Service Plays Saturday 11/13/10

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MMA Professor - UFC 122

We only have 1 pick for tomorrow night and its an upset.

Yushin "Thunder" Okami (+185) over Nate Marquardt


The system tells us to pick the wrestler over the Jiu Jitsu guy, and Okami is a strong wrestler and has been training at Team Quest in Portland, OR where smashing Jiu Jitsu fighters has become an art.
 
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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks

12PM EST
Purdue +13.5*
Southern Mississippi +10
Georgia Tech +3.5
Northwestern +10
Kansas State +13
Colorado +3 (1:30 PM)
Colorado State +7 (2 PM)
Notre Dame +6 (2:30 PM)

3:30 PM EST
Georgia +7.5*
Virginia +3
Rutgers +3

7 PM EST
Mississippi State +13*
Baylor +3.5
Arizona State +5
Texas +5 (8 PM)

10:30 PM EST
Fresno State +9*
 
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Greg Roberts radio plays

College:
TCU
Arizona
Miss St
Boise St
Arizona St
Mizzou
OU
OSU (his favorite)
Tulsa
Boston College
Northwestern

Auburn (over)
Colorado (over)
 
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NORM HITZGES

NCAA
Double Plays
·******** Oklahoma -15 vs Texas Tech
·******** NC State -19 vs Wake Forest
·******** Marshall -17 vs Memphis
·******** Arkansas -28.5 vs UTEP
·******** Ohio State -17.5 vs Penn State

Single Plays
·******** California +19.5 vs Oregon
·******** ULaMonroe +32.5 vs LSU
·******** Ball State +3 vs Buffalo
·******** Georgia Tech +3 vs Miami, FL
·******** Iowa -10.5 vs Northwestern
·******** Baylor +3 vs Texas A&M
·******** Nebraska -35 vs Kansas
·******** Florida -6.5 vs South Carolina
·******** Kentucky -14.5 vs Vanderbilt
·******** W. Michigan -18 vs E. Michigan
·******** BYU -6.5 vs Colorado State
·******** Oregon State -23.5 vs Washington State
·******** Tulsa +2.5 vs Houston
 

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Docsports 8 unit big 10 game of year is on ohio st. He also has 5 units on kentucky and wisconsin under and 4 units on georgia, northwestern, wisconsin and unlv. This is confirmed!
 

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Vegas sports informer. 8 unit game of year is arizona. They also have 4 units on baylor and unlv. 3 units on florida and troy and a 2 unit on oregon over
 
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DAVID MALINSKY

4* ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE UNDER 47.5

Scoring is up significantly in the SEC this autumn, which is what happens when you have explosive talents like Cam Newton and Ryan Mallett, and defenses that are not quite as good as recent seasons. And when scoring is up, Totals get raised. Hence, why an Alabama/Mississippi State matchup is now priced at 47.5, instead of LY’s 43.5, a game that only fell 34. But while the overall league scoring is an across the board issue in terms of setting Totals, it does not impact this matchup.

A little over a year ago we wrote an NCAA ”VERITIES & BALDERDASH” column about the positive things that Dan Mullen was going at Mississippi State, focusing on developing the talent on hand first, and getting in his full playbook second. His Bulldogs ran the ball, worked the field position, and played hard on defense in order to compete. And in Year #2 it is no different. Yes, he tried to open up in that first league contest vs. Auburn, putting the ball in the air 35 times, but the passing game was a failure, and they fell 17-14 in Starkville. He learned his lesson there – since then in four SEC games it has been 176 runs vs. only 60 passes, and in his two tries as a conference road dog it has been 93 runs to just 27 passes. Naturally these ratio’s keep the game tempos and the scores down, and the five State SEC games have played to a 32.2 average, more than two full TD’s below this Total.

Does that change here? That is most unlikely. Having had last week off Mullen comes in with a defense that is fresh and up to this challenge, so the best way to compete is to run and play field position early, and avoid the kind of mistakes that can give away easy points. It was a game plan that worked in that road upset of Florida (49 runs, nine passes, no TO’s), and we expect to see the same blue print. Nick Saban, of course, does not mind that tempo himself, and with his defense having allowed only one TD in 16 quarters on this field (and just 22 points), he does not have an early urgency to attack. He will also be confident to work field position, daring the Bulldog offense to open up, and that makes the early stages here checkers instead of chess, a pace that we do not believe ever will pick up.
 
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JIM FEIST

BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR* Ohio State Buckeyes

Mississippi St
North Carolina
Kentucky
Oklahoma
Georgia
Marshall
Missouri
 
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BEANTOWNCAPPA

12:00PM: BOSTON COLLEGE -3
12:00PM: IOWA -9
2:30PM: UTAH -5
3:30PM:CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ NAVY - Over 55
4:00PM: WASHINGTON STATE +23.5
7:00PM: TEXAS A&M -3
8:00PM: USC +4.5
 
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ARLON SPORTS Picks

3* NCAAF* SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES
3* NCAAF* SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS
3* NCAAF* SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS
3* NCAAF* NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
3* NCAAF* FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS
3* NCAAF* WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Hornets

New Orleans can’t wait to trot out it’s fantastic new defense against its Western Conference foe. The Hornets might lack sting on offense, but are the top team in the league defensively, with no team giving up fewer than its 90.1 points per game.

