Service Plays Saturday 12/19/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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NFL DUNKEL

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

Game 303-304: Dallas at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.398; New Orleans 146.077
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7); Over
 
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NFL WRITE-UP

Week 15 NFL games

Saturday, December 19

Cowboys (8-5) @ Saints (13-0)-- Skidding Dallas allowed 9.1/8.1 ypa in last two games, bad news vs explosive Saints, who gained 7.2+ ypa in six of their last seven games. Pokes lost last two home games, 17-7 at Packers, 31-24 at Giants. In their last seven games, Saint defense gave up five TDs. FG on first drive of game, so they're giving inferior foes a chance. Saints are 4-2 as a homw favorite, winning at home by 18-14-21-8-10-21 pts/ NFC South home faves are 7-3 vs spread in non-division games; NFC East road dogs are 1-3. Five of last six Dallas games stayed under total.
 
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NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 15

Saturday, December 19

8:20 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
 

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Teddy Covers
Teddy closed out the college football regular season with a perfect 3-0 weekend. He closed out bowl season last year with strong winners on Florida and Tulsa, covering the spread by 37 points in the two games combined. 2009 Bowl profits start on Saturday -- don't miss out!

Wyoming +11
 

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Doc’s Sports

#8 Take Rutgers -2 ½ over Central Florida (Saturday 8 pm ESPN)
 
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DCI

Saturday, December 19, 2009

New Mexico Bowl
at Albuquerque, NM
Fresno State 33, Wyoming 24

St. Petersburg Bowl
at St. Petersburg, FL
Rutgers 22, UCF 20
 
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Wunderdog

Picks and Analysis

Game: Wyoming vs. Fresno State (Saturday 12/19 4:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Wyoming +11 (-110)

New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM. Fresno State will be making their 10th Bowl appearance in the last 11 years, and their second straight trip to the New Mexico Bowl. They lost to Colorado State last year. It should also be noted that in the nine previous Bowls, the Bulldogs winning margin exceeded this pointspread just once, and that was a 12-point win. The Cowboys last appeared in a Bowl in 2004. They were posted as a 12.5 point underdog to UCLA and won the game outright. This will be just their second Bowl appearance since 1993. Wyoming was just 6-6 on the season, but they were 7-2 ATS in their final nine games and should be excited to be here. The public likes a team that can score and that can result in juiced lines. Fresno State certainly has shown that ability as they averaged 34.3 points per game this season. The problem for the Bulldogs is that they gave up nearly 28 ppg. They allowed 132 points in their last three! The Bulldogs won four of their last
five to get here, but did not have a winning margin greater than 10 points in the process. Big underdogs in Bowls have a long history of getting the money as they usually turn out to be the more motivated team. The Bulldogs carry just an 8-22 ATS mark in their last 30 as a favorite while Wyoming has built off an ATS win to go 27-13 ATS in their next game. Fresno is just 2-11 ATS the past two seasons when coming off a road game, and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 50+ in their last game. Under Pat Hill, this team is 39-53 ATS as a favorite including 15-25 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. I think the points are too generous here.
 
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Gina

Saturday, December 19th, 8:20 p.m. est.
Dallas Cowboys (8-5) at New Orleans Saints (13-0)

LouiSIAna Superdome - New Orleans, LouiSIAna
The Saints have struggled in the last two games, but won each battle by three points. Look for the Saints at home to remain unbeaten and cover the spread. New Orleans has won the last five meetings against the Cowboys. Go with the Saints behind a blaring home crowd at LouiSIAna Superdome

New Orleans Saints -7
 
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MATT FARGO
Matchup: Wyoming at Fresno St
Time: 4:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Fresno St (-11 -110)

Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:40:12 AM EST
**8** NEW MEXICO BOWL WINNER *85% ANGLES* 8* Fresno St. Bulldogs
 
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DAVE COKIN
Matchup: Central Florida at Rutgers
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Central Florida (+3 -110)

Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:40:12 AM EST
The game between Rutgers and Central Florida is one of those classic early bowl hookups where the better team is favored, but the weaker squad has a great chance to win the game and is the value play. Actually, the oddsmakers kind of tipped their hand on this one when they installed UCF as the favorite on the opening number, knowing full well that was going to attract Rutgers money, and that's precisely what has taken place. I totally agree with the assessment of the Bookmakers and believe Central Florida will win the game. First off it's a virtual home game for UCF and from what I can gather, there's not a whole lot of pop among the Rutgers fan base over this less than spectacular matchup. The Scarlet Knights would have gotten a more prestigious bid had they not dropped their finale to West Virginia. On the flip side, UCF will be very well supported and the team seems very excited about the challenge. Beyond that, UCF is a bowl underdog that allows fewer than 100 yards per game on the ground, and this has been a huge winning angle for many post-seasons. That means the dog fits both statistically and from a likely motivational standpoint, and those two factors put me squarely on Central Florida plus the points.
 
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Leroy's Money Talk - $80,000 winner-take-all final

Fezzik

Wyoming +11
Mid Tenn St-Southern Miss OVER 57
Steelers -2
Panthers +10
Browns-Chiefs OVER 37
Titans -3 (2nd best bet)
Redskins +3 (Best Bet)

Lance Blankenship

Central Florida +2.5
Cowboys +7
Saints-Cowboys OVER 53.5
Packers +2
49ers +8
49ers-Eagles UNDER 42 (2nd best bet)
Raiders +14 (Best Bet)

2nd Best Bet used for tie breaker
 

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LuckyDaySports.com

Saturday’s Comp Play

NFL

Take UNDER (53.5) in the Dallas at New Orleans game
 

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