Benjamin lee Eckstein
"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season
Ben lee won again (4th in a row) on Friday with the Tigers -$150/W Sox.
For Saturday "Mr Chalk" is living up to his name and going with the "Chalkest" game on the board, the Rangers -$210/Royals.
"Mr Chalk" is 11-9 -$401 for the 2011 MLB regular season.
"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season
Ben lee won again (4th in a row) on Friday with the Tigers -$150/W Sox.
For Saturday "Mr Chalk" is living up to his name and going with the "Chalkest" game on the board, the Rangers -$210/Royals.
"Mr Chalk" is 11-9 -$401 for the 2011 MLB regular season.
Accuscore
4*+SV Phillies
4*+SV Angels
GAME ANALYSIS CLOSE
The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-2 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 3-7 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Joe Blanton is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies' starter Tim Stauffer. Joe Blanton has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tim Stauffer has a 44% chance of a QS. If Joe Blanton has a quality start the Phillies has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.5 and he has a 63% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 61%. In Tim Stauffer quality starts the Padres win 60%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jason Bartlett who averaged 1.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Ryan Howard who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning.
The Los Angeles Angels are 4-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 3-7 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels' starter Ervin Santana is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox' starter Daisuke Matsuzaka. Ervin Santana has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Daisuke Matsuzaka has a 38% chance of a QS. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the Angels has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 66%. In Daisuke Matsuzaka quality starts the Red Sox win 68%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Howie Kendrick who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Dustin Pedroia who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 56% chance of winning.
4*+SV Phillies
4*+SV Angels
GAME ANALYSIS CLOSE
The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-2 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 3-7 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Joe Blanton is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies' starter Tim Stauffer. Joe Blanton has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tim Stauffer has a 44% chance of a QS. If Joe Blanton has a quality start the Phillies has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.5 and he has a 63% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 61%. In Tim Stauffer quality starts the Padres win 60%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jason Bartlett who averaged 1.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Ryan Howard who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning.
The Los Angeles Angels are 4-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 3-7 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels' starter Ervin Santana is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox' starter Daisuke Matsuzaka. Ervin Santana has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Daisuke Matsuzaka has a 38% chance of a QS. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the Angels has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 66%. In Daisuke Matsuzaka quality starts the Red Sox win 68%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Howie Kendrick who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Dustin Pedroia who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 56% chance of winning.
Richie Carrera
Tampa Bay -120 over TORONTO 5 Dimes (Bet 6 to win 5)
(List Price/Morrow)
First start of the year for Morrow, who has some of the nastiest stuff that I have ever seen... Watch for control issues, especially this early on. I almost considered an over here, but don't want to fall victim to a 6-1 or a 5-2. Besides, TB's offense can look rather anemic at times.
SAN DIEGO vs. Philadelphia OVER 7 (-110) 5 Dimes
Held in check the last 2 days, for a combined 0 runs, San Diego's offense needs to put up some runs. Philly's offense has been mysteriously absent as well so far. Fortunately for these two lineups, we have some favorable batter-pitcher matchups. Long story short, Blanton and Stauffer send this one well over 7.
(NHL) PITTSBURGH -145 over Tampa Bay 10 Dimes (Bet 14.5 to win 10)
And we have another NHL playoff selection. This one largely center around not only the return of Chris Kunitz from suspension, but also the improved play of James Neal. Likely Hart trophy candidate, Marc-Andre Fleury will be taken to task as I don't expect the Lightning to go easy, but as long as Pittsburgh can win at even strength, I don't think they should have a problem...
Tampa Bay -120 over TORONTO 5 Dimes (Bet 6 to win 5)
(List Price/Morrow)
First start of the year for Morrow, who has some of the nastiest stuff that I have ever seen... Watch for control issues, especially this early on. I almost considered an over here, but don't want to fall victim to a 6-1 or a 5-2. Besides, TB's offense can look rather anemic at times.
