jeff benton
1-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes minus $230..overall, 118-140-7 MINUS 515..
jeff continues his losing ways..poor poor pitiful jeff. his largest deficit of 515 dimes..just an fyi, if you bet $1 per unit with jeff, ex: 10 dime play = $100 bet, you would be down somewhere around $7000 in the past three months. think about that for a minute...put that in perspective how can a handicapper be so bad. if you have followed him like i have for the past year and a half??? you can quadruple your losses. now you tell me who is the worst handicapper in usa???? JEFF BENTON, LOL. here are his losses today.
Saturday's Action
20 DIME college football selection on Florida State minus the points over BYU from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are a solid 10-point home favorite across the board, but I expect money to pour in on the hosts here, so I’d recommend jumpang on this game now before the line crosses that key number of 10.
10 DIME college football selection on Virginia Tech minus the points over East Carolina from Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. The Hokies are a solid is a conseensus 20-point home favorite here, with a couple of spots showing 19½ and 20½. Do NOT let this line get to the key number of 21!
10 DIME college football selection Duke plus the points over Alabama from Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. The Blue Devils are a solid 24-point home underdog against the Crimson Tide. It might be wise to wait this one out till close to kickoff, as I expect this number to at least get to 24½ with late money coming in on a public team like Alabama.
FLORIDA STATE
Both BYU and Florida State are in bounce-back mode after disastrous three-touchdown road losses last week – BYU at Air Force; FSU at Oklahoma. But I give the Seminoles a much better shot at actually rebounding for two big reasons:
1) They have way better athletes than BYU; 2) They have an established senior quarterback; and 3) While losing by 30 points at Oklahoma (and they were down 47-10 before a fluke TD on the final play of the game) is never acceptable for a program like Florida State, it was still Oklahoma in Norman (where the Sooners haven’t lost in four years). BYU, on the other hand, had beaten Air Force six straight times and yet was completely outclassed in the 35-21 loss (the Cougars were outgained 477-309).
As for the athlete argument, look no further than last year when Florida State went to Provo as an 8½-point road underdog and destroyed BYU 54-28. The Seminoles rolled up 512 yards of total offense, including 313 on the road on 49 carries (6.4 yards per rush). And if not for the heroics of BYU senior QB Max Hall (20-for-31, 306 yards, two TDs), the Cougars would’ve lost by 40.
As it was, Hall tossed three picks in the defeat, and he was a third-year starter. This year, BYU has been juggling quarterbacks with Riley Nelson and Jake Heaps taking turns under center. It looks as though Nelson has won the job, but the two have still comained to complete barely 50 percent of their passes for 340 total yards, two TDs and one INT. And BYU’s usual high-flying offense has managed just four TDs and 37 points in two games.
While BYU is struggling at the QB position, the Seminoles have senior Christian Ponder (he’s actually a grad student already). Ponder did NOT play well at Oklahoma last week (11-for-28, 113 yards, 0 TDs, 2 INTs), but that’s why I like him all the more today – he’ll be highly motivated to atone for that stinker, especially at home. (Last year, when his tailbacks weren’t running up and down the field, Ponder went 21-for-26 for 195 yards, two TDs and no picks at BYU).
In his last four games in Tallahassee, Ponder has guided Florida State to point totals of 59 (Samford in Week 1), 29 (Maryland), 45 (North Carolina State) and 44 (Georgia Tech). That’s an average of 44.3 ppg, and if the ‘Noles come anywhere close to that average today, they’ll crush BYU by four TDs again as the Cougars offense is in a big state of flux and cannot trade scores with Florida State (which has been a strong bounce-back team recently, going 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games following a defeat)..
VIRGINIA TECH
Let’s see, you’ve got an 0-2 team – with one of those losses coming against a Division I-AA opponent at home – laying nearly three touchdowns to an opponent that’s 2-0 and has scored 51 and 49 points in its first two games. And there’s actually VALUE on the big favorite? Yep, sure is!
Look, there’s no excuse – NONE! – for Virginia Tech losing that game to James Madison last week as a 33-point home chalk. I don’t care about the hangover effect from the last-minute loss to Boise State the weak previous, and I don’t care that the Hokies only had five days to prep. When you’re a team that entered the season ranked 10th in the country, you HAVE to put forth a better showing than the Hokies did last week – maybe they don’t cover a 33-point spread, but to lose to James Madison? In Blacksburg? Totally unacceptable.
