for a combined 583.5 total yards per game. Louisiana Tech is 31-15 ATS last 46 games after a loss against a conference opponent. Louisiana Tech is scoring 50 points per game overall this year and 38 points per game away from home. Kansas State defense has been incredible so far this year but they now run up against a high powered offensive attack from Louisiana Tech. They haven't been tested like they will here today. We'll play Louisiana Tech for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Memphis @ Bowling Green 3:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#172) Bowling Green +3
The Memphis Tigers travel to Bowling Green to take on the Falcons on Saturday afternoon. A couple of explosive offenses here in this one. Bowling Green is averaging 462 yards per game passing this year and a whopping 624.5 total yards per game on the season. Memphis is 12-26 ATS last 38 games after two or more consecutive SU wins. Bowling Green is scoring 39 points per game overall this year. Memphis hasn't really been tested yet this year as they played Missouri State and Kansas. Bowling Green went into Big 10 country last weekend in Maryland and took care of business easily 48-27. We'll side with the home team here. We'll play Bowling Green for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
BYU @ UCLA 10:30 PM EST
Play On: 5* (#204) UCLA -16
They BYU Cougars travel to UCLA to take on the Bruins on Saturday night. I really think UCLA is the real deal this year! They return 18 starters from a 10-3 SU team last year. Both teams come in at 2-0 SU on the season and both ranked nationally. BYU is giving up 308 yards per game passing this year and UCLA will take advantage of that as they are averaging 302 yards per game passing on offense. UCLA is averaging 514.5 total yards per game this year. UCLA defense is allowing only 286.5 total yards per game this season. UCLA is scoring 35.5 points per game overall this year and 34 points per game at home this season. UCLA defense is allowing only 9.5 points per game overall this season. UCLA is 5-1 ATS overall last 6 meetings vs BYU and is 2-0 SU and ATS at home vs BYU since 1992. We'll play UCLA for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
134 12:30 PM @ SYR Lock of the Week CENTMI -6.5 13.5 61.8
109 12:00 PM WAKE @ ARMY -5.5 12.3 61.5
158 3:30 PM @ MIA-FL NEB -3.5 9.4 61.0
184 7:30 PM @ TEX CAL 6.5 -0.3 59.1
153 3:30 PM VATECH @ PURDUE -6 10.0 56.9
142 2:30 PM @ NORTX RICE 8 -3.8 56.9
129 7:00 PM NCSU @ ODU -18.5 24.5 56.9
132 12:00 PM @ OKLA TULSA -30.5 39.1 56.6
181 4:00 PM WESTKY Upset Watch @ IND 1.5 1.0 56.4
190 8:00 PM @ NMST Upset Watch UTEP
Totals
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
188 8:00 PM SMU @ TCU 66.5 77.4 Over 61.6
160 3:30 PM GATECH @ ND 54.5 63.5 Over 61.3
112 3:00 PM TEMPLE @ UMASS 55 47.6 Under 60.6
148 3:30 PM ECU @ NAVY 58 51.9 Under 58.4
196 8:00 PM STAN @ USC 52.5 58.6 Over 58.3
156 3:30 PM UTSA @ OKST 56.5 62.7 Over 57.6
204 10:30 PM BYU @ UCLA 60 65.8 Over 57.2
128 3:30 PM NIU @ OHIOST 66.5 60.3 Under 57.0
198 8:00 PM PITT @ IOWA 47 51.1 Over 56.4
150 3:30 PM AUBURN @ LSU 49.5 53.9 Over 56.4
166 3:30 PM CIN @ MIA-O 60 64.8 Over 56.0
Smart Sports Investments Wins
Risked 3 units to win 2.73 - Auburn +6.5 -110 vs LSU
Risked 3 units to win 2.86 - Miami Florida -3.5 -105 vs Nebraska
Risked 5 units to win 3.57 - Georgia Tech -140 vs Notre Dame
Risked 5 units to win 4.35 - Mississippi +7 -115 vs Alabama
Risked 4 units to win 3.64 - BYU +17 -110 vs UCLA
Risked 3 units to win 2.73 - Auburn +6.5 -110 vs LSU
Risked 3 units to win 2.86 - Miami Florida -3.5 -105 vs Nebraska
Risked 5 units to win 3.57 - Georgia Tech -140 vs Notre Dame
Risked 5 units to win 4.35 - Mississippi +7 -115 vs Alabama
Risked 4 units to win 3.64 - BYU +17 -110 vs UCLA
Joe Gavazzi
CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK … Ohio St. (-34)
N. Illinois at Ohio St. (-34) 3:30 ET ESPN2
In Week 1, we lost with N. Illinois as the STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK, when they allowed UNLV and their high-school HC to score 30 points in an 8 point NIU victory. Last week, was equally unimpressive. As although NIU beat Murray St. (57-26) rolling up 643 total yards, they allowed the Racers 26 points and 373 yards. I am well aware of the strong history of the MAC’s best program in this role. NIU is 17-8 ATS as road dog and on runs of 9-1 and 5-0 ATS vs. the BIG 10. Just like everybody else on the Buckeyes’ schedule, this is a huge game for the Huskies. Ohio St. lacked focus last week in their win, no cover, against an outmanned Hawaii team. A perennial MAC champion will garner more attention from the Buckeyes with only W. Michigan on deck. Despite last week’s non-cover, HC Meyer remains 40-13 ATS in non-con games. This week, Meyer unleashes the 4-headed offensive threat that is RB Elliott, RB/WR Miller, as well as the dual tandem of QB Barrett and QB Jones for a STEAMROLLER type of effort. But, the main reason for this cover is an Ohio St. defense which has held VA Tech to just 320 yards and Hawaii to only 165 yards last week. Lay the number with the Buckeyes as they STEAMROLL the Huskies into submission.
CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK … Ohio St. (-34)
N. Illinois at Ohio St. (-34) 3:30 ET ESPN2
In Week 1, we lost with N. Illinois as the STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK, when they allowed UNLV and their high-school HC to score 30 points in an 8 point NIU victory. Last week, was equally unimpressive. As although NIU beat Murray St. (57-26) rolling up 643 total yards, they allowed the Racers 26 points and 373 yards. I am well aware of the strong history of the MAC’s best program in this role. NIU is 17-8 ATS as road dog and on runs of 9-1 and 5-0 ATS vs. the BIG 10. Just like everybody else on the Buckeyes’ schedule, this is a huge game for the Huskies. Ohio St. lacked focus last week in their win, no cover, against an outmanned Hawaii team. A perennial MAC champion will garner more attention from the Buckeyes with only W. Michigan on deck. Despite last week’s non-cover, HC Meyer remains 40-13 ATS in non-con games. This week, Meyer unleashes the 4-headed offensive threat that is RB Elliott, RB/WR Miller, as well as the dual tandem of QB Barrett and QB Jones for a STEAMROLLER type of effort. But, the main reason for this cover is an Ohio St. defense which has held VA Tech to just 320 yards and Hawaii to only 165 yards last week. Lay the number with the Buckeyes as they STEAMROLL the Huskies into submission.
StatFox Super Situations
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Against - Any team (PHOENIX) off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
30-9 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 20.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher
56-35 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points off a win against a division rival
291-181 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 91.9 units )
11-17 this year. ( 39.3% | -7.7 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Against - Any team (PHOENIX) off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
30-9 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 20.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher
56-35 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points off a win against a division rival
291-181 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 91.9 units )
11-17 this year. ( 39.3% | -7.7 units )
