Service Plays Saturday 12/12/09

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Maximus late plays
BEST BETS:
Take the WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS +14 vs. Louisville Cardinals.
Location: Freedom Hall on the Campus of Louisville. Time: 4:00pm EST
EVALUATION: The Cardinals are 5-2 SU, and have been beating up on inferior competition, but when they have faced fairly descent teams they have struggled, and have even lost 2 games to UNLV in Las Vegas, and to Charlotte at home. The Catamounts on the other hand dropped their only ball game to #2 Texas back on the 18th of November, and have since won eight in a row. They have went on the road in 3 of those 8 games and have won those three road games by an avg. of 10 pts, and we like the way the play defense, we don’t think they will win this game, but we think they will keep it closer than 15. NOTE: THIS IS OUR TOP BEST BET OF THE DAY.
PROJECTION: LOUISVILLE 71 WESTERN CAROLINA 65

TAKE the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS -5.5 vs. UCLA Bruins. Location: Pauley Pavilion.
Time: 4:30pm EST
EVALUATION: We have been on the opposite side of the Bulldogs in their last two games, their early losses effected our evaluation of the Bulldogs, and we learned a lesson. In this game the Bulldogs come into the game with the 32nd ranked road scoring avg. and that with UCLA’s 64.5 home scoring avg. which ranks 295th in Div. 1 gives us good reason to believe the Bulldogs can cover the spread here. In four of their last 5 games, the Bulldogs have kept their opponents below 55 pts a game, and we just don’t see any reason why UCLA will keep this close.
PROJECTION: MISSISSIPPI ST. 72 UCLA 57

TAKE the UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -2 vs. Kansas St. Wildcats. Location: Orleans Arena – Las Vegas, NV Time: 7:00 EST
EVALUATION: This is going to be a pretty good matchup between two teams that are putting up some pretty good numbers so far. The 8-1 SU Wildcats have been enjoying the comforts of home with 8 of their 9 contests taking place in Manhattan, KS. The Wildcats loss came to the hands of a very good Mississippi team, and now traveling to Vegas to face UNLV we think this will be a problem for the Cats. UNLV comes in undefeated, and have beat some pretty good teams such as Louisville and Arizona in the past week, and they have been putting up over 82 points a game at home. This may not be a true home game in the Thomas & Mack Arena, but a 1 mile drive is not that far. Lon Krueger’s team is very good at not turning the ball over, and we feel that this is just one of the reasons that the Runnin Rebs will take this game.
PROJECTION: UNLV 78 KANSAS ST. 71

Take SACRAMENTO ST. HORNETS +16 vs. Pacific Tigers. Location: Spanos Center on the campus of the Tigers. Time: 10:00pm EST.
EVALUATION: Even though the Hornets are 4-6, they have only been getting beat by an average of 5.8 points a game. They are putting up only 61 pts a game average, and have been playing good defense to allow opponents only 67 pts avg. We don’t expect the Hornets to shoot as bad as they did in their last game where they shot a measly 23% from the field against USC. We expect them to have a better shooting day today, and to keep this game close with the Tigers who have only been beating opponents by 3.1 points a game.
PROJECTION: PACIFIC 65 SACRAMENTO ST. 59



SOLIDS:------------------------------------PROJECTION
LOYOLA-CHICAGO -5.5 vs. San Francisco _____________Loyola 75-61
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT +20.5 vs. Notre Dame _________Notre Dame 78-69
MISSOURI ST. -3.5 vs. Arkansas St. __________________Missouri St. 75-66
OVER/UNDER:
UNDER 149 Florida Atl / UL Laffayette _________________ 125
OVER 145 New Mexico/Texas A&M ___________________155

MONEYLINE:
FLORIDA ATL +476 ____________________________Florida ATL 64-61
ALABAMA +193 _____________________________ Alabama 72-69
 

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Scott Rickenbach’s


Players NBA 8* Saturday on OVER the total in Detroit on Dec 12th
Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Detroit vs Golden State @ 7:35 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

The Pistons have been playing short-handed but you wouldn’t know that from looking at their recent results. Detroit has averaged 98.5 points per game during their four game win streak. In their nine games that preceded this winning streak (this included time when the Pistons were healthier) they only averaged 90.6 points per game. Now this resurgent offense will take advantage of a Golden State team that has allowed 111.8 points per game this season. Also, the Warriors defense isn’t likely to be at it’s best tonight after they had to go to overtime in Chicago last night – and they still lost to the Bulls. Note that the Warriors are 4-1 to the over in the second night of their last 5 back to backs. Golden State has a tendency to push the pace offensively when in a back to back – because that’s all the Warriors really do well – but their already porous defense has a tendency to suffer. Surprisingly, the Warriors have stayed under the total in three straight games (facing weaker offenses has impacted that) but note that Golden State is 14-6 to the over when they have stayed under the total in three or more consecutive games! As for the Pistons, they’ve shown a willingness this season to join the “run and gun” when they play a skilled offensive team. Against teams averaging 99 points or more per game, the Pistons have gone over the total to the tune of an 8-4 record this season. We’ll put this combined 22-10 ATS mark in favor of the over to work for us tonight. Play OVER the total in Detroit as an 8* Regular Play selection.
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