But it happened, and now that Va-Tech got its wake-up call, I’m of the belief it will show up breathing fire in this contest. Seriously, the Hokies will be in major stateement-making mode today, and I’m telling you there is no way Frank Beamer will call off the dogs until the final gun sounds to end the game. Which means you should pity East Carolina, which is taking a huge step up in class after season-opening home wins over Tulsa (51-49) and crappy Memphis (49-27).
True, the Pirates have now won 10 of their last 13, but look at who they beat: Central Florida, Marshall, Rice, Memphis (twice), Tulsa (twice), UAB, Southern Miss and Houston. Of those, only Houston stands out as a true quality win. The three losses? To SMU, Arkansas (bowl game) and, yup, Virginia Tech. Last year, the Hokies avenged a 2008 upset loss at East Carolina (27-22) with a 16-3 win as a 12½-point road favorite. A year after getting outgained 369-243 in the five-point loss at ECU, the Hokies had a 379-277 yardage edge last year, including a 242-110 discrepancy in rushing.
Now after two straight meetings at East Carolina, the scene shifts to Blacksburg, and it’s the first road game for new Panthers QB Dominique Davis – he was terrific in the wins over Memphis and Tulsa, but, again, this is a huge jump in caliber of competition and in a hostile venue, no less. Speaking of the road, East Carolina has lost seven of its last eight road debuts, and it is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on the highway. The Pirates have also failed to cover in six of seven non-conference games and four straight against ACC foes.
Bottom line: Last week, Virginia Tech got a much-needed reality check with the loss to James Madison. Now the Panthers, who returned just eight starters from last year and are playing their first road game for a new coach, get their wake-up call, and it comes in the form of a 28-plus-point loss. Va-Tech big today – and I mean B-I-G!!
DUKE (First-Half and Game)
No way in hell do I trust Alabama to cover this ridiculously inflated number against Duke, which fields an explosive offense – one that’s put up 89 points and more than 1,000 yards of offense in two games. This much is certain: The Blue Devils’ offense is easily the best the green Crimson Tide defense (just two returning starters) has seen so far this season, as San Jose State and Penn State are inept with the football.
After two comfortable home wins – including last week’s destruction of Penn State – and now riding a 16-game winning streak, I fully expect the deferding champs to be so overconfident that they’ll have trouble putting their helmets on today. That’s not a team I’m willing to lay 24 points with. Not only is overconfidence a factor to consider today, so too is the fact that ‘Bama’s next three games are beyond brutal, as they visit Arkansas next week, then come home to host Florida, then hit the road again to South Carolina for a meeting with the revived Gamecocks.
Put it this way: When your schedule goes Penn State, Duke, Arkansas (road), Florida, South Carolina (road), what’s the one opponent you think would be taken the most lightly? Exactly!
Make no mistake: Alabama will win this football game and will almost certainly win it comfortably – by a good two touchdowns – because they’re way more talented than Duke. However, this is huge flat spot for the Tide, who are just 13-20 ATS in their last 33 games as a double-digit road favorite. Meanwhile it’s the Blue Devils’ biggest home game probably ever. And because Duke can put points on the board at any time – especially against second-stringers in the fourth quarter when Alabama has the game in hand and is looking to stay healthy for the upcoming three-game Arkansas-Florida-South Carolina gauntlet – we’ll have plenty of chances to cover this generous number.
1-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes minus $230..overall, 118-140-7 MINUS 515..
jeff continues his losing ways..poor poor pitiful jeff. his largest deficit of 515 dimes..just an fyi, if you bet $1 per unit with jeff, ex: 10 dime play = $100 bet, you would be down somewhere around $7000 in the past three months. think about that for a minute...put that in perspective how can a handicapper be so bad. if you have followed him like i have for the past year and a half??? you can quadruple your losses. now you tell me who is the worst handicapper in usa???? JEFF BENTON, LOL. here are his losses today.
Saturday's Action
20 DIME college football selection on Florida State minus the points over BYU from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are a solid 10-point home favorite across the board, but I expect money to pour in on the hosts here, so I’d recommend jumpang on this game now before the line crosses that key number of 10.
10 DIME college football selection on Virginia Tech minus the points over East Carolina from Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. The Hokies are a solid is a conseensus 20-point home favorite here, with a couple of spots showing 19½ and 20½. Do NOT let this line get to the key number of 21!
