Service Plays Saturday 4/19/14

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Anthony Michael (YouWinNow)

#707 - #708 Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Clippers OVER 212

This total has been driven up from the opening number for good reason. These teams have gone over in 7 of their last 9 meetings and the Clippers have gone over in 8 of 10 overall and in 8 of their last 10 against Western Conference opponents. Have to like the Warriors to knock down a bunch of 3's and the Clippers to make a ton of dunks getting this game over the number.
 
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NBA Eastern Conference playoff betting preview: Round 1

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors (-2.5, 194)

The Nets' starters boast a combined 399 career playoff games, while there are three playoff rookies - guard DeMar DeRozan, forward Terrence Ross and center Jonas Valanciunas - among the Raptors' first five. The teams split four meetings this season, with each squad going 1-1 on its home floor and three of the four games decided by four points or fewer.

After a slow start and a notable trade that sent swingman Rudy Gay to Sacramento, Toronto went 42-22 over the final four-plus months of the season to record a franchise record in victories and storm to the Atlantic Division crown - its first since 2006-07. DeRozan and point guard Kyle Lowry were the catalysts all season for Toronto, combining to average 40.6 points and 11.4 assists and stepping up their games against Brooklyn; DeRozan averaged 22.3 points and Lowry 22 points versus the Nets.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Toronto.
* Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.


Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers (-7, 211)

The Golden State Warriors went into the playoffs as the No. 6 seed last season and knocked off the third-seeded Denver Nuggets. They will be attempting to turn the same trick again this spring, though the competition will be different when the Warriors visit the third-seeded Los Angeles Clippers. Golden State and Los Angeles did not get along very well during the regular season, and Warriors guard Klay Thompson continued the war of words this week by talking about Clippers All-Star forward Blake Griffin. “He’s kind of like a bull in a china shop, kind of out of control sometimes,” Thompson told 95.7 The Game radio in San Francisco. “And then you do just see him flop sometimes, like how can a guy that big and strong flop that much?”

The Clippers are primed for a deep playoff run and brought in coach Doc Rivers in part for his experience in the postseason. Rivers is the biggest change from last spring, when Los Angeles dropped a first-round series to the Memphis Grizzlies under Vinny Del Negro, but he is not the only difference. The Clippers led the league in scoring and became a defensive force as the season progressed and DeAndre Jordan grew more comfortable with his role as an enforcer and rim protector. Clippers G Chris Paul averaged 28 points, 12.7 assists and 3.7 steals in three games against Golden State this season.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 9-3-1 in Clippers last 13 home games.


Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers (-7.5, 186)

Atlanta was 10 games under .500 on April 3 before closing with six wins in the last eight games, including a 107-88 drubbing of the Pacers in Indiana on April 6. The Hawks bowed out in six games in the first round to the Pacers last season, dropping the final two games after evening the series with a pair of home victories. Atlanta doesn’t have Al Horford this time around but does have All-Star Paul Millsap. Atlanta can spread the floor with its frontcourt rotation of Millsap, Pero Antic, DeMarre Carroll and Mike Scott, and all five in the starting lineup are capable of stepping out and hitting 3-pointers.

The Pacers went 10-13 over the last six weeks of the season, briefly dropping out of the top spot in the East before winning three of four to close things out and top the Heat by two games. Indiana’s slump came after trading away veteran Danny Granger and signing mercurial center Andrew Bynum, and downturns in production from Roy Hibbert and Paul George didn’t help. Hibbert averaged 17 points and 9.9 rebounds in the playoffs last spring and the Pacers are counting on him to carry a heavy load again. Hibbert averaged five points on 28.1 percent shooting and 3.8 rebounds in the four games against the Hawks.

TRENDS:

* Over is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Indiana.
* Favorite is 25-9-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings.
* Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games.


Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7, 192.5)

The Memphis Grizzlies eliminated an Oklahoma City team missing Russell Westbrook from last season’s playoffs and take aim at stunning the Thunder again when the first-round series opens in Oklahoma City on Saturday. The trio of Gasol, power forward Zach Randolph and point guard Mike Conley are used to waging battle with the Thunder, having surprisingly taken Oklahoma City to seven games in the 2011 conference semifinals before last season’s impressive series victory.

The Thunder posted the NBA’s second-best record despite Westbrook missing 36 games due to his balky knee and are expecting the first-round series to be quite a tussle. “It’s going to be a tough but fun series,” Kevin Durant told reporters. “We have a lot of history with these guys. We’re looking forward to getting the opportunity to play for a championship.” Durant is the favorite to win NBA MVP honors after leading the league in scoring with a 32-point average, the highest since Kobe Bryant averaged 35.4 points for the Lakers in 2005-06.

