Today's MLB Picks
Arizona at NY Mets
The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a Mets team that is 2-5 in its last 7 games as a home favorite. Arizona is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 14.530; Cubs (Dempster) 14.909
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 953-954: Arizona at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Enright) 14.677; NY Mets (Gee) 13.547
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 955-956: Cincinnati at St. Louis (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 14.392; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.714
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 957-958: Atlanta at San Francisco (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.077; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.759
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 959-960: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.627; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.024
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+120); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 961-962: Houston at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 13.809; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.927
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-165); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 963-964: Colorado at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 16.450; Florida (Vazquez) 15.496
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 965-966: Philadelphia at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.440; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.392
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.281; Toronto (Morrow) 14.234
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 969-970: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 16.342; Minnesota (Duensing) 14.661
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Jackson) 15.341; Detroit (Penny) 14.582
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.884; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.426
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 975-976: Kansas City at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.501; Texas (Ogando) 16.193
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-210); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 977-978: Boston at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.313; LA Angels (Santana) 17.239
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 16.119; Seattle (Vargas) 14.564
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Arizona at NY Mets
The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a Mets team that is 2-5 in its last 7 games as a home favorite. Arizona is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 14.530; Cubs (Dempster) 14.909
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 953-954: Arizona at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Enright) 14.677; NY Mets (Gee) 13.547
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 955-956: Cincinnati at St. Louis (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 14.392; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.714
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 957-958: Atlanta at San Francisco (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 14.077; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.759
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 959-960: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.627; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.024
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+120); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 961-962: Houston at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 13.809; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.927
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-165); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 963-964: Colorado at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 16.450; Florida (Vazquez) 15.496
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 965-966: Philadelphia at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.440; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.392
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.281; Toronto (Morrow) 14.234
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 969-970: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 16.342; Minnesota (Duensing) 14.661
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Jackson) 15.341; Detroit (Penny) 14.582
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.884; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.426
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 975-976: Kansas City at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.501; Texas (Ogando) 16.193
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-210); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 977-978: Boston at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.313; LA Angels (Santana) 17.239
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 16.119; Seattle (Vargas) 14.564
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Today's NHL Picks
NY Rangers at Washington
The Capitals look to close out the series and take advantage of a New York team that is 2-9 in its last 11 playoff games as an underdog from +150 to +200. Washington is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 73-74: NY Rangers at Washington (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.434; Washington 11.774
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 75-76: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.355; Pittsburgh 10.716
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 77-78: Montreal at Boston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.193; Boston 11.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 79-80: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.971; San Jose 11.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-220); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+180); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
NY Rangers at Washington
The Capitals look to close out the series and take advantage of a New York team that is 2-9 in its last 11 playoff games as an underdog from +150 to +200. Washington is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 73-74: NY Rangers at Washington (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.434; Washington 11.774
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 75-76: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.355; Pittsburgh 10.716
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 77-78: Montreal at Boston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.193; Boston 11.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 79-80: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.971; San Jose 11.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-220); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+180); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Today's NBA Picks
Oklahoma City at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Denver is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 745-746: Chicago at Indiana (2:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.516; Indiana 119.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 747-748: Dallas at Portland (5:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.517; Portland 125.062
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 749-750: San Antonio at Memphis (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.952; Memphis 122.443
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 751-752: Oklahoma City at Denver (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 119.873; Denver 128.075
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 205
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
Oklahoma City at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Denver is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SATURDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 745-746: Chicago at Indiana (2:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.516; Indiana 119.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 747-748: Dallas at Portland (5:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.517; Portland 125.062
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 749-750: San Antonio at Memphis (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.952; Memphis 122.443
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 751-752: Oklahoma City at Denver (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 119.873; Denver 128.075
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 205
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
MLB
Write-Up
Saturday, April 23
Hot pitchers
-- Lilly is 1-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Gee won his first '11 start, allowing one run in 5.2 IP.
-- Giants won last three Lincecum starts (2-0, 2.25).