10 DIME college football selection Duke plus the points over Alabama from Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. The Blue Devils are a solid 24-point home underdog against the Crimson Tide. It might be wise to wait this one out till close to kickoff, as I expect this number to at least get to 24½ with late money coming in on a public team like Alabama.
FLORIDA STATE
Both BYU and Florida State are in bounce-back mode after disastrous three-touchdown road losses last week – BYU at Air Force; FSU at Oklahoma. But I give the Seminoles a much better shot at actually rebounding for two big reasons:
1) They have way better athletes than BYU; 2) They have an established senior quarterback; and 3) While losing by 30 points at Oklahoma (and they were down 47-10 before a fluke TD on the final play of the game) is never acceptable for a program like Florida State, it was still Oklahoma in Norman (where the Sooners haven’t lost in four years). BYU, on the other hand, had beaten Air Force six straight times and yet was completely outclassed in the 35-21 loss (the Cougars were outgained 477-309).
As for the athlete argument, look no further than last year when Florida State went to Provo as an 8½-point road underdog and destroyed BYU 54-28. The Seminoles rolled up 512 yards of total offense, including 313 on the road on 49 carries (6.4 yards per rush). And if not for the heroics of BYU senior QB Max Hall (20-for-31, 306 yards, two TDs), the Cougars would’ve lost by 40.
As it was, Hall tossed three picks in the defeat, and he was a third-year starter. This year, BYU has been juggling quarterbacks with Riley Nelson and Jake Heaps taking turns under center. It looks as though Nelson has won the job, but the two have still comained to complete barely 50 percent of their passes for 340 total yards, two TDs and one INT. And BYU’s usual high-flying offense has managed just four TDs and 37 points in two games.
While BYU is struggling at the QB position, the Seminoles have senior Christian Ponder (he’s actually a grad student already). Ponder did NOT play well at Oklahoma last week (11-for-28, 113 yards, 0 TDs, 2 INTs), but that’s why I like him all the more today – he’ll be highly motivated to atone for that stinker, especially at home. (Last year, when his tailbacks weren’t running up and down the field, Ponder went 21-for-26 for 195 yards, two TDs and no picks at BYU).
In his last four games in Tallahassee, Ponder has guided Florida State to point totals of 59 (Samford in Week 1), 29 (Maryland), 45 (North Carolina State) and 44 (Georgia Tech). That’s an average of 44.3 ppg, and if the ‘Noles come anywhere close to that average today, they’ll crush BYU by four TDs again as the Cougars offense is in a big state of flux and cannot trade scores with Florida State (which has been a strong bounce-back team recently, going 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games following a defeat)..
VIRGINIA TECH
Let’s see, you’ve got an 0-2 team – with one of those losses coming against a Division I-AA opponent at home – laying nearly three touchdowns to an opponent that’s 2-0 and has scored 51 and 49 points in its first two games. And there’s actually VALUE on the big favorite? Yep, sure is!
Look, there’s no excuse – NONE! – for Virginia Tech losing that game to James Madison last week as a 33-point home chalk. I don’t care about the hangover effect from the last-minute loss to Boise State the weak previous, and I don’t care that the Hokies only had five days to prep. When you’re a team that entered the season ranked 10th in the country, you HAVE to put forth a better showing than the Hokies did last week – maybe they don’t cover a 33-point spread, but to lose to James Madison? In Blacksburg? Totally unacceptable.
But it happened, and now that Va-Tech got its wake-up call, I’m of the belief it will show up breathing fire in this contest. Seriously, the Hokies will be in major stateement-making mode today, and I’m telling you there is no way Frank Beamer will call off the dogs until the final gun sounds to end the game. Which means you should pity East Carolina, which is taking a huge step up in class after season-opening home wins over Tulsa (51-49) and crappy Memphis (49-27).
True, the Pirates have now won 10 of their last 13, but look at who they beat: Central Florida, Marshall, Rice, Memphis (twice), Tulsa (twice), UAB, Southern Miss and Houston. Of those, only Houston stands out as a true quality win. The three losses? To SMU, Arkansas (bowl game) and, yup, Virginia Tech. Last year, the Hokies avenged a 2008 upset loss at East Carolina (27-22) with a 16-3 win as a 12½-point road favorite. A year after getting outgained 369-243 in the five-point loss at ECU, the Hokies had a 379-277 yardage edge last year, including a 242-110 discrepancy in rushing.
