Sam Clayton
Iowa vs Arizona PK
Made this write-up Thursday night before Iowa was STEAMED heavily. Locked my wager in at Arizona +2, but still suggest a strong wager on the Wildcats given the spread has CROSSED ZERO with still upwards of 80 percent on Iowa.
Absolutely LOVE this play and the way it’s been capped by the public. I respect Kirk Ferentz and everything he’s done for the Hawkeyes football program, but this is a very rough spot for a team that in the eyes of the average bettor is still celebrating throwing Oranges around in Miami. Iowa has DOMINATED it’s first two opponents AT HOME beating Iowa State and Eastern Illinois (yawn) by a combined 72-14. HOWEVER, the biggest challenge is on the horizon traveling out of a definite Midwest comfort zone and into the desert to play No. 24 Arizona. The Wildcats have beaten their two opponents by a combined 93-8 – and haven’t allowed a touchdown. It's probably best to say both teams haven't really been tested, but props to UofA for not allowing a score. On the offensive side of the ball, ‘Cats QB Nick Foles has become one of the best in the nation since taking over the reigns after the Iowa game last year. He went on the road and led Arizona to impressive wins at Oregon State and USC and so far this year, he’s completed 49 of 59 passes for 574 yards. The home team has won the last THREE contests in this blossoming rivalry and Iowa backers are flirting with a serious PUBLIC DISASTER. This game kicks off at 10:30 p.m. ET and the already-80 percent backing the Hawkeyes will INCREASE as bettors chase and try and cut losses in the night cap. Public road favorites on the last game of a card are DANGEROUS. Iowa is 0-6 their last six trips west of the Rockies since 1987 and as I mentioned before, this is a definite disadvantage for the Hawkeyes playing outside of Big Ten country.
2* Notre Dame +3.5 +100 vs Michigan State
Simply put, the Irish a COMPLETELY different team without Dayne Crist. The junior quarterback drove Notre Dame all the way down the field on the opening drive for six points. On the ensuing drive, ND got a three-and-out on 'D' and got the ball back at the Michigan 30. Then, Tommy Rees threw the interception that swung the momentum and changed the entire landscape of the game. Crist is the CATALYST of the offense. When he’s in there, Notre Dame is one of the most versatile in all of college football. His 63 percent accuracy clip, his 3 to 1 TD/INT ratio and most importantly – his familiarity with Michael Floyd and Kyle Rudolph. I look at strength of schedule as well as ND has played an OK Purdue team and a surprisingly good Michigan Wolverines team. MSU on the other side of the coin has played two straight non-BCS cupcakes in Western Michigan and Florida Atlantic. Those schools are not going to prepare you for the Irish and that’s a FACT. It looks rather easy just scooping up the 3.5 points with ND, but with Crist back under center and this defense learning a lot about themselves after hanging with Denard Robinson, this should be a very close game. I like the Irish to win outright so I’m obviously stoked to grab a field goal and THEN some.
Iowa vs Arizona PK
Made this write-up Thursday night before Iowa was STEAMED heavily. Locked my wager in at Arizona +2, but still suggest a strong wager on the Wildcats given the spread has CROSSED ZERO with still upwards of 80 percent on Iowa.
Absolutely LOVE this play and the way it’s been capped by the public. I respect Kirk Ferentz and everything he’s done for the Hawkeyes football program, but this is a very rough spot for a team that in the eyes of the average bettor is still celebrating throwing Oranges around in Miami. Iowa has DOMINATED it’s first two opponents AT HOME beating Iowa State and Eastern Illinois (yawn) by a combined 72-14. HOWEVER, the biggest challenge is on the horizon traveling out of a definite Midwest comfort zone and into the desert to play No. 24 Arizona. The Wildcats have beaten their two opponents by a combined 93-8 – and haven’t allowed a touchdown. It's probably best to say both teams haven't really been tested, but props to UofA for not allowing a score. On the offensive side of the ball, ‘Cats QB Nick Foles has become one of the best in the nation since taking over the reigns after the Iowa game last year. He went on the road and led Arizona to impressive wins at Oregon State and USC and so far this year, he’s completed 49 of 59 passes for 574 yards. The home team has won the last THREE contests in this blossoming rivalry and Iowa backers are flirting with a serious PUBLIC DISASTER. This game kicks off at 10:30 p.m. ET and the already-80 percent backing the Hawkeyes will INCREASE as bettors chase and try and cut losses in the night cap. Public road favorites on the last game of a card are DANGEROUS. Iowa is 0-6 their last six trips west of the Rockies since 1987 and as I mentioned before, this is a definite disadvantage for the Hawkeyes playing outside of Big Ten country.
2* Notre Dame +3.5 +100 vs Michigan State
Simply put, the Irish a COMPLETELY different team without Dayne Crist. The junior quarterback drove Notre Dame all the way down the field on the opening drive for six points. On the ensuing drive, ND got a three-and-out on 'D' and got the ball back at the Michigan 30. Then, Tommy Rees threw the interception that swung the momentum and changed the entire landscape of the game. Crist is the CATALYST of the offense. When he’s in there, Notre Dame is one of the most versatile in all of college football. His 63 percent accuracy clip, his 3 to 1 TD/INT ratio and most importantly – his familiarity with Michael Floyd and Kyle Rudolph. I look at strength of schedule as well as ND has played an OK Purdue team and a surprisingly good Michigan Wolverines team. MSU on the other side of the coin has played two straight non-BCS cupcakes in Western Michigan and Florida Atlantic. Those schools are not going to prepare you for the Irish and that’s a FACT. It looks rather easy just scooping up the 3.5 points with ND, but with Crist back under center and this defense learning a lot about themselves after hanging with Denard Robinson, this should be a very close game. I like the Irish to win outright so I’m obviously stoked to grab a field goal and THEN some.
