Service Plays Saturday 10/30/10

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Stanford 75 dimes

Western Mich. 10 dimes
UTEP 10 dimes
Kent st. 10 dimes
Florida 10 dimes
 

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Various picks and angles from OffshoreInsiders
ScoresOddsPicks has the (5) Michigan State (7-0) vs (19) Iowa (5-2) winner.

Sportsbook favorite: Iowa -6.5

Still no respect in the betting lines for Michigan State. The Spartans are underdogs on the road even though the hosting Iowa Hawkeyes have lost twice this year. Kirk Cousins has been outstanding for the Spartans, throwing 14 touchdown passes versus just four picks in 2010. Iowa has a great defense that should be tough to stop at home, so it will put Cousins and the Spartans to the test.

Also, Iowa quarterback Ricky Stanzi has been one of the nation’s best, most consistent quarterbacks this year. He’s greatly improved his efficiency and decision making, completing 68.1 per cent of his passes and posting an outstanding 16 to 2 TD:INT ration. He should beat a so-so Michigan State pass “D” that allows 250 plus yards per game. I like Iowa to dethrone Michigan State.

ScoresOddsPicks of OffshoreInsiders.com pick: Iowa -6.5

To best the NBA spread, here are some angles for bettors.

The Atlanta Hawks are in playing back-to-back nights and third game in four nights. Also in such unrested situations are both the Sacramento Kings and Cleveland Cavaliers, the New York Knicks, both the Philadelphia 76ers and Indiana Pacers, Detroit Pistons, both the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies, Denver Nuggets, Charlotte Bobcats and Milwaukee Bucks and the New Orleans Hornets.
Iowa State vs. Kansas

Iowa State has the more ample numbers in terms of yards per rush on offense by a margin of .4.

The Kansas Jayhawks produce more advantageous computations in terms of passing yards per completion by .8.

The yards per point measurement is one of the most effective against Vegas scores and odds. The more suitable numbers are the property of Iowa State by 4.8.

The strongest sports service bet on this game is from GodsTips has a Wise Guy side and a Wise Guy total, plus 11 Major plays in college football. Several tried and true angles and systems that our pro betting clients recognize apply today. Which team is clearly in uncharted waters? Which team will all but literally crap their pants Saturday? Which game will be decided by a ton of injuries? Which games are obvious bubble burst situations? What a portfolio for Saturday that unlocks these angles at OffshoreInsiders.com

Now to the defensive side of the ball utilizing the same tallies.

It’s a dead heat insofar as who reigns supreme in stopping the run.

Iowa State has the better decimals on defense in the passing yards per completion realm by .7.

A major facet of Performance Gap Analysis is yards per point. The more rock-solid on the defensive side of the ball in that grouping is Iowa State by 1.7. Iowa State has a humungous edge in turnovers by 13.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Purdue vs. Illinois
Contrasting the yards per rush figures on offense, the facts give the edge to Purdue by .5.

Insofar as passing yards per completion on offense, the computations favor Illinois by 1.9.

So many professional bettors make the most of yards per point. Offensively the more productive numbers are owned by the Illini by .3.

Of the many sports handicapping picks out there, the premier sports service advice today is from A worldwide point spread alert has been issued for professional gamblers. The historic winning of ScoresOddsPicks continues with one of the biggest best bets of 2010. It’s the Pac 10 Best Bet of the Year on Oregon at USC. The gurus who are expert in national TV games also have Missouri at Nebraska and Michigan State at Iowa. Don’t miss this worldwide alert at OffshoreInsiders.com

Defensively the more tightfisted unit against the run according to yards per rush is the Boilermakers by .1.

Yards per reception digits favor Purdue by .5.

Calculations on the yards per point math gives the upper hand to Purdue as well by .5.

Now to net turnover margin, the better squad has been Purdue by six.
Miami vs. Virginia

Contrasting the yards per rush figures on offense, the facts give the edge to Virginia by .5.

Insofar as passing yards per completion on offense, the computations say it’s a dead heat between the two.

So many professional bettors make the most of yards per point. Offensively the more productive numbers are owned by the Miami Hurricanes by 3.0

Defensively the more tightfisted unit against the run according to yards per rush is Miami of Florida by 1.0.

Yards per reception digits favor the Canes by .6.

Calculations on the yards per point math gives the upper hand to Miami but by just .1.

Now to net turnover margin, the better squad has been Miami by a whopping 10.
Oregon vs. USC
Commencing with the yards per carry data, the higher rated offense is the Oregon Ducks by .6.

On the same side of the line of scrimmage, yards per reception gives the upper hand to the Ducks by .5.

Sharp football bettors exploit yards per point. The more productive unit with the ball in their hands is Oregon by 2.7.

