Service Plays Saturday 11/07/09

[pjoyce5893]

Randall the Handle

Soccer
Season To Date (Since January 2009) 28-50 -11.80 Units

Saturday November 7, 2009 9:30am EST

German Bundesliga

FSV MAINZ 05 +1.19 OVER Nurnberg PINNACLE

Mainz has battled all year long thus far, as they came into this campaign considered to be a walk in the park for the opposition. They have been anything but, as they have surprised everyone beating some of Germany’s best and staying close in most games on a weekly basis. They are very organized and disciplined, as they score timely goals surprising all opponents. This week they host Nurnberg who has not had the same success this season as their counterpart. Nurnberg has struggled all year managing only nine points from their first eleven matches and will walk into Mainz, a place where the hosts have not lost all season. Surprisingly, Mainz has plenty of quality, led by off-season loan acquisition Andreas Ivanschitz from Greek Giants Panathinaikos. Mainz is a very solid play here and the price is quite generous. Play: FSV MAINZ 05 +1.19 (Risking 2 units).



Saturday November 7, 2009 10:00am EST

English Premier League

BLACKBURN ROVERS +1.15 OVER Portsmouth PINNACLE

Last week I played against Portsmouth and got burned as they blew away Wigan Athletic 4-0. In fact Portsmouth has won their last two matches overall by the same 4-0 score line. Both of those games were played at home, this one against Blackburn however will not be. Blackburn has been downright awful this season as they currently sit in 18th place; they are only ahead of two teams one of them is Portsmouth who is in dead last! Blackburn has three wins this season in the EPL all of them coming at home in Ewood Park. They have also beaten Portsmouth 3 of the last 4 overall and look to continue that run at home. At home Blackburn has beaten Aston Villa, Burnley, and Wolverhampton, and with Portsmouth being last place they should not have any problems disposing of the Pompey’s. Play: BLACKBURN ROVERS +1.15 (Risking 2 units)



Sunday November 8, 2009 11:00am EST

Spain La Liga

SPORTING GIJON +1.37 OVER Espanyol PINNACLE

In a game in which two teams are very evenly matched, we’ll side with the home team, Sporting Gijon. Tied on points with 13 a piece and a very similar goal differential, there is one distinct difference in this match; Sporting Gijon is playing this one at home where they are undefeated thus far in La Liga. Coming off an inspiring draw last week at home against Real Madrid, this team will feel as though they can beat anybody on their home pitch, especially a mediocre side like Espanyol. On the flip side Espanyol has only prevailed once on the road and don’t score many goals away from home. They will look at this one as the game they can win on the road, as they have already had a tough road schedule impressively holding Sevilla to a 0-0 draw last week in Seville. As stated earlier, these teams are evenly matched, however, siding with the home team here looks like a positive play. Look for Sporting Gijon to snatch a narrow victory. Play: SPORTING GIJON +1.37 (Risking 2 units).



Sunday November 8, 2009 11:00am EST

France Ligue 1

Bordeaux +1.92 over LILLE PINNACLE

Lille has been made a slight favorite in this game for reasons really unknown. I love Bordeaux and think at this price they’re a must play. Bordeaux has easily been the cream of the crop in France this season both domestically and in Europe, as they recently walloped Bayern Munich in Germany this past week. Bordeaux is currently the league leader in the French League while Lille has struggled to this point and currently sits in 15th place. Lille are a scrappy bunch with bits of quality and should really be no match for a Bordeaux squad filled with all sorts of confidence after beating Bayern Munich on the road. Bordeaux has lost their last two games on the road in the French League; however, I fully expect them to bounce back here and claim all three points and stretch their lead in France’s top division. This price really stands out to me and should be considered a great value pick given this price. Play: Bordeaux +1.92 (Risking 2 units)



Sunday November 8, 2009 11:00am EST

English Premier League

Manchester United +3.26 over CHELSEA PINNACLE

And finally an English derby that should really be a screamer of a match between England’s top two squads. How can we ignore this price for Man Utd? I realize that Chelsea is at home but come on. They have been made huge favorites here and I don’t think that should be the case at all. Manchester United has a knack for winning these types of derbies and given this price it is certainly worthy of a play. I understand that Chelsea is awesome and can certainly win this match especially playing at Stamford Bridge in London but the qualities of both sides are equal. Both play a similar style and as a result this game will obviously be played very closely by both teams. Only two points separates these teams in the standings with Chelsea ahead, but I just can’t shake the value of Manchester United in this one. In a tight contest involving the best of the best in England, I’ll take Wayne Rooney and CO. any day of the week given this very generous price! Play: Manchester United +3.26 (Risking 2 units)

 

[ruben50]

Thanks for getting these, is Valentino confirmed?

