Service Plays Saturday 11/20/10

[thekeyman]

LPW Sports Forecast


Nov.20th

10 Unit Game of Week
Virginia +7.5 over Boston College
Simply cannot lay points with this anemic BC offense and also note they are 5-16 ats last 21 vs teams with losing records. We also like QB edge Cavs have with Verica and feel Cavs may be catching BC in a performance valley with BC off 3 straight wins and talking Bowl game! Take points and look for a tight game.

10 Unit Underdog Game of Week
NC.State +2.5 over N.Carolina
Tarheels off 2 tough games with Va,Tech and FSU and we simply feel we are getting better team in NC.St and getting points.NC.St 20-8-2 ats in last 30 and keep it going here

8 Units Idaho/Utah.State Over 58.5

8 Units WKU +4.5 over Middle Tenn State

6 Units USC/Oregon.State Over 58.5

5 Units San Diego State +2.5 over Utah

 

[mowerfixer1]

Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
40 Dime play on Michigan as the home dog over Wisconsin. Wolverines are currentoly getting between 4 to 4 1/2 points dependeng on where you shop. Go ahead and buy the 1/2 point insurance at + 4, if necessary.

Tremendous reverse line movement here, as the Badgers opened up as high as - 6, only to see the number plummet to its current price, despite as much as 90% of the action being on Wisconsin. Classic spot where the public is what I like to call "knee-jerking" based on last week's ridiculous 83-20 win by the Badgers over Indiana. Your average gambler believes that if the Badgers can put up 83 points on Indiana's terrible defense, then they will easily put up big numbers on Michigan, covering in the process. WRONG!

This game sets up perfectly because the Wolverines weren't exactly great last week, with Denard Robinson getting held to just 68 rushing yards, including 4 turnovers. I actually think that's a good thing, because a motivated Robinson can carry this offense all by himself. Not to mention, the Badgers run defense isn't exactly stout, allowing 141 yards rushing/game away this season. While the public is fading the Wolverines, I'm expecting the exact opposite - a huge bounce back effort today at home.

Listen guys, my last 40 Dime release was also fading Wisconsin, because I knew the Badgers were being overhyped and overvalued in a road game that presents a lot of problems. Same goes here, but they're acutally coming in even MORE overhyped off the 83 points last week. Most people were going to bet them in this spot anyway... So why are oddsmakers trying to "entice" you to bet Wisconsin with this line? You only need to lay a little more than a field goal to ride a Badgers team that's rolling (5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS), and against a defensively inept Wolverines team... Seems like a "lock" right? WRONG! If I've taught you anything over my win streak, it's that if something looks to good to be true it probably is. Take Michigan plus the points (remember to buy the 1/2 point as instructed above) over Wisconsin Saturday.

 

[thekeyman]

Wunderdog 11/20. 11 College plays!!

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Game: Air Force at U N L V (Thursday 11/18 10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick U N L V +19.5 (-110)

Game: N. Illinois at Ball State (Saturday 11/20 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Ball State +15 (-110)


Game: Wisconsin at Michigan (Saturday 11/20 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Wisconsin -4 (-110)

Game: Kent State at Western Michigan (Saturday 11/20 2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Western Michigan -3 (-105)

Game: Ohio State at Iowa (Saturday 11/20 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Ohio State -3 (-110)

Game: Mississippi at L S U (Saturday 11/20 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: L S U -16 (-110)

Game: Central Florida at Tulane (Saturday 11/20 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tulane +18.5 (-110)

Game: Connecticut at Syracuse (Saturday 11/20 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Syracuse -3.5 (-110)

Game: Arkansas at Mississippi State (Saturday 11/20 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arkansas -3 (-110)

Game: Houston at Southern Mississippi (Saturday 11/20 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Southern Mississippi -3.5 (-110)

Game: U S C at Oregon State (Saturday 11/20 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: U S C -3 (-110)

Game: Florida State at Maryland (Saturday 11/20 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida State -3.5 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STREET ROSENTHAL

200* Michigan +4
300* Colorado +3
200* Mississippi +17
200* Illinois -8​

 

[PDBLING]

Mario Calabrese mustwinsports

100 unit - Northwestern
30 unit - Marshall

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCKETMAN

5* Rice Owls +8.5
5* UL Lafayette +10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA

4* Illinois
Mich St
Tenn
OVER A&M

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS-CFB

10* TEXAS LONGHORNS (-23 or better)