SAN DIEGO vs. Philadelphia OVER 7 (-110) 5 Dimes
Held in check the last 2 days, for a combined 0 runs, San Diego's offense needs to put up some runs. Philly's offense has been mysteriously absent as well so far. Fortunately for these two lineups, we have some favorable batter-pitcher matchups. Long story short, Blanton and Stauffer send this one well over 7.
(NHL) PITTSBURGH -145 over Tampa Bay 10 Dimes (Bet 14.5 to win 10)
And we have another NHL playoff selection. This one largely center around not only the return of Chris Kunitz from suspension, but also the improved play of James Neal. Likely Hart trophy candidate, Marc-Andre Fleury will be taken to task as I don't expect the Lightning to go easy, but as long as Pittsburgh can win at even strength, I don't think they should have a problem...
- LARRY NESS;Chicago at Indiana 2:30 PM ETover 187.5 *10- ,4/23/2011MLBCincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals 4:10 PM ETSt. Louis Cardinals -145 *9 - 4/23/2011MLBPhiladelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres 8:35 PM ETSan Diego Padres 103 *8 -4/23/2011MLBOakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners 9:10 PM ETOakland Athletics -114 *10 -4/23/2011NBAOklahoma City at Denver 10:00 PM ETDenver -4.5 *10
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GC: NBA Totals System
Saturday West. Conf Game of the Month has 98% System + 100% MLB System and 96% NHL Game of the Year Leads Big 4 game Pack. Top MLB and NBA Cash on Friday. NBA Totals System below.
On Saturday the Free NBA Totals system Play is on the Over in the Bulls at Pacers game. Rotation numbers 745/746 at 2:35 eastern. This game fits a a totals system that has cashed 17 of 22 time since 1990. What we want to do is play the Over for dogs of 3 or more that are down 3-0 in a series if the posted total is 179 or higher. These two teams both come off poor shooting performances both shooting under 40% in the Bulls 88-84 game 3 win. The Bulls in fact have shot less than 40% in back to back games for just the second time all season. In road games where they have shot 40% or less in a prior road game they have played over 7 of 8 times. The Pacers are averaging 217 points in home games off a home game where they shot 40% or less. Indiana has also played over 3 of the last 4 times at home when the posted total is 185 to 190. Look for this one to play over the total here today. On Saturday I have a Big 4 game pack that features the NBA Western Conference Game of the Month from a Killer 98% system + an additional 92% system side in another game. In MLB I have another Perfect System beauty with a nice pitching edge . I also have a 96% RARE NHL System that will be my NHL playoff Game Of The Year. Both Bigs in NBA and MLB Cashed on Friday. Don't miss any of these Big Book Smokers. . For the Bonus Play Take the Over in the Bulls and Pacers game. GC
On Saturday the Free NBA Totals system Play is on the Over in the Bulls at Pacers game. Rotation numbers 745/746 at 2:35 eastern. This game fits a a totals system that has cashed 17 of 22 time since 1990. What we want to do is play the Over for dogs of 3 or more that are down 3-0 in a series if the posted total is 179 or higher. These two teams both come off poor shooting performances both shooting under 40% in the Bulls 88-84 game 3 win. The Bulls in fact have shot less than 40% in back to back games for just the second time all season. In road games where they have shot 40% or less in a prior road game they have played over 7 of 8 times. The Pacers are averaging 217 points in home games off a home game where they shot 40% or less. Indiana has also played over 3 of the last 4 times at home when the posted total is 185 to 190. Look for this one to play over the total here today. On Saturday I have a Big 4 game pack that features the NBA Western Conference Game of the Month from a Killer 98% system + an additional 92% system side in another game. In MLB I have another Perfect System beauty with a nice pitching edge . I also have a 96% RARE NHL System that will be my NHL playoff Game Of The Year. Both Bigs in NBA and MLB Cashed on Friday. Don't miss any of these Big Book Smokers. . For the Bonus Play Take the Over in the Bulls and Pacers game. GC