TRENDS:

* Grizzlies are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in Thunder's last six Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games.
 
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NBA Western Conference playoff betting preview: Round 1

No. 8 Dallas Mavericks vs. No. 1 San Antonio Spurs

Season series: Spurs won season series 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS), 3-1 O/U
Series Prices: Mavericks +500/Spurs -700

Why bet the Mavericks?

This may appear to be one of the most lopsided matchups of the first round but the Mavs may give the Spurs a little more than people expect. Dallas is a very good offensive team that balances scoring between both its starters and its bench. They take high-percentage shots, evidenced by their 47.4 field goal percentage and are the league’s second-best, 3-point shooting team. As well, the Spurs don’t really have anyone to guard Dirk Nowitzki when the big man steps out of the paint.

Why bet the Spurs?

Everything the Mavs can do, the Spurs do better. They balance their scoring and hit threes. As well, they are able to play the type of defense that wins championships. They beat the Mavericks all four times they met this season, never shooting less than 41 percent from the field and only once hitting below 40 percent from the 3-point arc.


No. 7 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 2 Oklahoma City Thunder

Season series: Thunder won season series 3-1 SU (2-1-1 ATS), 3-1 O/U
Series Prices: Grizzlies +300/Thunder -360

Why bet the Grizzlies?

The Grizzlies are the team no one wanted to play in the first round. They slow the game down, averaging only 92.2 possessions per game, but score an efficient 103.3 points per 100 possessions. Defensively is where they’re most scary. Memphis only allows the opposition’s starters an average of 65 points per game and, once you get past the starters, the Thunder have a mediocre bench that averages only 32.2 points per game.

Why bet the Thunder?

The Thunder handled the Grizzlies fairly easily this season, winning three of four by an average of 10-plus points per game and outrebounding Memphis in each contest. While much is being made of Memphis’ ability to control the pace of the game, OKC is no slouch in offensive efficiency, averaging 108 .1 points per 100 possessions. What’s more Russell Westbrook only played in two games against Memphis this season.


No. 6 Golden State Warriors vs. No. 3 Los Angeles Clippers

Season series: Tied 2-2 SU (Clippers went 3-1 ATS), 2-2 O/U
Series Prices: Warriors +320/Clippers -380

Why bet the Warriors?

Never count a team out that has Stephen Curry in its lineup. What’s more, never count a team that has Stephen Curry and the home-court crowd at Oracle. The Warriors were an improved defensive unit this season, allowing teams less than 100 points per game and had the fourth-best point differential. They managed to keep the Clippers under their 107.9 points per contest average in both games in Oakland.

Why bet the Clippers?

The Clippers may have two of the league’s top five players and the league’s best coach. They’re healthy and deep, able to throw different looks at their opponents depending on the situation. There may be concerns over last year’s disappointing exit but it’s not Vinny Del Negro on the sidelines. It looks like Andrew Bogut will be sidelined and Jermaine O’Neal and David Lee can’t protect the rim alone versus “Lob City”.


No. 5 Portland Trail Blazers vs No. 4 Houston Rockets

Season series: Rockets won 3-1 SU (Tied 2-2 ATS), 4-0 O/U
Series Prices: Trail Blazers +175/Rockets -200

Why bet the Rockets?

This will be a series marked by the 3-pointer but it won’t be won by it. Whoever defends and scores at key moments will come out on top, and with Dwight Howard defending the basket on one end and James Harden getting to the hoop on the other, the advantage has to go to the Rockets. Houston won the three of the four meetings during the season, never scoring less than 116 points and held Portland to more than a basket less than its season average during the fourth quarters of these wins.

Why bet the Trail Blazers?

If Portland can knock down its open looks, it has a decent chance of advancing. What’s good news for Blazers bettors is the fact the team has been doing that in recent games. Portland won five in a row to end the season, shooting nearly 46 percent overall and an impressive 43 percent from downtown in their last three games in that stretch.
 