Game: Florida Atlantic vs. Texas Game Time: 11/20/2010 3:30:00 PM Prediction: Texas Reason: I'm playing on TEXAS. As you know, its been a very disappointing season for the Longhorns. A "blowout" win over Florida Atlantic won't change that fact. That said, it would make this team feel a lot better about itself. It would also keep the Longhorns' "bowl" hopes alive and give them some much needed momentum for next week's final vs. Texas A&M. The Longhorns have serious talent edges in this game and I expect them to come together and demonstrate that this afternoon. While there's no denying Texas has the talent and athletic advantage, some may fear that the Longhorns have quit on the season. I don't expect that to be an issue though. Coach Mack Brown concurs. He was quoted as saying: "We've asked the kids to make sure they've committed for 12 days on Saturday. ... We want the kids to keep fighting. We said you cannot have the season you want, but you can't ever quit. If you quit, what an awful message to you in the rest of your life -- I don't see them doing that." While the Longhorns are 14-0 SU against teams currently in the Sun Belt, the Owls are 0-5 SU/ATS their last five against teams from the Big 12. The Owls have been terrible in non-conference road games for years. The last time that they played a non-conference opponent with any type of talent on 10/2, when they visited South Florida. That resulted in a 31-3 blowout loss. Including that result, they're just 7-12 SU/ATS on the road, the past few seasons. Given the fact that they need a win to keep their bowl hopes alive, there will be no looking past the Owls. Texas senior James Kirkendoll said this of the team's current state of mind: "I think at this point we have a sense of urgency. It doesn't matter who we play. We have to win the next two games if we want to go to a bowl game." These teams met here in 2008. Before the game Florida Atlantic coach Howard Schnellenberger suggested that Texas was "soft" and vulnerable against "smash-mouth football." The Longhorns went on to punish the Owls with a commanding 232-37 edge on the ground, which led to a 31-13 advantage in first downs. The final score was 52-10 in favor of the Longhorns. They've got a lot of frustration to take out and I look for a similarly lopsided result here. *10

10* SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS (+28 or better)

Game: San Jose St. vs. Hawaii Game Time: 11/20/2010 10:30:00 PM Prediction: San Jose St. Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE STATE. I successfully played against the Warriors in their last game, a blowout loss at Boise State. They're back home now and they've had an extra week to "lick their wounds" and to prepare for San Jose State. As a result, most will expect them to bounce back with a blowout victory. After all, they'd been pretty impressive before those loss to the Broncos. While they may indeed bounce back with a solid win, in my opinion, asking them to win by greater than four touchdowns is asking too much. The Warriors, 1-2 SU/ATS the last three times they were coming off a bye, had a big winning streak snapped in the loss at Boise. That was a huge game for them - this one is not. I believe that it will have been hard for them to put Boise out of their heads these past two weeks and that fully focusing on San Jose State will have been difficult. Keep in mind that the Warriors have already accepted an invitation to the Hawaii Bowl. The Spartans haven't been winning. However, they have been competitive - at least recently. Last week, they lost by four points vs. Utah State. The previous week, in their last road game, they lost by two at New Mexico State. Before that they lost by 15 vs. Fresno State and before that they lost by 22 at Nevada. Other than the Nevada game, which was still a cover, their only "blowout loss" in conference play was vs. Boise State. As already mentioned, Hawaii was also blown out by the Broncos. These Spartans are a "battle-tested bunch" and their ugly overall record is due in part to the fact that they played a killer non-conference schedule. They began the season at Alabama. The next week, they were at Wisconsin. Two weeks later, they were at Utah. Overall, the Spartans have been outgained pretty significantly - again, that's partly due to the schedule. However, over their last three games they've only been outgained by a 437 to 406 margin, in terms of total yards. Led by senior quarterback Jordan La Secla, the Spartans have thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games with seven touchdown passes. The Spartans finished only 2-10 last season but still played Hawaii very tough, as they have for a few seasons in a row now. The Warriors won last season's meeting by a 17-10 score, in overtime. The previous season, at Hawaii, San Jose State scored an outright win. Before that, in 2007, the Spartans hung within seven, losing 42-35. I look for this one to be closer than most are expecting once again and am grabbing the generous points. *10

9* NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (-3 or better)

Game: NC State vs. North Carolina Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: North Carolina Reason: I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA. The Wolfpack come in with the better record. However, I believe that the Tar Heels are favored for good reason. In fact, while I respect Russell Wilson and the Wolfpack, I feel that the Tar Heels could easily be laying more points. Keep in mind that the Tar Heels were -6 point favorites at NC State last season and -13 point favorites here the previous season. While the Wolfpack are 3-5 SU off a conference victory the past few seasons, (0-3 this season) the Tar Heels are 7-3 when coming off a conference loss. Note that the Wolfpack have lost back to back road games. This is the 100th meeting in this fierce instate rivalry and it goes without saying that both teams badly want to win. I expect the Tar Heels to be just a little "hungrier" though. Not only have the Wolfpack beaten them three straight times, but this is the Tar Heels final home game. This team had dealt with a lot of adversity and has many seniors. They want to go out on top and what better way than by beating the hated Wolfpack in the 100th all-time meeting of the series and their final game in front of their home fans. I look for them to get it done, covering the small number along the way. *9
INDIANA (+10 or better)

Game: Penn State vs. Indiana Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Indiana Reason: I'm playing on INDIANA. As you know, the Hoosiers were absolutely destroyed last week. That type of loss is embarrassing and players generally follow it up by working hard in practice and giving their best effort the next game. I expect that to be the case here. The Nittany Lions also come off a loss - theirs may be tougher to bounce back from though. They were up on Ohio State but fell apart and ended up getting blown out. Note that Penn State is 2-3 ATS its last five when coming off a conference loss. Note that prior to last week's loss, the Hoosiers had seen their previous two games (vs. Iowa and Northwestern) decided by three and five points. The Hoosiers covered against the Nittany Lions each of the past two seasons, including a 11 point loss at Penn State (as 24 pt dogs) last season. I expect them to bounce back with a highly motivated effort and for that to lead to at least another cover here. *9

9* MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (+3 or better)

Game: Wisconsin vs. Michigan Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Michigan Reason: I'm playing on MICHIGAN. You probably heard about Wisconsin's 83-20 victory over Indiana last week. Admittedly, that's pretty impressive. However, a home game against Indiana and a road game at Michigan are two entirely different matters. Of course, the Badgers are well aware of this fact as they're an absolutely awful 1-17 their last 18 here in Ann Arbor, including 0-5 the last five. Now, in part because of last week's lopsided score, the Badgers are being asked to win by more than a field goal. I believe that's asking too much and feel that we're getting excellent value with the talented home underdog. Note that the Badgers were favored by -4.5 points here in 2008. Michigan erased a 19-0 halftime deficit and won 27-25. Including that result, the Badgers are 0-2 SU/ATS the last two times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. The Wolverines haven't been covering - which has helped us even further, in terms of line value. However, they are off back to back wins. They average better than 520 yards per game while scoring 37.7 points. In a game that could come down to the wire, I'll grab the points. However, I expect the Wolverines to continue their homefield dominance in the series and look for them to score the outright upset. *9

 

[drf1225]

Northcoast

Inside Info Rice

College 900 POD Boston College

paid and confirmed

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Statsystems cfb report 11/20

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/20
NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - CFB *****

***** SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 20TH NCAA CFB INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• QUICK HITS
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--Favorites covered all six UConn-Syracuse games, with home team 5-1 in those six games, and UConn winning four of six, including last three by an average score of 42-17. Huskies won last two games by combined five points, thanks to +6 turnover ratio in those games- they're 0-4 on road, with three losses by 13+ points. Dog is 5-0-1 in last six Syracuse games.

--Underdogs were 8-0 vs spread in Wisconsin games this year, before last week's 83-20 Badger win- they're now 1-6 as favorite this season. Home side won last six Wisconsin-Michigan games; dogs are 6-2 vs spread in last eight. Badgers lost five in a row in Ann Arbor by an average score of 23-14- they won last five games overall. Michigan is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games- they're 1-1 as an underdog this year.

--Ohio State won eight of last nine games vs Iowa, with none of last four here decided by less than 21 points; Buckeyes covered seven of last nine in series. Three of last four Iowa games were decided by 5 or less points; Hawkeyes are 0-1 as a dog this year. Ohio State won last three games by combined score of 139-24; they're 8-2 as a favorite this season. Last three Iowa games stayed under the total.

--Arkansas won 10 of last 11 games vs Mississippi State, losing 31-28 in last visit here; underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in Hogs' last seven visits to Starkville. Arkansas covered last four games, winning by average score of 47-20- they're 4-1 as a favorite this year. State won six of last seven, but they're just 1-3 as a underdog this year. Last five Arkansas games went over the total. SEC single digit home underdogs are 5-3 vs spread.

--Northwestern QB Persa tore his Achilles at end of Iowa game; Wildcats are in trouble at QB in neutral field game at Wrigley Field, vs Illinois club they've beaten six of last seven years. Illinois lost as 20-point favorite to Minnesota last week, after losing 67-65 in OT at Michigan week before that. Four of last five Illinois games went over total. Wildcats are 2-3 in their last five games.

--Underdog is 10-2 vs spread in last 12 NC State-North Carolina games; Wolfpack won last three games vs Tar Heels; they're 3-2 in last five trips to Chapel Hill (dog 4-1 vs spread). Wolfpack lost last two road games, in OT at East Carolina, by point at Clemson; they're 4-1 vs spread as a dog this year. UNC is 4-1 as a favorite. ACC home faves of 8 or less points are 5-7 vs spread.

--Stanford lost six of last seven Big Games to Cal, with underdogs covering three of last four; they've lost last four visits to Berkeley by 21-9-35-23 points, but Cardinal is the better team this year, winning last five games. Stanford is 5-3 as favorite this year, 3-1 on road- they've got road wins by 35-23-41-4 points. Cal lost 15-13 at home to Oregon, their first loss at home. Bears are 2-2 as an underdog this season.

--Underdog is 7-2 vs spread in last nine Virginia Tech-Miami games; Tech won two of last three visits here, and is 8-0 since losing to I-AA team in early September. Hokies are 3-0 on road (BC-NC State-UNC), with all three wins by 11+ points. Hurricanes won four of their last five games, running ball for average of 225 yards/game. ACC home underdogs of 7 or less points are just 3-10 vs spread this season.

--Pitt is 1-3 on road, losing by 3-6-2 points (only win 45-14 at Syracuse). Panthers are 3-1 as favorite this year. Pitt won last two games vs USF, 41-14/26-21- they've won two of three visits here. South Florida won its last three games, reversing trend of late-season collapses that they had in previous coaching regime. After scoring 9-6 points in consecutive losses, Bulls scored 28.7 ppg in its three-game win streak.

