CAJUN SPORTS
GAME: Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State 10:00 PM EST
RATING: 5* (#542) Sacramento State -3.5
The Lumberjacks enter tonights battle having won the most recent meeting between these two clubs back on March 7 with a 70 to 68 victory over the Hornets but failed to cover as five-point home favorites. The Hornets had won on their home floor back in January defeating the Lumberjacks 78 to 73 as five-point home favorites. The fact that both won on their home floor recently adds another dimension to this tournament contest. These teams are familiar with each other having played twice since January. The situation is much different this time in that they are playing in a national tournament so the level of intensity should go up dramatically. This will favor the home team here with the Hornets and their fans looking for a victory to advance. We note the Hornets are 6-1 ats their last seven as a home favorite in this price range. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 9.69 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 6.88 points with a line range of -3.5 to -5.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Sacramento State Hornets with a 72.5 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 6.42 with a transitional average of 42.07 and a conversion rate range of 46.15 to 48.53 percent in tonights contest. We want to Play AGAINST CBB road underdogs coming off a su and ats road favorite victory in a game that went Under the posted total. These CBB road underdogs are 31-52-3 ats their next time out. There is significant value on the Hornets with supporting index and tech indicators. We will lay the short chalk here as the Hornets roll over the Lumberjacks on Saturday evening. Sacramento State
GAME: Georgia State Panthers vs. Xavier Musketeers 6:10 PM EST
RATING: 5* (#512) Xavier Musketeers -6.5
The Georgia State Panthers head coach Ron Hunter watched from the sidelines as his son shot the Panthers into the next round of the NCAAB Tournament defeating Baylor 57 to 56 as nine-point underdogs. Xavier faced the Ole Miss Rebels in their first round game defeating them with ease 76 to 57 as three-point favorites. We look for the Musketeers to have similar results against the Panthers on Saturday night especially with the Panthers coming off such an emotional rally and win just two days ago against Baylor. Georgia State coming off a game as an underdog and the game went Under they are 0-7 ats in their next contest. Xavier when coming off a su win and the game went Under the posted total the Musketeers are 16-6 ats. If the Musketeers went Under the total in their last game and have been installed as a favorite in their current contest Xavier is 43-26 ats. Now we look at the tail of the tape. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 13.98 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.08 points with a line range of -6.5 to -8.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Musketeers with a 73.48 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. With solid support from our key index averages as well as powerful technical elements we will back Xavier here on Saturday night as they roll over a flat Georgia State squad. Xavier Musketeers
NCAA Basketball TOTAL Selection(s):
5* OVER 130 (projected 137) #511 GA State vs. Xavier 6:10PMEST
5* UNDER 135.5 (projected 129) #527 Alabama vs. Miami 11AM EST
5* UNDER 136.5 (projected 130) #535 Canisius vs. Bowling Green 1PM EST