MLB DUNKEL
NY Yankees at Baltimore
The Orioles look to build on their 5-1 record in Jeremy Guthrie's last 6 starts as an underdog. Baltimore is the pick (+175) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+175). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Game 951-952: Atlanta at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.151; NY Mets (Gee) 14.864
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Over
Game 953-954: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.949; LA Dodgers (Ely) 14.405
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Under
Game 955-956: Arizona at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Enright) 13.431; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.705
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Over
Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.115; Houston (Figueroa) 15.126
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Under
Game 959-960: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.461; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 17.302
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Over
Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 15.998; Florida (Sanchez) 14.597
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+140); Under
Game 963-964: San Diego at St. Louis (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 13.663; St. Louis (Suppan) 14.927
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Over
Game 965-966: Milwaukee at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.560; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.340
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under
Game 967-968: Oakland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.170; Minnesota (Slowey) 16.285
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over
Game 969-970: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.112; White Sox (Harrell) 13.787
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 971-972: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.504; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.197
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-250); Over
Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.644; Baltimore (Guthrie) 16.271
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-205); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+175); Under
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.379; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.560
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Over
Game 977-978: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.051; Boston (Beckett) 15.308
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under
Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.420; Seattle (Vargas) 13.869
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-185); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-185); Over
NY Yankees at Baltimore
The Orioles look to build on their 5-1 record in Jeremy Guthrie's last 6 starts as an underdog. Baltimore is the pick (+175) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+175). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Game 951-952: Atlanta at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.151; NY Mets (Gee) 14.864
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Over
Game 953-954: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.949; LA Dodgers (Ely) 14.405
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Under
Game 955-956: Arizona at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Enright) 13.431; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.705
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Over
Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.115; Houston (Figueroa) 15.126
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Under
Game 959-960: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.461; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 17.302
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Over
Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 15.998; Florida (Sanchez) 14.597
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+140); Under
Game 963-964: San Diego at St. Louis (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 13.663; St. Louis (Suppan) 14.927
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Over
Game 965-966: Milwaukee at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.560; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.340
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under
Game 967-968: Oakland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.170; Minnesota (Slowey) 16.285
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over
Game 969-970: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.112; White Sox (Harrell) 13.787
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 971-972: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.504; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.197
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-250); Over
Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.644; Baltimore (Guthrie) 16.271
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-205); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+175); Under
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.379; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.560
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Over
Game 977-978: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.051; Boston (Beckett) 15.308
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under
Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.420; Seattle (Vargas) 13.869
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-185); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-185); Over
MEAN GREEN
ALL 5 UNITS
NCAAB: (12PM) North Texas - Army // TOTAL: UNDER 51
NCAAB: (12PM) Arkansas - Georgia // TOTAL: OVER 53.5
NCAAB: (12PM) Northern Illinois - Illinois // TOTAL: OVER 45
NCAAB: (12:30PM) Vanderbilt - Mississippi // TOTAL: OVER 43
NCAAB: (1:30PM) East Carolina - Virginia Tech // TOTAL: UNDER 60.5
ALL 5 UNITS
NCAAB: (12PM) North Texas - Army // TOTAL: UNDER 51
NCAAB: (12PM) Arkansas - Georgia // TOTAL: OVER 53.5
NCAAB: (12PM) Northern Illinois - Illinois // TOTAL: OVER 45
NCAAB: (12:30PM) Vanderbilt - Mississippi // TOTAL: OVER 43
NCAAB: (1:30PM) East Carolina - Virginia Tech // TOTAL: UNDER 60.5
Harry Bondi
Free Pick
College Football
AUBURN (-7) over Clemson
7 p.m. EST -- ESPN
Red flags went up all over the Harry Bondi Sports offices a few weeks ago after we watched the tape of Clemson’s 35-10 win over North Texas and saw the Tigers allow 462 total yards. Not only that, but North Texas also held dominating advantages in time of possession (41:52-18:08) and first downs (25-15). After seeing this subpar performance from Clemson we knew there would be some great opportunities to go against them later on and that’s why we’re jumping all over Auburn in this spot.
Free Pick
College Football
AUBURN (-7) over Clemson
7 p.m. EST -- ESPN
Red flags went up all over the Harry Bondi Sports offices a few weeks ago after we watched the tape of Clemson’s 35-10 win over North Texas and saw the Tigers allow 462 total yards. Not only that, but North Texas also held dominating advantages in time of possession (41:52-18:08) and first downs (25-15). After seeing this subpar performance from Clemson we knew there would be some great opportunities to go against them later on and that’s why we’re jumping all over Auburn in this spot.
Thanks for checking. I just googled it and went to his site (could have done this first but figured you'd know right away). In any event, this is what it said...
PINNACLE- WAR's MOST EXCLUSIVE CLUB...
FOR HIGH ROLLERS & "WHALES" ONLY...
FOR FIRST TIME EVER...
AVAILABLE ONLINE RIGHT HERE.
So I'm assuming it's higher than the "Perfect Play"
