jeff benton saturday
0-1 yesteday minus 15 dimes minus $165. overall, 86-110-3 minus 495 dimes.
i have been gambling off and on for the past 20 years. have used different services, blah blah blah...i have never seen a worse 8 to 10 week stretch that i'm currently witnessing. i have used benton off and on for the past six years..mostly on a positive note. however, since super bowl 2009, until yesterday bettors (if they follow his money management system) would be down close to $14,000. anyone else out there who can name a worse handicapper then jeff benton? anyway, luckily i've been taking his picks and betting the opposite and doing great...until he turns it around, i would suggest doing the same.
Saturday's Plays ...
20 DIME selection on the <b>OAKLAND A’S</b> in the middle game of a weekend series at the Oakland Coliseum. As I pubaish today’s plays, this game is right around a pick-em both here in Vegas and offshore. Note that both pitceing probables – Oakland’s Gio Gonzalez and Texas’ Rich Harden – must start. If either does not pitch, this play is VOID!
10 DIME selection on the <b>NEW YORK YANKEES</b> on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Red Sox as this four-game series contirues at Yankee Stadium. Note that with all run-line wagers, both scheduled starters – New York’s CC Sabathia and Boston’s John Lackey – must start. If either does not pitch, this play is VOID!
<b>A’s</b>
Gio Gonzalez is one of the better pitchers in the American League that you DON’T know about. Although his record is just 9-7, he’s posted a 3.69 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP with a 120 strikeouts (vs. just 59 walks) in 134 innings.
Gonzalez has taken advantage of the cavernous Oakland Coliseum, where he’s 5-3 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP (he’s allowed just four home runs in 63 1/3 innings at home). And more specifically, his stuff is very difficult to figure out in day games, as evidenced by the fact that he’s 5-1 with a 2.40 ERA under the sun, allowing just 33 hits (two home runs) and 12 walks in 48 2/3 innings. In those 48 2/3 innings, opponents are batting just .189 against the southpaw. Throw in a no-decision, and the A’s are 6-1 when Gonzalez pitches in day games.
That’s not a fluke, folks. That’s a solid trend. And I’ll tell you why it’s even more solid today against the Rangers. First off, Texas is not hitting left-handed pitching right now, as it entered this series batting just .245 vs. southepaws over the previous 10 games. Additionally, the Rangers today reach Game #8 of a nine-game West Coast road trip (L.A. to Seattle to Oakland). And with this being a short turnaround after a late game last night, I think we can safely assume that Texas manager Ron Washington will rest some of his big boppers.
After all, Texas has three HUGE series coming up against the Yankees (two games at home), Red Sox (three at home) and Rays (three on the road), at least one of whom the Rangers are likely to see come the playoffs.
Finally, while I’ve sung the praises of Oakland’s starting pitcher tonight, allow me a few words about Rangers right-hander (and ex-A’s hurler) Rich Harden. He was VERY impressive a week ago tonight at the Angels, returning after a seven-week stint on the DL and allowing one run in seven innings, leading Texas to a 2-1 win. But even with that effort Harden has a 5.25 ERA overall and a 6.12 ERA on the road. And while Gonzalez has given up just four home runs in 63 1/3 innings at home, Harden has been taken deep 10 times in 42 2/3 innings on the road.
Bottom line: The A’s have the better starting pitcher going in this one; they’ve played very well at home all season (32-23); and not only is Gonzalez tremerdous in day games, his entire team is, as Oakland has the best daytime winning percentage in baseball at 25-11 (vs. 29-42 night). Texas, meanwhile, is 13-15 in day games (50-30 at night).
<b>Yankees (-1½ runs)</b>
Yes, CC Sabathia is coming off consecutive losses on the road to the Indians and Rays. But it wasn’t exactly the hefty lefty’s fault. He allowed just five earned runs total in the two starts, going seven innings at Cleveland and 6 2/3 at Tampa Bay. Problem is the Yankees scored a grand total of one run in those contests.
Prior to those two defeats, Sabathia had been on a 9-0, 10-game tear (New York also prevailed in the one no-decision) that stretched to the beginning of June. And even if you include the two recent losses, since June 1, Sabathia has delivered 12 consecutive quality starts while going 9-2 with a 2.39 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 86 2/3 innings. And he’s been ridiculously good at home this year, going 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 10 starts.
Opposing batters have a .218 batting average against Sabathia at Yankee Stadium, and with the makeshift lineup Boston manager Terry Francona is being forced to field these days, I fully expect that opponents batting average to actually go down today. See, while Sabathia has struggled in three starts against the Red Sox this year (4.76 ERA), he also had to face Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis – Boston’s two best hitters who are both on the shelf (Youkilis for the season).
As for Red Sox right-hander John Lackey, I just do not trust him, as he’s easily been one of the five most inconsistent pitchers in all of baseball. For instance, he’s bookended a solid three-start stretch (3-0, 1.61 ERA) with two horrific losses to the Blue Jays and Indians (13 runs allowed in 10 innings). And with this being a day game in the Bronx, it must be noted that Lackey has a 6.75 ERA in six day games, five of which Boston has lost.
Finally, even though the Red Sox rolled to the 6-3 win last night, New York has been owning this rivalry, winning 14 of the last 19 meetings overall, including eight of 10 at Yankee Stadium. Also, 18 of the last 19 meetings have been decided by multiple runs and 56 of New York’s 67 wins have been by more than one run, including 13 of 15 wins behind Sabathia.