igz1 sports
Saturday Action !!
Underdog GOY in College goes off today !!
Friday Recap : 0-1 CFB -80 pts : 1-1 NBA - 8 points : 2-2 NHL -27 pts
CFB
5* Colorado State +2.5 (-110) UnderDog GOY
4* Over 47.5 (-110) South Carolina vs Florida
3* Rutgers +8 (-110)
3* Maryland +3 (-110)
3* BYU -4 (-110)
3* Over 65.5 (-110) Texas vs Kansas
Good Luck !
Saturday Action !!
Underdog GOY in College goes off today !!
Friday Recap : 0-1 CFB -80 pts : 1-1 NBA - 8 points : 2-2 NHL -27 pts
CFB
5* Colorado State +2.5 (-110) UnderDog GOY
4* Over 47.5 (-110) South Carolina vs Florida
3* Rutgers +8 (-110)
3* Maryland +3 (-110)
3* BYU -4 (-110)
3* Over 65.5 (-110) Texas vs Kansas
Good Luck !
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">ETHAN LAW
N CAROLINA (7-2) at MARYLAND (6-3)
The parity in the ACC this season has created a muddled mess in the standings, it also has made every game an important one, and no fewer than 8 of the 12 teams still have realistic conference championship hopes. Entering the third week in November, that is just an unprecedented scenario, and the pressure mounts with each passing game. One very key match-up to help sort this mess out pits #17 ranked North Carolina (7-2 SU & 5-3 ATS) against Maryland (6-3 SU & 4-4 ATS). The Tar Heels enter this game 3-2 in ACC play, trailing the winner of the Miami/Va. Tech game Thursday by a half a game in the Coastal Division. Maryland is also 3-2 in conference play, and trails Wake Forest and Florida St by a half game each. Maryland has already beaten Wake and has another key game next week against the Seminoles, so they control their own fate towards getting in the ACC title game.
These 2 teams could not be entering this game off more divergent results last week. Maryland played on ESPN last Thursday night and were completely dominated by Va. Tech. They fell behind 20-3 early in the 2nd quarter of that game, rallied to within 20-13, but never had a realistic chance to win that game. The Hokies so dominated the line of scrimmage in that game that Maryland had a net rushing total of minus 12 yards in 18 carries! Maryland was much more successful through the air though as they completed 19 of 31 passes for 240 yards. They were dominated on the other side of the ball just as thoroughly, as the Hokies amassed 273 yards rushing at a 5.6 yards per carry clip. North Carolina meanwhile, comes in off an extremely impressive 28-7 win over then #22 ranked Georgia Tech last week. That win was impressive to most who just looked at the final score, further investigation into the box score reveals that score was indeed very deceiving. While Ga. Tech managed to score just 7 points in that game, they were hardly thwarted by the Carolina defense. They out gained the Tar Heels 423-314 in that game, and only lost because they constantly shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Indeed, the Yellow Jackets had 326 yards rushing in that game, and gained that yardage at a 6.0 yard per carry clip! Not the kind of stat you often see from a team that only scored 7 points. The combination of that deceiving final score, and the Terrapins dismal showing on ESPN has created great line value because of the perception of these 2 teams right now. I have said repeatedly in my game analysis, that line value is the ultimate goal we look for when wagering on sports, and we definitely have tons of it here.
A statistical comparison of these 2 teams reveals very little difference, Maryland averages about 25 yards more per game offensively than Carolina, and allows about 20 yards per game more defensively. Maryland averages 16.8 first downs per game and Carolina averages 16.2. Maryland allows an average of 4.0 yards per rush and Carolina allows 3.8 yards per carry. I could go on and on, and you would see very little to choose from as far as how either one of these 2 teams is better than the other. The whole point of this exercise is to show that these teams match up very well, and are basically mirror images of each other. If these 2 teams are so evenly matched, then why exactly is North Carolina favored on the road? They are favored on the road for exactly the reasons I outlined above. Very opposite results in their last games have skewed the public's perception of these 2 teams, forcing Vegas to set a line reflecting that perception. A fair line between evenly matched teams normally places the home team as a 4 or 3.5 point favorite, here we have the road team favored by a FG, coming off a very impressive win. Line value established. How has Maryland one this season facing teams perceived as being better than they are? They are 3-1 ATS as dogs this season and are a perfect 5-0 SU at home, outscoring their opponents 153-82. 3 times this season the Terrapins have faced ranked teams, each time they came away with impressive SU wins as underdogs. Last time they were home dogs to Wake Forest and whitewashed them 26-0, out-gaining them 470-219! Before last week's results Maryland was ranked #23 and North Carolina was not ranked at all. Has one week changed these teams so much that the home team should be the dog here? An emphatic NO! Take the points!
