big play Saturday from 401k sports.com
NCAA TOP PLAY 7-3
4* TROY -11.5 over north Texas (7pm ET)
The Trojans are the best team in the sunbelt and are coming off probably their worst loss of the season as the offense was just off. That was just the first time they scored less than 30 points this year. The Trojans have the #18 passing offense in the country. QB Corey Robinson has thrown for more than 250 yards in every game except last week. Coming off such a poor performance this Troy team should be chomping at the bit to get back on the field. The mean green are 0-4 SU & ATS at home this year and only have two wins on the year versus a couple other bottom feeders in the sunbelt. The mean green will want to run the football here as their passing game is non-existent since their top two Qb's have went down. They have not thrown for more than 200 yards in any game and troy does have the #1 defense versus the run in the sunbelt. I like troy here to bounce back with a strong effort after last weeks game. Troy 38 North Texas 16!!!
3* KANSAS +9 over Colorado (2pm ET)
Both these teams have been pretty bad so it is puzzling that the buffaloes who are just 1-3 SU & ATS on the road would be laying 9 points here. The buffaloes have been hit with tons of injuries especially on the offensive line. I know the Jayhawks have been bad as well and have been blown out in their last 2 home games but they showed a little resolve last week in putting up a game effort against the cyclones on the road. I look for this one to be close as well and i will take the points as i believe 9 is a little much here. Colorado 27 Kansas 23!!
3* FLORIDA -14 over Vanderbilt (12:15pm ET)
The gators after dropping 3 straight for the first time since 1988 rebounded last week at Georgia to get a win as the gators put up the most total yards against the bulldogs this season as coach urban Meyer had his gators go with a more uptempo offense and it paid off. The gators are probably the healthiest than have been all season. As bad as the season may seem for that gator nation a win here today and next week and they will play in the SEC title game. The commodores are the worst scoring team in the conference and were killed last week by the Razorbacks. Arkansas had 555 yards of offense to Vanderbilt's 153 and the commodores have been outscored 88-3 in the second half this season. The gators offense seemed a lot better last week and with something to still play for should have no problem getting rid of Vanderbilt once again....Florida 45 Vanderbilt 17!!!
2* UTAH +5 over tcu (3:30pm ET)
1* UTAH ML +175
1* UTAH/TCU UNDER 51
This should be a very good hard fought game as the horned frogs have the #1 defense and are allowing just over 8 points a game. Do not under estimate this Utah club as they are very good defensively as well ranking #6 in the country allowing only 12 points a game. This will be the toughest test for tcu on the road here at Utah with a energetic crowd with tons of enthusiasm. I mentioned this will be the toughest defense the horned frogs have faced so it will be interesting to see how well this offense moves the ball versus a top flight defense. This should be a very good game here. Utah 24 Tcu 21.......
Let's cash!!
Zags
NCAA TOP PLAY 7-3
4* TROY -11.5 over north Texas (7pm ET)
The Trojans are the best team in the sunbelt and are coming off probably their worst loss of the season as the offense was just off. That was just the first time they scored less than 30 points this year. The Trojans have the #18 passing offense in the country. QB Corey Robinson has thrown for more than 250 yards in every game except last week. Coming off such a poor performance this Troy team should be chomping at the bit to get back on the field. The mean green are 0-4 SU & ATS at home this year and only have two wins on the year versus a couple other bottom feeders in the sunbelt. The mean green will want to run the football here as their passing game is non-existent since their top two Qb's have went down. They have not thrown for more than 200 yards in any game and troy does have the #1 defense versus the run in the sunbelt. I like troy here to bounce back with a strong effort after last weeks game. Troy 38 North Texas 16!!!
3* KANSAS +9 over Colorado (2pm ET)
Both these teams have been pretty bad so it is puzzling that the buffaloes who are just 1-3 SU & ATS on the road would be laying 9 points here. The buffaloes have been hit with tons of injuries especially on the offensive line. I know the Jayhawks have been bad as well and have been blown out in their last 2 home games but they showed a little resolve last week in putting up a game effort against the cyclones on the road. I look for this one to be close as well and i will take the points as i believe 9 is a little much here. Colorado 27 Kansas 23!!
