Larry Ness' 10* 29-Club Play (signature release / 1st of CFB 2012)
My 10* 29-Club Play is on Texas Tech at 2:30 ET.
Baylor and Texas Tech square off at Cowboys Stadium on Saturday. These schools represent two of the nation’s best offenses, with Baylor ranking No. 2 in yards (565.6 YPG) and fifth in scoring (43.6 PPG). Texas Tech is not quite as prolific but the Red Raiders average 37.1 PPG on 495.5 YPG. The difference between the two offenses a is that Baylor has much more of a run/pass balance while QB Seth Doege (70.0% / 325.0 YPG / 35 TDs and 11 INTs), makes the Red Raiders the No. 1 passing team in CFB (362.2 YPG). As most must be aware, Baylor is coming off its stunning 52-24 upset of Kansas St last Saturday (Wildcats ranked No. 1 in the BCS standings at the time). No one could have predicted an effort like that from the Bears. Baylor began the season 3-0 but quickly fell from the national ranks by losing FOUR in a row (Bears defense allowed 70, 49, 56 and 35 points)and FIVE of its next six games. However, Baylor’s season was given “new life” with last week’s win. QB Nick Florence is not RG3 but he’s quite good. He’s completing 61.6% for an average of 342.9 YPG (27 TDs / 13 INTs) plus has over 400 yards rushing with 7 TDs. I talked earlier about Baylor’s offensive balance and its’ real, with a running game that averages 210.9 YPC on 5.0 YPC with 27 TDs (four players have more than 400 rushing yards). However, Baylor’s defense is a ‘nightmare,’ allowing the second-most yards of any FBS team (504.0 YPG) as well as 37.9 PPG. Baylor’s pathetic D is the major reason the 5-5 Bears still need one more win to become bowl eligible (if Bears don’t win here, they’ll get another chance Dec 1 at home vs Okla St). Texas Tech was 6-1 after a thrilling 56-53 three-OT win at TCU and had risen to No. 15 in the AP poll. However, it was from that point on, that the Red Raiders defense which had played so well early on, began to collapse. However, entering this game, Texas Tech owns a HUGE defensive edge over Baylor, allowing 339.4 YPG, about 165 YPG less than Baylor. Going up against Nick Florence, it should give Tech backers (that’s me!), confidence knowing the Red Raiders rank 11th nationally against the pass. I just don’t understand how Baylor can be the small favorite here (on a neutral field) with its AWFUL defense, not to mention them coming off last Saturday's MONUMENTAL upset of Kansas St? Let’s NOT forget that Texas Tech was a top-25 team as recently as Nov 11 and that Tech had won had won all 15 previous games against the Bears as Big 12 members before RG3 led the Bears to a 66-49 win last Nov 26 in Waco. Tech REMEMBERS and catches a ‘flat’ Baylor team and runs away with it.
My 10* 29-Club Play is on Texas Tech at 2:30 ET.
Baylor and Texas Tech square off at Cowboys Stadium on Saturday. These schools represent two of the nation’s best offenses, with Baylor ranking No. 2 in yards (565.6 YPG) and fifth in scoring (43.6 PPG). Texas Tech is not quite as prolific but the Red Raiders average 37.1 PPG on 495.5 YPG. The difference between the two offenses a is that Baylor has much more of a run/pass balance while QB Seth Doege (70.0% / 325.0 YPG / 35 TDs and 11 INTs), makes the Red Raiders the No. 1 passing team in CFB (362.2 YPG). As most must be aware, Baylor is coming off its stunning 52-24 upset of Kansas St last Saturday (Wildcats ranked No. 1 in the BCS standings at the time). No one could have predicted an effort like that from the Bears. Baylor began the season 3-0 but quickly fell from the national ranks by losing FOUR in a row (Bears defense allowed 70, 49, 56 and 35 points)and FIVE of its next six games. However, Baylor’s season was given “new life” with last week’s win. QB Nick Florence is not RG3 but he’s quite good. He’s completing 61.6% for an average of 342.9 YPG (27 TDs / 13 INTs) plus has over 400 yards rushing with 7 TDs. I talked earlier about Baylor’s offensive balance and its’ real, with a running game that averages 210.9 YPC on 5.0 YPC with 27 TDs (four players have more than 400 rushing yards). However, Baylor’s defense is a ‘nightmare,’ allowing the second-most yards of any FBS team (504.0 YPG) as well as 37.9 PPG. Baylor’s pathetic D is the major reason the 5-5 Bears still need one more win to become bowl eligible (if Bears don’t win here, they’ll get another chance Dec 1 at home vs Okla St). Texas Tech was 6-1 after a thrilling 56-53 three-OT win at TCU and had risen to No. 15 in the AP poll. However, it was from that point on, that the Red Raiders defense which had played so well early on, began to collapse. However, entering this game, Texas Tech owns a HUGE defensive edge over Baylor, allowing 339.4 YPG, about 165 YPG less than Baylor. Going up against Nick Florence, it should give Tech backers (that’s me!), confidence knowing the Red Raiders rank 11th nationally against the pass. I just don’t understand how Baylor can be the small favorite here (on a neutral field) with its AWFUL defense, not to mention them coming off last Saturday's MONUMENTAL upset of Kansas St? Let’s NOT forget that Texas Tech was a top-25 team as recently as Nov 11 and that Tech had won had won all 15 previous games against the Bears as Big 12 members before RG3 led the Bears to a 66-49 win last Nov 26 in Waco. Tech REMEMBERS and catches a ‘flat’ Baylor team and runs away with it.