Today's NHL Picks
Calgary at Edmonton
The Flames head to Edmonton tonight where they are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the Oilers. Calgary is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+125). Here are all of today's picks.
Calgary at Edmonton
The Flames head to Edmonton tonight where they are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the Oilers. Calgary is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+125). Here are all of today's picks.
| SATURDAY, MARCH 22 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.800; Pittsburgh 10.957 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+150); Over |
| Game 3-4: St. Louis at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.523; Philadelphia 11.014 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under |
| Game 5-6: Detroit at Minnesota (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.796; Minnesota 12.385 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-150); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150); Over |
| Game 7-8: Ottawa at Dallas (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.506; Dallas 10.432 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A |
| Game 9-10: Florida at Los Angeles (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.382; Los Angeles 12.198 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-265); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-265); Over |
| Game 11-12: Montreal at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.561; Toronto 10.771 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-105); Under |
| Game 13-14: Carolina at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.244; Winnipeg 11.778 Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-160); Under |
| Game 15-16: NY Rangers at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.929; New Jersey 10.426 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-110); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Over |
| Game 17-18: Boston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 13.163; Phoenix 11.449 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under |
| Game 19-20: Calgary at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.909; Edmonton 10.740 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+125); Over |
| Game 21-22: Washington at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.000; San Jose 12.526 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-210); Under |
| From Platinum Plays. |
| 500K NCAA Slam Dunk/Year the Wisconsn Badgers -5 over the Oregon Ducks Best Bets the Florida Gators -5½ over the Pittsburgh Panthers the North Dakota St Bisons +3 over the San Diego St Aztecs the Michigan St Spartans -7over the Harvard Crimson the Michigan Wolverines -4½ over the Texas Longhorns PREMIER PICKS the Syracuse Ornagemen -7 over the Dayton Flyers Back After 11:00PM Eastern Saturday |
| From Totals4U. |
Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Saturday, March 22nd Saturday Night Pro Basketball Scoreboard-Scorcher!!!!! Orlando/Utah over 195 1/2 NBA Best Bets Indiana/Memphis under 180 Miami/New Orleans under 200 Philadelphia/Chicago under 196 LA Clippers/detroit over 210 2014 NCAA Tourney Round 3 Super Total of the Year!!!!! Oregon/Wisconsin over 142 1/2 NCAA Best Bets Pittsburgh/Florida over 124 St Louis/Lousiville over 133 Texas/Michigan over 139 North Dakota State/San Diego State over 125 1/2 Dayton/Syracuse under 127 1/2 Harvard/Michigan State under 137 Connecticut/Villanova under 132 1/2 Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!! |
POINTWISE TOURNAMENT COVERAGE
11-19 ATS (not counting NIT) So far
Saturday, March 22, 2014
NCAA:
Rated 1: Louisville
Rated 2: Florida, North Dakota Statee
Rated 4: Syracuse
Rated 5: Oregon, Michigan
Rated 6: Villanova, Michigan State
NIT:
Rated 5: Georgia (11:00 AM Eastern Start)
Top Rating of 1 -- Low Rating of 6
11-19 ATS (not counting NIT) So far
Saturday, March 22, 2014
NCAA:
Rated 1: Louisville
Rated 2: Florida, North Dakota Statee
Rated 4: Syracuse
Rated 5: Oregon, Michigan
Rated 6: Villanova, Michigan State
NIT:
Rated 5: Georgia (11:00 AM Eastern Start)
Top Rating of 1 -- Low Rating of 6
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 3/22/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
***** Saturday, 3/22/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________
Saturday's Notebook
•Syracuse is playing couple hours from home in Buffalo, it’s an arena, not a dome, so their home court edge is even bigger here. Orange stumbled to 3-5 finish after being 25-0 at one point, but having Grant back in lineup opens up shots for Cooney and makes Syracuse potent on offense. Dayton is 4-6 versus top 50 teams; they've won 11 of last 13 games overall, are off dramatic win versus in-state rival Ohio State that had refused to play them. Flyers beat Georgia Tech by 10, its only game with an ACC opponent. Over last four years, #11 seeds are 5-3 versus spread in this round. Last five years, second round favorites of 6+ points are 20-13-1 versus spread.