3* FLORIDA -14 over Vanderbilt (12:15pm ET)
The gators after dropping 3 straight for the first time since 1988 rebounded last week at Georgia to get a win as the gators put up the most total yards against the bulldogs this season as coach urban Meyer had his gators go with a more uptempo offense and it paid off. The gators are probably the healthiest than have been all season. As bad as the season may seem for that gator nation a win here today and next week and they will play in the SEC title game. The commodores are the worst scoring team in the conference and were killed last week by the Razorbacks. Arkansas had 555 yards of offense to Vanderbilt's 153 and the commodores have been outscored 88-3 in the second half this season. The gators offense seemed a lot better last week and with something to still play for should have no problem getting rid of Vanderbilt once again....Florida 45 Vanderbilt 17!!!
2* UTAH +5 over tcu (3:30pm ET)
1* UTAH ML +175
1* UTAH/TCU UNDER 51
This should be a very good hard fought game as the horned frogs have the #1 defense and are allowing just over 8 points a game. Do not under estimate this Utah club as they are very good defensively as well ranking #6 in the country allowing only 12 points a game. This will be the toughest test for tcu on the road here at Utah with a energetic crowd with tons of enthusiasm. I mentioned this will be the toughest defense the horned frogs have faced so it will be interesting to see how well this offense moves the ball versus a top flight defense. This should be a very good game here. Utah 24 Tcu 21.......
Let's cash!!
Zags
Last edited:
Statsystems report 11/6
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/6
NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - CFB *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------------
One of the best-kept pointspread secrets this season has been La Tech and its recent success as a WAC host, its role again on Saturday afternoon when hosting Fresno State. We all watched Louisiana Tech lose 49-20 to Boise State last week but the Bulldogs hung tough for most of the game. Not because the Broncos weren’t up to snuff but because the Techsters were disciplined, well-coached and showing real signs of improvement.
Apparently, LT has finally grabbed hold of first-year HC Sonny Dykes’ new playbook, scoring impressive wins over Utah State and Idaho before the loss to Boise. And who knows; A win here followed by a pair of games against beatable foes in New Mexico State and San Jose State and Tech could be headed to the bowling alley!
Meanwhile the Bulldogs have been a major disappointment this year having their ATS bone snatched away in four straight tussles. No such problem for the home outfit as they’ve won three straight against the number. Not to mention Fresno State’s lined opponents have combined to go 14-28 SU in 2010, a number that’s a tad soft for our tastes!
Pat Hill’s bunch of underachievers is also facing a pair of big-time revenge games up next against conference powers Nevada and Boise State. La Tech has covered its last 7 and 9 of its last 10 as a WAC host, and is also 14-4 vs. the line its last 18 at Joe Aillet Stadium. Moreover, La Tech has covered its last 6 and is unbeaten its last 7 on the board vs. Fresno. "In this annual battle of Bulldogs, we’ll take then points with the home Bulldog here!"
___________________________________________
• CFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------
Is there any better feeling on a fall afternoon in November than watching two undefeated NCAA football teams squaring off head-to-head! Like watching a highly-anticipated battle between two unbeaten heavyweights in a tile fight, both football teams come ready to rumble. The loser in this case is likely to play a lesser non-desirable bowl at season’s end, while in the process the winner stays alive in its quest of feasting on an invitation to the BCS banquet!
So what is the best approach when it comes to handicapping a pair of unbeaten outfits: Three things can happen when you bet on a dog in any sports and two of them are good, so we automatically put ourselves on the ‘right side’ of encounters like these by simply making a case for the underdog!
Take my word for it and that’s attested to the fact that if you were to – PLAY ON the underdog in any regular season CFB game from Game Six out if both teams own a 1.000 win percentage. The underdog in these head on collisions are 40-18 ATS 68.9% since 1980, including 26-7-2 ATS if the favored opponent is off a SU and ATS win in its last game.
