Freddy Wills has just added this pick on IOWA +7.5 5.5% POD / IOWA +255 1%.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on NC STATE +189 3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on KANSAS STATE -3 +105 3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on TULANE +17 3.3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on Arkansas +4 4.4% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on LSU +7.5 2.2% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on NC STATE +189 3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on KANSAS STATE -3 +105 3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on TULANE +17 3.3% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on Arkansas +4 4.4% PLAY.
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Freddy Wills has just added this pick on LSU +7.5 2.2% PLAY.
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TODAY'S TOP PLAYS FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED
SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
[SIZE=-1][FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Updated 11/4/16[/SIZE][/FONT]FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
COLLEGE FB
TEMPLE -10 over UConn -home 4:00 PM PDT (Game #319)
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5COLLEGE FBTOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units WYOMING -4 1/2 -home over Utah State 7:15 PM PDT time change (Game #380)
KANSAS STATE -3 -home over Oklahoma State 12:30 PM PDT time change (Game #352)
TULSA -9 1/2 -home over East Carolina 5:00 PM PDT time change (Game #354)
UMASS +21 1/2 over Troy -home 12:30 PM PDT (Game #375)
SOUTH CAROLINA -6 1/2 -home over Missouri 1:00 PM PDT (Game #382)
CALIFORNIA +17 -home over Washington 7:30 PM PDT time change (Game #392)
STANFORD -14 1/2 -home over Oregon State 12:30 PM PDT time change (Game #408)
NORTHWESTERN +7 -home over Wisconsin 9:00 AM PDT time change (Game #414)
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INTPICKS
[h=3]COLLEGE FOOTBALL[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#323[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]11:30 AM ET[/h][h=3]Navy @ Notre Dame[/h][h=3]Take Navy +7.5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#375[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]3:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Massachusetts @ Troy[/h][h=3]Play Over 56[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#388[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]5:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]FIU @ W Kentucky[/h][h=3]Take W Kentucky -32[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to -34.5)[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#340[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]7:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Kansas @ W Virginia[/h][h=3]Take W Virginia -34[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to -37)[/h][h=3][/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#412[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Alabama @ LSU[/h][h=3]Take LSU +7.5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#354[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]ECU @ Tulsa[/h][h=3]Take Tulsa -10[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#417[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]10:15 PM ET[/h][h=3]Nevada @ UNM[/h][h=3]Play Over 59[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to 62)[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#380[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]10:15 PM ET[/h][h=3]Utah St @ Wyoming[/h][h=3]Take Wyoming -4[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]NBA[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#702[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]6:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Minnesota @ OKC[/h][h=3]Take OKC -5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#712[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]7:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Houston @ Atlanta[/h][h=3]Take Atlanta -3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]Free Pick[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]College Football[/h][h=3]#382[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Missouri @ S Carolina[/h][h=3]Play Under 56.5[/h]
[h=3]COLLEGE FOOTBALL[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#323[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]11:30 AM ET[/h][h=3]Navy @ Notre Dame[/h][h=3]Take Navy +7.5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#375[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]3:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Massachusetts @ Troy[/h][h=3]Play Over 56[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#388[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]5:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]FIU @ W Kentucky[/h][h=3]Take W Kentucky -32[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to -34.5)[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#340[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]7:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Kansas @ W Virginia[/h][h=3]Take W Virginia -34[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to -37)[/h][h=3][/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#412[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Alabama @ LSU[/h][h=3]Take LSU +7.5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#354[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]ECU @ Tulsa[/h][h=3]Take Tulsa -10[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#417[/h][h=3]3 Stars[/h][h=3]10:15 PM ET[/h][h=3]Nevada @ UNM[/h][h=3]Play Over 59[/h][h=5](3 Stars up to 62)[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#380[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]10:15 PM ET[/h][h=3]Utah St @ Wyoming[/h][h=3]Take Wyoming -4[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]NBA[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#702[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]6:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Minnesota @ OKC[/h][h=3]Take OKC -5[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]#712[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]7:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Houston @ Atlanta[/h][h=3]Take Atlanta -3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]Free Pick[/h][h=3] [/h][h=3]College Football[/h][h=3]#382[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Missouri @ S Carolina[/h][h=3]Play Under 56.5[/h]
Steve Merril
NCAA Football
(3% play) MISSOURI +6/+6.5 (at South Carolina) - 4:00 pm ET (SECN) #381
Missouri is just 2-6 SU on the season, but the Tigers are better than their record indicates. Missouri is averaging 33.1 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 30.4 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Tigers will face a South Carolina defense that has good seasonal numbers, but the Gamecocks have played a weak slate of opposing offenses that only average 27.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Missouri’s offense will be a step-up in class for South Carolina, and that’s not a good thing since the Gamecocks have given up 21 points or more in four consecutive games.
