Service Plays Saturday 4/19/14

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NBA

Saturday, April 19

Nets/Raptors split four games this season, with three of four going over total and teams going 1-1 in each building. Toronto has won one playoff series in its history (2001); they're 1-4 overall in first round series-- this is Raptors' first playoff appearance since '08. Nets are playoffs for 2nd time in last eight years; they haven't won playoff series since '07, but a veteran nucleus they have has won elsewhere. Nets lost four of last five games, are 18-23 vs spread on road. Toronto won six of last eight, with seven of those eight games going over the total. Casey has experience edge as a head coach, but both he and Kidd are in playoffs for 1st time.

Home side won last seven Warrior-Clipper games; Golden State lost last three visits here by 26-11-13 points. Golden State is in playoffs for just third time in 20 years; they won 1st round series last two appearances. Clippers are in playoffs for third time in row, first time they've done that since they were the Buffalo Braves in 1976. LA won seven of its last ten games, with eight of those ten going over total. Warriors won five of last seven games overall; under is 47-33 in their games this year, 25-16 on road. Golden State has had coaching turmoil; two assistants have been fired in last month.

Pacers are under lot of pressure after going 6-9 in last 15 games, though they did win three of last four; since Feb 12, Indiana is 6-24-1 against spread. Indiana beat Hawks in six games in playoffs LY, winning three games played here by 17-15-23 points- teams split four meetings in this season, going 1-1 in each building. Hawks won six of last eight games, with five of last six staying under total; Atlanta is in playoffs 7th year in a row, going 3-3 in first round previosu six years. Vogel won two of his three first round series; Budenholzer is rookie HC who was Spurs' aide.

Memphis ousted Oklahoma City in five games in playoffs LY, got to the Western Conference finals, and still fired its coach- Joerger is rookie HC but Grizzlies won last five games overall, despite covering only once in last five games as an underdog. Thunder won three of four vs Memphis this year, winning two games here by 9-6 points; OC won nine of last ten at home (7-2-1 vs spread)- they won last three first round series but decent amount of pressure on after making Finals in '14 then flopping in LY's second round. This is Brooks' 5th year as Thunder's coach.
 
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NHL

Saturday, April 19

Columbus has still never won a playoff game, losing 4-3 at Pittsburgh in Game 1, after 4-0 sweep by Detroit in '09, its only other playoff trip; Blue Jackets won four of last six games overall, with seven of their last ten staying under total. Columbus lost last seven games with Pittsburgh- they allowed two goals in 0:45 span of second period. Penguins are 4-4 in last eight games but are 30-12 at home this season- four of last five games went to OT or SO.

Quick turnaround after Blues scored 0:26 into third OT to snap 6-game losing skid- they had 52-42 edge in shots, but needed goal with 1:45 left to send game to OT. Chicago lost five of last seven games with Blues; seven of last 11 series games stayed under total. Chicago lost eight of last nine road games; nine of their last 13 road games stayed under, as did six of last nine St Louis games. St Louis won one playoff series in last eight years; winning Game 1 in triple OT is good start to winning another one.

Colorado was down 4-2 in third period, tied game with 0:14 left, then won game 7:27 into OT to break Minnesota's heart. Avalanche was 0-4 on power play, lost faceoffs 42-35, but still won for fifth time in six games with Minnesota this year. Colorado is 29-13 at home this season. Minnesota won four of its last six games overall, with last four going over total. Eight of last eleven Colorado games stayed under total. Wild is 20-22 on the road this year. Over is 6-2-2 in playoff games so far this week.
 

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EZWINNERS

5* Toronto Raptors +135 Series

2* Raptors -3

1* Raptors -1.5 1st Half

1* White Sox +100
 
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Game of the Day: Braves at Mets

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (+115)

The sample size is small considering Bartolo Colon has pitched 414 games since making his major-league debut in 1997, but the New York Mets right-hander has handled the Atlanta Braves. Colon takes the mound Saturday when the Mets host Atlanta in the second game of a weekend set, bringing a 4-0 career record with a 1.20 ERA in four starts against the Braves. Atlanta counters with Ervin Santana, who has emerged as a linchpin of the Braves’ revamped rotation with dominant outings in his first two appearances.

An encouraging sign for Atlanta – which scored six runs in Friday’s series-opening shutout victory – is the recent play of center fielder B.J. Upton, who is hitting .320 with five runs scored, four walks and three stolen bases in his past six games. The Braves are off to another flying start, winning 11 of their first 16 games after starting last season 12-1. David Wright kept the Mets from being no-hit in Friday, recording a single with two outs in the eighth to extend his hitting streak to nine games.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN South (Atlanta), WPIX (New York)

LINE HISTORY: The Mets opened as +115 home dogs against their N.L. East rival.

POWER RANKINGS: Braves (-187.0), Mets (+105.0)

INJURY REPORT: Mets OF Juan Lagares (15-day DL, hamstring), SP Bartolo Colon (Probable Saturday, back). Braves RP Gory Gearrin (15-day DL, elbow)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Ervin Santana (1-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Mets RH Bartolo Colon (1-2, 6.00)

It would be difficult for Santana to pitch any better in his first two efforts in an Atlanta uniform, and a bullpen meltdown Monday at Philadelphia is the only reason he is not 2-0. Still, Santana has allowed seven hits and one earned run in 14 innings, walking two and striking out 17. The 31-year-old has posted a 0.64 WHIP and is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Colon dominated the Braves in Atlanta’s home opener April 8, firing seven shutout innings with six hits allowed, no walks and five strikeouts. But he was pounded by the Angels on Sunday, surrendering nine earned runs on 11 hits – including four homers – in five innings. The 40-year-old, who is 10 victories shy of 200 for his career, makes his third career start at Citi Field, where he is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA.

