duemig
Steve Duemig
Saturday
25 Dime - Central Florida
Lots of things working against Rutgers here. First it is basically a home game for UCF as they have purchased enough tickets to make the game a sellout at Tropicana Field. It is also smack dab in the middle of finals for the Rutgers players so distraction about taking finals are at a max. Then we go to the field. Rutgers has a very shaky freshman QB in Tom Savage and UCF has two DE's that are in the top 10 in sacks. Both are in double digits, so he will be even more tentative than usual. We also see the line basically remaining at Rutgers -2.5 remaining the entire time after a short buy in on Rutgers. This usually means strong support for the dog here or it would have been pounded by sharp money at -2.5. It wasn't so we have to support where the support is. On the dog UCF
5 Dime - Saints
Oh Brother!! Delighted we get a game of this magnitude alone on a Saturday night, but C'Mon Man! Everything we are taught from a handicapping perspective has to go out the window. Normally we would jump on a dog that was really in a must win situation but we have a undefeated team at home this late in the season that has rolled everyone in big games, including the anhialation of fellow NFC East opponent Giants in a similar situation earlier . Many of sharp bettors have been burned by the Saints this year where it seems that traditional handicapping has to go out the window. Dallas is in their traditional swoon this time of year and NO in big games have looked absolutely jaw dropping. I'm going to take NO here in this spot. We are for the rarest of time, going to go away from traditional handicapping and go with our gut that says NO in a blowout, as they continue their amazing season. They are that good!! And BTW, when was the last time that Tony Romo has won a big game like this??? Never!!
~~:<<
Steve Duemig
Saturday
25 Dime - Central Florida
Lots of things working against Rutgers here. First it is basically a home game for UCF as they have purchased enough tickets to make the game a sellout at Tropicana Field. It is also smack dab in the middle of finals for the Rutgers players so distraction about taking finals are at a max. Then we go to the field. Rutgers has a very shaky freshman QB in Tom Savage and UCF has two DE's that are in the top 10 in sacks. Both are in double digits, so he will be even more tentative than usual. We also see the line basically remaining at Rutgers -2.5 remaining the entire time after a short buy in on Rutgers. This usually means strong support for the dog here or it would have been pounded by sharp money at -2.5. It wasn't so we have to support where the support is. On the dog UCF
5 Dime - Saints
Oh Brother!! Delighted we get a game of this magnitude alone on a Saturday night, but C'Mon Man! Everything we are taught from a handicapping perspective has to go out the window. Normally we would jump on a dog that was really in a must win situation but we have a undefeated team at home this late in the season that has rolled everyone in big games, including the anhialation of fellow NFC East opponent Giants in a similar situation earlier . Many of sharp bettors have been burned by the Saints this year where it seems that traditional handicapping has to go out the window. Dallas is in their traditional swoon this time of year and NO in big games have looked absolutely jaw dropping. I'm going to take NO here in this spot. We are for the rarest of time, going to go away from traditional handicapping and go with our gut that says NO in a blowout, as they continue their amazing season. They are that good!! And BTW, when was the last time that Tony Romo has won a big game like this??? Never!!
~~:<<
I FOUND THIS ON ANOTHER FORUM...
Steve Budin
SATURDAY'S PICK
BALTIMORE CREW
50 DIME RELEASE
New Orleans
I got this play around 8:00 P.M. Eastern on Friday evening and as I put it up online, I see the price is 7 1/2 in Vegas and just about everywhere offshore except that one notorious book where they always overcharge you for playing favorites. Needless to say, if your price is 7 1/2, the wise move is to buy down the 1/2 point as the insurance often pays. But, if this price moves up to -8, or if that is the price you get even after shopping around, there is no need with that number to purchase the 1/2 point as the hook in that case is meaningless.
Steve Budin
SATURDAY'S PICK
BALTIMORE CREW
50 DIME RELEASE
New Orleans
I got this play around 8:00 P.M. Eastern on Friday evening and as I put it up online, I see the price is 7 1/2 in Vegas and just about everywhere offshore except that one notorious book where they always overcharge you for playing favorites. Needless to say, if your price is 7 1/2, the wise move is to buy down the 1/2 point as the insurance often pays. But, if this price moves up to -8, or if that is the price you get even after shopping around, there is no need with that number to purchase the 1/2 point as the hook in that case is meaningless.
For future reference:
Straight from Steve Budin:
He was asked:
Do you and DeMarco ever pick against each other?