South Carolina is 4-4 SU on the season after winning their last two games. The Gamecocks barely survived a terrible UMass team 34-28 two weeks ago as a 20-point favorite before beating Tennessee 24-21 as 14.5-point home underdogs last week. Off those back-to-back close games, South Carolina is in a major flat spot, especially since they are laying points in this game. South Carolina’s offense has played below average football this season. The Gamecocks are only averaging 17.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play versus defenses that give up 27.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. South Carolina shouldn’t be laying this many points, so we’ll take Missouri in this game on Saturday afternoon.
Play MISSOURI (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) IOWA +6.5 (at Penn State) - 7:30 pm ET (BTN) #405
Iowa comes into this game with a 5-3 SU record with their last game being a 17-9 home loss to Wisconsin. All three of the Hawkeyes’ losses this season have come by 8 points or less with their average loss coming by just 5.7 points per game. Iowa comes into this game off a bye week, so they’ve had extra time to prepare. And since they are also off a home loss, we expect a peak performance in this game. The Hawkeyes are averaging 28.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that give up just 26.5 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Iowa’s running game averages 246 yards per game on 5.6 yards per rush on the road. They will face a Penn State defense that allows 183 rushing yards per game on 4.5 yards per rush. Iowa’s ability to run the ball will have a major impact on the outcome of this game.
Penn State is 6-2 SU on the season, and they come off their two best games of the year. The Nittany Lions beat Ohio State 24-21 as a 19-point home underdog two weeks ago, and last week they beat Purdue 62-24 on the road. Off those back-to-back big performances, we expect Penn State to regress sharply in this game. The Nittany Lions’ offense is averaging 31.6 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season, but they’ve put those numbers up against a poor slate of opposing defenses. Penn State will now face an Iowa defense that only gives up 16.3 points per game on 5.2 yards per play on the road this season. This game will be close throughout, so we’ll take the points with Iowa on Saturday night.
Play IOWA (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) LSU +7.5 (vs. Alabama) - 8:00 pm ET (CBS) #412
Alabama is the best team in the country as the Crimson Tide come into this game with a perfect 8-0 SU record on the season. Alabama also comes into this game off a bye, but not sure that’s a good thing after winning their last two games by a combined score of 82-24. The Crimson Tide offense has faced a collection of poor defensive teams that are giving up 27.5 points per game on 5.6 yards per play as a group this season. Alabama is taking a huge step-up in defensive class against LSU in this game. In fact, the Crimson Tide will face a Tigers’ defense that is only allowing 14.2 points per game on 4.4 yards per play at home. That’s -13.3 points per game and -1.2 yards per play less than the opponents Alabama has faced this season.
LSU has been on a tear since firing head coach Les Miles. Interim head coach Ed Orgeron is 3-0 SU/ATS with those three wins coming by a combined score of 125-38. Like Alabama, LSU will come into this game off a bye. But it’s a much stronger angle for LSU since they are home underdogs while playing with legitimate revenge. LSU is averaging 36.4 points per game on a whopping 7.5 yards per play at home this season. Alabama does have a stout defense, but they have been much weaker on the road, giving up 14.6 points per game and 1.0 yards per play more away than at home this season. When the season began two months ago, LSU was a 1-point favorite in this game. Now they are getting more than a full touchdown which provides solid line value. This game will come right down to the wire, so we’ll take the points with LSU on Saturday night.
Play LSU (+) as a 3% play.
NCAA Football
(3% play) MISSOURI +6/+6.5 (at South Carolina) - 4:00 pm ET (SECN) #381
Missouri is just 2-6 SU on the season, but the Tigers are better than their record indicates. Missouri is averaging 33.1 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 30.4 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Tigers will face a South Carolina defense that has good seasonal numbers, but the Gamecocks have played a weak slate of opposing offenses that only average 27.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Missouri’s offense will be a step-up in class for South Carolina, and that’s not a good thing since the Gamecocks have given up 21 points or more in four consecutive games.