TRENDS:

*Braves are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in New York.
*Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
*Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.

CONSENSUS: 72 percent of backers are taking the Braves, with 54 percent backing the under.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, APRIL 19th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Saturday, 4/19/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cingrani is 1-1, 2.54 in three starts this month.
-- Lynn is 3-0, 4.00 in three starts this season.
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.64 in his first two starts for Atlanta.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 4.41 in three starts this season.
-- Haren is 2-0, 2.55 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 3.52 in his first three starts for the Giants.

-- Wilson is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts. Scherzer has a 2.70 RA in three starts this year.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 0.86 in his first three '14 starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 1.40 in three starts for the A's.
-- Nova is 2-0, 2.77 in his first two starts this month. Archer is 1-1, 3.15 in his three starts this year.
-- Quintana is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.

-- Elias is 1-1, 2.16 in his first three MLB starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-1, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Zimmerman has a 5.27 RA in his first three starts.
-- Rodriguez is 0-2, 7.31 in three starts this season. Garza is 0-1, 5.54 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-2, 6.00 in his first three starts for the Mets.
-- Kendrick is 0-1, 7.36 in his last two starts.
-- Bolsinger is making first MLB start; he allowed two runs in three IP in his MLB debut. He was 2-0, 1.42 in his two AAA starts.
-- Stults is 0-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 5.29 in three starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts this season. Doubront is 1-2, 6.75 in three starts this month.
-- BChen is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts this season. Correia is 0-1, 5.79 in three starts this season.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-3, 3.50 in three starts this season.
-- Lewis allowed four runs in 5.1 IP, losing in his first start in two years after being hurt.

-- Alvarez is 0-2, 7.36 in three starts this year.

•Totals
-- Seven of last ten Cub games went over the total.
-- Five of last six St Louis road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of ten Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Five of seven games at Coors Field went over total.
-- Five of last six San Diego games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Arizona road games went over total.

-- 12 of 15 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last three Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five New York road games stayed under.
-- 12 of 17 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 17 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 12 of 16 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last six home games stayed under.
-- Last three Oakland games went over the total.

-- Eight of Miami's last nine games went over total.

•Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Washington won five of its last six home games. Cardinals won five of last seven games overall.
-- Brewers won seven of their eight road games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won five of its seven home games.
-- San Diego won six of its last nine games. Giants won four of last six on road.

-- Angels won five of their seven road games.
-- Yankees won six of its last eight games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Kansas City won its last four games. Twins won five of their last seven.
-- Oakland won four of its last five games.

•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 15 games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost five of their seven home games.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games. Dodgers lost four of six at home.

-- Detroit lost three of its last four home games.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox lost five of seven home games.
-- White Sox lost five of their seven road games.
-- Astros lost 12 of their last 15 games.

-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven games. Seattle lost six of last seven.

•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Wsh-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Hamari games.
-- Cin-Chi-- All three Hudson games this season stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Underdogs won six of last eight Reynolds games.
-- Atl-NY-- Three of four Cooper games went over total.
-- Phil-Col-- Visiting team won last five TWelke games.
-- Az-LA-- Underdogs won four of last seven Nelson games.
-- SF-SD-- Underdogs won rookie ump Morales' first two games.

-- Tor-Cle-- Last three Scott games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last eleven Cuzzi games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Underdogs won five of last eight Carlson games.
-- Min-KC-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 BWelke games.
-- Hst-A's-- Three of four Winters games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Three of four Foster games went over the total.
-- Chi-Tex-- Last three Davidson games stayed under total.

-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last seven Basner games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•ST LOUIS is 23-2 (+21.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss versus opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

•DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.

•PHILADELPHIA is 5-27 (-25.4 Units) against the run line after 3 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.0, OPPONENT 5.8.

•C.J. WILSON is 11-0 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 6.2, OPPONENT 2.5.

•MARK BUEHRLE is 15-3 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.0, OPPONENT 3.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(69-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.2%, +48.9 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -182.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-6, +16.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (141-52, +44.5 units).
___________________________________________
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Saturday Brandon Lang

50 Dimes - Brooklyn Nets +3 visiting the Toronto Raptors, 12:30 PM EST
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
Play Against – All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) allowing 3.3 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games
46-21 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.7% | 25.3 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 2.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 13-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in Home games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: SAN DIEGO (5.6) , OPPONENT (2.9)
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NBA | BROOKLYN at TORONTO
Play Against – All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss
241-148 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 78.2 units )
31-18 this year. ( 63.3% | 11.2 units )

NBA | MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 Reb/G) vs. an average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) after 42+ games
130-83 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 51.2 units )
9-3 this year. ( 75.0% | 8.9 units )

NBA | MEMPHIS at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in April games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
 
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RTG Sports


NBA Playoff Saturday Side Plays (EVERY GAME)


Golden State Warriors +7 **


Toronto Raptors -3 *


Atlanta Hawks +8 (BH) *


Oklahoma City Thunder -7 *
 
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THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks

​** ALL GAMES START AT 1PM ET **

MLB *1000 THE REAL DEAL PLAY
DETROIT -145

MLB 500* Toronto ​+104

MLB 500* St.Louis -103
 

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Ben Burns ?? he has been on fire!

Then go buy him. Why do people come here and beg....say a guy is on fire but won't pay 25 bucks to get these on fire picks.

Can't figure if theese type of guys are jimbofisher type shills or just people who live off handouts.
 

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