-- Hernandez is 2-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Brewers won last three Marcum starts (2-0, 1.42). Myers is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 2-0, 1.15 in his last two starts.
-- Carrasco is 1-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
-- Sabathia has a 2.41 RA in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-1, 1.66 in his last three starts. Minnesota won all three Duensing starts (1-0, 4.05).
-- Ogando is 2-0, 2.33 in three starts this season.
-- Cahill is 2-0, 2.49 in four starts this season. Vargas has a 2.13 RA in his last couple starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Dempster is 1-2, 7.20 in four starts this season.
-- Cardinals are 0-4 in Carpenter starts (0-2, 4.50). Wood is 0-2, 7.80 in his last three starts.
-- THudson is 0-2, 6.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Karstens allowed five runs in 4.1 IP in his first '11 start.
-- Enright is 0-1, 6.23 in three starts this season.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 5.82 in three starts this season. Vazquez is 1-1, 9.45 in three starts this season.
-- Blanton is 0-1, 7.27 in three starts this season. Stauffer is 0-1, 6.00 in two home starts this season.
-- Morrow is making first '11 start; he was 10-7, 4.49 in 26 starts for the Blue Jays, LY, allowing 136 hits in 146.1 IP.
-- Penny is 0-2, 8.44 in four starts this season. EJackson is 1-1, 4.85 in two road starts.
-- Bergesen is 0-2, 7.27 in two starts this season.
-- Davies has a 7.20 RA in four starts this season.
-- Santana is 0-2, 5.68 in his last three starts. Matsuzaka is 1-2, 6.43 in three starts; his only good start came when he had six days' rest, which is what he usually had in Japan.
Totals
-- Over is 9-2-2 in Dodgers' last thirteen games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Washington's last eight road games.
-- Six of nine Florida home games went over the total.
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Marcum starts this season.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Phillies' last nine games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight White Sox games.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Texas games.
-- Under is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Minnesota games.
-- Under is 11-2-2 in Angels' last fifteen games.
-- Eight of last ten Oakland road games stayed under total.
Hot teams
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games. Cubs are 7-2 this season in game following a loss.
-- Washington is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won six of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Phillies won six of their last seven road games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Bronx Bombers won five of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Indians won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games. Red Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.
Cold teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Pirates lost their last three games by combined score of 21-5.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games at home, but won last two. Arizona is 3-5 in its last eight road games.
-- Astros lost seven of their first ten road games.
-- Padres lost eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Atlanta lost six of its last eight road games.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last six games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Rangers, Royals both lost four of their last six games.
-- Oakland lost its last three games, scoring total of three runs.
Umpires
-- LA-Cubs-- Lefty starters are 2-0 vs righties in Nelson games this year.
-- Az-NYM-- Favorites won three of four Tichenor games this year.
-- Cin-StL-- All three Barry games this season went over the total.
-- Atl-SF-- Three of four Joyce games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- Hst-Mil-- This is Muchlinski's first game behind the plate this year.
-- Colo-Fla--Three of four Iassogna games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-SD-- Home side won both Reynolds games this season.
-- TB-Tor-- Home side won last four Winters games.
-- Clev-Min-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- CWS-Det-- Underdogs won two of last three Johnson games.
-- NYY-Balt-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- KC-Tex-- Home side won both Carapazza games: 5-0/2-1.
-- Bos-LAA-- Over is 2-0-1 in Randazzo games this season.
-- A's-Sea-- Lefties are 2-0 vs righties in Rapuano games this season.
Write-Up
Saturday, April 23
Hot pitchers
-- Lilly is 1-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Gee won his first '11 start, allowing one run in 5.2 IP.
-- Giants won last three Lincecum starts (2-0, 2.25).
-- Hernandez is 2-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Brewers won last three Marcum starts (2-0, 1.42). Myers is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 2-0, 1.15 in his last two starts.
-- Carrasco is 1-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
-- Sabathia has a 2.41 RA in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-1, 1.66 in his last three starts. Minnesota won all three Duensing starts (1-0, 4.05).