I can confirm the Valentino pick. A friend of mine bought it. He said DO NOT take Stanford for less than a TD. He recommended buying the hook to 7.5 as well.

And on Comcast in Chicago today, Demarco took Penn State. So I would consider that confirmed.

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

1 unit Colorado +3
1 unit Baylor +14
2 units Stanford +7
2 units Tulsa +1
2 units Nebraska +4.5
1 unit Arizona St. +10

 

[brewerfan003]

black widow/bill young


4* on Texas A&M -3(-102 at 5dimes)

The Aggies are a great play Saturday as just a field goal favorite over lowly Colorado. The Buffaloes have nothing left to play for sitting at 2-6, while Texas A&M could clinch a bowl berth this weekend which is something they want to get out of the way after going 4-8 last season and missing a bowl bid. The Aggies are playing their best football of the season right now, winning back-to-back games with a 52-30 win at Texas Tech and a 35-10 home thumping of Iowa State. The Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Colorado has the worst offense in the Big 12, scoring just 21.7 points/game and averaging 286 total yards/game. Compare that to Texas A&M who scores 35.7 points/game and averages 490 total yards/game and you can see why this thing should result in an Aggies' blowout. Take Texas A&M and lay the points.



4* on Missouri -14(-110 at bookm)

This game has three-touchdown blowout written all over it. Baylor is 0-4 in their last 4 games, losing by double-digits each time. Missouri has a great chance to win the Big 12 North still, and after losing three straight to the likes of Nebraska, Texas and Oklahoma State, the Tigers are back on track after trouncing Colorado on the road 36-17 last week. Missouri is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Baylor, winning 5 of those 7 games by 15 points or more. Baylor is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off 2 straight losses to conference rivals,scoring less than 14 points since 1992. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Missouri and lay the points.



4* on Oklahoma State -7(-105 at bodog)

This is an absolute mismatch Saturday and the Cowboys should be a much heavier favorite against Iowa State. Oky State is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 16.0 points/game. ISU is back to reality after losing 10-35 at Texas A&M last week, which is the same Aggies' team that Oklahoma State beat 36-31 on the road earlier this season. Oky State beat ISU 59-17 last year and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar final score in this 2009 edition. The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points.


4* on Oregon -6.5(-110 at bookm)

After thumping USC 47-20 last week, this could be a letdown spot for Oregon. But it won't be, because the Ducks have National Championship aspirations still, and they want to win the Pac-10 to dethrone the Trojans. Oregon will make easy work of Stanford on Saturday, just like they have been doing now for 7 straight games since losing to Boise State in the season-opener. Oregon is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since that loss to the Broncos. They have won 5 straight by 14 or more points, which is impressive considering Cal, UCLA, Washington and USC have been on the schedule during that time. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. Stanford, including a 55-31 blowout in their last visit. Oregon is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Ducks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take Oregon and lay the points.


4* on UConn +16.5(-106 at 5dimes)

UConn is 4-4 this season, but honestly they are not far from being 8-0. They have losses by 2, 3, 4 and 4 points this year. So UConn's 4 losses have come by a combined 13 points. This team is not two touchdowns worse than Cincinnati, and it wouldn't surprise us one bit to see them pull off the upset Saturday. The Huskies beat the Bearcats 40-16 last year, and Cincinnati won the Big East last season. UConn is putting up 402 yards/game of total offense, and this unit is much better than they get credit for. UConn is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Huskies are 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Take UConn and the points.


6* 2009 A CC G AM E OF T HE Y EA R on Florida State +8.5(-106 at 5dimes)

Florida State continues to grind it out this season despite their slow start. They have posted back-to-back big wins by 3 points over both UNC and NC State. Now they look to knock off Clemson Saturday, a team that should not be this heavily favored. FSU has played their best football away from home, which is the sign of a mentally tough team. The Seminoles are 2-1 in road games this year, beating BYU and UNC and scoring a whopping 35.0 points/game in the process. FSU averages 444 yards/game of total offense this season, and when you compare that to the 347 yards/game Clemson is putting up, you can see why FSU is the best play in the ACC for all of 2009. FSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points since 1992. The Seminoles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Take Florida State and the points.