And if we were to bring the opponent in off a spread win of more than 10 points in its last game. These Collision Course dogs are ‘best in show’, winning the dough 16 out of 19 times! One such play kicks off this week when UTAH +5 takes to the circuit for a test ride at home against TCU.
___________________________________________
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--HC Ken Niumatalolo has not lost back-to-back games at Navy since dropping the second and third contests of his young career back in 2008. The Midshipmen are an’ Incredible' - 30-5 ATS as a road underdog versus an opponent off a SU loss, including 17-1 ATS 94.4% from Game Six out... East Carolina doesn’t inspire much confidence in today’s role, posting a horrendous 1-12 ATS badge of shame as home chalk versus a .600 or greater opponent.
__________________________________________________ ____
• CFB TRENDS TO WATCH FOR
--------------------------------------
--HAWAII: Is 18-0 ATS (14.6 ppg) since November 2000 in the first 12 games of the season, when they covered by 12+ points last game, if they allowed between 4 and 33 points.
--CLEMSON: Is 0-12 ATS (-12.5 ppg) since 1999 when facing a team they scored between 38 and 45 points against last meeting.
--WYOMING: Is 0-12 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since October 8, 2005 when facing a team they beat by no more than 24 points last meeting
--ARKANSAS: Is 11-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since 1998 in game number 9, if they aren’t more than 13 point underdogs.
--MINNESOTA: Is 0-11 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since 2004 when facing a team they beat by single digits last meeting.
--TCU: Is 10-0 ATS (17.2 ppg) since 1998 in game 10 when they have less than 13 days rest.
________________________________________________
• • • • • 45-0 ATS TRIPLE PERFECT CFB GAME OF THE WEEK! • • • • •
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Don't even think about making a play on Saturday's College Football card until you learn of the 'THREE 100% PERFECT' awesome winning angles inside Stan's College Game of the Week. Together they are an amazing 45-0 ATS since 1980. "Don't miss out, hurry an get it now!”
After Delivering as Promised on Wednesday with his 'Triple Perfect' - *5-Star NBA Game of the Week with the Dallas Mavericks. 'The Man rolled again with his 'Super Situational' Play on Thursday (Georgia Tech +13.5) that was backed by a coaching situation inside the game that was 18-1 ATS!
--Result: Frank Beamer's renowned special teams won another big game for Virginia Tech, as David Wilson's 90-yard kickoff return for a touchdown with 2:23 left in regulation lifted the 20th-ranked Hokies to a 28-21 victory over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in a pivotal ACC clash.
Like what you just read; Why not pick up a weekly or monthly subscription package and get every one of Stan's premium selections, every day, for one low price! He's currently riding a Rock~Solid 16-3-1 NFL run 84.2 percent. "Don't wait, hop on board today, call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------------------
--NAVY is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 27.6, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOISE ST is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) against teams who force 2.5 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.2, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 58-20 ATS (+36 Units) in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.7, OPPONENT 20 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 18.8, OPPONENT 39.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MICHIGAN 24.6, OPPONENT 34.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 61-24 ATS (+34.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 42.3, OPPONENT 21.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 48-16 ATS (+30.4 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.9, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 31-10 ATS (+20 Units) in November games since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 45.8, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 56-22 ATS (+31.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 45.2, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 49-18 ATS (+29.2 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 44.1, OPPONENT 17.4 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ________
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--RICE is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was RICE 27.9, OPPONENT 32.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--RICE is 20-3 OVER (+16.7 Units) after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was RICE 27.2, OPPONENT 34.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA ST is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 20.2, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--VANDERBILT is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 9.5, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--CALIFORNIA is 21-3 OVER (+17.7 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was CALIFORNIA 27.5, OPPONENT 28.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--AIR FORCE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.7, OPPONENT 17.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 35-12 UNDER (+21.8 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 24.2, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 21.3, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 25-7 OVER (+17.3 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.