-- Ogando is 2-0, 2.33 in three starts this season.
-- Cahill is 2-0, 2.49 in four starts this season. Vargas has a 2.13 RA in his last couple starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Dempster is 1-2, 7.20 in four starts this season.
-- Cardinals are 0-4 in Carpenter starts (0-2, 4.50). Wood is 0-2, 7.80 in his last three starts.
-- THudson is 0-2, 6.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Karstens allowed five runs in 4.1 IP in his first '11 start.
-- Enright is 0-1, 6.23 in three starts this season.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 5.82 in three starts this season. Vazquez is 1-1, 9.45 in three starts this season.
-- Blanton is 0-1, 7.27 in three starts this season. Stauffer is 0-1, 6.00 in two home starts this season.
-- Morrow is making first '11 start; he was 10-7, 4.49 in 26 starts for the Blue Jays, LY, allowing 136 hits in 146.1 IP.
-- Penny is 0-2, 8.44 in four starts this season. EJackson is 1-1, 4.85 in two road starts.
-- Bergesen is 0-2, 7.27 in two starts this season.
-- Davies has a 7.20 RA in four starts this season.
-- Santana is 0-2, 5.68 in his last three starts. Matsuzaka is 1-2, 6.43 in three starts; his only good start came when he had six days' rest, which is what he usually had in Japan.
Totals
-- Over is 9-2-2 in Dodgers' last thirteen games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Washington's last eight road games.
-- Six of nine Florida home games went over the total.
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Marcum starts this season.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Phillies' last nine games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight White Sox games.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Texas games.
-- Under is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Minnesota games.
-- Under is 11-2-2 in Angels' last fifteen games.
-- Eight of last ten Oakland road games stayed under total.
Hot teams
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games. Cubs are 7-2 this season in game following a loss.
-- Washington is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won six of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Phillies won six of their last seven road games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Bronx Bombers won five of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Indians won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games. Red Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.
Cold teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Pirates lost their last three games by combined score of 21-5.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games at home, but won last two. Arizona is 3-5 in its last eight road games.
-- Astros lost seven of their first ten road games.
-- Padres lost eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Atlanta lost six of its last eight road games.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last six games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Rangers, Royals both lost four of their last six games.
-- Oakland lost its last three games, scoring total of three runs.
Umpires
-- LA-Cubs-- Lefty starters are 2-0 vs righties in Nelson games this year.
-- Az-NYM-- Favorites won three of four Tichenor games this year.
-- Cin-StL-- All three Barry games this season went over the total.
-- Atl-SF-- Three of four Joyce games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- Hst-Mil-- This is Muchlinski's first game behind the plate this year.
-- Colo-Fla--Three of four Iassogna games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-SD-- Home side won both Reynolds games this season.
-- TB-Tor-- Home side won last four Winters games.
-- Clev-Min-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- CWS-Det-- Underdogs won two of last three Johnson games.
-- NYY-Balt-- No idea who umpires are for this game.
-- KC-Tex-- Home side won both Carapazza games: 5-0/2-1.
-- Bos-LAA-- Over is 2-0-1 in Randazzo games this season.
-- A's-Sea-- Lefties are 2-0 vs righties in Rapuano games this season.