•Villanova was 1-19 from arc before hitting three of last four versus Milwaukee in first round; Wildcats won four of last five second round games- they beat Connecticut 70-61 LY in last Big East meeting, ending 4-game series skid. Over last nine years, favorites are 8-11-1 versus spread in 2-7 second round games. Huskies needed OT to beat St Joe's Thursday, despite making 11-24 on arc; Boatright/Napier both played 42:00 versus St Joe's; three others played 30:00+. Last five years, second round favorites of 6+ points are 20-13-1 versus spread. UConn won six of last seven first round games, but those with Calhoun as coach- Thursday was Ollie's first tournament win.
•Pittsburgh crushed shorthanded Colorado Thursday; Panthers are 1-3 in last four second round games, and weren't underdog in any of them, losing by 11-1-3 points. Over last five years, #1 seeds are 12-7-1 versus spread in this round. Florida was tested by Albany for 30:00 Thursday; Gators beat Florida State by point in only game versus ACC team. Panthers didn't play an ACC team but they also played Albany and beat Danes by same 12 points that Florida did. Over last six seasons, second round favorites of 6 or less points are 30-20 versus spread. Florida hasn't lost since Dec 2 versus Connecticut. #1 seeds are 33-3 SU in this round the last nine years.
•Defending champ Louisville was tested in fierce struggle with Manhattan Thursday, tough game for Pitino against old friend. Cardinals won 12 of last 13 games, face offensively-challenged Saint Louis squad that rallied to beat NC State after being down 16 with 8:13 to go- they lost four of last six games after being 25-2 at one point; nine of last ten games were decided by 7 or less points. Over last six years, second round favorites of 8+ points are 15-10-1 versus spread. Billikens are very good at defending arc (29.1%, #3) Billikens have edge in experience; they're 8-5 versus top 100 teams, 19-1 versus everyone else.
•Over last nine years, favorites are 8-11-1 versus spread in 2-7 second round games. Wisconsin is 17-12 in NCAA tourney under Ryan, but 13 of 17 wins were against teams seeded 10th or lower; Badgers had 40-5 run versus American Thursday; they won 10 of last 12 games. Oregon won eight of last nine games, getting beat by UCLA in Pac-12 tourney; Ducks beat Illinois 71-64 on December, its only game versus Big Dozen opponent this season. Wisconsin is #2 in country at protecting ball, turning it over only 12.6% of time. Ducks are 13-0 outside Pac-12; they're 4-0 in OT games this season.
•Michigan State is finally healthy, winning last four games after going 5-7 in last dozen regular season games; Spartans beat Columbia by 9 back in November, its only game versus Ivy foe. Harvard beat Cincinnati, lost by 5 at Connecticut in its only top 50 games. #12 seeds covered five of their last six second round games when facing a #4 seed. Crimson made 38.8% on arc this season (#26 in US); they were only 6-17 from arc versus Cincinnati, but all seemed to come in key spots when Bearcats were making runs at them. Spartans have lot of depth because of all the injuries they've had; they're average defending the 3, but Harvard won't push them around.
•North Dakota State won its last ten games and 24 of last 27; they've got #23 team in country in experience here, starting three seniors and junior- they won at Notre Dame before Grant got hurt, but they also lost by 17 at Ohio State, 13 at St Mary's, 1 at home to Southern Miss. Aztecs won seven of last eight games, losing to Lobos in Mountain West tourney in Vegas; they don't shoot ball especially well, but after losing in this round to Florida Gulf Coast LY, they won't be overlooking Bison. #12 seeds covered five of their last six second round games when facing a #4 seed. Bison were down 4 with 0:38 left versus Oklahoma, rallied for unlikely win.