The average score was TEXAS 37, OPPONENT 29.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LSU is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LSU 23.5, OPPONENT 10.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 24-6 UNDER (+17.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 24.4, OPPONENT 26.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--TROY is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TROY 35.6, OPPONENT 33.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 32.9, OPPONENT 35.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) in home games after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 44.1, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ______________
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HAWAII is 9-0 (+9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was HAWAII 21.8, OPPONENT 7.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOISE ST is 25-6 (+18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 24.8, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--HAWAII is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing on a Saturday this season.
The average score was HAWAII 22.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--OREGON is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was OREGON 25.6, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BALL ST is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.
The average score was BALL ST 10.6, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 21-6 (+14.4 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 26, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 27-8 (+18.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 27.5, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 23-6 (+16.4 Units) against the 1rst half line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.4, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 21-5 (+15.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.4, OPPONENT 7.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 25-6 (+18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good offensive teams - averaging >=425 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 25, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--FRESNO ST is 4-17 (-14.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FRESNO ST 14.7, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OLE MISS is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OLE MISS 22.8, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 42-18 (+22.2 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.6, OPPONENT 8 - (Rating = 2*)
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/6
NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - CFB *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------------
One of the best-kept pointspread secrets this season has been La Tech and its recent success as a WAC host, its role again on Saturday afternoon when hosting Fresno State. We all watched Louisiana Tech lose 49-20 to Boise State last week but the Bulldogs hung tough for most of the game. Not because the Broncos weren’t up to snuff but because the Techsters were disciplined, well-coached and showing real signs of improvement.
Apparently, LT has finally grabbed hold of first-year HC Sonny Dykes’ new playbook, scoring impressive wins over Utah State and Idaho before the loss to Boise. And who knows; A win here followed by a pair of games against beatable foes in New Mexico State and San Jose State and Tech could be headed to the bowling alley!
Meanwhile the Bulldogs have been a major disappointment this year having their ATS bone snatched away in four straight tussles. No such problem for the home outfit as they’ve won three straight against the number. Not to mention Fresno State’s lined opponents have combined to go 14-28 SU in 2010, a number that’s a tad soft for our tastes!
Pat Hill’s bunch of underachievers is also facing a pair of big-time revenge games up next against conference powers Nevada and Boise State. La Tech has covered its last 7 and 9 of its last 10 as a WAC host, and is also 14-4 vs. the line its last 18 at Joe Aillet Stadium. Moreover, La Tech has covered its last 6 and is unbeaten its last 7 on the board vs. Fresno. "In this annual battle of Bulldogs, we’ll take then points with the home Bulldog here!"
___________________________________________
• CFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------
Is there any better feeling on a fall afternoon in November than watching two undefeated NCAA football teams squaring off head-to-head! Like watching a highly-anticipated battle between two unbeaten heavyweights in a tile fight, both football teams come ready to rumble. The loser in this case is likely to play a lesser non-desirable bowl at season’s end, while in the process the winner stays alive in its quest of feasting on an invitation to the BCS banquet!
So what is the best approach when it comes to handicapping a pair of unbeaten outfits: Three things can happen when you bet on a dog in any sports and two of them are good, so we automatically put ourselves on the ‘right side’ of encounters like these by simply making a case for the underdog!
Take my word for it and that’s attested to the fact that if you were to – PLAY ON the underdog in any regular season CFB game from Game Six out if both teams own a 1.000 win percentage. The underdog in these head on collisions are 40-18 ATS 68.9% since 1980, including 26-7-2 ATS if the favored opponent is off a SU and ATS win in its last game.
And if we were to bring the opponent in off a spread win of more than 10 points in its last game. These Collision Course dogs are ‘best in show’, winning the dough 16 out of 19 times! One such play kicks off this week when UTAH +5 takes to the circuit for a test ride at home against TCU.
___________________________________________
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--HC Ken Niumatalolo has not lost back-to-back games at Navy since dropping the second and third contests of his young career back in 2008. The Midshipmen are an’ Incredible' - 30-5 ATS as a road underdog versus an opponent off a SU loss, including 17-1 ATS 94.4% from Game Six out... East Carolina doesn’t inspire much confidence in today’s role, posting a horrendous 1-12 ATS badge of shame as home chalk versus a .600 or greater opponent.
