King Creole
Under 7.5 Milwaukee Brewers/Washington Nationals
The Brewers and Nats went UNDER in last night's Game One of this series. So far thus season, the UNDER has gone 3-1 when these two teams have faced each other. Both starting pitchers come in with sub 4.00 ERAS on the year. Matt Garza of the Brew Crew is on a current 9-start stretch since late May in which he allowed 3 or less earned runs EIGHT times... and 2 or less earned runs in FIVE of 'em. He's only one start removed from a 9-inning SHUTOUT in which he allowed only two hits. Last three starts ERA is only 2.31. And last eight starts ERA is only 2.32. He faced the Nationals once this season, and pitched well... losing 3 to 0. And finally, he's given up only ONE home run in his last 8 starts (59 innings). On the flip side, Tanner Roarke comes in with a 3.01 ERA on the year. He's been even MORE effective at home... with an ERA of only 2.01. He's gone UNDER in 75% of those home starts. Like Garza, Roarke is off his 2nd best start of the season. And in his last 10 starts, he's given up 3 or less earned runs EIGHT times. He has a low HR ratio as well. Roarke has given up only ONE home run in his last 7 starts covering 45 innings. With both pitchers locked into a good groove, a good old DUEL would not surprise.
Behind the dish is VIC CARAPAZZA. He's allowed an average of just 6.6 combined runs per game (5th lowest of all Umpires)... and has gone 7-12 O/U on the season. In terms of current form, Carapazza comes in with a 1-5 O/U record over the last three weeks. he has an extremely large strike zone, as evidenced by his K/BB ratio of 3.43 to 1 (15.5 K's per game / only 4.5 BB's per game). To top things off, we can't help but feel confident of Carapazza's record in National Legue games this season. He's gone 1-7 O/U in these games... with a lowly average of only 4.6 runs per game.