--Oklahoma won last 13 games vs Baylor, covering five of last six visits to Waco (only non-cover was 35-0 win at -36). Sooners lost last two road games, giving up 36-33 points at Missouri/Texas A&M. Baylor gave up 41-42 points in losing last two games since beating Texas; Bears are 1-4 as an underdog this season. Four of last five Sooner games stayed under the total. Big 12 home underdogs of 8 or less points are 6-9 vs spread.

--Texas A&M won/covered last four games, scoring 41.3 ppg; QB change has paid big dividends. Nebraska won last four games; they're 4-0 away from Lincoln, winning by 35-35-1-10 points. Huskers are 5-4 as a fave this season. Nebraska-A&M haven't played last two years; Cornhuskers are 4-1 in last five series games. Three of last four A&M games went over the total.

--Home side won seven of last eight USC-Oregon State games, as Trojans lost last two visits here, 27-21/33-31. Underdog covered four of last five series games. Four of last six USC games were decided by three points or less. Oregon State had horrific home loss to Washington State last week, their third loss in last four games. Underdogs are 8-1 vs spread in OSU games this year, with Beavers 3-0 against the spread as an underdog.

--Utah won/covered last four games vs San Diego State, winning by 40-9 average score, but Utes lost last two weeks, getting outscored 75-10 after their 8-0 start. Aztecs won four of last five games, losing 40-35 at TCU last week; they're 3-0 as an underdog this year. San Diego State is 3-0 at home, scoring 30.7 ppg. MWC single digit home dogs are 5-2 against the spread. Under is 6-2 in last eight San Diego State games.
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• • • • • 12-0 ATS CFB SUPER SYSTEM PLAY - SATURDAY! • • • • •
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Don't make a move on Saturday's College Football card until you learn of a Super System play that has gone 12-0 ATS in today's qualifying role since 1980. Best of all the play is supported by an amazing winning angle inside the game that has never lost the money. "Be sure to get it now, and win again with 'The Man Tonight!"

Once again as promised, Stan 'The Man continued his RED~HOT run on the hardwood cashing with another *4-Star Super Situational Play on Friday's NBA card (Chicago/Dallas Under 98 1rst half) that has won the money Twenty-Six of the last Thirty-Two times in that role. Extending Stan's winning streak on the hardwood to 13-3, (81.2%) with his last sixteen top rated selections!

--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after 5 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG). 26-6 since 1996. (81.2%, +19.4 units).

--Result: Derrick Rose overcame a bloody nose and scored 22 points to help Chicago to an 88-83 win over the Dallas Mavericks. Dallas rallied and had the game tied a few times, but Kyle Korver finally nailed the big shot with 1:59 left for the difference. The Mavs were within three inside seven seconds, but Korver sealed the win at the foul line. Chicago led 19-13 after one quarter and 39-35 at the half.

Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS - View the top ATS team trends for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
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--UCF is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 29.5, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 5*)

--NOTRE DAME is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 29.4, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--CALIFORNIA is 10-0 ATS (+10 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CALIFORNIA 39.2, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--SAN JOSE ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 14.4, OPPONENT 29 - (Rating = 4*)

--ARKANSAS ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS ST 17.2, OPPONENT 29.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--RICE is 10-0 ATS (+10 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.
The average score was RICE 35.2, OPPONENT 28.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--RICE is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.
The average score was RICE 34.9, OPPONENT 24.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--SOUTHERN MISS is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SOUTHERN MISS 33.8, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--UCF is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 25.7, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 4*)

--MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 36.3, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 4*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS - View the top Over/Under team trends for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
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--RICE is 23-3 OVER (+19.7 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was RICE 28.6, OPPONENT 35.4 - (Rating = 5*)

--TROY is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TROY 36.1, OPPONENT 35.8 - (Rating = 5*)

--N ILLINOIS is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was N ILLINOIS 22.7, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--OKLAHOMA ST is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 29, OPPONENT 23.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--VIRGINIA is 35-12 UNDER (+21.8 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA 18.6, OPPONENT 25 - (Rating = 4*)

--RICE is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was RICE 28.2, OPPONENT 30.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--N ILLINOIS is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after a win by 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was N ILLINOIS 22.1, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--CALIFORNIA is 16-3 OVER (+12.7 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was CALIFORNIA 25.3, OPPONENT 27 - (Rating = 3*)

--IOWA ST is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 20.4, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--MARYLAND is 24-6 UNDER (+17.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was MARYLAND 24.3, OPPONENT 26.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--RICE is 25-6 OVER (+18.4 Units) off a road loss since 1992.
The average score was RICE 26.7, OPPONENT 30.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--RICE is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after allowing 50 points or more last game since 1992.
The average score was RICE 30, OPPONENT 35.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--RICE is 21-5 OVER (+15.5 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was RICE 31.1, OPPONENT 33.2 - (Rating = 3*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS CFB REPORT 11/20 cont.