SPORTS WAGERS
Cleveland +107 over MINNESOTA
Fausto Carmona gets a start in pitcher-friendly Target Field against the lowest scoring team in the AL, a team against which he owns a decent career line. Carmona is a groundball specialist. His rate this season is 61% and that might be the best mark in baseball. He also has 20 K’s and has issued just seven walks in 20 innings of work. Carmona is showing the skills he displayed in his 2007 career year and he’s just 27 years old. The Indians are 13-6 and have been crushing left-handed pitching (AL-best .885 OPS). They’ll see a southpaw here in Brian Duensing. Duensing posted a 2.62 ERA and 1.20 WHIP last year. A favorable 82% LOB% produced his ERA. His base skills were middling at best and while the Twins insist he’ll remain in the rotation, his skills do not warrant such confidence. This season his strand rate is still high at 76% and once that normalizes his ERA will head south in a hurry. The banged-up Twins have yet to have a three-game winning streak. They haven’t yet put together any semblance of the type of offense and pitching that last year led them to a 53-28 (.654) record at home. They’ll be hard-pressed to score against Carmona and will come into this game with the inferior team and starter. Play: Cleveland +107 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago –106 over DETROIT
The oddsmakers have pretty much made this a pick’em game, suggesting that Brad Penny vs Edwin Jackson is a toss-up and that is somewhat ludicrous. After a 2010 lost to a strained lat, Penny is trying to shake the injury-prone tag. He also missed a big portion of 2008 due to a shoulder problem and his numbers in the past five years have been inconsistent. In his nine-start stint in 2010, Penny actually experienced a bit of a skills reprieve--but it was short-lived. In general, he continues to carry a high risk factor outside of health concerns. At this point in his career, Penny has been reduced to waiver-wire fodder until proven otherwise. Penny was also under the tutelage of Dave Duncan (2010, STL) and his legendary survival course for veteran pitchers. Now he’s on his own and in four starts he’s walked 12, struck out 13, has an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.69. Meanwhile, Jackson’s return to the AL Central went better than anyone could have predicted. Credit CHW pitching coach Don Cooper. Jackson threw twice as many changeups and cut fastballs last season than he did the year before while maintaining mid-90s velocity on his fastball. This approach in the 2H not only resulted in elite base skills but also a strong GB/FB tilt (51%/30%). In 25 frames this season, Jackson comes in with an ERA of 3.51 and a xERA of 3.38. He’s struck out 27 batters and it’s not like he’s facing an elite offense. The Tigers have been held to three runs or less in half of their 20 games and they may have to triple that output here to bail out Penny. Play: Chicago –106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
TEXAS –1½ +101 over Kansas City
Kyle Davies and his below average stuff has logged nearly 500 IP over last three years, which is a testament to just how bad the Royals starting pitching has been over the past few years. Davies is a disaster waiting to happen and there should be no waiting at this venue. Davies has allowed 30 hits in 20 IP and comes in with a BAA of .361, an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.90. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate is 32%/26%/42% and those numbers are nothing short of alarming. Davies remains one of the most hittable and ineffective starters in the majors and nothing suggests a turnaround. Alexi Ogando went 4-1 with a 1.30 ERA in 42 innings last year as a reliever. He's a converted outfielder that came up in mid- June and pummeled hitters. He’s carried that over to this year. In his first two starts he went a combined 13 full innings and did not allow a single run before pitching in New York against the Yanks. He comes into this game with a 2.33 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP. One can’t expect him to sustain that pace but he won’t need to here. This one is all about playing against Kyle Davies. Make no mistake, Davies has less than a 5% chance of success here, as he’s that bad. Play: Texas –1½ +101 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
PITTSBURGH -½ +117 over Tampa Bay
The Lightning lack everything needed to succeed in a playoff series. They have no grit, no heart and 100 times less determination than the Penguins. The Pens, playing shorthanded and without their two best players and a one-game suspension to Chris Kunitz, have pushed the Bolts around like a bunch of school kids. In that last OT game in TB in which the Pens won 3-2, Tampa produced a measly 31 shots on net in over four periods of hockey. The Pens had 53 and most of the game was played in Tampa’s end. That 3-2 TB loss was perhaps the most flattering score of the playoffs thus far to a losing team. The Pens are up 3-1 in this series and deserve to be. The Bolts only win was in a game that Marc Andre Fleury allowed five goals on 20 shots, otherwise this series would likely be over. The Pens have a shot at closing it out at home and it would be shocking if they fail to do so. Pittsburgh’s determination and will is the hockey story of the year, both in the regular season and the playoffs. The Pens don’t want to just win this series. They want to go a long way and in order to do so they have to finish teams in short order to rest up for the next series. Absolutely nothing suggests the Bolts are interested in getting in the Pens way. The Igloo will be nuts and the Penguins will finish off this extremely gutless and soft intruder. Play: Pittsburgh -½ +117 (Risking 2 units).