We differentiate the information on defense in a moment but first of all, the biggest sports handicapper betting pick in the handicapping industry on this game is from ScoresOddsPicks a worldwide point spread alert has been issued for professional gamblers. The historic winning of ScoresOddsPicks continues with one of the biggest best bets of 2010. It’s the Pac 10 Best Bet of the Year on Oregon at USC. The gurus who are expert in national TV games also have Missouri at Nebraska and Michigan State at Iowa. Don’t miss this worldwide alert at OffshoreInsiders.com

In stopping rushing attacks, the higher ranked defense according to rushing yards per attempt is Oregon by .6.

The stingier defense in terms of yards per pass catch would be 2.9.

The more disruptive defense making use of yards per point enlightenment is that of Oregon as well by 4.1.

On the better side of turnover ratio is the Ducks by six.

Matt Rivers has Texas laying seven to Baylor.

Robert Griffin is phenomenal and the Baylor Bears are in the midst of their best season in a long long time but only laying a touchdown in Austin with what is still the far superior team in Texas is just crazy.

Mack Brown’s team has been awful at times this season. The loss at home to UCLA was horrific and the last game defeat to Iowa State was probably even worse. UT is not what it used to be, that’s fairly obvious, but these guys are still very talented and this number is way too cheap to pass up.

Just a few weeks ago Texas won as the 10 point dog in Lincoln against a very good, if not great, Nebraska team so the upside is there. Guys like Fozzy Whitaker, James Kirkendoll and Tre Newton are blue chip talented guys. Garrett Gilbert is not Colt McCoy but the kid can run and throw and is not bad at all. He has experienced some growing pains but Gilbert is more than serviceable and will grow into himself being very very good in the end.

Despite the recent poor play and lack of confidence this game is still “Texas” in Austin against “Baylor”. It is a bargain basement price no matter how great and dynamic Griffin is. The Longhorn players are embarassed and it appears that their head coach has put his foot down demanding a lot more passion and energy and I really believe that the guys will come out and prove it on the field. The Bears are solid and have a ton of offensive potential but they are about to feel the wrath of an angry team that will play with some fire and motivation.

In the end the ‘Horns are still clearly the faster, stronger and better team and at home to lay single digits is a must play, period.

Matt Rivers pick: Texas
 
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KELSO

FOOTBALL
3 units Florida +2.5
3 units Missouri +7.5 v. Nebraska
3 units Oregon -7 @ USC
5 units Iowa State -18.5 v. Kansas
5 units Arkansas -20.5 v. Vandy
10 units Michigan State +6.5 @ Iowa
25 units Louisville +9.5 @ Pitt
50 units Houston -13.5 @ Memphis
100 units Hawaii -15 v. Idaho

BASES
3 UNIT* Texas Rangers -155 v. San Francisco
 

Bulldog Mentality
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Northcoast 4* total SMU/Tulane OVER 54
 
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Ben Burns

DUKE (+13 or better)

*9
MISSISSIPPI (+6 or better)

*9
UNDER usc/oregon (70 or better)

*10
IOWA (-7 or better)

*10
PITTSBURGH (-10 or better)

*10
 
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Ben Burns MLB



TEXAS

Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers Game Time: 10/30/2010 6:55:00 PM Prediction: Texas Rangers Reason: I'm playing on TEXAS. *10
 
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Wiseguy edge. #2 at sports monitor