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS - View the top team trends against the first half line for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
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--ARKANSAS ST is 11-40 against the 1rst half line (-32.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.
The average score was ARKANSAS ST 9.1, OPPONENT 15.3 - (Rating = 5*)

--SAN DIEGO ST is 23-5 against the 1rst half line (+17.4 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 10.7, OPPONENT 10.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--MIAMI is 2-15 against the 1rst half line (-14.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 10.7, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--BYU is 2-15 against the 1rst half line (-14.4 Units) versus terrible rushing defenses - allowing >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was BYU 18.6, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--COLORADO ST is 2-14 against the 1rst half line (-13.4 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game since 1992.
The average score was COLORADO ST 14.8, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--MIAMI is 2-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.3 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 11.0, OPPONENT 14.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--S FLORIDA is 2-13 against the 1rst half line (-12.3 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.7, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--OREGON ST is 14-2 against the 1rst half line (+11.8 Units) in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.
The average score was OREGON ST 18.7, OPPONENT 9.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--UCF is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.
The average score was UCF 18.5, OPPONENT 12.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--RUTGERS is 9-0 against the 1rst half line (+9.0 Units) in road games after a loss by 6 or less points since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 17.1, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--STANFORD is 9-0 against the 1rst half line (+9.0 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 21.2, OPPONENT 7.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--PITTSBURGH is 0-8 against the 1rst half line (-8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 8.4, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--TEXAS is 0-8 (-8.8 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
The average score was TEXAS 7.7, OPPONENT 16.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--OHIO ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 19.0, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--OHIO ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 19.0, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--UCF is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UCF 12.6, OPPONENT 7.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--LOUISVILLE is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 17.7, OPPONENT 10.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--HAWAII is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was HAWAII 19.6, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--ILLINOIS is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was ILLINOIS 17.0, OPPONENT 10.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--NAVY is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was NAVY 10.1, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--TENNESSEE is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more straight overs this season.
The average score was TENNESSEE 17.7, OPPONENT 9.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--LOUISVILLE is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 18.1, OPPONENT 10.7 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ___________

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS - View the top over/under team trends against the first half total for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
__________________________________________________ ________________

--TROY is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TROY 21.8, OPPONENT 18.6 - (Rating = 5*)

--E MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 10.6, OPPONENT 25.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--E MICHIGAN is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 10.4, OPPONENT 25.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--DUKE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DUKE 6.9, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--DUKE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DUKE 7.7, OPPONENT 9.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--IOWA is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 8, OPPONENT 12.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--LSU is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LSU 13.3, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEVADA is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEVADA 22.8, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--RICE is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after trailing their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992.
The average score was RICE 17.7, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 4*)

--TROY is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TROY 22.5, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________________ _____

Stan "The Man continued his ROCK~SOLID roll on the gridiron nailing his CFB Super System play (Air Force/UNLV Over 28 1rst half) Thursday, that was supported by an Awesome 15-0 ATS Winning Angle inside the game.

--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 28 (UNLV) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off a home win. 30-6 since 1992 (83.3%, +23.4 units).

--Result: UNLV scored 17 unanswered points to give the Rebels a 17-7 advantage by the middle of the second quarter. Tim Cornett got things going with a two-yard touchdown run, and after a 32-yard field goal by Nolan Kohorst, Clayton threw a 36-yard scoring pass to Phillip Payne. With less than two minutes left in the first half, the Falcons cut their deficit to 17-14 on a one-yard touchdown plunge by Jefferson.
________________________________

• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS - View the top ATS coaching trends for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
__________________________________________________ __

--Tom O'Brien is 14-0 ATS (+14 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NC STATE.
The average score was O'Brien 31.3, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 7*)

--Kirk Ferentz is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 33.5, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 5*)

--Rich Rodriguez is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 25.7, OPPONENT 34.7 - (Rating = 5*)

--Rich Rodriguez is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after playing a conference game as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 26.7, OPPONENT 32 - (Rating = 5*)

--Rich Rodriguez is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 26.2, OPPONENT 32.6 - (Rating = 5*)

--Rich Rodriguez is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in the second half of the season as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 24.9, OPPONENT 35.5 - (Rating = 5*)

--Howard Schnellenberger is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) against Big 12 conference opponents in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Schnellenberger 10.2, OPPONENT 37.1 - (Rating = 5*)

--Rick Stockstill is 26-6 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MIDDLE TENN ST.
The average score was Stockstill 30.9, OPPONENT 22.2 - (Rating = 5*)

--Kirk Ferentz is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 30.2, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--Jim Tressel is 25-6 ATS (+18.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Tressel 31.8, OPPONENT 13.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--Frank Beamer is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH.
The average score was Beamer 28, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--Ron Zook is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of ILLINOIS.
The average score was Zook 17.8, OPPONENT 25 - (Rating = 4*)

--Larry Fedora is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in November games as the coach of SOUTHERN MISS.
The average score was Fedora 33.8, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--Pat Hill is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a home loss as the coach of FRESNO ST.
The average score was Hill 25.6, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--Kirk Ferentz is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 31.3, OPPONENT 27.5 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ______

• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER - View the top Over/Under coaching trends for upcoming games, sorted by rating. This includes all situational and match-up trends for upcoming games.
__________________________________________________ _______________

--David Bailiff is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half as the coach of RICE.
The average score was Bailiff 29.9, OPPONENT 44.6 - (Rating = 5*)

--Jerry Kill is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was Kill 22.7, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--Mike Gundy is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.
The average score was Gundy 30.6, OPPONENT 22.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--Bret Bielema is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival as the coach of WISCONSIN.
The average score was Bielema 35.1, OPPONENT 23.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--David Bailiff is 16-3 OVER (+12.7 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game as the coach of RICE.
The average score was Bailiff 32, OPPONENT 40.9 - (Rating = 4*)

