Service Plays Saturday 5/10/14

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Saturday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Sabathia a strong underdog play

San Diego Surges as Home 'Dog

The Padres entered Friday a +123 underdog against Jose Fernandez and visiting Miami, but erupted for a season high in runs en route to a 10-1 victory. San Diego is 4-1 in its last five games as a home dog and is listed at -102 for Saturday's rematch.

CC Setting New Trends

New York Yankees lefty CC Sabathia is 3-1 as an underdog so far in 2014 after going just 3-9 a season ago. Sabathia and the Yankees are installed as a +121 underdog for Saturday's showdown with the host Milwaukee Brewers.

Scherzer a Sure Under Bet

Detroit Tigers fireballer Max Scherzer has been one of the safest Under plays all season - going 1-6 O/U so far - and has gone Under in each of his previous two starts against Minnesota. Scherzer and the Tigers (-255, 8) host the Twins on Saturday afternoon; Minnesota is 21-12-1 O/U on the season.

Pitching Notes

* Chicago Cubs ace Jeff Samardjiza has been as hard-luck as they come, going 1-6 against the moneyline despite boasting a sensational 1.62 ERA and .285 opposing OBP. Samardjiza and the Cubs (+136, 7) face the host Atlanta Braves, who are 9-7 as a home favorite in 3014.

* Miami hurler Nathan Eovaldi has surrendered just 10 home runs in 25 starts spanning the previous two seasons, during which the Marlins are 13-12 against the moneyline and 9-13-3 O/U.

Hitting Notes

* Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer is hitting .373 over his previous 12 games, during which Kansas City is a sizzling 8-3-1 O/U. Hosmer and the Royals (-120, 6.5) visit the Seattle Mariners on Saturday.

* White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu is heating up again after a brief lull, racking up seven hits over his last 13 at-bats following a 5-for-27 slide. Chicago is 3-0 O/U during his resurgence after going 1-6 O/U during his slump; the White Sox (-121, 8.5) host Arizona on Saturday.

Total Streak

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-1-1 O/U): Pittsburgh coughed up 35 runs over a five-game stretch before righting the ship in its last three contests, surrendering just eight runs en route to three straight victories.

Prop of the Day

A narrow Pittsburgh victory looks like a strong bet Saturday; the Pirates are +375 to beat St. Louis (-121, 7.5) by exactly one run and +750 to prevail by two runs. Each of the Pirates' previous five victories have come by one or two runs.

Key Injuries

* The San Francisco Giants have lost first baseman Brandon Belt for approximately six weeks with a broken thumb suffered Friday night. Belt leads the team with nine home runs but was mired in an 8-for-42 slump; the Giants went 11-3 against the moneyline and 3-10-1 O/U over that span.

* Detroit Tigers right-hander Anibal Sanchez (blister) threw a bullpen session Friday and appears ready to rejoin the rotation May 18 against Boston. Sanchez has been a bit of a letdown since late last season, with the Tigers going 3-7 against the moneyline in his previous 10 starts.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Camden Yards may welcome the wind Saturday, with gusts out to center field expected to exceed 15 mph for Baltimore's showdown with Houston (+152, 8.5). Baltimore went 13-4 while teams combined to average nearly 9.5 runs per game under similar conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 12-1 in umpire Adrian Johnson's last 13 games behind home plate. Johnson will call balls and strikes at the Rogers Centre as the Blue Jays (-115, 9.5) entertain the Los Angeles Angels.
 
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Diamond Dog Sports

Sides 37-34-0
+538

#913: Angels: +100. (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Skaggs / Happ

#927: Diamondbacks: +100 (1*)
Listed Pitchers: Miley / Quintana


Totals 28-37-2
-1,983


#901/902: Under Dodgers: 7.0 -115 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Cain / Greinke

#925/926: Under Brewers: 8.0 -105. (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Sabathia / Lohse
 
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Steve Budin - CEO

Saturday's Choice

The Baltimore Crew's choice is a 25 Dime play on Oakland and Sonny Gray on the Run Line at home versus Tanner Roark of the Nationals. Whenever a baseball crew has a pick I would urge you to list both starting pitchers when you place your action. Right now, as of 2:10 Eastern on Saturday morning, the A's an be found at +130 to -135 in Vegas and offshore.
 
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Time: Saturday 05/10 4:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Los Angeles -144 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The Los Angeles Dodgers have yet to really get their game on, and their 6-11 record at home is going to change. Zack Greinke is having a good season at 5-1 with a 2.35 ERA. In his last 19 starts, Greinke has pitched at least five innings, allowing 2 runs or less in all but one of them, so he certainly will keep the Giants off the scoreboard in this one. Matt Cain has yet to win for the Giants at 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA, and he missed his last two starts with an index finger cut, so he may not have command. He has not pitched in quite some time, and his track record vs. the Dodgers is not a good one with a 5-11 lifetime record going against them. The Dodgers get on track at home behind Greinke.
 
