Wiseguy edge. #2 at sports monitor
2.5 Florida* - WiseGuy Edge Play
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Analysis - The annual cocktail party is usually one of the biggest games of the year but neither Florida or Georgia have met expectations so far.*The Gators (4-3,2-4 ATS) have struggled adjusting to life without Tim Tebow and have not been able to find any rhythm offensively. *With two weeks off to prepare and rest up a bit, the Florida defense that’s been stunningly inconsistent this year, but is still allowing under 300 yards per game, should be able to take away the Georgia passing game.* Georgia (4-4, 4-4 ATS) is finally starting to play better and has won three in a row. QB Aaron Murray has been efficient and effective, but that’s partly been a function of a running game that’s taking all the pressure off. *Florida might be having problems, but the pass defense has been fantastic (although, LSU, shockingly, found a way to make it work) allowing just 167 yards per game while ranking 11th in the nation in pass efficiency defense. The Gators are going to stack the line and force Murray to win the game though the air, and while he’ll win a few battles, the consistency isn’t going to be there like it’s been over the last few weeks. Offensively, the Gator attack should get a little bit of life with suspended star Chris Rainey possibly back in the mix. Look for Florida to play it's best game of the year and make it three in a row against Georgia.*
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Projected Score** Georgia 17 Florida 24
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-23.5 Oklahoma - Double Play
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Analysis - *After becoming another national championship front-runner to lose in recent weeks, the 11th-ranked Sooners look to bounce back with a third straight home win over struggling Colorado in the rivals' final matchup as Big 12 members Saturday night.* Oklahoma is coming off *a 36-27 loss at then-No. 18 Missouri last Saturday. The Sooners (6-1, 3-4 ATS) followed Ohio State and Alabama, both No. 1 in the AP poll, to lose over a span of three straight Saturdays. The defeat dropped Oklahoma to ninth in the BCS standings.* Landry Jones had thrown three interceptions in the previous six games, but had two against the Tigers. Still, he's thrown for 637 yards and six touchdowns in the last two contests. Colorado (3-4, 3-4 ATS) is coming off a close loss to Texas Tech and has allowed an average of 190.0 yards on the ground the last four games. The Buffaloes could face a more difficult challenge without leading tackler Jon Major. *Though Oklahoma yielded season highs for points and total yards (486) against Missouri, its defense could be in for a better effort against a Colorado squad also without injured starting quarterback Tyler Hansen(ruptured spleen). *The Sooners were embarrassed in front of the entire country last week and should have plenty of motivation to play better against the Buffalos. Expect Oklahoma to bounce back and absolutely dominate Colorado in a complete rout. **
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Projected Score* Colorado 14* Oklahoma 63
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-7 Texas*- Double Play
Analysis - *Baylor (6-2, 4-3 ATS) enters this week with a surprising lead in its division and a ranking for the first time since 1993. Equally shocking are the struggles of the 25th-ranked Bears' next opponent. Texas (4-2, 2-5 ATS) entered this year with nine consecutive seasons of at least 10 wins, but have been humbled after dropping three of four including an embarrassing 21-28 loss to Iowa State. *To keep the streak going, they'll need to win their remaining five contests and a bowl game. *Baylor hopes to extend Texas' rare home losing streak to three while ending a 12-game skid to the Longhorns as the teams meet Saturday in Austin. Last week's 47-42 victory over Kansas State, though, pushed the Bears atop the Big 12 South - a half-game in front of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State - and one more win would give Baylor a program high for conference victories. *Baylor hasn't won three straight since Sept. 9-22, 2007 - and has never won three straight in Big 12 play in a single season- but boasts an offense that ranks fifth nationally both overall (510.8 yards per game) and passing (314.3). The Bears have also struggled at times to keep opponents off the scoreboard and have given up at least 25 points four times.* The Longhorns are capable of playing much better and should look like a different team this week. The Bears finally run out of gas and fall flat against the Horns.* **
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Projected Score* Baylor 16* Texas 34
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-7 Clemson - Double Play
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Analysis - *Clemson (4-3, 3-3 ATS) has regrouped from a slow start and won consecutive games over Maryland and Georgia Tech, the latter earning revenge for last year’s ACC championship game defeat. They are led by QB Kyle Parker who completed 17 of 27 passes last week. *They’ll hit the road, where they’ve yet to win in 2010, looking to keep faint hopes for another Atlantic Division crown alive. Boston College (2-5,1-5 ATS) has lost five games in a row are trying to recover from losing multiple starters to injury. The Eagles fell late to Maryland last week and almost pulled off the upset against Florida state two weeks ago but fell short to the Terrapins 24-21. The Eagles offense is ranked 104th nationally and will face even more pressure to score after losing two more defensive starters to injury last week.* Clemson has too much talent for the Eagles and will not have any trouble moving the ball against their banged up defense.* Look for the Tigers to cruise to their first road win.