--David Bailiff is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game as the coach of RICE.
The average score was Bailiff 29.3, OPPONENT 43.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--David Bailiff is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse as the coach of RICE.
The average score was Bailiff 32.9, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--Jerry Kill is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after a win by 28 or more points as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was Kill 22.1, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--Jerry Kill is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was Kill 22.1, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--Paul Rhoads is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after playing their last game on the road as the coach of IOWA ST.
The average score was Rhoads 20.4, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--Mike Gundy is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.
The average score was Gundy 29.4, OPPONENT 25.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--Ralph Friedgen is 18-5 UNDER (+12.5 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 26.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--Ralph Friedgen is 21-6 UNDER (+14.4 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 24.4, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--Ralph Friedgen is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 25, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--Ralph Friedgen is 33-13 UNDER (+18.7 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 23, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 3*)

 

[thekeyman]

ATS LOCK
8 - Boston Colllege - 7
8 - florida State -3 1/2
7 - Tulsa -17 1/2
7 - Miami Florida +2
2 - RR Parlay
6 - Northern Illinois -14 1/2

Hoops
6 - UNLV -3
4 - So Ala -2 1/2
3 - San Diego St. -13

ATS FINANCIAL
4 - San Diego St. +2 1/2
4 - N C -2 1/2
4 - USC -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS CFB REPORT 11/20 cont.

• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CFB - Display the Highest Rated Active NCAA College Football Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
_______________________________________

5* SOUTHERN MISS -4 - (90.3%)
5* OKLAHOMA ST -23 - (88.5%)
4* UTEP +17 - (88.5%)
4* TENNESSEE -8.5 - (87.9%)
4* PENN ST -10 - (87.1%)
4* N ILLINOIS -14.5 - (86.7%)
4* DUKE +11.5 - (85.3%)
4* BYU -27 - (84.8%)
4* SYRACUSE -4 - (83.3%)

--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG) after 7 or more games, in conference games.
(28-3 since 1992.) (90.3%, +24.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (30-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 39.7, Opponent 21.6 (Average point differential = +18.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (65.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-2).

--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.
(23-3 since 1992.) (88.5%, +19.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-0)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 25.2
The average score in these games was: Team 43.9, Opponent 9.8 (Average point differential = +34.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (52% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).

--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (TULSA) - off an upset win as an underdog, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(23-3 since 1992.) (88.5%, +19.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-18)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.3
The average score in these games was: Team 24.2, Opponent 29.9 (Average point differential = -5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (65.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).

--PLAY AGAINST - A home team (VANDERBILT) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points.
(29-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (87.9%, +24.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-5 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 15.5
The average score in these games was: Team 44, Opponent 19.1 (Average point differential = +24.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (51.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (40-13).

--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game.
(27-4 since 1992.) (87.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 31.7, Opponent 15.2 (Average point differential = +16.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (67.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).

--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (BALL ST) - after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored.
(26-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (30-0 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 22
The average score in these games was: Team 46.1, Opponent 11.8 (Average point differential = +34.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (66.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (49-32).

--PLAY AGAINST - A home team (GEORGIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games.
(29-5 since 1992.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (8-25)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 16.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.9, Opponent 32 (Average point differential = -10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (41.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).

--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (BYU) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (>=6.2 YPP), in conference games.
(28-5 since 1992.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (32-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 24.7
The average score in these games was: Team 43.9, Opponent 11 (Average point differential = +32.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (58.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-4).

--PLAY ON - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals.
(30-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-3 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.8
The average score in these games was: Team 34.9, Opponent 19.6 (Average point differential = +15.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (50% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (52-29).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (73-50).
____________________________________________

Stan "The Man Continues to 'Sizzle' on the Hardwood! Stan dished out yet another *5-Star winning ticket Tuesday with his NBA Game of the day (Chicago/Houston Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - Chicago saw its lead grow during the final minute of the half when Ronnie Brewer had a layup and Gibson hit a long jumper. Derrick Rose assisted on both shots and the visitors took a 49-41 lead into the intermission.
___________________________

• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CFB - Display the Highest Rated Active NCAA College Football Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
_______________________________________________

5* DUKE/GEORGIA TECH UNDER 60.5 - (90.3%)
4* KENT ST/W MICHIGAN OVER 50.5 - (83.9%)
4* SAN JOSE ST/HAWAII UNDER 59.5 - (82.4%)
4* ARKANSAS ST/NAVY OVER 63 - (82.4%)
4* MEMPHIS/UAB UNDER 57.5 - (82.4%)
4* HOUSTON/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 65.5 - (81.0%)
3* NEW MEXICO/BYU UNDER 53 - (79.5%)