5* C F B S at ur day La te-N ig ht B AI LO UT on Idaho +8(-110 at bookm)

This Idaho team is one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. The Vandals are 7-2 this season after their 35-34 win over Idaho last week. Their only losses have come on the road at Washington and at Nevada, two solid teams. Fresno State has won 4 straight, but they should be on upset alert Saturday against a Vandals' team that has yet to lose at home. Idaho is 4-0 at home this year, scoring 33.7 points/game. The Vandals are putting up 433 yards/game of total offense this season, so they have one of the better offenses in the country. Fresno State is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 2 seasons. They were lucky to escape with a 31-27 home win over Utah State last week. The Bulldogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Idaho and the points.

 

[brewerfan003]

Burns
**10** #1 REVENGE play for November!! (day)
It was exactly three weeks ago that Ben Burns cashed his #1 "Revenge" play ('Zona on 10/17) from '09. If you enjoyed cashing that ticket, then you're going to LOVE the BEAUTY that Ben's got lined up for this afternoon. Yes, once again, ITS PAYBACK TIME for our "play on" team. This is a BIGTIME OPPORTUNITY. Make sure to DO THE RIGHT THING
STANFORD

 

[brewerfan003]

Chris Jordan

1,000♦ UNLV REBELS

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
11/7/09- Saturday Horses
$25.00 FULL CARD

OAKTREE @ SANTA ANITA

RACE 1
Damascus S.

#2- SMART BID

RACE 2
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G2)

#11- INTERACTIF

RACE 4
Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1)

#3- FATAL BULLET

RACE 5
Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1)

#9- AIKENITE

RACE 6
TVG Breeders' Cup Mile (G1)

#1- COURT VISION
#6- COURAGEOUS CAT

RACE 7
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

#7- PYRO
#3- MIDSHIPMAN

RACE 8
Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Turf (G1)

#2- CONDUIT
#7- SPANISH MOON

RACE 9
Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

#3- SUMMER BIRD
#7- GIO PONTI
#12- QUALITY ROAD
#6- RICHARDS KID

 

[saminsocal]

Karl Garrett???

sent you a PM. i will split Garrett 40 dime with you.

 

[bort]

Top 10 CFB Handicappers

A little help for those trying to find some good touts to follow:



(from the Scamdicappers website)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Iowa
Under Arkansas
Tx A&m
Navy
Air Force
Clemson

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Indiana
Notre Dame
LSU
Nebraska

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lang's Saturday picks

30 DIME - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS

10 DIME - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

10 DIME - STANFORD CARDINAL


FREE SELECTION - OKLAHOMA SOONERS


30 DIME - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS - The wrong team is favored here.

The bottom line is this game is about 2 teams heading in opposite directions. Simple as that.

Not only has Kansas lost 3 in a row SU, but they have now dropped 5 in a row ATS. This team can't get out of their own way right now and on the road today will not make it any better.

Kansas State comes in winners of 3 of their last 5 SU, and 4-1 ATS.

The crazy thing about Kansas State is they control their own destiny to get in the Big 12 championship game. A win today, and a win at Nebraska to end the year and they will have a date with Texas.

What makes this game even more appealing to me is the effort Kansas State put forth on the road at Oklahoma last week.

They were down only 35-20 with 7 minutes to go in the 4th before they just ran out of gas losing 42-30. The same Oklahoma team that a week earlier went into Kansas and just dominated this overrated and over hyped Jayhawks team 35-13.

I am all over the home dog to take another step towards the Big 12 championship game today with a big home win.

30 dime Kansas State

10 DIME - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS - Don't feel Michigan is trustworthy to be laying almost a full touchdown in this spot here.

I am talking about a Michigan team that comes off back to back losses to Penn State at home 35-10, and at Illinois last week as a 7-point favorite 38-13.

Talk about embarrassing. Lose by 25 on the road as a 7 point favorite. Exactly.

How soon we forget about Purdue beating Ohio State at home in a game they put up over 300 yards total offense on the Buckeyes defense and overcoming 3 turnovers as well.

Yes Purdue does come off a 37-0 loss at Wisconsin, but all that loss did was give me extra value here and it's value I will gladly take.

Another thing, I really like here is the fact Michigan runs the spread offense, a little like Ohio State does and in the full scheme of things, I really like how Purdue matches up here.