He responded:
No. For 2 reasons. 1, if I have a play and he likes the other side, I respect his opinion enough to back off the play completely. Secondly, if I like the other side I will just not come with a play to avoid the appearance that we are 2siding a game like those crooks in the eighties.
So I guess that CONFIRMS Budin is on New Orleans, as long as DeMarco was confirmed.
Straight from Steve Budin:
He was asked:
Do you and DeMarco ever pick against each other?
He responded:
No. For 2 reasons. 1, if I have a play and he likes the other side, I respect his opinion enough to back off the play completely. Secondly, if I like the other side I will just not come with a play to avoid the appearance that we are 2siding a game like those crooks in the eighties.
So I guess that CONFIRMS Budin is on New Orleans, as long as DeMarco was confirmed.
vic monte
NEW MEXICO BOWL
1000* SYNDICATE - FRESNO STATE -10.5
I am backing Fresno State as my New Mexico Bowl 1000* Syndicate selection. While Wyoming is just "Happy to be Here" having only won 6 games this season and get crushed by the "Bowl Teams" they have played this season. Let's make a note that the Cowboys are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record. This Wyoming team may have the worse offense of any team playing in a Bowl Game this season average just 16.9 PPG this season! The Fresno State offense on the other hand has scored 34 PPG and gained 436 yards from scrimmage per game! Bulldogs head coach Pat Hill has led his squad to a postseason appearance 10 times in the last 11 seasons. As for the Cowboys they are under the direction of first-year head coach Dave Christensen. Coaching experience is a huge advantage in Bowl Games & preparation. Fresno State lost 40-35 against Colorado State in Last Years New Mexico Bowl and will look to bounce back and get the victory in the First of many Bowl Games this season. Fresno State comes into this game blazing having won 7 of their last 8 games SU while the Cowboys have won only 2 of their last 6 games SU coming into tonight's Bowl game! I expect the better coached team who is playing in top form right now to grab the chips. 1000* SYNDICATE - FRESNO STATE
NEW MEXICO BOWL
1000* SYNDICATE - FRESNO STATE -10.5
I am backing Fresno State as my New Mexico Bowl 1000* Syndicate selection. While Wyoming is just "Happy to be Here" having only won 6 games this season and get crushed by the "Bowl Teams" they have played this season. Let's make a note that the Cowboys are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record. This Wyoming team may have the worse offense of any team playing in a Bowl Game this season average just 16.9 PPG this season! The Fresno State offense on the other hand has scored 34 PPG and gained 436 yards from scrimmage per game! Bulldogs head coach Pat Hill has led his squad to a postseason appearance 10 times in the last 11 seasons. As for the Cowboys they are under the direction of first-year head coach Dave Christensen. Coaching experience is a huge advantage in Bowl Games & preparation. Fresno State lost 40-35 against Colorado State in Last Years New Mexico Bowl and will look to bounce back and get the victory in the First of many Bowl Games this season. Fresno State comes into this game blazing having won 7 of their last 8 games SU while the Cowboys have won only 2 of their last 6 games SU coming into tonight's Bowl game! I expect the better coached team who is playing in top form right now to grab the chips. 1000* SYNDICATE - FRESNO STATE
Al DeMarco
15 Dime - New Orleans Saints
I am not at all concerned that New Orleans struggled to score three-point wins at Atlanta and Washington the past two Sundays. You might recall that prior to beating up New England late last month, the Saints were in a similar spot. True, they had crushed Tampa a week earlier, but the Sunday prior they barely got by lowly St. Louis on the road 28-23, and that game was preceded by a tough 30-20 home win versus under-performing Carolina.
Unlike the Colts, who are seemingly wishy-washy when it comes to their desire to either finish 16-0 or rest their starters for an anticipated lengthy playoff run, New Orleans wants an undefeated season, not only for the long down-trodden franchise, but for the community, which has used the team as a rallying point since Hurricane Katrina. And they've got a head coach in Sean Payton and quarterback in Drew Brees that know only one way to play: all-out, all the time.
This is another opportunity for the Saints to serve notice to the public and the NFL that they are as good as advertised. A marquee foe on national TV just like when the Patriots came calling on Monday night. I was all over New Orleans in that contest and I'm backing the Saints again tonight for many of the same reasons.
Think about this: New Orleans has greater balance and is more lethal offensively than the San Diego team that just upset the Cowboys in Dallas. Brees directs an offense that averages 426 yards and 35.8 points per game. Plus, the Saints' receiver corps is better than San Diego's and their three-headed running back trio of Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush offers talent and diversity that the Chargers could only dream of with an aging LT propping up the backfield.