•Beilein vs. Barnes is immense tactical mismatch. Michigan lost by 7 at Iowa State in its one game versus Big 12 opponent. Texas is 6-6 in its last 12 games; biggest indictment I can think of them were last five points they scored versus Arizona State, getting rebounds off missed shots, neither of which hit rim- they got lucky. Longhorns lost by 14 to Michigan State in its one Big Ten game- they're 2-4 in last six NCAA tourney games, with all four losses by 5 or less points- they do not have senior in their rotation, are 12-2 outside Big 12. Both these teams are in bottom 20 in country in terms of experience. Michigan is 8-1 in last nine games, 20-4 in last 24 games overall.
Other Games
•Louisiana Tech won seven of last eight games; they're 4-3 in last seven true road games. Georgia won its last six home games; its last home loss was Jan 29 to Vanderbilt; Bulldogs won four of last games overall.
•Fort Wayne won six of last seven games, losing to North Dakota State by 3 in Summit League final; Mastadons won last three true road games- they're #19 in country, making 39.1% from arc. VMI scored 84+ points in its last five wins, 78 or less in last four losses.
•Wright State won seven of last eight games, losing Horizon League final at home to Milwaukee; Raiders split pair of 3-point decisions with MAC teams this season. Ohio split pair of games with Horizon teams, beating Valparaiso by 4, losing at Oakland by 17.
•Yale lost four of last six games but edged Quinnipiac by point at home in last game; Bulldogs won by 3 at Lafayette in its only games with Patriot League foe. Holy Cross split pair of games with Ivy League opponents.
•Columbia won four of last five home games; Lions are 11-6 in non-Ivy games. Eastern Michigan won seven of its last nine games, but lost last three true road games. Columbia makes 37.7% of its 3's, which helps going against Syracuse-like 2-3 zone.
•San Diego tied for 6th in down year in WCC; Toreros are last team that beat Gonzaga- they lost six of last nine true road games. Sam Houston won five of last six games- they lost to SF Austin in Southland final, after finishing third during regular season.
•Corpus Christi finished 2nd in Southland; they've won eight of last nine games overall. Islanders won their last five home games. Pacific has all five starters back from LY but went 6-12 in first year in WCC, which is lot stronger than Big West, their old league.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season.
The average score was MICHIGAN ST 82.0, OPPONENT 62.9.
-- GEORGIA is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was GEORGIA 69.1, OPPONENT 63.0.
-- SAN DIEGO is 13-3 (+9.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 32.3, OPPONENT 33.0.
-- SAN DIEGO ST is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 30.5, OPPONENT 23.3.
-- TOM IZZO is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers as the coach of MICHIGAN ST.
The average score was IZZO 65.3, OPPONENT 60.3.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- SYRACUSE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
The average score was SYRACUSE 67.9, OPPONENT 59.5.
-- FLORIDA is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 70.3, OPPONENT 57.9.
-- IUPU-FT WAYNE is 19-4 (+14.6 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was IUPU-FT WAYNE 35.7, OPPONENT 30.8.
-- E MICHIGAN is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 24.2, OPPONENT 27.4.
-- BILLY DONLON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of WRIGHT ST.
The average score was DONLON 58.8, OPPONENT 59.8.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (YALE) - a good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, poor shooting team - shooting <=42% on the season, in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games.
(106-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.9%, +68.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -270
The average score in these games was: Team 71.7, Opponent 63.5 (Average point differential = +8.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (55-6, +40.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (221-60, +76.3 units).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS A&M CC) – an average defensive team (42.5-45%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
(44-18 since 1997.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (27-35)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 64.3, Opponent 67.6 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
-- Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (HOLY CROSS) - a poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.6, Opponent 28.9 (Average first half point differential = +0.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-42).
-- Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (TEXAS) - a good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game against an excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games.
(31-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.6%, +26.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 63.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.7, Opponent 28.4 (Total first half points scored = 57.1)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (75-43).
