Maximus Report Late Play
Proceed with caution
NCAA BB Late Card 12/19/09
BEST BETS:
Take Memphis Tigers -13.5 vs. U-Mass Minutemen, Location: TD BankNorth Arena - Boston, MA Time:6:00pm EST
EVALUATION: This is the John Calipari took us both to the Final Four and got us NCAA sanctions game. UMass is playing .500 basketball at 5-5 SU and has only beaten inferior opponents. When they have faced good competition though, the Minutemen have gotten beaten by an average of 15 points, not counting the 106-68 beating that Michigan St. put on them. What we like is the defense that the Memphis Tigers play and control many of their games, and only two teams have been able to get over 60 points against them. The Tigers also have an average win difference by over 22 points a game, including the 2 point loss to #1 Kansas on a Neutral Court back in early November..
PROJECTION: Memphis 77 UMASS 58
Take Arizona St. SunDevils -4 vs. San Diego St. Aztecs, Location: Wells Fargo Arena – Tempe, AZ Time:6:30pm EST
EVALUATION: This is the first time that the Aztecs will be traveling out of the state of California, and having started off at 8-2 SU. They are 3-2 ATS on the road, but when you look more inside the games, the Aztecs on the road against descent competition they don’t fair well ATS. They only average 64 pts a game on the road, and Arizona St. only allows opponents to about 52.. Arizona St. is 7-3 SU, but those three losses are to Duke, BYU, and Baylor; all really descent teams early. They average about 77 points a game at home, and really likes to protect the basketball only averaging 11 turnovers a game. We like the SunDevils at home to cover this low number
PROJECTION Arizona St. 71 San Diego St. 62
Take Portland St. Vikings +10.5 vs. Washington St. Cougars, Location: Toyota Center – Kennewick, WA Time: 4:00pm EST
EVALUATION: Here you have two high scoring teams squaring off on a neutral court, and we like the way the Vikings have been scoring a lot of points with 6 of their last 7 games having at least 80 points put up by the Vikings. Both these two teams are scoring over 79 points a game average, and we expect a track meet tonight. The Cougars have only scored 72 points a game average in the last 4, and we would not be surprised to see the Vikings win this game outright, in fact that is how our projection has the game.
PROJECTION: Portland St. 79 Washington St. 77
SOLIDS:-----------------------------------Projection
Georgetown -9 vs. Old Dominion _______________Georgetown 70-55
NC Wilmington +9.5 vs. Virginia ___________________Virginia 73-71
Wisc-Milwaukee -4.5 vs. Miami-OH ________________Wisc-Milw 73-63
OVER/UNDER:
OVER 132.5 UAB/South Alabama __________________144
OVER 119.5 Missouri St./St. Louis ___________________ 133
OVER 143 Kansas St. / Alabama ___________________ 157
MONEYLINE:
Drake +228 _____________________________Drake 65-60
OTHER PROJECTIONS: Not recommende Plays- just showing how we see them
AWAY-------------------------------Home Spread ----------------------------Home
N. Illinois 59 _________________ -5.5 ____________________ ill-Chicago 69
Western Kentucky 65 __________ -9.5 ___________________ Louisville 66
Gonzaga 66 __________________ -8 _____________________Duke 77
Florida – Atl 63 _______________ -16.5 ___________________Miami-Fl 79
Tennessee 68 ________________ + 11 ____________________ USC 51
Illinois St. 66 _________________ -6 ______________________Utah 67
UL-Monroe 64 ________________ -11 ____________________ Denver 75
UAB 73 _____________________ + 5 _____________________ South Alabama 71
Richmond 61 _________________ -6.5 ____________________ Florida 70
Indiana St. 65 _________________ + 8 ____________________ Toledo 60
Eastern Michigan 59 ____________ -4.5 __________________ Georgia St. 65
Temple 69 ___________________ -4.5 ___________________Seton Hall 73
St. Bonaventure 57 ____________ -21.5 _________________ Syracuse 92
Illinois 73 ____________________ +9.5 __________________ Georgia 62
Ball St. 51 ____________________ -25 ___________________Purdue 77
Texas Tech 69 _________________ -5 ___________________ Wichita St. 72
Missouri St. 68 ________________ +1 __________________ Saint Louis 65
Kansas St. 81 __________________ +3.5 _________________ Alabama 76
Creighton 64 __________________ -11.5 _________________New Mexico 84
Portland 66 ____________________ -9.5 _________________Washington 73
South Florida 67 ________________ +7.5 _________________ San Francisco 58
Southern Illinois 70 _____________ +1.5 __________________San Diego 61
Coll. Of Charleston 65 ____________ -17.5 ________________ Clemson 77
Eastern Kentucky 67 ______________ -10 _________________ Ohio 76
Austin Peay 66 __________________ -22.5 _________________ Kentucky 84
Tennessee St.. 65 ________________ -21.5 _________________ Vanderbilt 83
South Carolina 71 _________________ +2 _________________ Wofford 69
Northern Colorado 68 _____________ -15 _________________Oklahoma 73
Tenn-Chatt 59 ___________________ -18 _________________Murray St. 81
Tenn-Martin 60 __________________ -12.5 _______________ Evansville 74
The Citadel 55 ___________________ -16.5 _______________ Texas A & M 78
Eastern Washington 62 ____________ -23.5 _______________ BYU 80
Northern Arizona 60 ______________ -4.5 ________________ Air Force 65
Cal Riverside 67 __________________ -8 __________________Montana 65
Idaho St. 64 _____________________ +3 __________________Sacramento St. 62
Proceed with caution
NCAA BB Late Card 12/19/09
BEST BETS:
Take Memphis Tigers -13.5 vs. U-Mass Minutemen, Location: TD BankNorth Arena - Boston, MA Time:6:00pm EST
EVALUATION: This is the John Calipari took us both to the Final Four and got us NCAA sanctions game. UMass is playing .500 basketball at 5-5 SU and has only beaten inferior opponents. When they have faced good competition though, the Minutemen have gotten beaten by an average of 15 points, not counting the 106-68 beating that Michigan St. put on them. What we like is the defense that the Memphis Tigers play and control many of their games, and only two teams have been able to get over 60 points against them. The Tigers also have an average win difference by over 22 points a game, including the 2 point loss to #1 Kansas on a Neutral Court back in early November..