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RIVER CITY SHARPS

Pretty good pitching matchup tonight in Cincinnati as the Reds will send Alfredo Simon (4-1, 1.99 ERA) to the mound against the Rockies Jordan Lyles (4-0, 2.62 ERA) The Rockies are the highest scoring team in MLB right now at 5.7 runs per game and they look to bounce back from a 4-3 loss on Friday night to these Reds. Interesting stat here is that the Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 games after a loss and they are 7-1 in their last Game 2 of a series. We like Lyles to once again keep the Reds bats quiet, while we think the Rockies get back to hitting the baseball tonight against Simon. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – COLORADO ROCKIES (+106)
 
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GC: MLB Play

On Saturday we have 4 Big 5* plays up. In the NBA The West Conference Total of the month with 10 Powerful angles and a 100% System Side in early game on ABC. In MLB We have a 5* 100% Road warrior system and a total that averages over 12 runs. MLB Top play cashes on Oakland NBA Splits. MLB Power Angle Play below.


The Saturday Afternoon MLB Play is on the LA. Dodgers at 4:10 eastern. The Dodgers will look to break a 3 game losing streak after losing the 2nd of this 4 game series last night to San Francisco. They have Zach Greinke going and when he starts and is a home favorite of -140 or higher and did not blow a 5 or more run lead in his last start his teams are an incredible 31-2. Greinke is 3-0 in his career vs the Giants and has won 7 of his last 8 home starts in May. His 2.37 home era is far better than his counterpart Matt Cain who has a 5.25 road era and has lost 7 of his last 8 to the Dodgers. Cain has also lost his last 4 starts when he threw between 60 and 90 pitches in his last start. Look for the LA. Dodgers to win this one. On Saturday its the Western Conference Total of the Month with 10 angles, the 100% Power system side in the Easter conference side with the system dating to 1990. In bases we have 2 Powerhouse plays. The 5* MLB Road warrior system that has not lost in over 11 years and a 14-1 Totals system that averages over 12 runs per game. Congrats to those with us on Friday for easy top play winner on Oakland. Jump on the most Powerful data and material in the Industry on your side tonight. For the free MLB Play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