2.5 Florida* - WiseGuy Edge Play
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Analysis - The annual cocktail party is usually one of the biggest games of the year but neither Florida or Georgia have met expectations so far.*The Gators (4-3,2-4 ATS) have struggled adjusting to life without Tim Tebow and have not been able to find any rhythm offensively. *With two weeks off to prepare and rest up a bit, the Florida defense that’s been stunningly inconsistent this year, but is still allowing under 300 yards per game, should be able to take away the Georgia passing game.* Georgia (4-4, 4-4 ATS) is finally starting to play better and has won three in a row. QB Aaron Murray has been efficient and effective, but that’s partly been a function of a running game that’s taking all the pressure off. *Florida might be having problems, but the pass defense has been fantastic (although, LSU, shockingly, found a way to make it work) allowing just 167 yards per game while ranking 11th in the nation in pass efficiency defense. The Gators are going to stack the line and force Murray to win the game though the air, and while he’ll win a few battles, the consistency isn’t going to be there like it’s been over the last few weeks. Offensively, the Gator attack should get a little bit of life with suspended star Chris Rainey possibly back in the mix. Look for Florida to play it's best game of the year and make it three in a row against Georgia.*
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Projected Score** Georgia 17 Florida 24
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-23.5 Oklahoma - Double Play
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Analysis - *After becoming another national championship front-runner to lose in recent weeks, the 11th-ranked Sooners look to bounce back with a third straight home win over struggling Colorado in the rivals' final matchup as Big 12 members Saturday night.* Oklahoma is coming off *a 36-27 loss at then-No. 18 Missouri last Saturday. The Sooners (6-1, 3-4 ATS) followed Ohio State and Alabama, both No. 1 in the AP poll, to lose over a span of three straight Saturdays. The defeat dropped Oklahoma to ninth in the BCS standings.* Landry Jones had thrown three interceptions in the previous six games, but had two against the Tigers. Still, he's thrown for 637 yards and six touchdowns in the last two contests. Colorado (3-4, 3-4 ATS) is coming off a close loss to Texas Tech and has allowed an average of 190.0 yards on the ground the last four games. The Buffaloes could face a more difficult challenge without leading tackler Jon Major. *Though Oklahoma yielded season highs for points and total yards (486) against Missouri, its defense could be in for a better effort against a Colorado squad also without injured starting quarterback Tyler Hansen(ruptured spleen). *The Sooners were embarrassed in front of the entire country last week and should have plenty of motivation to play better against the Buffalos. Expect Oklahoma to bounce back and absolutely dominate Colorado in a complete rout. **
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Projected Score* Colorado 14* Oklahoma 63
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-7 Texas*- Double Play
Analysis - *Baylor (6-2, 4-3 ATS) enters this week with a surprising lead in its division and a ranking for the first time since 1993. Equally shocking are the struggles of the 25th-ranked Bears' next opponent. Texas (4-2, 2-5 ATS) entered this year with nine consecutive seasons of at least 10 wins, but have been humbled after dropping three of four including an embarrassing 21-28 loss to Iowa State. *To keep the streak going, they'll need to win their remaining five contests and a bowl game. *Baylor hopes to extend Texas' rare home losing streak to three while ending a 12-game skid to the Longhorns as the teams meet Saturday in Austin. Last week's 47-42 victory over Kansas State, though, pushed the Bears atop the Big 12 South - a half-game in front of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State - and one more win would give Baylor a program high for conference victories. *Baylor hasn't won three straight since Sept. 9-22, 2007 - and has never won three straight in Big 12 play in a single season- but boasts an offense that ranks fifth nationally both overall (510.8 yards per game) and passing (314.3). The Bears have also struggled at times to keep opponents off the scoreboard and have given up at least 25 points four times.* The Longhorns are capable of playing much better and should look like a different team this week. The Bears finally run out of gas and fall flat against the Horns.* **
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Projected Score* Baylor 16* Texas 34
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-7 Clemson - Double Play
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Analysis - *Clemson (4-3, 3-3 ATS) has regrouped from a slow start and won consecutive games over Maryland and Georgia Tech, the latter earning revenge for last year’s ACC championship game defeat. They are led by QB Kyle Parker who completed 17 of 27 passes last week. *They’ll hit the road, where they’ve yet to win in 2010, looking to keep faint hopes for another Atlantic Division crown alive. Boston College (2-5,1-5 ATS) has lost five games in a row are trying to recover from losing multiple starters to injury. The Eagles fell late to Maryland last week and almost pulled off the upset against Florida state two weeks ago but fell short to the Terrapins 24-21. The Eagles offense is ranked 104th nationally and will face even more pressure to score after losing two more defensive starters to injury last week.* Clemson has too much talent for the Eagles and will not have any trouble moving the ball against their banged up defense.* Look for the Tigers to cruise to their first road win.

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Projected Score* Clemson 35* Boston College* 17* ****

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-7.5 Nebraska - Double Play

Analysis - After clinching their best start in 50 years, the No. 7 Tigers will try to stay unbeaten when they travel to 14th-ranked Nebraska in the schools' final matchup as Big 12 rivals Saturday. Missouri (7-0, 3-4 ATS) knocked off one nemesis last Saturday with a 36-27 upset of then-BCS leading Oklahoma. While Tigers coach Gary Pinkel gave his team one day to bask in that victory, he admitted to already thinking about the Cornhuskers hours after beating the Sooners. The win allowed Missouri climbed to sixth in the BCS standings, and a victory over Nebraska (6-1, 2-1) could push the Tigers higher.* It might be more difficult for Missouri to top last week's performance, especially on offense. The Tigers gained a season-high 486 yards with 308 through the air from quarterback Blaine Gabbert. Nebraska (6-1, 3-3) is coming off a 51-41 over No. 17 Oklahoma State and got a huge performance from QB Taylor Martinez. The freshman threw for 323 yards after topping 140 just once in his first six games. Martinez also ran for a team-best 112 yards, giving him 870 this season - 10th most in FBS. *The Cornhuskers face a defense that's given up at least 240 passing yards in the past four games, but is fifth nationally allowing 13.1 points per contest. This year's matchup will mark the final time the schools meet regularly as Nebraska joins the Big Ten in 2011. The Cornhuskers will try for a better performance at home than in their previous two games there. In Big 12 play, they've won seven straight road games but have dropped three of five in Lincoln, including a 20-13 defeat to Texas on Oct. 16 in which they didn't score an offensive touchdown. The Cornhuskers are looking to make up for their last home loss and are catching the Tigers at the right time. The Tigers will still be on cloud nine after knocking off #1 Oklahoma and will not be ready to play another big game.* Nebraska will force Missouri out of its comfort zone and win this game by forcing multiple turnovers.
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Projected Score* Missouri 21* Nebraska* 45* *

