Kevin
MLBPredictions
Kevin's Pick(s):
A couple free picks for you below. Don't forget to let me know if you want to sign up for a membership and receive all of our picks daily. I've got two more plays going today.
2 UNIT = St Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1 (-109)
Listed Pitchers: Miller vs Buehrle
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.84 units)
I'm coming right back on the Blue Jays this afternoon, this time taking them -1. This means that if they win by 1 it's a cancelled bet, if they win by 2 or more we cash our bet, and if they lose we lose our bet. Most sportsbooks offer -1 lines, but if not you can split your bet between -1.5 run line and money line. Toronto won 3-1 last night despite going 1 for 12 with RISP. Although they only scored 3 runs, they had 11 hits and just missed a few balls that could have blown last night's game open. Shelby Miller will pitch for St Louis and he is 6-5 on the season with a 4.06 ERA, .254 OBA and 1.43 WHIP. Over his last three games he is 0-3 with a 7.94 ERA. Mark Buehrle is on the mound for Toronto and he is 10-1 with a 2.10 ERA, .253 OBA and 1.19 WHIP. In 4 day games he is 4-0 with a 0.93 ERA this season. The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 overall and 4-15 in their last 19 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Blue Jays are 25-7 in their last 32 overall, 10-2 in their last 12 home games, and 19-7 in Buehrle's last 26 starts overall.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates - OVER 7.5 RUNS (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Garza vs. Volquez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Giving Darvish a 4 run cushion is usually money in the bag, but the Rangers had to fight to earn their win after that lead evaporated in just two innings. They went on to win 6-4 so all is well and the bet got cashed.
Quick writeup here for me as I need to head out shortly early Saturday morning. I was expecting a total of 8 in this spot between the Brewers and Pirates, so 7.5 looks good to me. Matt Garza comes into tonight's game struggling mightily on the road this season. His ERA stands at 6.59 in that capacity, and has yet to put together a really good start away. The least amount of runs he's allowed on the road in 2014 has been 3. In addition, Garza holds a 1.57 WHIP and .344 OBP. Conversely, Edinson Volquez has been OK this season, but against Garza I don't think the number should be at 7.5. Volquez will come into it with a 4.25 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Not awful, but not great either. The last time Volquez had an ERA below 4 was in 2008. Last season in 27 starts with the Padres he faired poorly, a 6.01 ERA. Note that the Brewers have gone OVER the number in four straight games. They are also 12-2-2 to the OVER in their last sixteen games. Likewise, the Pirates have gone 9-4-3 to the OVER in their last sixteen home games. At 7.5 I think we should be able to get enough runs to hit a winner on Saturday.