___________________________________________
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
***** Saturday, 3/22/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________
Saturday's Notebook
•Syracuse is playing couple hours from home in Buffalo, it’s an arena, not a dome, so their home court edge is even bigger here. Orange stumbled to 3-5 finish after being 25-0 at one point, but having Grant back in lineup opens up shots for Cooney and makes Syracuse potent on offense. Dayton is 4-6 versus top 50 teams; they've won 11 of last 13 games overall, are off dramatic win versus in-state rival Ohio State that had refused to play them. Flyers beat Georgia Tech by 10, its only game with an ACC opponent. Over last four years, #11 seeds are 5-3 versus spread in this round. Last five years, second round favorites of 6+ points are 20-13-1 versus spread.
•Villanova was 1-19 from arc before hitting three of last four versus Milwaukee in first round; Wildcats won four of last five second round games- they beat Connecticut 70-61 LY in last Big East meeting, ending 4-game series skid. Over last nine years, favorites are 8-11-1 versus spread in 2-7 second round games. Huskies needed OT to beat St Joe's Thursday, despite making 11-24 on arc; Boatright/Napier both played 42:00 versus St Joe's; three others played 30:00+. Last five years, second round favorites of 6+ points are 20-13-1 versus spread. UConn won six of last seven first round games, but those with Calhoun as coach- Thursday was Ollie's first tournament win.
•Pittsburgh crushed shorthanded Colorado Thursday; Panthers are 1-3 in last four second round games, and weren't underdog in any of them, losing by 11-1-3 points. Over last five years, #1 seeds are 12-7-1 versus spread in this round. Florida was tested by Albany for 30:00 Thursday; Gators beat Florida State by point in only game versus ACC team. Panthers didn't play an ACC team but they also played Albany and beat Danes by same 12 points that Florida did. Over last six seasons, second round favorites of 6 or less points are 30-20 versus spread. Florida hasn't lost since Dec 2 versus Connecticut. #1 seeds are 33-3 SU in this round the last nine years.
•Defending champ Louisville was tested in fierce struggle with Manhattan Thursday, tough game for Pitino against old friend. Cardinals won 12 of last 13 games, face offensively-challenged Saint Louis squad that rallied to beat NC State after being down 16 with 8:13 to go- they lost four of last six games after being 25-2 at one point; nine of last ten games were decided by 7 or less points. Over last six years, second round favorites of 8+ points are 15-10-1 versus spread. Billikens are very good at defending arc (29.1%, #3) Billikens have edge in experience; they're 8-5 versus top 100 teams, 19-1 versus everyone else.
•Over last nine years, favorites are 8-11-1 versus spread in 2-7 second round games. Wisconsin is 17-12 in NCAA tourney under Ryan, but 13 of 17 wins were against teams seeded 10th or lower; Badgers had 40-5 run versus American Thursday; they won 10 of last 12 games. Oregon won eight of last nine games, getting beat by UCLA in Pac-12 tourney; Ducks beat Illinois 71-64 on December, its only game versus Big Dozen opponent this season. Wisconsin is #2 in country at protecting ball, turning it over only 12.6% of time. Ducks are 13-0 outside Pac-12; they're 4-0 in OT games this season.
•Michigan State is finally healthy, winning last four games after going 5-7 in last dozen regular season games; Spartans beat Columbia by 9 back in November, its only game versus Ivy foe. Harvard beat Cincinnati, lost by 5 at Connecticut in its only top 50 games. #12 seeds covered five of their last six second round games when facing a #4 seed. Crimson made 38.8% on arc this season (#26 in US); they were only 6-17 from arc versus Cincinnati, but all seemed to come in key spots when Bearcats were making runs at them. Spartans have lot of depth because of all the injuries they've had; they're average defending the 3, but Harvard won't push them around.
•North Dakota State won its last ten games and 24 of last 27; they've got #23 team in country in experience here, starting three seniors and junior- they won at Notre Dame before Grant got hurt, but they also lost by 17 at Ohio State, 13 at St Mary's, 1 at home to Southern Miss. Aztecs won seven of last eight games, losing to Lobos in Mountain West tourney in Vegas; they don't shoot ball especially well, but after losing in this round to Florida Gulf Coast LY, they won't be overlooking Bison. #12 seeds covered five of their last six second round games when facing a #4 seed. Bison were down 4 with 0:38 left versus Oklahoma, rallied for unlikely win.
