THE PREZ
Illinois @ Indiana
PICK: Over 53.5
Expect Ron Zook and the Illini to make a statement on Saturday, and while the Illinois coaching staff has not announced if Juice Williams or Eddie McGee will start at quarterback this week against Indiana, the obvious answer is Williams. The Illini's only win this season is over FCS member Illinois State, the defense has been a disaster and a move to start McGee over Williams backfired in a HUGE way. All of that changes this week against a good Indiana team, but one that can't match the team speed of Illinois. It is time for Zook to open the playbook and let Williams do his thing, and a matchup against a porous Hoosier defense is just what the good doctor ordered.
It has been extremely painful to watch, what can only be described as stunningly unexplainable, the collapse for Williams, Illinois’ all-time leader in total offense who was benched last weekend after 38 straight starts. Williams’ 324 total yards per game led the Big Ten in total offense a year ago by nearly 80 yards. This season Williams is averaging 126 yards/game through the air and 37.0 yards rushing and has only three touchdowns. The Illini scored 55 against IU a year ago and Virginia was one of the nation’s most anemic offenses statistically last week before it scored 47 on the Hoosiers.
The Illini are 41-16 ATS when they score 28 or more points and the Hoosiers are 2-9 ATS when they allow 28 or more points, this over the last two seasons. Indiana loses by an average margin of 35 points in these scenarios and Illinois wins by nearly 21. In both situations the average final combined score exceeds 68 points.
Neither defense has much to offer in this contest, and the weather in Indiana on Saturday night is expected to be football-perfect. Make a play to the OVER and watch the points mount as quickly as the minutes on the game clock click away.
5* Play on the OVER