Game of the Day: Ohio State at Michigan State
Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-3.5, 56)
The biggest game of the year in the Big Ten is set to take place Saturday night when No. 6 Michigan State hosts No. 11 Ohio State, putting the winner on course for a berth in the Big Ten Championship game. The Buckeyes have won 20 consecutive regular-season conference games and the Spartans 13, but Michigan State still holds bragging rights thanks to its 34-24 win against Ohio State in last season’s Big Ten title game. The victory erased a nation-leading 24-game winning streak by the Buckeyes.
Rain and temperatures in the low 40s are forecasted for Saturday night in East Lansing and if that holds true, the team with the better ground game could have the edge. Michigan State is led by running back Jeremy Langford, who has rushed for 841 yards and 10 touchdowns and comes in with five straight 100-yard rushing efforts. Ohio State is sturdy against the run, however, allowing 118.6 rushing yards per game - 18th in the FBS.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC. LINE: Michigan State -3.5
LINE HISTORY: The line opened at MSU -3.5 and has yet to move from that point. The opening total of 58.5 has dropped to 56 as of Friday afternoon.
INJURY REPORT: Ohio State - CB Armani Reeves (Doub-Head) Michigan State - LB Mylan Hicks (Prob-Arm), DL James Kittredge (Ques, Lower body)
WEATHER REPORT: Rain is expected to fall throughout the game, but it is not suppose to amount to much. The game will also be played in cold weather as temperatures will sit around the 37°F.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Buckeyes lost at home to the Spartans last year, and they have a chance to avenge that loss this week. The Spartans are still the front-runner to win the Big-10, and a dark horse playoff contender." - Jesse Shule
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The winner is firmly in the driver's seat to win the Big Ten and qualify for the playoff. We opened this game at Michigan State -2 with some juice. Sharps moved the spread moved to -3.5 within the first hour, and that's what we're currently dealing. The public has followed as we have around 70 percent of our handle on the home team. The under has been hammered by both parties as well, dropping from 63.5 to 56. We'd love to see Ohio State win a shootout, but as I said before, I think the Sparties come out on top." - John Lester, Senior Lines Manager.
ABOUT OHIO STATE (7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS, 7-1 O/U): Ezekiel Elliott continues to be No. 1 on the depth chart at running back for the Buckeyes, but freshman Curtis Samuel has put his name in the hat as a viable No. 2 option and possibly more. He didn’t get a carry in a double-overtime win against Penn State two weeks ago but was handed the ball nine times last weekend against Illinois and came through with 63 yards and two touchdowns. J.T. Barrett continues to improve at quarterback, totaling 20 touchdown passes and three interceptions in the last six games - all victories.
ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS, 7-1 O/U): The Spartans did not play last week, which gave them a few extra days to relish their 35-11 victory against Michigan on Oct. 25. During the break, quarterback Connor Cook divulged that he planned to return for his senior year next season, eliciting a sigh of relief from Michigan State fans. That’s not such good news for Ohio State, which was torched by Cook's 304 passing yards and three touchdowns in last season’s title game.
TRENDS:
*Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
*Over is 13-3 in Buckeyes last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
*Over is 9-1 in Spartans last 10 games overall.
*Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
CONSENSUS: 60.76 percent are backing Michigan State with 53.1 percent on the over.