Now after two straight meetings at East Carolina, the scene shifts to Blacksburg, and it’s the first road game for new Panthers QB Dominique Davis – he was terrific in the wins over Memphis and Tulsa, but, again, this is a huge jump in caliber of competition and in a hostile venue, no less. Speaking of the road, East Carolina has lost seven of its last eight road debuts, and it is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on the highway. The Pirates have also failed to cover in six of seven non-conference games and four straight against ACC foes.
Bottom line: Last week, Virginia Tech got a much-needed reality check with the loss to James Madison. Now the Panthers, who returned just eight starters from last year and are playing their first road game for a new coach, get their wake-up call, and it comes in the form of a 28-plus-point loss. Va-Tech big today – and I mean B-I-G!!
DUKE (First-Half and Game)
No way in hell do I trust Alabama to cover this ridiculously inflated number against Duke, which fields an explosive offense – one that’s put up 89 points and more than 1,000 yards of offense in two games. This much is certain: The Blue Devils’ offense is easily the best the green Crimson Tide defense (just two returning starters) has seen so far this season, as San Jose State and Penn State are inept with the football.
After two comfortable home wins – including last week’s destruction of Penn State – and now riding a 16-game winning streak, I fully expect the deferding champs to be so overconfident that they’ll have trouble putting their helmets on today. That’s not a team I’m willing to lay 24 points with. Not only is overconfidence a factor to consider today, so too is the fact that ‘Bama’s next three games are beyond brutal, as they visit Arkansas next week, then come home to host Florida, then hit the road again to South Carolina for a meeting with the revived Gamecocks.
Put it this way: When your schedule goes Penn State, Duke, Arkansas (road), Florida, South Carolina (road), what’s the one opponent you think would be taken the most lightly? Exactly!
Make no mistake: Alabama will win this football game and will almost certainly win it comfortably – by a good two touchdowns – because they’re way more talented than Duke. However, this is huge flat spot for the Tide, who are just 13-20 ATS in their last 33 games as a double-digit road favorite. Meanwhile it’s the Blue Devils’ biggest home game probably ever. And because Duke can put points on the board at any time – especially against second-stringers in the fourth quarter when Alabama has the game in hand and is looking to stay healthy for the upcoming three-game Arkansas-Florida-South Carolina gauntlet – we’ll have plenty of chances to cover this generous number.
BIG AL:
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos, as we will fade Toledo off its 20-13 upset win last week over Ohio (as a double-digit underdog). And, off that upset win, Toledo falls into two very strong negative systems of mine that each go against teams off upset wins. One is 86-29 ATS over the past 31 seasons, while the other is 159-99 ATS. Additionally, the Rockets have lost 4 straight games (1-3 ATS) to Western Michigan by an average score of 40-20. Take the Broncos.
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over LSU. The Tigers just might be the worst home team in college football. Indeed, on home or neutral fields, LSU is now 0-18 ATS off a win, when matched up against a conference foe. That's one reason I favor the Bulldogs. Another is that LSU falls into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine that fades certain favorites in their home opener, provided they're NOT playing with revenge. Take Miss State + the points.
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Monroe Rajin' Cajuns + the points over Arkansas St. The Red Wolves play their home opener on Saturday night following two road tilts to start the season. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on such home teams, under the theory that they would be excited to finally play in front of their home faithful. Unfortunately, for Steve Roberts' men, unrested home favorites of -10 points or less (or PK) are awful bets in Game 3 after playing their first two games on the road. They've covered just 19 of 60 games. Take La-Monroe. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss any of my other big plays on Saturday, including our Elite Info Winner out of a 27-2 ATS System.
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Tulsa. The Cowboys have stormed out to a 2-0 start, with a 65-17 win over Washington State in Week 1, and then a 41-38 victory last week over Troy State. One of the things I love to do in College Football is play on offensive-minded teams, and the Cowboys certainly fit the bill, with an average of 53 ppg scored this season. And, since 1983, 2-0 home teams, that average 40 points per game, are 64% ATS in Game 3 vs. non-conference foes NOT off back to back wins, including 24-4 ATS the past 28! Moreover, the Cowboys are 75% ATS over the past 31 years at home vs. non-conference foes, if they scored 40+ points in their previous game, and are off back-to-back wins! And the home team in this rivalry is a super 12-1 ATS since 1986 when not laying double digits. College Football Roadkill on the Cowboys! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other College Football Winners on Saturday, including my Elite Info play out of a 27-2 ATS System!