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+6 Kentucky - Double Play
Analysis - *Mississippi State (6-2, 4-3 ATS) is finally starting to cruise under second year coach Dan Mullen.* The Bulldogs have won five straight, earning bowl eligibility for the first time since 2007, but Saturday's victory wasn't pretty. UAB outgained Mississippi State 207-103 in the first half, and briefly took a 24-23 lead after a touchdown with 10:16 remaining in the game. Kentucky (4-4, 5-3 ATS) has been up and down this season with solid wins over South Carolina and Louisville.* The Wildcats are ranked 23rd nationally in offense and rely primarily on do everything QB Mike Hartline. The UK pass defense has been solid allowing just 177 yards per game through the air, and MSU’s anemic passing game isn’t going to push that envelope. LB Danny Trevathan and the UK defensive front isn’t great at getting into the backfield, and it hasn’t always been a brick wall against the run, but it did a relatively decent job against everyone but Auburn. The Wildcats wouldn’t mind making this a shootout and could do a decent job against the mediocre Bulldog secondary. Kentucky is 4-0 when it allows 28 points or fewer so expect the streak to continue to 5-0 with a win over Mississippi State.
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Projected Score* Kentucky 17* Mississippi State 15*
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+6.5 USC - Double Play
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Projected Score* Oregon 21* USC 31 *
 
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OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV PRIMETIME INJURY INTANGIBLE (Auburn -7 at Mississippi in a 6:05 eastern kickoff televised nationally on ESPN2): It was one week ago when my personal top-rated wager went “against” a favored squad that had 5 different offensive linemen banged up as they ended up losing outright in front of the home fans. The particular pick is similar as Mississippi is banged-up across the offensive line which I will detail later in this analysis segment. Of course it is dangerous to side with a #1 ranked BCS contingent as we have already seen three top-ranked squads suffer upset losses. But the fact of the matter is that Auburn still has something to prove as this will be only their 3rd true road affair of the season. Certainly the Tigers have a quarterback worthy of Heisman chatter as Cam Newton actually has a chance to become just the second player in Division I history to both pass-and-rush for 20 touchdowns in the same season. The only player to ever achieve that was Tim Tebow back in 2007 was he snared the Heisman Trophy. It is ironic that Newton has a chance to reach his historic level because he used to be a signal-caller at Florida before becoming involved with acquiring a stolen computer. After being banished from Division I for a short time, Newton had a choice of which college to attend and he actually leaned towards Mississippi State whose current head coach used to be Florida’s offensive coordinator. But it was Newton’s father who suggested Auburn primarily because the Tigers had a VETERAN offensive line that was returning 4 starters. Thus we have another ironic twist this evening as Newton is visiting the state of Mississippi that he ultimately turned down. We also have a mental battle between current Auburn offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn and Ole Miss head coach Houston Nutt who reportedly clashed when Malzahn was hired to run his offense back in 2006. Ever since Nutt has been a head coach in the Southeast Conference SIX different times his teams have finished the late part of the schedule with either a 4-1 or 5-0 mark. In addition Nutt has beaten 21 different “ranked” opponents in league play, 14 times as an underdog. In yet another ironic twist Mississippi is also starting a quarterback who got into trouble and was kicked out of a major college program. Out of either respect for Houston Nutt or due to three weeks of upsets, the line on tonight’s game has actually “dropped” from the opening figure (8’ points) so we have a BCS number-one at a slight value and I am taking advantage. As mentioned at the top of this analysis segment Ole Miss is dealing with INJURIES to their offensive line as a pair of them have been ruled OUT of tonight’s game with ankle injuries. To make matters even worse Ole Miss center A.J. Hawkins has been slowed with a shoulder problem and is not 100%. On the other side of the football Rebels defensive back Damien Jackson (knee) is listed as doubtful. If not for the exploits of Cam Newton, there would be Heisman talk at Auburn surrounding defensive tackle Nick Fairley who leads the entire Southeast Conference with 17 “tackles for loss”. Even though the Auburn defense was banged up last Saturday, they still were able to control the then undefeated LSU Tigers which was impressive. In the past three years Auburn is an unscathed 6-0 ATS following a game where the offense generated 300+ yards on the ground. Do I hear 7-0 ATS anyone?!
 
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Bookie Assassin

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Richie Carrera
Michigan
Arizona
Georgia
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Kansas
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AZ state
UNC
 

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