PROJECTION: Memphis 77 UMASS 58
Take Arizona St. SunDevils -4 vs. San Diego St. Aztecs, Location: Wells Fargo Arena – Tempe, AZ Time:6:30pm EST
EVALUATION: This is the first time that the Aztecs will be traveling out of the state of California, and having started off at 8-2 SU. They are 3-2 ATS on the road, but when you look more inside the games, the Aztecs on the road against descent competition they don’t fair well ATS. They only average 64 pts a game on the road, and Arizona St. only allows opponents to about 52.. Arizona St. is 7-3 SU, but those three losses are to Duke, BYU, and Baylor; all really descent teams early. They average about 77 points a game at home, and really likes to protect the basketball only averaging 11 turnovers a game. We like the SunDevils at home to cover this low number
PROJECTION Arizona St. 71 San Diego St. 62
Take Portland St. Vikings +10.5 vs. Washington St. Cougars, Location: Toyota Center – Kennewick, WA Time: 4:00pm EST
EVALUATION: Here you have two high scoring teams squaring off on a neutral court, and we like the way the Vikings have been scoring a lot of points with 6 of their last 7 games having at least 80 points put up by the Vikings. Both these two teams are scoring over 79 points a game average, and we expect a track meet tonight. The Cougars have only scored 72 points a game average in the last 4, and we would not be surprised to see the Vikings win this game outright, in fact that is how our projection has the game.
PROJECTION: Portland St. 79 Washington St. 77
SOLIDS:-----------------------------------Projection
Georgetown -9 vs. Old Dominion _______________Georgetown 70-55
NC Wilmington +9.5 vs. Virginia ___________________Virginia 73-71
Wisc-Milwaukee -4.5 vs. Miami-OH ________________Wisc-Milw 73-63
OVER/UNDER:
OVER 132.5 UAB/South Alabama __________________144
OVER 119.5 Missouri St./St. Louis ___________________ 133
OVER 143 Kansas St. / Alabama ___________________ 157
MONEYLINE:
Drake +228 _____________________________Drake 65-60
OTHER PROJECTIONS: Not recommende Plays- just showing how we see them
AWAY-------------------------------Home Spread ----------------------------Home
N. Illinois 59 _________________ -5.5 ____________________ ill-Chicago 69
Western Kentucky 65 __________ -9.5 ___________________ Louisville 66
Gonzaga 66 __________________ -8 _____________________Duke 77
Florida – Atl 63 _______________ -16.5 ___________________Miami-Fl 79
Tennessee 68 ________________ + 11 ____________________ USC 51
Illinois St. 66 _________________ -6 ______________________Utah 67
UL-Monroe 64 ________________ -11 ____________________ Denver 75
UAB 73 _____________________ + 5 _____________________ South Alabama 71
Richmond 61 _________________ -6.5 ____________________ Florida 70
Indiana St. 65 _________________ + 8 ____________________ Toledo 60
Eastern Michigan 59 ____________ -4.5 __________________ Georgia St. 65
Temple 69 ___________________ -4.5 ___________________Seton Hall 73
St. Bonaventure 57 ____________ -21.5 _________________ Syracuse 92
Illinois 73 ____________________ +9.5 __________________ Georgia 62
Ball St. 51 ____________________ -25 ___________________Purdue 77
Texas Tech 69 _________________ -5 ___________________ Wichita St. 72
Missouri St. 68 ________________ +1 __________________ Saint Louis 65
Kansas St. 81 __________________ +3.5 _________________ Alabama 76
Creighton 64 __________________ -11.5 _________________New Mexico 84
Portland 66 ____________________ -9.5 _________________Washington 73
South Florida 67 ________________ +7.5 _________________ San Francisco 58
Southern Illinois 70 _____________ +1.5 __________________San Diego 61
Coll. Of Charleston 65 ____________ -17.5 ________________ Clemson 77
Eastern Kentucky 67 ______________ -10 _________________ Ohio 76
Austin Peay 66 __________________ -22.5 _________________ Kentucky 84
Tennessee St.. 65 ________________ -21.5 _________________ Vanderbilt 83
South Carolina 71 _________________ +2 _________________ Wofford 69
Northern Colorado 68 _____________ -15 _________________Oklahoma 73
Tenn-Chatt 59 ___________________ -18 _________________Murray St. 81
Tenn-Martin 60 __________________ -12.5 _______________ Evansville 74
The Citadel 55 ___________________ -16.5 _______________ Texas A & M 78
Eastern Washington 62 ____________ -23.5 _______________ BYU 80
Northern Arizona 60 ______________ -4.5 ________________ Air Force 65
Cal Riverside 67 __________________ -8 __________________Montana 65
Idaho St. 64 _____________________ +3 __________________Sacramento St. 62