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Texas, as Texas Tech falls into a 112-48 ATS system of mine. Two years ago, we had one of our strongest plays in years on Texas Tech, and Michael Crabtree & Co. rewarded us with an upset of the highly-ranked Longhorns. That was Texas' last regular season loss, and Texas avenged that defeat last season with a win in Austin. But now the two teams hook up again in Lubbock, though this time old coach Mike Leach won't be on the sideline. Instead, former Auburn coach Tommy Tuberville is calling the plays, and he has sensational QB Taylor Potts behind center. Potts has completed 56 of 87 passes for 652 yards and 7 touchdowns. Even more impressive, he has yet to throw an interception. So, even though former stars Crabtree and Graham Harrell are now earning paychecks in the NFL, that doesn't mean Texas Tech's talent level has dropped. Indeed, ex-coach Leach is on record as saying that the current roster of players is the best that Texas Tech has ever had. In contrast, this is a "rebuilding" year for the Longhorns. Quarterback Garrett Gilbert certainly won't make any of the burnt orange faithful forget Colt McCoy, and the Longhorn running game has yet to come completely together (it's averaging 4.9 yards per rush vs. defenses that allow 4.6 yards per rush). Last week vs. Wyoming, backup RBs Fozzy Whittaker and Cody Johnson had the biggest impact. Whittaker led the Horns with 62 yards on seven carries, while Johnson gained 46 yards on nine carries. Starter Tre Newton only picked up 25 yards on eight attempts. But even though Texas was a HUGE 28-point favorite vs. the Cowboys, it only had 389 yards of total offense. It also is starting very slowly in games, with just three points in the 1st quarter this year (in two games), compared to Texas Tech, which has scored 28 first quarter points. That won't get the job done against this Red Raider squad, which is 35-15 ATS at home vs. .500 (or better) conference foes since 1993. The underdog is also 19-11 ATS in this series. Take the points. Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. And be sure to get on board for all of our College Football Winners this weekend!
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Iowa. Last season, Iowa defeated Arizona at Kinnick Stadium 27-17, as 4.5-point favorites, so Arizona plays this ballgame with revenge. And, according to my database, they'll get it, as they fall into a revenge system that also incorporates a team's points scored, which is 27-2 ATS over the past 31 years (Arizona is averaging 46.5 ppg after 2 games). In that 27-17 loss, Arizona QB Nick Foles came off the bench and threw a TD pass. He's been the Wildcats' starting QB ever since, and has plenty of weapons at his disposal (nine Wildcats caught passes last week vs. The Citadel). So far this season, the 6'5" junior QB is a terrific 49-for-59 for 574 yards and 3 TDs. Admittedly, Iowa has a superb defense (especially on its defensive line, which returned four seniors), and is very physical on both sides of the line of scrimmage, but I fully expect 7th-year coach Mike Stoops' men to defeat the 9th-ranked Hawkeyes. Indeed, Arizona's defense has also played great this year, as well, as it's not yet allowed a touchdown. The Wildcats have been dominant at home for 3 1-2 seasons now, as they're 12-2 ATS since November 3, 2007, with the only pointspread losses being by 1 point and 5 points! Take Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big plays this weekend, including my 15-0 ATS NCAA High Roller, or my 3-Game Package that includes an 18-0 ATS winner. Of course, the best way to get all of our sharp information is to join for a week or a month!
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Arizona State. Sports betting is always about finding value, and one of the things that creates value is when a team comes into a game off a string of pointspread defeats. Teams that fail to cover the spread don't attract many followers, and that's the case on Saturday with the Wisconsin Badgers. Wisky opened up its 2010 campaign with a 20-point win over UNLV, 41-21. Unfortunately for the Badgers' backers, they were favored by 20.5 points, so Wisky burned all the tickets on them. However, if one looked beyond the final score, and examined the stats in that game, one would have seen that the Badgers completely dominated UNLV, as Wisconsin outgained UNLV in yardage by a 475 to 217 count. Last week, the Badgers played an uninspired game at home vs. San Jose State. Wisconsin was favored by a whopping 39 points, yet won by only 13, 27-14, and only outgained the Spartans by 96 yards (403 to 307). Now, the Badgers will get their first "true test" of the season, when they welcome Arizona State to Camp Randall Stadium. The Sun Devils are 2-0, and have 553 and 450 yards of offense in their first two games (while surrendering 238 and 263 yards to their foes). But we'll step in and lay the points with Wisconsin, as College Football teams are 35-1 straight-up and 29-6-1 ATS over the past 31 seasons in Game 3, when they're priced from -13.5 to -40 points, and off back to back ATS losses as a favorite. And, if our 'play-on' team failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its last game, then our 29-6 stat zooms to 15-0 ATS! NCAA High Roller on the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos, as we will fade Toledo off its 20-13 upset win last week over Ohio (as a double-digit underdog). And, off that upset win, Toledo falls into two very strong negative systems of mine that each go against teams off upset wins. One is 86-29 ATS over the past 31 seasons, while the other is 159-99 ATS. Additionally, the Rockets have lost 4 straight games (1-3 ATS) to Western Michigan by an average score of 40-20. Take the Broncos.