The Saints are on a 10-4 ATS run in the Superdome, where they've scored huge wins in their three biggest games this season, rolling over the then-undefeated Jets 24-10, crushing the then-undefeated Giants 48-27, and blowing out the supposedly invincible Patriots 38-17. On the other hand, all I can say about the Cowboys - other than the fact they've lost two in a row - is that they've failed to cover six straight road games in the month of December.
Expect a high-scoring entertaining affair with the Cowboys hanging tough for most of the first half - much like the Patriots did - before Brees pulls the Saints away with a second-half burst as New Orleans prevails 37-20.
Strategy:
This line moved up from 7 to 7 1/2 on Friday. Go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point if you have New Orleans at -7 1/2. If your price is -8, forget about buying the hook because that's not a key number to concern yourself with when it comes to buying insurance.
15 Dime - New Orleans Saints
I am not at all concerned that New Orleans struggled to score three-point wins at Atlanta and Washington the past two Sundays. You might recall that prior to beating up New England late last month, the Saints were in a similar spot. True, they had crushed Tampa a week earlier, but the Sunday prior they barely got by lowly St. Louis on the road 28-23, and that game was preceded by a tough 30-20 home win versus under-performing Carolina.
Unlike the Colts, who are seemingly wishy-washy when it comes to their desire to either finish 16-0 or rest their starters for an anticipated lengthy playoff run, New Orleans wants an undefeated season, not only for the long down-trodden franchise, but for the community, which has used the team as a rallying point since Hurricane Katrina. And they've got a head coach in Sean Payton and quarterback in Drew Brees that know only one way to play: all-out, all the time.
This is another opportunity for the Saints to serve notice to the public and the NFL that they are as good as advertised. A marquee foe on national TV just like when the Patriots came calling on Monday night. I was all over New Orleans in that contest and I'm backing the Saints again tonight for many of the same reasons.
Think about this: New Orleans has greater balance and is more lethal offensively than the San Diego team that just upset the Cowboys in Dallas. Brees directs an offense that averages 426 yards and 35.8 points per game. Plus, the Saints' receiver corps is better than San Diego's and their three-headed running back trio of Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush offers talent and diversity that the Chargers could only dream of with an aging LT propping up the backfield.
The Saints are on a 10-4 ATS run in the Superdome, where they've scored huge wins in their three biggest games this season, rolling over the then-undefeated Jets 24-10, crushing the then-undefeated Giants 48-27, and blowing out the supposedly invincible Patriots 38-17. On the other hand, all I can say about the Cowboys - other than the fact they've lost two in a row - is that they've failed to cover six straight road games in the month of December.
Expect a high-scoring entertaining affair with the Cowboys hanging tough for most of the first half - much like the Patriots did - before Brees pulls the Saints away with a second-half burst as New Orleans prevails 37-20.
Strategy:
This line moved up from 7 to 7 1/2 on Friday. Go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point if you have New Orleans at -7 1/2. If your price is -8, forget about buying the hook because that's not a key number to concern yourself with when it comes to buying insurance.
Deano
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-December 19th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: Trailblazers (+11.5) || Buy 3-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
Pick: Lakers (-13) || -------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 4♦
Pick: Hawks (-1.5) || Buy 3-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
►-=No Data=-◄
*******************************
Estimate: +54♦
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-December 19th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: Trailblazers (+11.5) || Buy 3-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
Pick: Lakers (-13) || -------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 4♦
Pick: Hawks (-1.5) || Buy 3-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 2♦
►-=No Data=-◄
*******************************
Estimate: +54♦
GT Bookie Battle 2009 (13-11) 2008 & 2007 (37-21-4)
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Over the years I have followed the Bookies Battle in GamingToday and have posted the plays on this forum. <o
></o>
<o> </o>
The angle is to fade those teams that clearly have over 70% of the casino contestants picking one side.
Over the last couple of years, it seemed to hit around 60% - 65%.The only problem: Not a lot of action.<o></o>
<o> </o>
Week #14… there was no selection<o></o>
Week #15 Picks… bet on: <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">DALLAS</st1:city></st1lace>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"><meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"><meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 11"><meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 11"><link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CEd%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml"><o:smarttagtype namespaceuri="urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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></o><o
> </o>The angle is to fade those teams that clearly have over 70% of the casino contestants picking one side.
Over the last couple of years, it seemed to hit around 60% - 65%.The only problem: Not a lot of action.<o
></o><o
> </o>Week #14… there was no selection<o
></o>Week #15 Picks… bet on: <st1
lace w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">DALLAS</st1:city></st1lace>
