Accuscore
College Football Picks: 13-5 past 5 weeks…3 New Picks
Analyst was 2-1 last week and has been incredibly accurate the last month and a half.
Duke +6.5 vs. Miami
The Blue Devils win this game outright in 46 percent of simulations, and cover 61 percent of the time. Miami will likely have a motivation issue after the school decided to self-impose another bowl game on Monday. This is after the Canes got a big win last week, and thought a win in this game would get them to the ACC title game. Now all of that has been taken away and this game is essentially meaningless. Duke on the other hand is playing for bowl positioning, and a .500 conference record, not insignificant things for the Blue Devils. On the field, Miami is very poor defensively against the pass on the road allowing a 160 QB rating and 276 yards on average. Conversely, Duke has averaged a 151 QB rating at home while throwing 18 touchdowns compared to just 3 interceptions.
Mississippi State +1 at Ole Miss
The Bulldogs win outright 56 percent of the time in simulations, and by 10 or more points a third of the time. They win by a field goal on average. This season we’ve learned that Mississippi State is a good team that can’t compete against elite teams. They lost three straight to Alabama, Texas A&M, and LSU, all top 10 teams. In their other eight games they have won by an average score of 37.8 to 14.4. Ole Miss has played good teams close, but has lost all of those games. Rebel quarterback Bo Wallace has put up yardage including over 300 against LSU last week, but he has 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Mississippi State is the best in the SEC with a +16 turnover margin. Advantage: Bulldogs.
Troy +3 at Middle Tennessee State
This week’s computer pick is Troy at MTSU. The Trojans are getting a field goal, but are winning outright 52 percent of the time in simulations, and covering 57 percent of the time. This is a nice value pick, and Troy is actually 3-2 on the road this season. The computer has gone a combined 15-3 picking games ATS involving either of these two teams.
College Football Picks: 13-5 past 5 weeks…3 New Picks
Analyst was 2-1 last week and has been incredibly accurate the last month and a half.
Duke +6.5 vs. Miami
The Blue Devils win this game outright in 46 percent of simulations, and cover 61 percent of the time. Miami will likely have a motivation issue after the school decided to self-impose another bowl game on Monday. This is after the Canes got a big win last week, and thought a win in this game would get them to the ACC title game. Now all of that has been taken away and this game is essentially meaningless. Duke on the other hand is playing for bowl positioning, and a .500 conference record, not insignificant things for the Blue Devils. On the field, Miami is very poor defensively against the pass on the road allowing a 160 QB rating and 276 yards on average. Conversely, Duke has averaged a 151 QB rating at home while throwing 18 touchdowns compared to just 3 interceptions.
Mississippi State +1 at Ole Miss
The Bulldogs win outright 56 percent of the time in simulations, and by 10 or more points a third of the time. They win by a field goal on average. This season we’ve learned that Mississippi State is a good team that can’t compete against elite teams. They lost three straight to Alabama, Texas A&M, and LSU, all top 10 teams. In their other eight games they have won by an average score of 37.8 to 14.4. Ole Miss has played good teams close, but has lost all of those games. Rebel quarterback Bo Wallace has put up yardage including over 300 against LSU last week, but he has 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Mississippi State is the best in the SEC with a +16 turnover margin. Advantage: Bulldogs.
Troy +3 at Middle Tennessee State
This week’s computer pick is Troy at MTSU. The Trojans are getting a field goal, but are winning outright 52 percent of the time in simulations, and covering 57 percent of the time. This is a nice value pick, and Troy is actually 3-2 on the road this season. The computer has gone a combined 15-3 picking games ATS involving either of these two teams.
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[h=2]Scott Spreitzer's CFB CONF KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE YEAR! *18-7 Run! - Saturday CFB![/h]I'm taking the points with La Tech on Saturday night. I was involved with both of these teams last weekend, playing on SJSU and against La Tech. The win over BYU was one of the biggest all time for the Spartan football program. While they got us the win, I wasn't impressed with the team in the second half as they played not to lose. After facing a suspect BYU offense, the bar goes way up when the Bulldogs roll into town. La Tech averages 581.3 yards per game, which tops the FBS standings. They're equally dangerous passing the football (5th) and running the football (12th), giving major headaches to defensive coordinators. If that's not enough, they have turned those yards into 52.3 ppg, which is also the best mark in college football. SJSU owns the much better defensive stats, but their offense, as we saw last weekend, leaves plenty to be desired on the ground. SJSU is all about the pass. They're 110th on the ground which means La Tech can give extra protection against the pass and not have to worry about "cheating-up" an extra defender. The Bulldogs are a perfect 5-0 on the road this season where they average over 48 ppg. They're on a 16-5 ATS run on the road, including a 10-1 ATS mark away from home against teams with a winning home record. Meanwhile, the Spartans are just 1-5 ATS at home against teams with a winning road record. La Tech lost to a very good USU team last week and I believe they're catching the Spartans at the right time. I'm taking the points with La Tech. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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[h=2]Scott Spreitzer's CFB CONF KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE YEAR! *18-7 Run! - Saturday CFB![/h]I'm taking the points with La Tech on Saturday night. I was involved with both of these teams last weekend, playing on SJSU and against La Tech. The win over BYU was one of the biggest all time for the Spartan football program. While they got us the win, I wasn't impressed with the team in the second half as they played not to lose. After facing a suspect BYU offense, the bar goes way up when the Bulldogs roll into town. La Tech averages 581.3 yards per game, which tops the FBS standings. They're equally dangerous passing the football (5th) and running the football (12th), giving major headaches to defensive coordinators. If that's not enough, they have turned those yards into 52.3 ppg, which is also the best mark in college football. SJSU owns the much better defensive stats, but their offense, as we saw last weekend, leaves plenty to be desired on the ground. SJSU is all about the pass. They're 110th on the ground which means La Tech can give extra protection against the pass and not have to worry about "cheating-up" an extra defender. The Bulldogs are a perfect 5-0 on the road this season where they average over 48 ppg. They're on a 16-5 ATS run on the road, including a 10-1 ATS mark away from home against teams with a winning home record. Meanwhile, the Spartans are just 1-5 ATS at home against teams with a winning road record. La Tech lost to a very good USU team last week and I believe they're catching the Spartans at the right time. I'm taking the points with La Tech. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
11-4 RUN "NBA SIDES" (73%)
08 NOV 1-0
09 NOV 1-0
10 NOV 1-0
11 NOV 1-0
12 NOV 1-0
13 NOV 0-1
14 NOV 1-0
15 NOV 0-1
16 NOV 1-0
17 NOV 1-0
18 NOV 1-0
19 NOV 1-0
20 NOV 0-1
21 NOV 1-0
23 NOV 0-1
24 NOV
Utah Jazz -2.5
LOL sooooo true... ***BEWARE*** this guys "StepOuts" are Ca-Ca.....
OCAL SPORTS
2012 NCAA College Football YTD 51-32 (61%)
11/23/12
(4) NO Illinois @ E Michigan Over 61.5
(4) Bowling Green -9.5
(4) LSU -12
11/17/12
(4) Kent State @ Bowling Green Over 47
(4) Kansas +5
(4) Houston @ Marshall Under 75
(5) Stanford @ Oregon Over 65
11/16/12
(4) Hawaii @ Air Force Under 61
11/12/12
(5) Ohio +7 -120
11/10/12
(4) Umass @ Akron Under 59
(4) North Western +10
(4) Louisville -2
(4) Tulsa -3 -125
(4) Vandy +3
(4) Georgia -14 -120
(4) Fresno State @ Nevada Over 69