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over LSU. The Tigers just might be the worst home team in college football. Indeed, on home or neutral fields, LSU is now 0-18 ATS off a win, when matched up against a conference foe. That's one reason I favor the Bulldogs. Another is that LSU falls into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine that fades certain favorites in their home opener, provided they're NOT playing with revenge. Take Miss State + the points.
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Monroe Rajin' Cajuns + the points over Arkansas St. The Red Wolves play their home opener on Saturday night following two road tilts to start the season. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on such home teams, under the theory that they would be excited to finally play in front of their home faithful. Unfortunately, for Steve Roberts' men, unrested home favorites of -10 points or less (or PK) are awful bets in Game 3 after playing their first two games on the road. They've covered just 19 of 60 games. Take La-Monroe. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss any of my other big plays on Saturday, including our Elite Info Winner out of a 27-2 ATS System.
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Tulsa. The Cowboys have stormed out to a 2-0 start, with a 65-17 win over Washington State in Week 1, and then a 41-38 victory last week over Troy State. One of the things I love to do in College Football is play on offensive-minded teams, and the Cowboys certainly fit the bill, with an average of 53 ppg scored this season. And, since 1983, 2-0 home teams, that average 40 points per game, are 64% ATS in Game 3 vs. non-conference foes NOT off back to back wins, including 24-4 ATS the past 28! Moreover, the Cowboys are 75% ATS over the past 31 years at home vs. non-conference foes, if they scored 40+ points in their previous game, and are off back-to-back wins! And the home team in this rivalry is a super 12-1 ATS since 1986 when not laying double digits. College Football Roadkill on the Cowboys! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other College Football Winners on Saturday, including my Elite Info play out of a 27-2 ATS System!
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Texas, as Texas Tech falls into a 112-48 ATS system of mine. Two years ago, we had one of our strongest plays in years on Texas Tech, and Michael Crabtree & Co. rewarded us with an upset of the highly-ranked Longhorns. That was Texas' last regular season loss, and Texas avenged that defeat last season with a win in Austin. But now the two teams hook up again in Lubbock, though this time old coach Mike Leach won't be on the sideline. Instead, former Auburn coach Tommy Tuberville is calling the plays, and he has sensational QB Taylor Potts behind center. Potts has completed 56 of 87 passes for 652 yards and 7 touchdowns. Even more impressive, he has yet to throw an interception. So, even though former stars Crabtree and Graham Harrell are now earning paychecks in the NFL, that doesn't mean Texas Tech's talent level has dropped. Indeed, ex-coach Leach is on record as saying that the current roster of players is the best that Texas Tech has ever had. In contrast, this is a "rebuilding" year for the Longhorns. Quarterback Garrett Gilbert certainly won't make any of the burnt orange faithful forget Colt McCoy, and the Longhorn running game has yet to come completely together (it's averaging 4.9 yards per rush vs. defenses that allow 4.6 yards per rush). Last week vs. Wyoming, backup RBs Fozzy Whittaker and Cody Johnson had the biggest impact. Whittaker led the Horns with 62 yards on seven carries, while Johnson gained 46 yards on nine carries. Starter Tre Newton only picked up 25 yards on eight attempts. But even though Texas was a HUGE 28-point favorite vs. the Cowboys, it only had 389 yards of total offense. It also is starting very slowly in games, with just three points in the 1st quarter this year (in two games), compared to Texas Tech, which has scored 28 first quarter points. That won't get the job done against this Red Raider squad, which is 35-15 ATS at home vs. .500 (or better) conference foes since 1993. The underdog is also 19-11 ATS in this series. Take the points. Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. And be sure to get on board for all of our College Football Winners this weekend!