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (DUKE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home loss.
(28-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (90.3%, +24.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The average total posted in these games was: 59.6
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 26.6 (Total points scored = 51.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (58.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-0).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-6).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KENT ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 5 PPG diff.) after 7 or more games, after allowing 37 points or more last game.
(26-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 53
The average score in these games was: Team 32.2, Opponent 30.1 (Total points scored = 62.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (60% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (32-8).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (SAN JOSE ST) - after 7 or more consecutive straight up losses, when playing on a Saturday.
(28-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 59.4
The average score in these games was: Team 19.7, Opponent 32 (Total points scored = 51.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARKANSAS ST) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 50 YPG of their opponents) after 7+ games, in non-conference games.
(28-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 67.6
The average score in these games was: Team 40.3, Opponent 40.3 (Total points scored = 80.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (70.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-8).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (MEMPHIS) - after 7 or more consecutive straight up losses, when playing on a Saturday.
(28-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 59.4
The average score in these games was: Team 19.7, Opponent 32 (Total points scored = 51.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good rushing teams (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games.
(34-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 65.9
The average score in these games was: Team 40.2, Opponent 40.2 (Total points scored = 80.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (76.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (34-8).

--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (BYU) - average rushing team (140 to 190 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (100-140 RY/game), after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 50.8
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 22.9 (Total points scored = 42.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (63.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (49-19).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (58-26).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS CFB REPORT 11/20 cont.

• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CFB - Display the Highest Rated Active NCAA College Football First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
________________________________________________

5* BALL ST +8.5 - (86.2%)
4* COLORADO +1.5 - (82.9%)
4* S FLORIDA +1.5 - (82.2%)
4* MIDDLE TENN ST -2.5 - (77.4%)
3* PURDUE +11 - (76.9%)
3* SAN DIEGO ST +1.5 - (76.5%)
3* WISCONSIN -2 - (76.4%)
3* SOUTHERN MISS -2 - (76.4%)

--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (N ILLINOIS) - excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), in conference games.
(25-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.2%, +20.6 units. Rating = 5*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 15.9 (Average first half point differential = -3.6)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (34-9).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (KANSAS ST) - off a road loss against a conference rival, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.
(29-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 11 (Average first half point differential = +5.2)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (35-15).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PITTSBURGH) - off a road loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season.
(37-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.2%, +28.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.3, Opponent 10.5 (Average first half point differential = +5.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (49-23).

--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (W KENTUCKY) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 consecutive games where they committed 2 or more turnovers.
(41-12 since 1992.) (77.4%, +27.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 17.4, Opponent 8.9 (Average first half point differential = +8.5)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (24-6).

--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (MICHIGAN ST) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games.
(40-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.9%, +26.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.4, Opponent 18.1 (Average first half point differential = -7.6)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (50-33).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UTAH) - off a road loss, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.
(39-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.7, Opponent 11.1 (Average first half point differential = +4.6)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (49-24).

--PLAY ON - Any team (WISCONSIN) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games.
(42-13 since 1992.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 11.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 27.9, Opponent 9 (Average first half point differential = +18.9)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).

--PLAY ON - Any team (SOUTHERN MISS) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games.
(42-13 since 1992.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 11.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 27.9, Opponent 9 (Average first half point differential = +18.9)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
____________________________________________

• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CFB - Display the Highest Rated Active NCAA College Football First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
__________________________________________________ __________

5* MEMPHIS/UAB OVER 28 - (90.9%)
5* NEW MEXICO/BYU OVER 26 - (85.7%)
4* N ILLINOIS/BALL ST OVER 26.5 - (82.9%)
4* VIRGINIA/BOSTON COLLEGE OVER 22.5 - (82.9%)
4* UTAH/SAN DIEGO ST UNDER 27.5 - (81.1%)
4* TENNESSEE/VANDERBILT OVER 24.5 - (78.2%)
4* CLEMSON/WAKE FOREST OVER 24.5 - (77.5%)
4* DUKE/GEORGIA TECH OVER 30.5 - (76.1%)
4* NEW MEXICO ST/NEVADA OVER 30.5 - (76.1%)
4* UCF/TULANE OVER 28 - (76.1%)

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 27.5 to 30.5 (MEMPHIS) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game.
(30-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (90.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 29.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.4, Opponent 24.5 (Total first half points scored = 38.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-2).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-3).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (BYU) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 300 or more rushing yards last game.
(24-4 since 1992.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 5*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 22.2, Opponent 10 (Total first half points scored = 32.3)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-4).

--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 25 and 28 (BALL ST) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off a home win.
(29-6 since 1992.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 26.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.6, Opponent 16.1 (Total first half points scored = 34.7)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).

--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in weeks 10 through 13.
(29-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.5, Opponent 13.9 (Total first half points scored = 30.5)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (50-25).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 25 to 28 (UTAH) - solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a loss by 21 or more points.
(30-7 since 1992.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 26.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.6, Opponent 8.9 (Total first half points scored = 21.5)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (VANDERBILT) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.1, Opponent 18.3 (Total first half points scored = 28.4)

The situation's record this season is: (9-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (48-18).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (49-23).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (CLEMSON) - after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 9 points or less last game.
(55-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.5%, +37.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.9, Opponent 14.8 (Total first half points scored = 27.7)

The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (65-29).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (73-35).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (GEORGIA TECH) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(51-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +33.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 28.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.5, Opponent 10.8 (Total first half points scored = 34.3)

The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (59-37).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (62-43).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (NEVADA) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(51-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +33.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 28.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.5, Opponent 10.8 (Total first half points scored = 34.3)

The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (59-37).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (62-43).