__________________________________________________ ____
• CFB TRENDS TO WATCH FOR
--------------------------------------
--HAWAII: Is 18-0 ATS (14.6 ppg) since November 2000 in the first 12 games of the season, when they covered by 12+ points last game, if they allowed between 4 and 33 points.
--CLEMSON: Is 0-12 ATS (-12.5 ppg) since 1999 when facing a team they scored between 38 and 45 points against last meeting.
--WYOMING: Is 0-12 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since October 8, 2005 when facing a team they beat by no more than 24 points last meeting
--ARKANSAS: Is 11-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since 1998 in game number 9, if they aren’t more than 13 point underdogs.
--MINNESOTA: Is 0-11 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since 2004 when facing a team they beat by single digits last meeting.
--TCU: Is 10-0 ATS (17.2 ppg) since 1998 in game 10 when they have less than 13 days rest.
________________________________________________
• • • • • 45-0 ATS TRIPLE PERFECT CFB GAME OF THE WEEK! • • • • •
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Don't even think about making a play on Saturday's College Football card until you learn of the 'THREE 100% PERFECT' awesome winning angles inside Stan's College Game of the Week. Together they are an amazing 45-0 ATS since 1980. "Don't miss out, hurry an get it now!”
After Delivering as Promised on Wednesday with his 'Triple Perfect' - *5-Star NBA Game of the Week with the Dallas Mavericks. 'The Man rolled again with his 'Super Situational' Play on Thursday (Georgia Tech +13.5) that was backed by a coaching situation inside the game that was 18-1 ATS!
--Result: Frank Beamer's renowned special teams won another big game for Virginia Tech, as David Wilson's 90-yard kickoff return for a touchdown with 2:23 left in regulation lifted the 20th-ranked Hokies to a 28-21 victory over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in a pivotal ACC clash.
Like what you just read; Why not pick up a weekly or monthly subscription package and get every one of Stan's premium selections, every day, for one low price! He's currently riding a Rock~Solid 16-3-1 NFL run 84.2 percent. "Don't wait, hop on board today, call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------------------
--NAVY is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.
The average score was NAVY 27.6, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOISE ST is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) against teams who force 2.5 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.2, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 58-20 ATS (+36 Units) in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.7, OPPONENT 20 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 18.8, OPPONENT 39.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MICHIGAN 24.6, OPPONENT 34.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 61-24 ATS (+34.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 42.3, OPPONENT 21.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 48-16 ATS (+30.4 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.9, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 31-10 ATS (+20 Units) in November games since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 45.8, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 56-22 ATS (+31.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 43.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 45.2, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 49-18 ATS (+29.2 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 44.1, OPPONENT 17.4 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ________
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--RICE is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was RICE 27.9, OPPONENT 32.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--RICE is 20-3 OVER (+16.7 Units) after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was RICE 27.2, OPPONENT 34.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA ST is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 20.2, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--VANDERBILT is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 9.5, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--CALIFORNIA is 21-3 OVER (+17.7 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was CALIFORNIA 27.5, OPPONENT 28.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--AIR FORCE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.7, OPPONENT 17.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 35-12 UNDER (+21.8 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 24.2, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 21.3, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 25-7 OVER (+17.3 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.
The average score was TEXAS 37, OPPONENT 29.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LSU is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LSU 23.5, OPPONENT 10.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARYLAND is 24-6 UNDER (+17.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 24.4, OPPONENT 26.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--TROY is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TROY 35.6, OPPONENT 33.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 32.9, OPPONENT 35.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA ST is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) in home games after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 44.1, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ______________
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HAWAII is 9-0 (+9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was HAWAII 21.8, OPPONENT 7.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOISE ST is 25-6 (+18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 24.8, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--HAWAII is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing on a Saturday this season.
The average score was HAWAII 22.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--OREGON is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was OREGON 25.6, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BALL ST is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.
