SUPER SPORTS GROUP
Minnesota v. NY 1:10pm
PICK: Mets RL (-1.5) +150 Game
Philadelphia v. Toronto 4:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +120 Game Best bet of the day
Detroit v. Atlanta 4:05pm
PICK: Tigers ML +110 Game
Washington v. Baltimore 4:05pm
PICK: Orioles ML ev Game
PICK: UNDER 9 Game +105
Seattle v. Milwaukee 4:10pm
PICK: Brewers RL (-1.5) +165 Game
NY v. LA 7:10pm
PICK: Yankees ML -110
Minnesota v. NY 1:10pm
PICK: Mets RL (-1.5) +150 Game
Philadelphia v. Toronto 4:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +120 Game Best bet of the day
Detroit v. Atlanta 4:05pm
PICK: Tigers ML +110 Game
Washington v. Baltimore 4:05pm
PICK: Orioles ML ev Game
PICK: UNDER 9 Game +105
Seattle v. Milwaukee 4:10pm
PICK: Brewers RL (-1.5) +165 Game
NY v. LA 7:10pm
PICK: Yankees ML -110
Craig Davis 100 dime run line play
Saturday's Lineup
100 Dime play on Tampa Bay - 1 1/2 Runs with Price over Arizona and Kennedy. Both starters must go or this play is automatically voided. As I released this pick at 8:30 Eastern, Tampa Bay is -105 on the Run Line in Vegas and offshore.
One and only play of the day on the Tampa Bay Rays to come back in a BIG way after getting no-hit by Edwin Jackson and the Diamondbacks last night. This couldn't set up for me any nicer. I was already eyeing this game as a big play before the no-hitter... but now I'm jumping all over it. Arizona flat out stinks on the road, they are one of the worst road teams in baseball, and if not for a masterpiece from Jackson last night they would have been beaten soundly. Only a solo home run from Adam LaRoche was the total scoring in last night's game.
The Diamondbacks just don't score a lot of runs on the road, as evidencad by last night's 1-0 game, scoring just 22 runs in their last 6-game road trip. In those six games, Arizona lost five of them and every single one was at least a two-run loss. Today will be no different.
Arizona is just 11-27 in road games this year and, even worse they're 6-15 in day games. Tampa, on the other hand, enjoys playing under the sun as they've won 12 of 20 in the daylight. This game sets up so nicely it's honestly scary. Tampa was "no-hit" last night, they clearly have a better offense than Arizona, they definitely have the pitching advantage today, and they get a team that strugglaes against lefties and can't win a road game to save their lives. Yeah, I'd say this one sets up nicely in our favor.
On one hand you have David Price... and absolute stud in the making that has dominated opponents all season --- but especially at home. He's 10-3 with a 2.45 ERA for the year and is 2-1 with a 3.01 ERA over his last three starts. At home he's even better, sporting a 4-1 record (12-4 for his career) in 6 starts with a 1.94 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP, not to mention the fact batters are hitting just .181 against him. Price loves pitching on the artificial surface as well, possessing a 5-1 record and a 1.63 ERA on the fake stuff. During the day, Price has lost just once in six starts and owns a 2.52 ERA. His WHIP and BAA are both better in day games than night games.
He's 3-1 in the month of June (so far) with an ERA of 2.11... his best month thus far. Price will be pitching against Arizona for the first time in his career, but considering they hit below .250 against southpaws, I'm quite certain he'll have no trouble setting them down in order today. If his fastball continues to top 95 and he has solid control of his offspeed stuff, the Diamondbacks are in for a long afternoon.
The D-backs counter with Ian Kennedy who, although at times has had good stuff, struggles on the road and struggles in the sunshine. He's 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA away from Phoenix and the Diamondbacks have lost his last five road starts, includtng a 6-3 loss at Boston and a 3-1 loss at Detroit in his last two (9 ERs in 12 2/3 innings). His last road win was a 1-0 triumph over Houston back on May 4th... nearly two months ago. During day games Kennedy struggles as well, winning just once in 6 tries with a 4.14 ERA.
While with the Yankees last year, Kennedy saw the Rays three times... he was 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 3 starts overall and 0-1 in two starts with a 6.65 ERA at Tropicana Field. Until last night, Arizona hadn't won in Tampa Bay either... getting swept in Interleague play back in 2006.
Arizona is 2-8 in their last 10 Interleague road games, 1-7 in their last 8 on field turf, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a lefty, 6-16 in their last 22 Interleague games, 19-48 in their last 67 road games, and 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa, meanwhile, has won 24 of their last 33 Saturday games, 21 of their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, 20 of their last 29 as a home favorite of -200 or greater, 6 of their last 7 David Price starts when the opponent scores two or less the previous game, 14 of his last 18 starts overall, and 8 of his last 10 starts with the total set between 7 and 8 1/2.
It's right here for the taking boys, and I'm all over it. I like the Rays on the run line to absolutely dispose of the Diamondbacks in a major way today.
Saturday's Lineup
100 Dime play on Tampa Bay - 1 1/2 Runs with Price over Arizona and Kennedy. Both starters must go or this play is automatically voided. As I released this pick at 8:30 Eastern, Tampa Bay is -105 on the Run Line in Vegas and offshore.