--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (UCF) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(51-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +33.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 28.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.5, Opponent 10.8 (Total first half points scored = 34.3)

The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (59-37).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (62-43).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BETTORSWORLD

3* Wisconsin -4
3* Iowa +3
3* Texas A&M +3 buy half
3* Oregon State +3
3* Miami Fla +2

 

[thekeyman]

Northcoast

Inside Info Rice

College 900 POD Boston College

paid and confirmed

Northcoast Totals

3.5 Navy Over
3 LSU Under
3 Tulane Under
3 BC Under
3 Calif Under

 

[eagles007]

No copyright infringement. Thank you, wilheim

 

[thekeyman]

Northcoast Totals

3.5 Navy Over
3 LSU Under
3 Tulane Under
3 BC Under
3 Calif Under

Northcoast Small College

2 Ark St
2 N Texas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ICE PICKS


Florida Panthers at New York Islanders (-104, 5.5)

The sky is blue, birds fly and the Islanders suck. These are all facts. However, the Panthers are nearly as dreadful on the road, hence a team with an absurd, 11-game losing streak being listed at the exact same money line.

But that number figures to be about right. This game looks to be a pop-gun fight. New York has scored just 39 goals this year, the second-fewest in the league. The Islanders have amassed a meager 16 goals during its stunning futility streak, an average of just 1.45 per night.

The team from Long Island has seen the under hit in four of its past six and is 9-9 against the total this year.

And don’t expect that number to improve against the stingy Panthers. The team has given up just 44 goals this season, and is allowing an average of 2.6 per game, the 10th-lowest total in the league.

However, Florida also is far from an offensive juggernaut, averaging a mere 2.7 goals per night, putting the team among the bottom half of offenses in the league. Overall, the under has hit in five of the past six games for the Panther, and 11 of the team’s 17 for the year.

Pick: Under

Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres

Like the team from upstate New York needed things to get harder.

The squad played Western Conference rising power Los Angeles on Friday night and now will face the streaking Lightning just 24 hours later. Buffalo has conceded an astounding 64 goals this year and is just abysmal at home, posting a 2-6-1 record on the team’s own ice.

Overall, the team is 6-13 in its past 19 games thanks to the mediocre play of goalie Ryan Miller (2.67 GAA, .905 SP) and the horrid efforts of Patrick Lalime (3.31 GAA, .888 SP).

And Tampa Bay can’t wait to take advantage of this dreadful play in net.

The Lightning average 3.2 goals per game, the sixth-best mark in the league, and are led by one of the most dynamic scorers in the game in Steven Stamkos. The center has 35 points, six-more than any other player, and 19 goals, five more than anyone else.

He should add to those totals against the Sabres.

Pick: Lightning

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK N ROLL

Cleveland Cavaliers at San Antonio Spurs

Forgive these teams if neither seems sharp on Saturday evening.

The Spurs played at Utah and the Cavaliers visited the surging Hornets on Friday night, meaning both teams will be on the business end of a 24-hour
turnaround.

But that shouldn’t phase the Spurs. Little else could. Tony Parker and his relationship drama? All the Spurs did was rally for a convincing win over the Bulls. Richard Jefferson returning from one of the worst seasons in his career? Playing out of his mind. And Tim Duncan losing a step on the defensive end? Try reinventing himself on the low post by using his tricks and reach against faster, younger players.

The results have the Spurs off to a 9-1 start and a 6-3-1 record ATS. The Spurs can play it either way – touting the second-best offense in the league and averaging 108.3 points per game, while yielding just 100.4 points per game, putting the team in the top-half of defensive squads in the Association.

Meantime, the Cavaliers is 3-1 on the road, but its opponents are far from impressive: Toronto, New Jersey, Washington and Philadelphia.

The Spurs will make these paper road warriors fold.

Pick: Spurs


New Jersey Nets at Denver Nuggets (-10.5, 202.5)

Think of the Denver Nuggets offense like a really bad mixed drink – absurdly strong, but needs to be better blended.

That’s been the story so far for Denver, which scored 118 in a win over the Lakers, but a meager 83 a week later in a loss to Portland. One of the newest ingredients that needs blended into the Denver offense is forward Al Harrington, who dropped 17 points on 6-of-11 shooting in a win over the New York Knicks.

“He gives us that extra threat that we’re looking for offensively,” Denver All-Star forward Carmelo Anthony said. “We try to spread the court with him. He’s trying to find his way in the offense – I think everyone is – we have a lot of new guys.”

Down the court, the Nets also are having trouble finding consistent chemistry.

Starters Travis Outlaw, Kris Humphries, Brook Lopez, Anthony Morrow and Devin Harris each play about 30 minutes per game, but that makes it hard to find regular minutes for bench players like Jordan Farmar, Derrick Favors and Terrence Williams.

“We just got to generate more energy,” Nets coach Avery Johnson said. “Like I told the team, I don’t like our mental or physical conditioning right now. And we got to improve it on all areas. I don’t know the next time they’ll see an off-day because we need work.”

As a result of both teams struggling to find a balance, the Nets have seen four of five games fall under the total, while the Nuggets have had two of three dip under the total.

Pick: Under