Service Plays Saturday 11/20/10

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THE GOLD SHEET

KEY RELEASES

TENNESSEE by 23 over Vanderbilt

*Tennessee 37 - VANDERBILT 14—With UT’s strong-armed, mobile, 6-6, true frosh QB Bray (649 YP & 7 TDP last 2 games!) performing with precision & poise, must support suddenly-explosive Vols (51 ppg last 2), needing to win final two to become bowl eligible. So, look for UT to easily capture its 15th straight victory in Nashville, where offensively (18 ppg) and defensively-feeble Vandy (152 pts. last 3) has dropped 9 straight vs. spread as SEC host.

RUTGERS by 1 over Cincinnati

Rutgers 27 - CINCINNATI 26—Two-time defending Big East champ Cincy needs to sweep its last 3 games just to be eligible for bowl bid, while Rutgers has to win 2 of last 3 to qualify for postseason. Scarlet Knight true frosh WR/”Wildcat” QB Deering (29 carries for 166 yards last week!) plus porous Bearcat defense (19 TDP, only 4 ints.) likely to equal a close victory for play- ’em-close Rutgers (7 of last 8 games decided by 5 points or fewer).

WISCONSIN by 18 over Michigan

Wisconsin 42 - MICHIGAN 24—With Michigan QB Dennard Robinson’s efficiency regressing (4 ints. last 2 games; threw just 1 in 1st 5) and Wolverine defense ranked last in the Big Ten, must give red-hot Wisconsin a look. Michigan is 2-19 vs. the points last 21 conference games, and Badgers know that this is the key game in their route to the Rose Bowl (only a home game against Persa-less Northwestern remains for Wiscy).

ARMY by 3 over Notre Dame

Army 30 - Notre Dame 27—ND defense did a good job holding Utah without a TD last week, but don’t think Irish stop unit will have same luck facing Army’s option. ND has covered only 2 of last 16 as a favorite, and Black Knight QB Steelman showed he can throw if necessary (completed 9 of 10 to loosen up Kent State’s No. 3 run defense last week).
 
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The Goldsheet's

BILL BLACKBURN

COLLEGE FOOTBALL:

PENN STATE -10 over Indiana (at Landover, Maryland) 9:00 AM PST
UNDER 49 Total Points Clemson at Wake Forest 11:00 AM PST
EASTERN MICHIGAN +7 over Buffalo -Home 11:00 AM PST
KANSAS STATE -21⁄2 over Colorado -Home 11:10 AM PST
UNDER 501⁄2 Total Points Stanford at California 12:30 PM PST
VIRGINIA TECH -21⁄2 over Miami-Florida -Home 12:30 PM PST
UNDER 521⁄2 Total Points Missouri at Iowa State 4:00 PM PST
 
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CKO

11 PENN STATE over Indiana Late Score Forecast: PENN STATE 38 - Indiana 14 (at FedEx Field in Wash. D.C.)
10 *WESTERN MICHIGAN over Kent St. Late Score Forecast: *WESTERN MICHIGAN 34 - Kent State 19
10 MARSHALL over *SMU Late Score Forecast: MARSHALL 23 - *SMU 24
 
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STEVE BUDIN

THE PHILADELPHIA CREW
2010 SEC GAME OF THE YEAR

25 DIME* Arkansas Razorbacks Over Mississippi State Bulldogs
 
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LENNY DEL GENIO

LOCK OF ALL LOCKS REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR
25* Iowa Hawkeyes

Reason: Play on Iowa at 3:30 ET. Iowa is our 25* Revenge Game of the Year.
 
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ArlonSports

Arlon Sports

3* Vanderbilt
3* Arkansas St.
3* Mississippi St.
3* Michigan
3* Nebraska

(31-21-1 season record)
 
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Sports Insights

Wisconsin vs. Michigan

Wisconsin lit up the scoreboard last week, scoring 83 points against Indiana for the school's most prolific offensive performance in 95 years. Even though running back John Clay did not play due to a sprained right knee, the Badgers still rushed for 338 yards and six touchdowns in the 63-point victory.

Michigan overcame five turnovers in their last game, a 27-16 win over Purdue. Luckily for the Wolverines, their defense forced five turnovers of their own and held the Boilermakers' offense to just 256 total yards.

Wisconsin opened as a 6-point favorite at Pinnacle and, after scoring 11 touchdowns last week, is currently receiving 84% of spread bets and 85% of moneyline wagers. The line, however, has dropped to -4 at many of the market-setting sportsbooks tracked by Sports Insights. This reverse-line movement has triggered four positive Smart Money Plays and one positive Steam Move on Michigan, indicating sharp money is coming down on the home underdog.

According to our Betting Trends data, this is the second-most heavily bet NCAA football game, in terms of the number of bets, of the weekend. Contrarian betting is a key factor when selecting our NCAA Football Square Plays, which are 38-16 (+19.13 units) this season. The lopsided betting percentages and heavy action make this game a prime Square Play candidate, convincing us to follow the Smart Money, bet against the public and grab Michigan and the points.

Michigan +4.5
 
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Marc Lawrence Triple Perfect Famous 5* College Game Of The Month!

Play On: Miami Florida (Game 368)

We recommend a 5-unit play on Miami Florida.
 
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Jim Feist

3 team college power parlay
byu
san diego st.
hawaii

Northern Illinois
USC
Texas A&M
Penn St
Troy
Oklahoma St
Michigan St
 
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JACK CLAYTON

COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
Virginia Tech Hokies -1.5
 

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