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Projected Score* Clemson 35* Boston College* 17* ****
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-7.5 Nebraska - Double Play
Analysis - After clinching their best start in 50 years, the No. 7 Tigers will try to stay unbeaten when they travel to 14th-ranked Nebraska in the schools' final matchup as Big 12 rivals Saturday. Missouri (7-0, 3-4 ATS) knocked off one nemesis last Saturday with a 36-27 upset of then-BCS leading Oklahoma. While Tigers coach Gary Pinkel gave his team one day to bask in that victory, he admitted to already thinking about the Cornhuskers hours after beating the Sooners. The win allowed Missouri climbed to sixth in the BCS standings, and a victory over Nebraska (6-1, 2-1) could push the Tigers higher.* It might be more difficult for Missouri to top last week's performance, especially on offense. The Tigers gained a season-high 486 yards with 308 through the air from quarterback Blaine Gabbert. Nebraska (6-1, 3-3) is coming off a 51-41 over No. 17 Oklahoma State and got a huge performance from QB Taylor Martinez. The freshman threw for 323 yards after topping 140 just once in his first six games. Martinez also ran for a team-best 112 yards, giving him 870 this season - 10th most in FBS. *The Cornhuskers face a defense that's given up at least 240 passing yards in the past four games, but is fifth nationally allowing 13.1 points per contest. This year's matchup will mark the final time the schools meet regularly as Nebraska joins the Big Ten in 2011. The Cornhuskers will try for a better performance at home than in their previous two games there. In Big 12 play, they've won seven straight road games but have dropped three of five in Lincoln, including a 20-13 defeat to Texas on Oct. 16 in which they didn't score an offensive touchdown. The Cornhuskers are looking to make up for their last home loss and are catching the Tigers at the right time. The Tigers will still be on cloud nine after knocking off #1 Oklahoma and will not be ready to play another big game.* Nebraska will force Missouri out of its comfort zone and win this game by forcing multiple turnovers.
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Projected Score* Missouri 21* Nebraska* 45* *
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+6 Kentucky - Double Play
Analysis - *Mississippi State (6-2, 4-3 ATS) is finally starting to cruise under second year coach Dan Mullen.* The Bulldogs have won five straight, earning bowl eligibility for the first time since 2007, but Saturday's victory wasn't pretty. UAB outgained Mississippi State 207-103 in the first half, and briefly took a 24-23 lead after a touchdown with 10:16 remaining in the game. Kentucky (4-4, 5-3 ATS) has been up and down this season with solid wins over South Carolina and Louisville.* The Wildcats are ranked 23rd nationally in offense and rely primarily on do everything QB Mike Hartline. The UK pass defense has been solid allowing just 177 yards per game through the air, and MSU’s anemic passing game isn’t going to push that envelope. LB Danny Trevathan and the UK defensive front isn’t great at getting into the backfield, and it hasn’t always been a brick wall against the run, but it did a relatively decent job against everyone but Auburn. The Wildcats wouldn’t mind making this a shootout and could do a decent job against the mediocre Bulldog secondary. Kentucky is 4-0 when it allows 28 points or fewer so expect the streak to continue to 5-0 with a win over Mississippi State.
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Projected Score* Kentucky 17* Mississippi State 15*
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+6.5 USC - Double Play
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Projected Score* Oregon 21* USC 31 *