But it doesn’t stop there. Opponents also are shooting a meager 42.5 percent from the floor and a horrid 29.8 percent beyond the arc against the teal and gold. The team has employed a new defensive system this season that emphasizes stopping penetration into the paint and protecting the rim at all costs from every position. Heavy rotation from the wings has sometimes left opponents open for three, but thus far no team has been able to capitalize on the open triples.

The result? The Hornets are undefeated, tout several solid wins, a great bench and the under has hit six times in the team’s seven games.

And don’t expect Portland to change a lot of these trends. The Trail Blazers shoot just 32.5 percent beyond the arc – the sixth-lowest mark in the league – and are coming off a tiring game in Oklahoma City on Friday night. Sounds like bad jump shots and tired legs.

Pick: Under

Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls (-11, 202)


The Wizards are pretty good at a certain magic trick: disappearing on the road.
Washington is 0-3 away from The District this year, losing all three games in enemy gyms by an average of 18 points. Even worse, the Wizards are surrendering about 18 points per night when the team has to take the bus to the arena. The team also is just 2-4 ATS on the young season and has won just once in its past three games.

Chicago, on the other hand, has been fantastic at home.

The Bulls are 4-1 on their own hardwood and averaging more than 107 points per game there. The team is shooting a phenomenal 48.8 percent from the floor this season – the third-best mark in the league – and also is draining a solid 34.9 percent of its triples.

"We're at our best when we're moving up and down the court," Chicago guard Keith Bogans said. "Once Derrick [Rose] gets the ball in transition off a steal, our chances of scoring are very high."

And don’t expect them to take their foot of the gas in this one.

Pick: Bulls and over
 
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What bettors need to know: Hockey Night in Canada

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs try to snap a seven-game winless streak on Saturday night but it won’t be easy hosting the surging Canucks. Vancouver is 7-1 over its last eight games and 3-1 in its last four road games.

Goals hard to come by for Leafs

Toronto is 1-10 in its last 11 games and most of that has to do with the team’s inability to light the lamp. The Buds are averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per game over the cold spell and their power play is just 4 for 43 over the same period.

Right now, the Leafs will take goals anyway they can get them.

“It could be a breakaway, it could be a pretty goal, it doesn’t matter,” coach Ron Wilson told the Toronto Sun. “But if it’s an ugly one, that would kind of reinforce what the coaches are saying. We’re overpassing, overhandling in situations around the front of the net. An ugly goal would really go a long way.”

Not surprising, the under has cashed in seven of the Leafs’ last eight games.

Spreading the Wealth

While the Leafs struggle to find goal production, the Canucks are getting offensive firepower from all lines. Mario Bliznak, fresh off his recall from the minors, centered the Canucks’ fourth line against Ottawa this week and netted his first goal of the season in the 6-2 romp.

"I was just driving to the net and the puck went in the air and it was a lucky play," Bliznak told the Vancouver Province after the game. "It feels good to get the first one and hopefully I can continue.”

Vancouver has scored three or more goals in all but one of its last eight contests.

Notes and Trends

This will be the fifth game for the Leafs since captain and star defenseman Dion Phaneuf went down with a leg injury. He isn’t expected back in the lineup for at least another month. Toronto is 0-4 and has allowed four goals in three of those games.

The over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams.

Vancouver is 6-0 in its last six games against the Maple Leafs.


Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

San Jose looks to avenge a 4-0 loss to the Flames a few weeks back. This time, it’ll be the Sharks who have the home-ice advantage and are working with some rest.

Baby Steps

Flames coach Brent Sutter made a small adjustment to his lineup Tuesday night against the Avalanche and was immediately rewarded for the change. Sutter bumped winger Curtis Glencross to the second line in place of Niklas Hagman.

Glencross repaid his coach for the promotion by tallying two goals in the 4-2 win over Colorado.

“You know, as a player, what’s going on,” Glencross told the Calgary Herald after the game. “It’s something where they feel you’re doing your job right and they’re going to reward you. If you keep doing your job right, you’ll keep getting rewarded.”

Glencross will remain on the second line with Rene Bourque and Olli Jokinen for Friday’s game against the Coyotes.

Shark-bitten

San Jose continues to struggle in an area it normally excels at – scoring. The same team that finished inside the top seven in league scoring last two seasons has only 37 markers in 14 games and just 21 of those have come at even strength.

The Sharks scored one goal in their 2-1 shootout win against the slumping Islanders and that came off a 5-on-3 power play.

“Five on three – we’ve got to score there, especially when it’s another one of those nights when we’re not scoring five on five,” Sharks defenseman Dan Boyle, who scored the lone SJ goal, told the San Jose Mercury News.

Notes and Trends

The Flames scratched forward Brett Sutter, nephew of coach Brent Sutter and son of GM Darryl, who allegedly threw a punch late Thursday night in a Scottsdale, Arizona bar. No word on if charges will be pressed.

This will be Sharks center Joe Thornton’s second game back since his two-game suspension.

The under is 4-1 in the Sharks’ last five games and 5-2 in their last seven games against the Flames.
 

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