The average score was BALL ST 10.6, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 21-6 (+14.4 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 26, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 27-8 (+18.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 27.5, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 23-6 (+16.4 Units) against the 1rst half line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.4, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 21-5 (+15.5 Units) against the 1rst half line after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.4, OPPONENT 7.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 25-6 (+18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good offensive teams - averaging >=425 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 25, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--FRESNO ST is 4-17 (-14.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FRESNO ST 14.7, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OLE MISS is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OLE MISS 22.8, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 42-18 (+22.2 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 25.6, OPPONENT 8 - (Rating = 2*)
OC Dooley
“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV UNDERDOG (Baylor +8’ at Oklahoma State in a 12:30 eastern kickoff broadcast nationally on Fox-Net): One of the ongoing arguments in college football is whether high-ranked teams from “non” BCS schools (Boise State, Texas Christian) deserve a shot to play in the national championship game if they run the table. Due to ESPN having the opportunity to televise their games, it has been Boise State who has received the bulk of the national “small school” attention as they had the opportunity to play Virginia Tech in an ESPN Monday primetime battle opening week. Almost completely ignored on opening week was TCU’s victory over an opponent (Baylor) who very quietly is having one of the nation’s biggest turnaround campaigns. For those who have yet to watch Baylor, they are led by quarterback Robert Griffin who at one time was a high school star in the state of Texas (Friday Night Lights) as his coach was offensive mastermind Art Briles. When Briles advanced to the collegiate level (Houston Cougars) Griffin followed him. After a run of success with the Cougars, Briles moved up to a bigger paycheck with Baylor and once again Griffin followed him. For those who watch FOX-NET early today you will see that Griffin has the speed of a world-class hurdler which is why he rushed for more than 840 yards on the ground during his freshman season of 2008. Due to a severe knee injury most of 2009 was wiped away, but Griffin obviously is back to full health in 2010 where Baylor has already become “bowl eligible” for the first time in fifteen long years when the Big-12 Conference as we know it was formed in 1995. One would have thought that after garnering enough wins for postseason consideration two weeks ago that Baylor would suffer an emotional letdown on the road last Saturday, but that was not the case as the Bears pulled off a stunning underdog OUTRIGHT upset of the Texas Longhorns. One of the reasons why Baylor’s attack has been so successful has to do with a massive offensive line which features a pair of 300-POUND giants that can literally move concrete in the pits. Baylor also has a special teams weapon in Derek Epperson who a year ago was one of the nation’s best punters averaging more than 45 yards per boot. Regarding today’s game I am fully aware that Oklahoma State has owned Baylor in this series (13-2 SU/11-3 ATS) and that the Cowboys have reinstated wide receiver star Justin Blackmon (62 receptions, 112 yards, 14 touchdown catches) after a one-game suspension. But due to the fact that Oklahoma State is involved in such high scoring games, their secondary has statistically been shaky which opens the door to an interesting database angle. Baylor just happens to be on a productive 11-3 ATS roll when facing a poor pass defense that allows the opposition on average to complete at least 58% of their attempts. In the past three years Baylor has successfully COVERED the spread at an 8-1 clip on the road when facing an opponent with a “winning” record and Oklahoma State certainly fits that bill
