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Duke + 10 ** TOP Play ACC GOY**
at Vanderbilt Saturday 3 pm et
This little gem of a system we call our Dble Conf Rd Loser.
It popped up last year for the first time in 4 seasons and
won for us, bringing it's 28 yr tally to 17-3...85%
Play AGAINST any college home fav in this spread range
and with Vandy's WL% or better, who is off back to back
conference road losses, and our play against team must
have scored 28 or less in the most recent of the 2 straight
conf road losses, and our Play On team must have at least
Dukes WL% and must be playing with revenge...whew
Duke's QB Thaddeus Lewis ranks second in the ACC in
passing. Duke returned 17 starters, (including 10 on defense),
the most in the ACC.
Commodores only returned 9 starters this season, with just
3 on offense, which has hampered their scoring this year.
Vandy in a really rough spot, playing off 4 conf games and
with a huge conf revenge game on deck vs Florida.
Duke 4-1 before playing Wake Forest.
Vandy 1-12 as home favs of 10 or less pts when coming off
a SU loss and playing vs a less than .500 team & a perfect
0-10 as non-conf home favs of less than 17 pts.
BYU OVER 56.5 Total of the Week
vs UNLV 2 pm et
A little deja vu from last week. This is like our Over winner
with Houston last week when we were looking at the side
and opted for the Over as the better play.
There's a rather simplistic winning strategy to:
PLAY Against any .400 or better favorite who lost SU in a
conf gm the previous Thursday. Since 1980, 28-8 ats.
We're going to pass this. BYU hopefully will erupt here
vs a weak foe coming home off the blowout embarrassing
32-7 loss at TCU in the National TV game last Thursday.
(and we rate BYU a 29 pt favorite).
Hard to back the Rebels as UNLV allowed 500+ yds last
week. The "defense" has caved, which has UNLV reeling
and on a 3 gm slide. They have allowed 119 pts their last
3 games, all losses, and close to a 40 ppg allowed avg.
This is a veteran laden UNLV offense, scoring 27(+) in 5 of
their 7 gms, with 21 & 23 pts in the other two, and Unlv is
perfect in the red zone so far.
BYU was shut down last week by the great speed of TCU’s
defense. The going will be a lot easier here at home vs a
team lacking in defense. BYU dropped 52 pts vs UNLV the
last time they met in Provo..deja vu would not be a surprise.
Georgia Tech -12 Blowout GOW
vs Virginia 3:30 pm et
This just looks like a "shock" spot for Virginia. The Cavs
have been just tenacious in 3 home games in a row. Va
has banged out THREE straight home underdog wins vs
3 good teams. The last win was a gritty 16-13 besting of
N Carolina. A decieving and emotional win . Va was held
to just 3 pts for about 58 mins before getting a late TD to
send the gm to OT. Now they have to pack there stuff and
travel to Atlanta to face a Ga Tech team that hasn't lost
ATS all year. Va lost badly in both road games this year
by a combined score of 76-13. This game is like a speed
bump, as the Cavs return home off this solo trip to face
Mia-Fla.
Tech's new offense and new coach have been churning out
a sweet 248 ypg on the ground. That, teamed with a great
defense, has them at 6-1 so far. Georgia Tech is allowing
just 11 ppg. Ga Tech will be stoked for thier home coming
& will just jump on a road shocked Virginia team. In their 2
lined home games, GT has outscored their opponents 65-7.
This looks like a game Ga Tech should win by 3 TD's. It's
just not a spot where it looks like Virginia can possibly put
out a good effort. We'll take a shot playing off our hot streak
and go with the flow, as the home team is 8-1-1 ats last 10
in the series. Va 1-4 as a 4(+) dog vs a team with revenge.
Ohio State +3 Underdog GOW
vs Penn St 8 pm et
Strong home / road dichotomy situation to:
Play AGAINST road teams off of 14+ home win, opponent
off of a double digit road win, line in this range.
Overall Record: 36-12 .......75% for 17 seasons.
A game with BIG implications. This will most likely decide
the Big Ten title and a possible BCS championship spot.
Penn St has not won at Ohio St since joining the Big Ten.
A bit of a misleading final last week for Penn St. The Lions
snapped a long losing vs Michigan last week with their big
win, so the Lions have a better chance of the letdown. Last
week’s win for Penn St was a blowout final, but Penn St
struggled considerably before pouring it on late.
The Buckeye's excel in these projected tough games with
a 27-13-1 their L41 as home favs of 7 or less, including a
a 21-10 mark S1992 with a line of +3 to -3...68% for 16yrs,
including a perfect 4-0 mark the L3 seasons.
Ohio St a remarkable 13-1-1 in their 2nd to last home
game of the season...thats 93% for 15 seasons, while the
host in this series has covered 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Penn St is 0-7 at Ohio St since ’93 ...