Just another squirrel lookin' fer a nut!
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2Halves2Win NBA (Went 3-0 for +3.00 units) in bases yesterday, btw):

1* GAME: Nets-Raptors o194 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
 

Just another squirrel lookin' fer a nut!
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2Halves2Win NBA (Went 3-0 for +3.00 units) in bases yesterday, btw):

1* GAME: Nets-Raptors o194 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)


1* GAME: Hawks-Pacers o186 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Grizzlies-Thunder o192 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
 
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Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at San Diego

The Giants (10-7) look to bounce back from last night's 4-2 loss to the Padres and take advantage of San Diego's 2-9 record in Eric Stults' last 11 starts against a team with a winning record. San Francisco is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, APRIL 19
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: St. Louis at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.139; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.268
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Under
Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cingrani) 16.038; Cubs (Jackson) 13.885
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); N/A
Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 14.829; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 16.061
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over
Game 957-958: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 16.877; NY Mets (Colon) 15.239
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Under
Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.269; Colorado (Lyles) 14.702
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Over
Game 961-962: Arizona at LA Dodgers (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Bolsinger) 13.818; LA Dodgers (Haren) 15.485
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Under
Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.575; San Diego (Stults) 15.108
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under
Game 965-966: Toronto at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.029; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.476
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Over
Game 967-968: LA Angels at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.961; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.559
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under
Game 969-970: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 15.664; Boston (Doubront) 14.681
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Over
Game 971-972: Minnesota at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 16.220; Kansas City (Chen) 15.332
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+135); Over
Game 973-974: Houston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 12.751; Oakland (Kazmir) 17.166
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-225); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-225); Under
Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 14.603; Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.955
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under
Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.696; Texas (Lewis) 14.536
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over
Game 979-980: Seattle at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 15.764; Miami (Alvarez) 14.286
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Under
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Minnesota at Colorado

The Wild look to even up the series after dropping Game 1 on Thursday night and come into today's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games when playing on 1 days rest. Minnesota is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
SATURDAY, APRIL 19
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 71-72: Chicago at St. Louis (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.764; St. Louis 11.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-115); Under
Game 73-74: Columbus at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.361; Pittsburgh 11.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+170); Over
Game 75-76: Minnesota at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.337; Colorado 11.425
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125); Under
 

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Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals -132 over Minnesota Twins
(System Record: 11-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 11-8
 

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Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -104 over St. Louis
(Playoff Record: 1-2, lost last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 92-75-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Memphis Grizzlies +7 over OKC
(System Record: 78-8, lost last game)
Overall Record: 78-86-5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Rosario Central + Estudiantes LP UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina

(System Record: 555-20, won last game)
Overall Record: 555-475-81
 
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ScLiveDogs - Cardinals

Why we like the Cardinals on Saturday at +100...here come those Cardinals who like to get on these nice runs at various points in the season. The Cardinals come into Saturdays game as winners of their last 5 of 7 games while averaging 5.4 RPG and allowing just 2.9 RPG during that span. The Nationals on the other hand come into Saturdays game as losers of their last 5 of 8 games while allowing 4 RPG and allowing 6.7 RPG during that span. In this series over the last three seasons, the Cardinals are 13-7 against the Nationals. The Cardinals will be pitching Lance Lynn who is coming off of his best start of the year to date against the Brewers. In that start, Lynn worked 7 innings while allowing 0 runs on 3 hits, 3 BBs & 11 Ks as well as picking up the W as a +110 road dog. It is interesting to note that Lynn has gotten better in each of his last three starts while increasing his innings, lowering his hits allowed and increasing his Ks. Lynn has only made one career start against the Nationals which came back in 2012 where he picked up the W through 5 innings on 4 runs, 1 BB & 9 Ks. Lynn will be pitching Saturdays game on 4 Days of Rest while is highly important to him as he saw his 2013 era drop from a 3.97 to a 2.85 on 4 Days of Rest. The Nationals will be starting Jordan Zimmerman who has not had the best start to his 2014 campaign. Zimmerman has a 5.27 era through 13 innings of work while allowing 17 hits and allowing a HR in each of his first three starts. Zimmerman also did not have much success in day games in 2013 as he saw his era rise from a 3.25 to a 4.70 in day games. When speaking about Jordan Zimmerman against the Cardinals offense, there is much to worry about for Zimmerman's sake. In his career, Zimmerman is 0-4 with an 8.83 era against the Cardinals. Through 83 ABs, this Cardinals offense has a .373 average with 3 HRs. Play on the Cardinals at +100.
 
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Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals -132 over Minnesota Twins
(System Record: 11-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 11-8

Rest of Crusher's Baseball, Hockey & Basketball Plays Today:

Tampa Bay Rays -132 over NY Yankees
San Diego Padres +108 over SF
Detroit Tigers -140 over LA Angels

Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 over Pittsburgh Penguins
Minnesota Wild +127 over Colorado
Pittsburgh Penguins + Columbus Blue Jackets OVER 5.5

Golden State Warriors + Los Angeles Clippers OVER 211.5
Golden State Warriors +7 over Los Angeles Clippers
Brooklyn Nets + Toronto Raptors UNDER 194
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Canadiens on Friday and likes the Nets on Saturday.

The deficit is 202 sirignanos.
 

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