Strike Point
5-Unit Play. #313 Take Georgia Tech -5.5 over Virginia (10/24 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
A lot see this game as a letdown for Tech, but you can throw out the first month of the season for Virginia, because the Cavs are undefeated in ACC play, and that means in this a must win for the Yellow Jackets if they want to continue their push towards the conference title and a BCS game. And so far, nearly everyone has failed to stop Paul Johnson's dynamic triple option, as he has athletes and weapons all over in this brilliant system. After running over the likes of Mississippi State, Florida State and Virginia Tech in consecutive weeks, I just cannot see Virginia doing anything either. Tech is too locked in, and in every facet of the game this team is playing so well. Lay the number, Georgia Tech comes through with another impressive ACC win.
5-Unit Play. #382 Take Kansas State -4.5 over Colorado (10/24 Saturday - 12:30 p.m. EST)
This is not an overraction to the Wildcats' monster scoreline last week over Texas A&M, but simply following suit with what these two teams have shown this year. On the road this year Colorado has been one of the worst teams in the country. 0-3 away from Boulder, they have been outscored by 51 points on the road. Kansas State is 3-0 at home and have outscored opponents by 94 points in Manhattan. And let me just say the point differential this week won't be that drastic, but the success and failure on the road for Colorado and at home for Kansas State is too obvious to ignore. That, and Colorado never should have even won last week had it not been for a dropped TD pass by stud wide out Desmond Briscoe for Kansas. Touchdown victory for KSU.
5-Unit Play. #343 Take Louisiana Tech +1 over Utah State (10/24 Saturday - 3 p.m. EST)
I have not seen anything all season from Utah State to think they can knock off a more than solid Bulldogs team in this WAC match-up. Louisiana Tech has responded nicely after two road losses to begin the season by winning three of their last four overall. With Ross Jenkins under center and Daniel Porter running the ball, Louisana Tech has a very nice duo in the backfield and can put up some points. And the Aggies can allow some points, giving up nearly 33 per game. The trends hold up and La Tech gets back over .500 and perhaps push towards a bowl birth just the same.
5-Unit Play. #365 Take Idaho +15.5 over Nevada (10/24 Saturday - 4:05 p.m. EST)
Just cash, baby. All the Vandels have done this year is go 6-1 to start the year and cover all seven spreads in the process. And I for one don't care a bit that Nevada rung up 100 points in their last two home games in league play. Nevada hasn't played well against legit competition, so no reason to hop off the Idaho train just yet. The Wolfpack struggled against Missouri and Notre Dame, and even Colorado State, so even though Idaho is their own team, Nevada has not shown the same moxy against winning teams. Just because they are back in Reno, it doesn't automatically translate into success. Maybe this line suggests that it will, but we are not sold on that idea. Winning breeds confidence, and right now there might not be a more confidence and swagger boasting team than Idaho, and we back them again.
6-Unit Play. Game of the Month. #372 Take Toledo -2.5 over Temple (10/24 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)
The injury that has not been factored into this line is the return of Toledo's quarterback and top player Aaron Opelt. After missing essentially the last two games, expect the Rockets and the offense to get back to racking up the yards and scoring points at home. Opelt and his 14 TDs is a big time threat in the MAC and really makes this offense go. Scoring over 33 points per game at home, Toledo will be too much for a Temple team, likely minus starting running back Bernard Pierce, that is only scoring a couple of touchdowns on the road. This one could start to get ugly in the second half. Toledo by double figures.
5-Unit Play. #383 Take Iowa PK over Michigan State (10/24 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)
This isn't the week the Hawkeyes suffer their first defeat. Iowa continues to get the job done and rack up the wins. Just because it isn't pretty doesn't mean it is not effective. Iowa is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. winning teams, and I am still not thoroughly convinced that the success Michigan State has had is legit enough to pull off the upset. The Hawkeyes return to Iowa City 8-0