One and only play of the day on the Tampa Bay Rays to come back in a BIG way after getting no-hit by Edwin Jackson and the Diamondbacks last night. This couldn't set up for me any nicer. I was already eyeing this game as a big play before the no-hitter... but now I'm jumping all over it. Arizona flat out stinks on the road, they are one of the worst road teams in baseball, and if not for a masterpiece from Jackson last night they would have been beaten soundly. Only a solo home run from Adam LaRoche was the total scoring in last night's game.
The Diamondbacks just don't score a lot of runs on the road, as evidencad by last night's 1-0 game, scoring just 22 runs in their last 6-game road trip. In those six games, Arizona lost five of them and every single one was at least a two-run loss. Today will be no different.
Arizona is just 11-27 in road games this year and, even worse they're 6-15 in day games. Tampa, on the other hand, enjoys playing under the sun as they've won 12 of 20 in the daylight. This game sets up so nicely it's honestly scary. Tampa was "no-hit" last night, they clearly have a better offense than Arizona, they definitely have the pitching advantage today, and they get a team that strugglaes against lefties and can't win a road game to save their lives. Yeah, I'd say this one sets up nicely in our favor.
On one hand you have David Price... and absolute stud in the making that has dominated opponents all season --- but especially at home. He's 10-3 with a 2.45 ERA for the year and is 2-1 with a 3.01 ERA over his last three starts. At home he's even better, sporting a 4-1 record (12-4 for his career) in 6 starts with a 1.94 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP, not to mention the fact batters are hitting just .181 against him. Price loves pitching on the artificial surface as well, possessing a 5-1 record and a 1.63 ERA on the fake stuff. During the day, Price has lost just once in six starts and owns a 2.52 ERA. His WHIP and BAA are both better in day games than night games.
He's 3-1 in the month of June (so far) with an ERA of 2.11... his best month thus far. Price will be pitching against Arizona for the first time in his career, but considering they hit below .250 against southpaws, I'm quite certain he'll have no trouble setting them down in order today. If his fastball continues to top 95 and he has solid control of his offspeed stuff, the Diamondbacks are in for a long afternoon.
The D-backs counter with Ian Kennedy who, although at times has had good stuff, struggles on the road and struggles in the sunshine. He's 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA away from Phoenix and the Diamondbacks have lost his last five road starts, includtng a 6-3 loss at Boston and a 3-1 loss at Detroit in his last two (9 ERs in 12 2/3 innings). His last road win was a 1-0 triumph over Houston back on May 4th... nearly two months ago. During day games Kennedy struggles as well, winning just once in 6 tries with a 4.14 ERA.
While with the Yankees last year, Kennedy saw the Rays three times... he was 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 3 starts overall and 0-1 in two starts with a 6.65 ERA at Tropicana Field. Until last night, Arizona hadn't won in Tampa Bay either... getting swept in Interleague play back in 2006.
Arizona is 2-8 in their last 10 Interleague road games, 1-7 in their last 8 on field turf, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a lefty, 6-16 in their last 22 Interleague games, 19-48 in their last 67 road games, and 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Tampa, meanwhile, has won 24 of their last 33 Saturday games, 21 of their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, 20 of their last 29 as a home favorite of -200 or greater, 6 of their last 7 David Price starts when the opponent scores two or less the previous game, 14 of his last 18 starts overall, and 8 of his last 10 starts with the total set between 7 and 8 1/2.
It's right here for the taking boys, and I'm all over it. I like the Rays on the run line to absolutely dispose of the Diamondbacks in a major way today.
BOB BALFE
Uruguay pk
South Korea did a great job to get to the round of 16, but they do not have the defensive strength to advance. Uruguay is playing with great confidence and still has yet to allow a goal in the tournament. Take Uruguay as a pick.
United States pk
Team USA was seconds away from going home in this tournament due to several bad calls by the refs. Instead, they battled back in the 90th minute to win their group. Look for Team USA to live on for another day as they will face a Ghana team that barely survived a relatively weak group. Take USA as a pick.
Philadelphia Phillies -138
The Phillies dominated the Blue Jays last night and I do not see much changing tonight. Because this is considered a American League game, the Phillies have the luxury of having another hitter in their already dominant and powerful lineup behind Cole Hamels, who is beginning to get his groove back. Take the Phils.
Uruguay pk
South Korea did a great job to get to the round of 16, but they do not have the defensive strength to advance. Uruguay is playing with great confidence and still has yet to allow a goal in the tournament. Take Uruguay as a pick.
United States pk
Team USA was seconds away from going home in this tournament due to several bad calls by the refs. Instead, they battled back in the 90th minute to win their group. Look for Team USA to live on for another day as they will face a Ghana team that barely survived a relatively weak group. Take USA as a pick.
Philadelphia Phillies -138
The Phillies dominated the Blue Jays last night and I do not see much changing tonight. Because this is considered a American League game, the Phillies have the luxury of having another hitter in their already dominant and powerful lineup behind Cole Hamels, who is beginning to get his groove back. Take the Phils.