Verdict: North Carolina 21, Maryland 28
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON MARYLAND +3
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N CAROLINA (7-2) at MARYLAND (6-3)
The parity in the ACC this season has created a muddled mess in the standings, it also has made every game an important one, and no fewer than 8 of the 12 teams still have realistic conference championship hopes. Entering the third week in November, that is just an unprecedented scenario, and the pressure mounts with each passing game. One very key match-up to help sort this mess out pits #17 ranked North Carolina (7-2 SU & 5-3 ATS) against Maryland (6-3 SU & 4-4 ATS). The Tar Heels enter this game 3-2 in ACC play, trailing the winner of the Miami/Va. Tech game Thursday by a half a game in the Coastal Division. Maryland is also 3-2 in conference play, and trails Wake Forest and Florida St by a half game each. Maryland has already beaten Wake and has another key game next week against the Seminoles, so they control their own fate towards getting in the ACC title game.
These 2 teams could not be entering this game off more divergent results last week. Maryland played on ESPN last Thursday night and were completely dominated by Va. Tech. They fell behind 20-3 early in the 2nd quarter of that game, rallied to within 20-13, but never had a realistic chance to win that game. The Hokies so dominated the line of scrimmage in that game that Maryland had a net rushing total of minus 12 yards in 18 carries! Maryland was much more successful through the air though as they completed 19 of 31 passes for 240 yards. They were dominated on the other side of the ball just as thoroughly, as the Hokies amassed 273 yards rushing at a 5.6 yards per carry clip. North Carolina meanwhile, comes in off an extremely impressive 28-7 win over then #22 ranked Georgia Tech last week. That win was impressive to most who just looked at the final score, further investigation into the box score reveals that score was indeed very deceiving. While Ga. Tech managed to score just 7 points in that game, they were hardly thwarted by the Carolina defense. They out gained the Tar Heels 423-314 in that game, and only lost because they constantly shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Indeed, the Yellow Jackets had 326 yards rushing in that game, and gained that yardage at a 6.0 yard per carry clip! Not the kind of stat you often see from a team that only scored 7 points. The combination of that deceiving final score, and the Terrapins dismal showing on ESPN has created great line value because of the perception of these 2 teams right now. I have said repeatedly in my game analysis, that line value is the ultimate goal we look for when wagering on sports, and we definitely have tons of it here.
A statistical comparison of these 2 teams reveals very little difference, Maryland averages about 25 yards more per game offensively than Carolina, and allows about 20 yards per game more defensively. Maryland averages 16.8 first downs per game and Carolina averages 16.2. Maryland allows an average of 4.0 yards per rush and Carolina allows 3.8 yards per carry. I could go on and on, and you would see very little to choose from as far as how either one of these 2 teams is better than the other. The whole point of this exercise is to show that these teams match up very well, and are basically mirror images of each other. If these 2 teams are so evenly matched, then why exactly is North Carolina favored on the road? They are favored on the road for exactly the reasons I outlined above. Very opposite results in their last games have skewed the public's perception of these 2 teams, forcing Vegas to set a line reflecting that perception. A fair line between evenly matched teams normally places the home team as a 4 or 3.5 point favorite, here we have the road team favored by a FG, coming off a very impressive win. Line value established. How has Maryland one this season facing teams perceived as being better than they are? They are 3-1 ATS as dogs this season and are a perfect 5-0 SU at home, outscoring their opponents 153-82. 3 times this season the Terrapins have faced ranked teams, each time they came away with impressive SU wins as underdogs. Last time they were home dogs to Wake Forest and whitewashed them 26-0, out-gaining them 470-219! Before last week's results Maryland was ranked #23 and North Carolina was not ranked at all. Has one week changed these teams so much that the home team should be the dog here? An emphatic NO! Take the points!
Verdict: North Carolina 21, Maryland 28
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON MARYLAND +3
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NEWSLETTER PLAYS
NCAA FOOTBALL
HOT
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (7-3-1) ..... LOUISIANA TECH
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (6-4) ... AKRON ( L)
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (6-4) ...TROY
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (6-4) .. FLOR ST
HQ REPORT 5* (6-4-1) ....
HQ REPORT ATS (8-3) ....
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (8-3) ... WISKY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (7-4) ..... HOUST
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (78-58-1) ... PENN ST .. IOWA ...WISCONSIN ..NOTRE DAME ...NEW MEXICO ...TEXAS ..WASHINGTON...OKLAHOMA ...OHIO ST. .FLORIDA ST ARIZONA STATE.... FLORIDA ATLANTIC
THE RED SHEET 89* (14-7-1) ... WISKY ...UTEP
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (4-2) ... UTEP
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (14-8).... WISCONSIN....UCONN....