Montreal +164 over BOSTON
The Bruins play a much more relaxed style of hockey on the road and simply can’t be trusted laying a price like this at home. Yeah, the B’s have momentum but so what. What we know for sure is that the Canadiens won both games in Boston to go up 2-0 and Carey Price can steal a game on his own. The Bruins are tentative at home and they have trouble scoring goals at home. This series has been so close. The Habs could easily be up 3-1 although they’ve been outplayed in every game except one. That does not matter. That’s how Montreal plays. They’re the most opportunistic team in the league and they win hockey games. Whether they win here or not remains to be seen but you cannot count them out. Throw in this juicy price tag and the Canadiens offer up nothing but outstanding value. Overlay. Play: Montreal +164 (Risking 2 units).
Cleveland +107 over MINNESOTA
Fausto Carmona gets a start in pitcher-friendly Target Field against the lowest scoring team in the AL, a team against which he owns a decent career line. Carmona is a groundball specialist. His rate this season is 61% and that might be the best mark in baseball. He also has 20 K’s and has issued just seven walks in 20 innings of work. Carmona is showing the skills he displayed in his 2007 career year and he’s just 27 years old. The Indians are 13-6 and have been crushing left-handed pitching (AL-best .885 OPS). They’ll see a southpaw here in Brian Duensing. Duensing posted a 2.62 ERA and 1.20 WHIP last year. A favorable 82% LOB% produced his ERA. His base skills were middling at best and while the Twins insist he’ll remain in the rotation, his skills do not warrant such confidence. This season his strand rate is still high at 76% and once that normalizes his ERA will head south in a hurry. The banged-up Twins have yet to have a three-game winning streak. They haven’t yet put together any semblance of the type of offense and pitching that last year led them to a 53-28 (.654) record at home. They’ll be hard-pressed to score against Carmona and will come into this game with the inferior team and starter. Play: Cleveland +107 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago –106 over DETROIT
The oddsmakers have pretty much made this a pick’em game, suggesting that Brad Penny vs Edwin Jackson is a toss-up and that is somewhat ludicrous. After a 2010 lost to a strained lat, Penny is trying to shake the injury-prone tag. He also missed a big portion of 2008 due to a shoulder problem and his numbers in the past five years have been inconsistent. In his nine-start stint in 2010, Penny actually experienced a bit of a skills reprieve--but it was short-lived. In general, he continues to carry a high risk factor outside of health concerns. At this point in his career, Penny has been reduced to waiver-wire fodder until proven otherwise. Penny was also under the tutelage of Dave Duncan (2010, STL) and his legendary survival course for veteran pitchers. Now he’s on his own and in four starts he’s walked 12, struck out 13, has an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.69. Meanwhile, Jackson’s return to the AL Central went better than anyone could have predicted. Credit CHW pitching coach Don Cooper. Jackson threw twice as many changeups and cut fastballs last season than he did the year before while maintaining mid-90s velocity on his fastball. This approach in the 2H not only resulted in elite base skills but also a strong GB/FB tilt (51%/30%). In 25 frames this season, Jackson comes in with an ERA of 3.51 and a xERA of 3.38. He’s struck out 27 batters and it’s not like he’s facing an elite offense. The Tigers have been held to three runs or less in half of their 20 games and they may have to triple that output here to bail out Penny. Play: Chicago –106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
TEXAS –1½ +101 over Kansas City
Kyle Davies and his below average stuff has logged nearly 500 IP over last three years, which is a testament to just how bad the Royals starting pitching has been over the past few years. Davies is a disaster waiting to happen and there should be no waiting at this venue. Davies has allowed 30 hits in 20 IP and comes in with a BAA of .361, an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.90. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate is 32%/26%/42% and those numbers are nothing short of alarming. Davies remains one of the most hittable and ineffective starters in the majors and nothing suggests a turnaround. Alexi Ogando went 4-1 with a 1.30 ERA in 42 innings last year as a reliever. He's a converted outfielder that came up in mid- June and pummeled hitters. He’s carried that over to this year. In his first two starts he went a combined 13 full innings and did not allow a single run before pitching in New York against the Yanks. He comes into this game with a 2.33 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP. One can’t expect him to sustain that pace but he won’t need to here. This one is all about playing against Kyle Davies. Make no mistake, Davies has less than a 5% chance of success here, as he’s that bad. Play: Texas –1½ +101 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