Oh, and one more thing. The talk of college football right now is the Oregon Ducks and just how great they are right now off their win over USC.

This Purdue team went into Oregon and lost 38-36 in a game they should have won outright as a 13 point dog. They put up 170 yards on the ground, 271 through the air but just came up a little short.

I look for the same kind of effort by Purdue today and an easy cover right along with it.

10 dime Purdue

10 DIME - STANFORD CARDINAL - I really feel this game will be closer than everyone thinks.

Stanford has not only covered 10 straight home games, but 4 of those have been outright.

With a week off to prepare and catching Oregon off the huge win last week at home to USC, you couldn't have given Stanford a better spot to deliver a shocker than right here.

In their 4 home games this year Stanford has won 3 of those by 20 or more, and the other was an 8 point win over UCLA.

I am taking nothing away from Oregon and what they have done, but fact of the matter is they have only played 2 road games in the PAC-10 and in those games they have been the beneficiary of 3 turnovers at UCLA and 3 at Washington.

Trust me when I tell you Stanford is an upgrade from those 2 teams, and I have all the confidence in the world this is a field goal game all the way and it wouldn't suprise me if Stanford won the game outright.

10 Dime Stanford

FREE SELECTION - OKLAHOMA SOONERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegasbuster IRON PLAY 8* (8-2 YTD)

Pick: Texas A&M -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

North Coast

Comp Under Play Of Week...illinois
Big Dog....duke
#2 Econ....byu
Big 12 Pow.....oklahoma State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MustWinSports
Spectacular Seven: 45-21-1 +91 DIMES

5 DIME PENN STATE (Spectacular Seven)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
351 - 237 run 59 %

Sat PENN ST - 4 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Strike Point Sports

6-Unit Game of the Month. #388 Take Michigan -6 over Purdue (Saturday 11/7 - 12 p.m. EST)

No reason not to feel some reluctance after the way Michigan looked against Illinois last week. But the Wolverines are back at home (5-1) against a Purdue team who has allowed over 36 points per game on the road (0-3). Michigan can pound the ball against a Boilermaker defense that has allowed over 650 rushing yards in their three bad road outings. Three factors here that sell me. Michigan owns Purdue in the Big House. Purdue has been absolutely awful on the road this year. And this game is a must-win for Rich Rodriguez after a shaky month. We're sold. Go Blue!

5-Unit Play. #375 Take Texas A&M -3 over Colorado (Saturday 11/7 - 1:30 p.m. EST)

Normally A&M hasn't faired too well in Boulder, but right now the Buffs are a hot mess. They can't get any production from the the quarterback position, and their rushing game hasn't been good enough to carry the load. And speaking of rushing attacks, the Aggies can rack up the ground yardage and have outgained their opponents running the ball by nearly 350 yards over the last two games. Both victories came from those games after that bad loss to Kansas State, and Texas A&M continues its bounce back ways and gets to six wins on the year.

4-Unit Play. #327 Take Duke +10 over North Carolina (Saturday 11/7 - 3:30 p.m. EST)

Way too high of a number, not only because Duke is playing so well also, but because Carolina still hasn't proven they can score consistently enough to be favored by double figures. The underdog has covered three of the last four meetings, with the winner in each of the last four only coming away with a single digit victory. This game will be close throughout and I think the Blue Devils have a better chance to win outright than does UNC to cover this line. We play the Dukies.

4-Unit Play. #383 Take Houston 'Pk' over Tulsa (Saturday - 11/7 - 7:30 p.m. EST)

You can't deny the revenge factor for the Golden Hurricane here, but more importantly we are focusing on this year's team and that means that Houston needs a win. Must-win? Not exactly, but the Cougars already have a conference loss, so in order to stay on pace to play for the C-USA Championship they need to continue to take care of business and prove that lone setback to UTEP was a simple mistake. 4-4 on the year for Tulsa tells me this team isn't the C-USA power it was a couple of seasons ago. They don't even have a winning record at home, and it stays that way as Houston wins on the road.

4-Unit Play. #381 Take Florida State +8.5 over Clemson (Saturday 11/7 - 7:45 p.m. EST)

Two straight wins for the Seminoles doesn't fix the problems they have had, but it is a good step in the direction. We like them and the points against Clemson. The Tigers are one of the worst teams in the ACC with regards to turnovers, and not only that but they continue to get inconsistent play from the quarterback position. C.J. Spiller scares me, but it seems he does most of his damage on special teams. Clemson can't cover this spread just with its offense. Hopefully Florida State realizes that, steps up and contains the Tigers special teams. FSU can run the ball well and they do so enough to earn a cover and keep the score close enough in the fourth to compete for an outright victory.

