WUNDERDOG
Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +1.5 runs -120 (runline)
The best team in baseball this season when facing a righthand pitcher on the runline has been the Toronto Blue Jays. James Shields has not had a good year for Tampa Bay, struggling to a 4.54 ERA. In addition, when he faces a team on the road with a winning record the Rays have been in trouble as they are just 10-25 in his last 35 starts in this situation. The numbers decline further as the Rays are 1-10 in Shield's last 11 starts after the Rays scored two or less in their last game. The Jays have really played well in the division taking nine of their last ten and are also 14-3 in their last 17 facing a pitcher with a WHIP pf 1.30 or greater.
I'll go with Toronto here on the runline.