South Carolina is 4-4 SU on the season after winning their last two games. The Gamecocks barely survived a terrible UMass team 34-28 two weeks ago as a 20-point favorite before beating Tennessee 24-21 as 14.5-point home underdogs last week. Off those back-to-back close games, South Carolina is in a major flat spot, especially since they are laying points in this game. South Carolina’s offense has played below average football this season. The Gamecocks are only averaging 17.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play versus defenses that give up 27.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. South Carolina shouldn’t be laying this many points, so we’ll take Missouri in this game on Saturday afternoon.
Play MISSOURI (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) IOWA +6.5 (at Penn State) - 7:30 pm ET (BTN) #405
Iowa comes into this game with a 5-3 SU record with their last game being a 17-9 home loss to Wisconsin. All three of the Hawkeyes’ losses this season have come by 8 points or less with their average loss coming by just 5.7 points per game. Iowa comes into this game off a bye week, so they’ve had extra time to prepare. And since they are also off a home loss, we expect a peak performance in this game. The Hawkeyes are averaging 28.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that give up just 26.5 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Iowa’s running game averages 246 yards per game on 5.6 yards per rush on the road. They will face a Penn State defense that allows 183 rushing yards per game on 4.5 yards per rush. Iowa’s ability to run the ball will have a major impact on the outcome of this game.
Penn State is 6-2 SU on the season, and they come off their two best games of the year. The Nittany Lions beat Ohio State 24-21 as a 19-point home underdog two weeks ago, and last week they beat Purdue 62-24 on the road. Off those back-to-back big performances, we expect Penn State to regress sharply in this game. The Nittany Lions’ offense is averaging 31.6 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season, but they’ve put those numbers up against a poor slate of opposing defenses. Penn State will now face an Iowa defense that only gives up 16.3 points per game on 5.2 yards per play on the road this season. This game will be close throughout, so we’ll take the points with Iowa on Saturday night.
Play IOWA (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) LSU +7.5 (vs. Alabama) - 8:00 pm ET (CBS) #412
Alabama is the best team in the country as the Crimson Tide come into this game with a perfect 8-0 SU record on the season. Alabama also comes into this game off a bye, but not sure that’s a good thing after winning their last two games by a combined score of 82-24. The Crimson Tide offense has faced a collection of poor defensive teams that are giving up 27.5 points per game on 5.6 yards per play as a group this season. Alabama is taking a huge step-up in defensive class against LSU in this game. In fact, the Crimson Tide will face a Tigers’ defense that is only allowing 14.2 points per game on 4.4 yards per play at home. That’s -13.3 points per game and -1.2 yards per play less than the opponents Alabama has faced this season.
LSU has been on a tear since firing head coach Les Miles. Interim head coach Ed Orgeron is 3-0 SU/ATS with those three wins coming by a combined score of 125-38. Like Alabama, LSU will come into this game off a bye. But it’s a much stronger angle for LSU since they are home underdogs while playing with legitimate revenge. LSU is averaging 36.4 points per game on a whopping 7.5 yards per play at home this season. Alabama does have a stout defense, but they have been much weaker on the road, giving up 14.6 points per game and 1.0 yards per play more away than at home this season. When the season began two months ago, LSU was a 1-point favorite in this game. Now they are getting more than a full touchdown which provides solid line value. This game will come right down to the wire, so we’ll take the points with LSU on Saturday night.
Play LSU (+) as a 3% play.
StatFox Super Situations
NHL*|*CAROLINA*at*NASHVILLE
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (NASHVILLE) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a terrible team (<=30%) playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season
65-18*since 1997.**(*78.3%*|*39.5 units*)
NHL*|*CAROLINA*at*NASHVILLE
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (NASHVILLE) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
75-52*since 1997.**(*59.1%*|*47.5 units*)
2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.2 units*)
NHL*|*MINNESOTA*at*COLORADO
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (MINNESOTA) after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more
108-84*since 1997.**(*56.3%*|*61.7 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.1 units*)
NHL*|*CAROLINA*at*NASHVILLE
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (NASHVILLE) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a terrible team (<=30%) playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season
65-18*since 1997.**(*78.3%*|*39.5 units*)
NHL*|*CAROLINA*at*NASHVILLE
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (NASHVILLE) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
75-52*since 1997.**(*59.1%*|*47.5 units*)
2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.2 units*)
NHL*|*MINNESOTA*at*COLORADO
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (MINNESOTA) after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more
108-84*since 1997.**(*56.3%*|*61.7 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.1 units*)