•Beilein vs. Barnes is immense tactical mismatch. Michigan lost by 7 at Iowa State in its one game versus Big 12 opponent. Texas is 6-6 in its last 12 games; biggest indictment I can think of them were last five points they scored versus Arizona State, getting rebounds off missed shots, neither of which hit rim- they got lucky. Longhorns lost by 14 to Michigan State in its one Big Ten game- they're 2-4 in last six NCAA tourney games, with all four losses by 5 or less points- they do not have senior in their rotation, are 12-2 outside Big 12. Both these teams are in bottom 20 in country in terms of experience. Michigan is 8-1 in last nine games, 20-4 in last 24 games overall.
Other Games
•Louisiana Tech won seven of last eight games; they're 4-3 in last seven true road games. Georgia won its last six home games; its last home loss was Jan 29 to Vanderbilt; Bulldogs won four of last games overall.
•Fort Wayne won six of last seven games, losing to North Dakota State by 3 in Summit League final; Mastadons won last three true road games- they're #19 in country, making 39.1% from arc. VMI scored 84+ points in its last five wins, 78 or less in last four losses.
•Wright State won seven of last eight games, losing Horizon League final at home to Milwaukee; Raiders split pair of 3-point decisions with MAC teams this season. Ohio split pair of games with Horizon teams, beating Valparaiso by 4, losing at Oakland by 17.
•Yale lost four of last six games but edged Quinnipiac by point at home in last game; Bulldogs won by 3 at Lafayette in its only games with Patriot League foe. Holy Cross split pair of games with Ivy League opponents.
•Columbia won four of last five home games; Lions are 11-6 in non-Ivy games. Eastern Michigan won seven of its last nine games, but lost last three true road games. Columbia makes 37.7% of its 3's, which helps going against Syracuse-like 2-3 zone.
•San Diego tied for 6th in down year in WCC; Toreros are last team that beat Gonzaga- they lost six of last nine true road games. Sam Houston won five of last six games- they lost to SF Austin in Southland final, after finishing third during regular season.
•Corpus Christi finished 2nd in Southland; they've won eight of last nine games overall. Islanders won their last five home games. Pacific has all five starters back from LY but went 6-12 in first year in WCC, which is lot stronger than Big West, their old league.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season.
The average score was MICHIGAN ST 82.0, OPPONENT 62.9.
-- GEORGIA is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was GEORGIA 69.1, OPPONENT 63.0.
-- SAN DIEGO is 13-3 (+9.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 32.3, OPPONENT 33.0.
-- SAN DIEGO ST is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 30.5, OPPONENT 23.3.
-- TOM IZZO is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers as the coach of MICHIGAN ST.
The average score was IZZO 65.3, OPPONENT 60.3.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- SYRACUSE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
The average score was SYRACUSE 67.9, OPPONENT 59.5.
-- FLORIDA is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 70.3, OPPONENT 57.9.
-- IUPU-FT WAYNE is 19-4 (+14.6 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was IUPU-FT WAYNE 35.7, OPPONENT 30.8.
-- E MICHIGAN is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 24.2, OPPONENT 27.4.
-- BILLY DONLON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of WRIGHT ST.
The average score was DONLON 58.8, OPPONENT 59.8.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (YALE) - a good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, poor shooting team - shooting <=42% on the season, in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games.
(106-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.9%, +68.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -270
The average score in these games was: Team 71.7, Opponent 63.5 (Average point differential = +8.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (55-6, +40.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (221-60, +76.3 units).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS A&M CC) – an average defensive team (42.5-45%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
(44-18 since 1997.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (27-35)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 64.3, Opponent 67.6 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
-- Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (HOLY CROSS) - a poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.6, Opponent 28.9 (Average first half point differential = +0.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-42).
-- Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (TEXAS) - a good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game against an excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games.
(31-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.6%, +26.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 63.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.7, Opponent 28.4 (Total first half points scored = 57.1)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (75-43).
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