“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV UNDERDOG (Baylor +8’ at Oklahoma State in a 12:30 eastern kickoff broadcast nationally on Fox-Net): One of the ongoing arguments in college football is whether high-ranked teams from “non” BCS schools (Boise State, Texas Christian) deserve a shot to play in the national championship game if they run the table. Due to ESPN having the opportunity to televise their games, it has been Boise State who has received the bulk of the national “small school” attention as they had the opportunity to play Virginia Tech in an ESPN Monday primetime battle opening week. Almost completely ignored on opening week was TCU’s victory over an opponent (Baylor) who very quietly is having one of the nation’s biggest turnaround campaigns. For those who have yet to watch Baylor, they are led by quarterback Robert Griffin who at one time was a high school star in the state of Texas (Friday Night Lights) as his coach was offensive mastermind Art Briles. When Briles advanced to the collegiate level (Houston Cougars) Griffin followed him. After a run of success with the Cougars, Briles moved up to a bigger paycheck with Baylor and once again Griffin followed him. For those who watch FOX-NET early today you will see that Griffin has the speed of a world-class hurdler which is why he rushed for more than 840 yards on the ground during his freshman season of 2008. Due to a severe knee injury most of 2009 was wiped away, but Griffin obviously is back to full health in 2010 where Baylor has already become “bowl eligible” for the first time in fifteen long years when the Big-12 Conference as we know it was formed in 1995. One would have thought that after garnering enough wins for postseason consideration two weeks ago that Baylor would suffer an emotional letdown on the road last Saturday, but that was not the case as the Bears pulled off a stunning underdog OUTRIGHT upset of the Texas Longhorns. One of the reasons why Baylor’s attack has been so successful has to do with a massive offensive line which features a pair of 300-POUND giants that can literally move concrete in the pits. Baylor also has a special teams weapon in Derek Epperson who a year ago was one of the nation’s best punters averaging more than 45 yards per boot. Regarding today’s game I am fully aware that Oklahoma State has owned Baylor in this series (13-2 SU/11-3 ATS) and that the Cowboys have reinstated wide receiver star Justin Blackmon (62 receptions, 112 yards, 14 touchdown catches) after a one-game suspension. But due to the fact that Oklahoma State is involved in such high scoring games, their secondary has statistically been shaky which opens the door to an interesting database angle. Baylor just happens to be on a productive 11-3 ATS roll when facing a poor pass defense that allows the opposition on average to complete at least 58% of their attempts. In the past three years Baylor has successfully COVERED the spread at an 8-1 clip on the road when facing an opponent with a “winning” record and Oklahoma State certainly fits that bill
From a very good friend of ours:
Bob Valentino
Saturday's 75 Dime Double-Digit Blowout of the Year
75 DIME
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
DOUBLE-DIGIT BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR:
FLORIDA GATORS
We're playing Florida as a road favorite against Vanderbilt. As I publish this seleetion, the odds have Florida as a consensus 14-point favorite across the board. However, one Vegas outlet has Florida laying 14 1/2, and I do expect this line to rise
Bob Valentino
Saturday's 75 Dime Double-Digit Blowout of the Year
75 DIME
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
DOUBLE-DIGIT BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR:
FLORIDA GATORS
We're playing Florida as a road favorite against Vanderbilt. As I publish this seleetion, the odds have Florida as a consensus 14-point favorite across the board. However, one Vegas outlet has Florida laying 14 1/2, and I do expect this line to rise
IF WE DONT MAKE YOU MONEY THIS WEEK! I WILL SEND YOU THE CASH MYSELF TO PAY YOUR BOOK!!!!!
SO FAR THIS WEEK WE ARE
12-11 54% -400 UNITS
Peter "Boss" Hammermill
12 est Syracuse Under 44 500 Units
3 est Navy +3 500 Units
Vig "Hitman" Ferrera
12 est Michigan -3 500 Units
3 est Alabama -6 500 Units
2 est Kent St +3 500 Units
7 est Troy -11 500 Units
Silvio "Ace" Scarol
1 est Arkon +14 500 Units
8 est Stanford Over 56 500 Units
Vincent "Money" Zegarski
3 est FSU -10 500 Units
7 est Ul-Monroe +10 500 Units
We 2 Have A Lock Pick
3 est Hawii +21 1,000 Units
8 est Texas -3 1,000 Units
SO FAR THIS WEEK WE ARE
12-11 54% -400 UNITS
Peter "Boss" Hammermill
12 est Syracuse Under 44 500 Units
3 est Navy +3 500 Units
Vig "Hitman" Ferrera
12 est Michigan -3 500 Units
3 est Alabama -6 500 Units
Rocco "Handicapper" Reale'
12 est Clemson -3 500 Units2 est Kent St +3 500 Units
7 est Troy -11 500 Units
Silvio "Ace" Scarol
1 est Arkon +14 500 Units
8 est Stanford Over 56 500 Units
Vincent "Money" Zegarski
3 est FSU -10 500 Units
7 est Ul-Monroe +10 500 Units
We 2 Have A Lock Pick
3 est Hawii +21 1,000 Units
8 est Texas -3 1,000 Units