COLD
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-9) ...
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (8-12) ... AUB ...TULSA...FL ATL
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (3-6) .. AUBURN
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-5) ... Oregon
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (7-11) ...AUBURN...SOUTH FLOR
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (3-8) .. FLOR ST
POINTWISE 2* (3-9) ...... NEVADA
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (2-3) ....Oregon State
THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (5-4) ... VANDERBILT
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (15-18-1) ... MICH ...UCONN...ILL...
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (4-5) ...EAST CAROLINA
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3)....South Florida
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (3-2) .LOUISVILLE
HQ REPORT 4* (0-0).
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (6-5) ...
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (3-4) ...Minnesota
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (12-16-1) ... IOWA...MARYLAND...S.CAROLINA
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (5-7) ... USC
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (2-5) .. COL ST
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (2-4) ... TEXAS
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 6* (1-0)...
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP DOG (5-4) ... MISSISSIPPI ST
POINTWISE 1* (9-13)....... WISKY....BAYLOR
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (3-4)...
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (13-18-1) ... Auburn +....Boston College....Houston
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (18-26-1) ... CLEMSON...AUBURN...TULSA...NEVADA
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (17-13-1) ... LOUSIANA TECH....EAST CAR ....FLORIDA....MISSISSIPPI
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (24-23-2) ... ND , NC...GEORGIA..ORG ST...S.CAR
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (27-22) .... WEST MICH...NEVADA..UL MONROE...VANDY
THE GOLD SHEET (22-22) ..VANDERBILT ...COLORADO STATE ...MARSHALL ....TROY
THE RED SHEET 90* (1-0)...
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3)
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (7-5)...Notre Dame....Vanderbilt....South Carolina
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (21-24-1)... TEXAS... BYU... NEBRASKA...NEVADA
NCAA FOOTBALL
HOT
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (7-3-1) ..... LOUISIANA TECH
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (6-4) ... AKRON ( L)
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (6-4) ...TROY
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (6-4) .. FLOR ST
HQ REPORT 5* (6-4-1) ....
HQ REPORT ATS (8-3) ....
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (8-3) ... WISKY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (7-4) ..... HOUST
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (78-58-1) ... PENN ST .. IOWA ...WISCONSIN ..NOTRE DAME ...NEW MEXICO ...TEXAS ..WASHINGTON...OKLAHOMA ...OHIO ST. .FLORIDA ST ARIZONA STATE.... FLORIDA ATLANTIC
THE RED SHEET 89* (14-7-1) ... WISKY ...UTEP
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (4-2) ... UTEP
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (14-8).... WISCONSIN....UCONN....
COLD
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-9) ...
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (8-12) ... AUB ...TULSA...FL ATL
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (3-6) .. AUBURN
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-5) ... Oregon
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (7-11) ...AUBURN...SOUTH FLOR
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (3-8) .. FLOR ST
POINTWISE 2* (3-9) ...... NEVADA
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (2-3) ....Oregon State
THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (5-4) ... VANDERBILT
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (15-18-1) ... MICH ...UCONN...ILL...
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (4-5) ...EAST CAROLINA
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3)....South Florida
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (3-2) .LOUISVILLE
HQ REPORT 4* (0-0).
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (6-5) ...
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (3-4) ...Minnesota
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (12-16-1) ... IOWA...MARYLAND...S.CAROLINA
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (5-7) ... USC
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (2-5) .. COL ST
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (2-4) ... TEXAS
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 6* (1-0)...
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP DOG (5-4) ... MISSISSIPPI ST
POINTWISE 1* (9-13)....... WISKY....BAYLOR
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (3-4)...
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (13-18-1) ... Auburn +....Boston College....Houston
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (18-26-1) ... CLEMSON...AUBURN...TULSA...NEVADA
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (17-13-1) ... LOUSIANA TECH....EAST CAR ....FLORIDA....MISSISSIPPI
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (24-23-2) ... ND , NC...GEORGIA..ORG ST...S.CAR
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (27-22) .... WEST MICH...NEVADA..UL MONROE...VANDY
THE GOLD SHEET (22-22) ..VANDERBILT ...COLORADO STATE ...MARSHALL ....TROY
THE RED SHEET 90* (1-0)...
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3)
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (7-5)...Notre Dame....Vanderbilt....South Carolina
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (21-24-1)... TEXAS... BYU... NEBRASKA...NEVADA