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Iowa. Last season, Iowa defeated Arizona at Kinnick Stadium 27-17, as 4.5-point favorites, so Arizona plays this ballgame with revenge. And, according to my database, they'll get it, as they fall into a revenge system that also incorporates a team's points scored, which is 27-2 ATS over the past 31 years (Arizona is averaging 46.5 ppg after 2 games). In that 27-17 loss, Arizona QB Nick Foles came off the bench and threw a TD pass. He's been the Wildcats' starting QB ever since, and has plenty of weapons at his disposal (nine Wildcats caught passes last week vs. The Citadel). So far this season, the 6'5" junior QB is a terrific 49-for-59 for 574 yards and 3 TDs. Admittedly, Iowa has a superb defense (especially on its defensive line, which returned four seniors), and is very physical on both sides of the line of scrimmage, but I fully expect 7th-year coach Mike Stoops' men to defeat the 9th-ranked Hawkeyes. Indeed, Arizona's defense has also played great this year, as well, as it's not yet allowed a touchdown. The Wildcats have been dominant at home for 3 1-2 seasons now, as they're 12-2 ATS since November 3, 2007, with the only pointspread losses being by 1 point and 5 points! Take Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big plays this weekend, including my 15-0 ATS NCAA High Roller, or my 3-Game Package that includes an 18-0 ATS winner. Of course, the best way to get all of our sharp information is to join for a week or a month!
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Arizona State. Sports betting is always about finding value, and one of the things that creates value is when a team comes into a game off a string of pointspread defeats. Teams that fail to cover the spread don't attract many followers, and that's the case on Saturday with the Wisconsin Badgers. Wisky opened up its 2010 campaign with a 20-point win over UNLV, 41-21. Unfortunately for the Badgers' backers, they were favored by 20.5 points, so Wisky burned all the tickets on them. However, if one looked beyond the final score, and examined the stats in that game, one would have seen that the Badgers completely dominated UNLV, as Wisconsin outgained UNLV in yardage by a 475 to 217 count. Last week, the Badgers played an uninspired game at home vs. San Jose State. Wisconsin was favored by a whopping 39 points, yet won by only 13, 27-14, and only outgained the Spartans by 96 yards (403 to 307). Now, the Badgers will get their first "true test" of the season, when they welcome Arizona State to Camp Randall Stadium. The Sun Devils are 2-0, and have 553 and 450 yards of offense in their first two games (while surrendering 238 and 263 yards to their foes). But we'll step in and lay the points with Wisconsin, as College Football teams are 35-1 straight-up and 29-6-1 ATS over the past 31 seasons in Game 3, when they're priced from -13.5 to -40 points, and off back to back ATS losses as a favorite. And, if our 'play-on' team failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its last game, then our 29-6 stat zooms to 15-0 ATS! NCAA High Roller on the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
Power Plays of The Day are
Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.
Power Play Wins 10 Power Plays!
Sport: NCAAF
PENN ST(-21) Over
KENT ST
Game time: 9:00:00 AM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
VIRGINIA TECH(-20.5) Over
EAST CAROLINA
Game time: 10:30:00 AM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
NEBRASKA(-3) Over
WASHINGTON
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
WISCONSIN(-12) Over
ARIZONA ST
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
FLORIDA ST(-10) Over
BYU
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST.(-3.5) Over
MEMPHIS
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
WESTERN MICHIGAN(-3.5) Over
TOLEDO
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
NAVY(-3) Over
LOUISIANA TECH
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BOISE ST(-23.5) Over
WYOMING
Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
HOUSTON(-4) Over
UCLA
Game time: 7:30:00 PM (PST)
Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.
Power Play Wins 10 Power Plays!
Sport: NCAAF
PENN ST(-21) Over
KENT ST
Game time: 9:00:00 AM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
VIRGINIA TECH(-20.5) Over
EAST CAROLINA
Game time: 10:30:00 AM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
NEBRASKA(-3) Over
WASHINGTON
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
WISCONSIN(-12) Over
ARIZONA ST
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
FLORIDA ST(-10) Over
BYU
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST.(-3.5) Over
MEMPHIS
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
WESTERN MICHIGAN(-3.5) Over
TOLEDO
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
NAVY(-3) Over
LOUISIANA TECH
Game time: 4:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
BOISE ST(-23.5) Over
WYOMING
Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)
Sport: NCAAF
HOUSTON(-4) Over
UCLA
Game time: 7:30:00 PM (PST)