SU: 31-2
Runs
Team 5.4
Opp 2.8

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
May 15, 2011 box Sun home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Pirates Kevin Correia - R 9-6 3 W 7.5 O 11-10 0-1 6-0 -175 7.5 9
May 25, 2011 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Nationals Jason Marquis - R 6-4 2 W 2.5 O 7-6 1-1 3-0 -170 7.5 9
Jul 27, 2011 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Cubs Carlos Zambrano - R 2-0 2 W -6.0 U 6-4 0-0 2-0 -165 8.0 9
Aug 12, 2011 box Fri home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Pirates Paul Maholm - L 7-2 5 W 1.0 O 12-6 0-1 5-0 -210 8.0 9
Aug 17, 2011 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Dodgers Nathan Eovaldi - R 3-1 2 W -3.5 U 6-6 1-1 2-0 -185 7.5 9
Aug 28, 2011 box Sun home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Cubs Casey Coleman - R 3-2 1 W -3.5 U 6-6 1-0 3-0 -270 8.5 9
Sep 13, 2011 box Tue home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Rockies Esmil Rogers - R 2-1 1 W -5.5 U 6-9 2-0 1-1 -220 8.5 10
Sep 24, 2011 box Sat home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Marlins Alex Sanabia - R 6-4 2 W 2.0 O 12-11 0-0 2-1 -200 8.0 9
Sep 28, 2011 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Pirates Jeff Locke - L 7-3 4 W 1.5 O 7-6 2-2 5-0 -240 8.5 9
Oct 02, 2011 box Sun home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Diamondbacks Daniel Hudson - R 9-4 5 W 6.0 O 12-10 1-1 5-0 -160 7.0 9
Oct 09, 2011 box Sun home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Cardinals Jaime Garcia - L 9-6 3 W 7.5 O 11-9 0-1 3-3 -145 7.5 9
Apr 18, 2012 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Dodgers Chris Capuano - L 3-2 1 W -2.0 U 7-6 0-1 1-1 -173 7.0 10
Apr 23, 2012 box Mon home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Astros Lucas Harrell - R 6-5 1 W 3.5 O 8-13 0-1 4-1 -225 7.5 9
May 20, 2012 box Sun home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Twins Jason Marquis - R 16-4 12 W 11.5 O 17-9 3-0 15-1 -220 8.5 9
Jun 06, 2012 box Wed home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Cubs Paul Maholm - L 8-0 8 W 0.5 O 11-3 0-2 8-0 -200 7.5 9
Jul 02, 2012 box Mon home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Marlins Carlos Zambrano - R 6-5 1 W 3.0 O 8-7 1-3 1-3 -165 8.0 9
Jul 13, 2012 box Fri home Brewers Zack Greinke - R Pirates James McDonald - R 10-7 3 W 9.5 O 15-10 1-1 4-2 -145 7.5 9
Aug 14, 2012 box Tue home Angels Zack Greinke - R Indians Ubaldo Jimenez - R 9-6 3 W 7.0 O 13-11 0-0 7-0 -190 8.0 9
Aug 30, 2012 box Thu home Angels Zack Greinke - R Red Sox Jon Lester - L 5-2 3 W -0.5 U 9-7 0-0 4-0 -160 7.5 9
Sep 09, 2012 box Sun home Angels Zack Greinke - R Tigers Anibal Sanchez - R 3-2 1 W -3.5 U 7-5 2-0 3-0 -159 8.5 9
Sep 25, 2012 box Tue home Angels Zack Greinke - R Mariners Erasmo Ramirez - R 5-4 1 W 1.5 O 8-11 0-1 4-0 -235 7.5 9
Jun 27, 2013 box Thu home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Phillies Jonathan Pettibone - R 6-4 2 W 2.5 O 7-14 0-0 3-1 -185 7.5 9
Jul 13, 2013 box Sat home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Rockies Tyler Chatwood - R 1-0 1 W -6.0 U 4-2 0-1 1-0 -160 7.0 9
Jul 30, 2013 box Tue home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Yankees Andy Pettitte - L 3-2 1 W -2.0 U 10-5 0-0 1-0 -165 7.0 9
Aug 10, 2013 box Sat home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Rays Roberto Hernandez - R 5-0 5 W -2.0 U 12-6 0-0 5-0 -150 7.0 9
Aug 26, 2013 box Mon home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Cubs Jake Arrieta - R 6-2 4 W 1.0 O 9-5 0-0 6-0 -250 7.0 9
Sep 01, 2013 box Sun home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Padres Tyson Ross - R 2-1 1 W -4.0 U 7-3 0-0 1-1 -230 7.0 9
Sep 12, 2013 box Thu home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Giants Matt Cain - R 3-2 1 W -1.5 U 9-9 0-1 1-1 -173 6.5 10
Sep 28, 2013 box Sat home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Rockies Juan Nicasio - R 0-1 -1 L -6.0 U 3-5 0-1 0-1 -230 7.0 9
Oct 16, 2013 box Wed home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Cardinals Joe Kelly - R 6-4 2 W 3.5 O 9-10 0-0 4-0 -170 6.5 9
Apr 06, 2014 box Sun home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Giants Matt Cain - R 6-2 4 W 1.5 O 7-8 0-0 4-0 -148 6.5 9
Apr 18, 2014 box Fri home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Diamondbacks Wade Miley - L 2-4 -2 L -1.0 U 5-7 2-0 0-2 -180 7.0 10
Apr 23, 2014 box Wed home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Phillies Cole Hamels - L 5-2 3 W 0.5 O 12-5 0-0 3-0 -158 6.5 9

May 10, 2014 Sat home Dodgers Zack Greinke - R Giants Matt Cain - R -150 7.0
 
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Joe Gavazzi - 3% Tigers (RL)


Analysis: Minnesota (Gibson) at Detroit (Scherzer) (1 ½ runs, -120) 1:00 ET 3* Detroit (Scherzer) (1 ½ runs, -120) MLB 6-4 this week, a solid 60% and we continue the winning today with this strong play with my strongest going tonight! Don't miss it. Following an 8-0 run in which they scored 51 runs, Detroit has lost their last 2 outings totaling 3 runs. Look for that to change today behind Scherzer. In his last 4 starts, Scherzer has allowed a total of 3 earned runs spanning 27 IP in which he has authored 35 Ks. At home this season in 4 starts, Scherzer has an 0.93 ERA and a .172 BAA. Last year, Scherzer defeated Minnesota all 3 times he faced them. Scherzer has been dominant in this price range now standing 15-1 as big chalk with Detroit winning those games by nearly 3.5 RPG. Detroit has won each of Scherzer's last 4 starts by 2 or more runs. Gibson pitched a quality start in his most recent outing on the road. But in 3 starts on the road, Gibson has a 4.80 ERA. A 16/17 KBB for the season indicated more problems are ahead. Lay the runs with Detroit behind Scherzer.
 
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David Banks
Best bet
#921 8:05 boston red sox-124 lester
mlb
#914 1:05 toronto blue jays-119 happ
#902 4:10 la dodgers-154 grienke
#919 7:10 cleveland indians+108 mcallister
nba
8:00 miami heat-1.5
 

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