STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, APRIL 19th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 4/19/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cingrani is 1-1, 2.54 in three starts this month.
-- Lynn is 3-0, 4.00 in three starts this season.
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.64 in his first two starts for Atlanta.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 4.41 in three starts this season.
-- Haren is 2-0, 2.55 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 3.52 in his first three starts for the Giants.
-- Wilson is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts. Scherzer has a 2.70 RA in three starts this year.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 0.86 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 1.40 in three starts for the A's.
-- Nova is 2-0, 2.77 in his first two starts this month. Archer is 1-1, 3.15 in his three starts this year.
-- Quintana is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Elias is 1-1, 2.16 in his first three MLB starts.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-1, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Zimmerman has a 5.27 RA in his first three starts.
-- Rodriguez is 0-2, 7.31 in three starts this season. Garza is 0-1, 5.54 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 6.00 in his first three starts for the Mets.
-- Kendrick is 0-1, 7.36 in his last two starts.
-- Bolsinger is making first MLB start; he allowed two runs in three IP in his MLB debut. He was 2-0, 1.42 in his two AAA starts.
-- Stults is 0-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.
-- Kluber is 1-1, 5.29 in three starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts this season. Doubront is 1-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.
-- BChen is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts this season. Correia is 0-1, 5.79 in three starts this season.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-3, 3.50 in three starts this season.
-- Lewis allowed four runs in 5.1 IP, losing in his first start in two years after being hurt.
-- Alvarez is 0-2, 7.36 in three starts this year.
•Totals
-- Seven of last ten Cub games went over the total.
-- Five of last six St Louis road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of ten Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Five of seven games at Coors Field went over total.
-- Five of last six San Diego games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Arizona road games went over total.
-- 12 of 15 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last three Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five New York road games stayed under.
-- 12 of 17 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 17 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 12 of 16 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last six home games stayed under.
-- Last three Oakland games went over the total.
-- Eight of Miami's last nine games went over total.
•Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Washington won five of its last six home games. Cardinals won five of last seven games overall.
-- Brewers won seven of their eight road games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won five of its seven home games.
-- San Diego won six of its last nine games. Giants won four of last six on road.
-- Angels won five of their seven road games.
-- Yankees won six of its last eight games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Kansas City won its last four games. Twins won five of their last seven.
-- Oakland won four of its last five games.
•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 15 games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost five of their seven home games.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games. Dodgers lost four of six at home.
-- Detroit lost three of its last four home games.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox lost five of seven home games.
-- White Sox lost five of their seven road games.
-- Astros lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven games. Seattle lost six of last seven.
•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Wsh-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Hamari games.
-- Cin-Chi-- All three Hudson games this season stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Underdogs won six of last eight Reynolds games.
-- Atl-NY-- Three of four Cooper games went over total.
-- Phil-Col-- Visiting team won last five TWelke games.
-- Az-LA-- Underdogs won four of last seven Nelson games.
-- SF-SD-- Underdogs won rookie ump Morales' first two games.
-- Tor-Cle-- Last three Scott games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last eleven Cuzzi games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Underdogs won five of last eight Carlson games.
-- Min-KC-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 BWelke games.
-- Hst-A's-- Three of four Winters games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Three of four Foster games went over the total.
-- Chi-Tex-- Last three Davidson games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last seven Basner games went over total.
Diamond Trends - Saturday
•ST LOUIS is 23-2 (+21.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss versus opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
•DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.
•PHILADELPHIA is 5-27 (-25.4 Units) against the run line after 3 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.0, OPPONENT 5.8.
•C.J. WILSON is 11-0 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 6.2, OPPONENT 2.5.
•MARK BUEHRLE is 15-3 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.0, OPPONENT 3.2.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(69-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.2%, +48.9 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -182.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-6, +16.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (141-52, +44.5 units).
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