 

[FGators]

Tim Sullivan (Season: 57-76-2)

Alabama -pts over LSU

PITT (-21½) over Syracuse: The Panthers, also off a bye, catch the Orange in a turmoil tornado, as receiver Mike Williams left the team.
TEXAS (-36½) over Central Florida: The Longhorns offense may take a breather, but the defense, which could score a bunch on its own, won't let up.
Northwestern (+16½) over IOWA: The Wildcats showed heart for three quarters vs. Penn State and could frustrate the cardiac Hawkeyes.
Navy (+11) over NOTRE DAME: Worried about the Irish receivers blowing past the Middies, but we'll take the double digits and a team that already has covered vs. Ohio State and Wake Forest.
PENN STATE (-3½) over Ohio State: Should be nip-and-tuck, but we'll side with the experience and the home crowd as the Lions search for a signature win.
Oregon (-6½) over STANFORD: Too easy to predict the letdown here, as the Cardinal might be a step too slow on defense to catch the Ducks . . . on their worst day.
Wake Forest (+16) over GEORGIA TECH: The Jackets will score, we know that. But if Vanderbilt can throw up 31 on them, the Deacons can, as well.
Texas Christian (-24½) over SAN DIEGO STATE: Tough number. But again, we think the Frogs and Boise will be in a scoreboard-watching tug-of-war the rest of the way, always looking to one-up one another.
FLORIDA (-35) over Vanderbilt: Another doozy to handicap here, but the season is shot for the Commodores, and we don't see them with much motivation.
TULSA (-1) over Houston: Trap time? Isn't Houston ranked No. 13? The unranked Hurricane, off a loss, should be able to run on that iffy Cougars defense.
Southern Cal (-10) over ARIZONA STATE: Can't ignore the bounce-back factor for the Trojans, despite their road woes.
Oklahoma (-5½) over NEBRASKA: The Sooners, given the injuries and losses, have lowered their expectations, and it has worked. They can still play defense, and the Cornhuskers still seem in a fog.
UConn (+16½) over CINCINNATI: The Bearcats' win at Syracuse was closer than it looked, and we know the Huskies -- with covers at Baylor, West Virginia and Pitt -- will play till the end.
OFF THE GRID
MIAMI (-13½) over Virginia: It's about time the Huricanes start showing us something late in the year. One-point wins at Wake Forest won't do it.
CLEMSON (-8½) over Florida State: Whatever offense the Seminoles mount, their defense will give right back.
MICHIGAN (-6½) over Purdue: The Wolverines need one more win for bowl eligibility, and this is their best chance.

 

[Stu Padasso]

Dave Malinsky

Saturday 3-Pack

6* oregon State +7.5
5* south carolina +7
4* Maryland +7


2-8 Last Saturday College Football
1-4 Sunday NFL
0-2 NBA This week and 2-9 for the season

Hey this post looks familiar @)

ADD

4* Cincy -17
4* Syracuse/ Pitt Under 49
4* Duke 10

basketball 4W-14L and counting

 

[goldencontender]

Saturday College football System Club Play- GC

On Saturday the System club play is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Game 392 at 10:00 eastern. Hawaii is not as good as in past years,however they should be able to get this one today at home. Utah.St falls in to a negative system of mine that plays against certain road favorites off a road dog loss and cover if they are taking on an opponent off a road dog loss and cover.This system is 3-16 ats for road favorites like Utah.St since 1980. Both teams suffered tough road losses last week. This week Hawaii is a 2 point dog to a Utah.St team that has lost all 4 times on the road this year and the last 10 road games going back to 2007. They are just 1-6 against the spread as road favorites of less than 5 points. Hawaii has revenge for a loss last year in Utah where they actually had more yards 374-368. Look for a nice home win here tonight by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. On Saturday I have the 7 unit 2009 College football GAME OF THE YEAR. This big play is backed with 4 systems. One of which has cashed 24 of 25 times going back to 1980. I have cashed all three 7 unit plays released this year.The last one in bases back in July. This game leads a solid overall card that will have 4-5 solid system plays + NBA on the later report. The game goes in late afternoon action. For the System Club play take Hawaii plus the points bol GC.-