PITTSBURGH -½ +117 over Tampa Bay
The Lightning lack everything needed to succeed in a playoff series. They have no grit, no heart and 100 times less determination than the Penguins. The Pens, playing shorthanded and without their two best players and a one-game suspension to Chris Kunitz, have pushed the Bolts around like a bunch of school kids. In that last OT game in TB in which the Pens won 3-2, Tampa produced a measly 31 shots on net in over four periods of hockey. The Pens had 53 and most of the game was played in Tampa’s end. That 3-2 TB loss was perhaps the most flattering score of the playoffs thus far to a losing team. The Pens are up 3-1 in this series and deserve to be. The Bolts only win was in a game that Marc Andre Fleury allowed five goals on 20 shots, otherwise this series would likely be over. The Pens have a shot at closing it out at home and it would be shocking if they fail to do so. Pittsburgh’s determination and will is the hockey story of the year, both in the regular season and the playoffs. The Pens don’t want to just win this series. They want to go a long way and in order to do so they have to finish teams in short order to rest up for the next series. Absolutely nothing suggests the Bolts are interested in getting in the Pens way. The Igloo will be nuts and the Penguins will finish off this extremely gutless and soft intruder. Play: Pittsburgh -½ +117 (Risking 2 units).
Montreal +164 over BOSTON
The Bruins play a much more relaxed style of hockey on the road and simply can’t be trusted laying a price like this at home. Yeah, the B’s have momentum but so what. What we know for sure is that the Canadiens won both games in Boston to go up 2-0 and Carey Price can steal a game on his own. The Bruins are tentative at home and they have trouble scoring goals at home. This series has been so close. The Habs could easily be up 3-1 although they’ve been outplayed in every game except one. That does not matter. That’s how Montreal plays. They’re the most opportunistic team in the league and they win hockey games. Whether they win here or not remains to be seen but you cannot count them out. Throw in this juicy price tag and the Canadiens offer up nothing but outstanding value. Overlay. Play: Montreal +164 (Risking 2 units).
SuperSportsGroup MLB - 4/23
Tampa Bay v. Toronto 1:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +110 Game
Cincinnati v. St Louis 4;10pm
PICK: Reds ML +130 Game Hidden Gem
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev
CWS v. Detroit 4:10pm
PICK: Tigers ML +100 Game Best bet of the day #1
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day #2
3 team parlay for
Rangers RL ev Game
Mets ML -125 Game
Red Sox ML +100 Game
Tampa Bay v. Toronto 1:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +110 Game
Cincinnati v. St Louis 4;10pm
PICK: Reds ML +130 Game Hidden Gem
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev
CWS v. Detroit 4:10pm
PICK: Tigers ML +100 Game Best bet of the day #1
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day #2
3 team parlay for
Rangers RL ev Game
Mets ML -125 Game
Red Sox ML +100 Game
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Saturday
Play Texas (-210) over Kansas City (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Kansas City pitcher, Kyle Davies is 0-4 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 6.38 and has an ERA of 10.38 in road games this season.
Play Milwaukee (-170) over Houston (Bonus)
Play San Francisco (-140) over Atlanta (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Saturday
Play Texas (-210) over Kansas City (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Kansas City pitcher, Kyle Davies is 0-4 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 6.38 and has an ERA of 10.38 in road games this season.
Play Milwaukee (-170) over Houston (Bonus)
Play San Francisco (-140) over Atlanta (Bonus)
