Service Plays Saturday 10/17/09

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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saminsocal · Oct 16, 2009

Norm Hitzges CFB Saturday 64-72 YTD

Double Plays
· Fresno –19.5 vs San Jose
· Ohio State –13 vs Purdue
· NC State +2 vs BC
Single Plays
· Temple –10 Army
· North Texas pk vs Florida Atlantic
· Ohio –14 vs Miami, OH
· Houston –16 vs Tulane
· Nebraska –11 vs Texas Tech
· TCU –22 vs Colorado State
· Northwestern +14.5 vs Michigan St.
· Colorado +10 vs Kansas
· Arkansas +26 vs Florida
· Idaho –8 vs Hawaii
· Pittsburgh –5.5 vs Rutgers

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>Goodfella Sat wknd play-- I won't be around, can someone copy and paste in Sat plays tomorrow? Thx!

Double-dime bets:
Alabama -17 S Carolina
W Michigan +7 C Michigan
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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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Early plays by Michael Alexander for Saturday 10/17
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>These are Alexander's early games...1 is his Big XII Game of the Week:

<LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE>  </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Saturday, October 17, 2009<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Oklahoma vs. Texas (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 3/-113 Oklahoma PLAY TITLE: BIG-12 GAME OF THE WEEK <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 3 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) with an excellent rushing D allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game is 45-16 ATS since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]NorthWestern vs. Michigan State (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 14/-107 NorthWestern Play Title: Play on Northwestern <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NORTHWESTERN) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games is 99-42 ATS over the last 10 seasons<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]MICHIGAN ST is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Wyoming vs. Air Force (NCAAF) - 2:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 10.5/-109 Wyoming Play Title: Play on Wyoming <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]WYOMING is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]AIR FORCE is 15-39 ATS (-27.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]AIR FORCE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game since 1992.<O

></O

>[/FONT]
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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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Michael Alexander's 2 Big Afternoon Games for 10/17
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>
<LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE>  </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Houston U vs. Tulane (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 17/-105 Tulane PLAY TITLE: CFB GAME OF THE MONTH <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]RATING: 4 UNITS<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing against a road team (HOUSTON) who has been outrushed by their opponents by 1.25+ yards/carry on the season, after allowing 6 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games is 35-10 ATS since 1992<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after being outrushed by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 6:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 3/-106 Georgia Tech PLAY TITLE: ACC CASH PLAY <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]RATING: 3 UNITS<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing against a road team (VIRGINIA TECH) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games is 28-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]GEORGIA TECH HC Johnson is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992.
[/FONT]

All these plays are confirmed by me.

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>Guys these are DR BOBs plays 4 the weekend

Rotation #118 Michigan State (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -16.
Rotation #134 Temple (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -12.
Rotation #148 Alabama (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from 17 1/2 to 19.
Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Rotation #173 Hawaii (+9 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 4-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +5.
Rotation #200 Fresno State (-19) 2-Stars at -21 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #125 Baylor (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +2, 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #140 Ohio (-13 1/2) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Southern Miss (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #190 UCF (+15) Strong Opinion at +14 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +16.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #194 SMU (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more
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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

10-16-2009, 01:25 PM </TD><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid" align=right> #60 <INPUT id=plist_7126238 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 5px; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; PADDING-TOP: 0px" type=checkbox value=0 name=plist[7126238] inlineModID="inlineMod"> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>newty81<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_7126238", true); </SCRIPT>
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Michael Alexander's Night Games for 10/17
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>Good luck to all....

<LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE>  </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]South Carolina vs. Alabama (NCAAF) - 7:45 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: -17.5/-103 Alabama PLAY TITLE: SEC POWER PLAY <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (S CAROLINA) who are off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival is 31-9 ATS since 1992<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]ALABAMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]ALABAMA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<O

></O

>
[/FONT]<LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE>  </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Kansas vs. Colorado (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: 10/-111 Colorado Play Title: Play on Colorado <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins is 77-34 ATS over the last 10 seasons<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]KANSAS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]KANSAS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.<O

></O

>

[/FONT]<LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE>  </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Navy vs. SMU (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: -7/-111 Navy Play Title: Play on Navy <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]NAVY is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]NAVY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]NAVY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Handicapper: Michael Alexander<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Washington U vs. Arizona State (NCAAF) - 10:15 PM EDT Premium Play<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-107 Arizona State Play Title: Play on Arizona State <O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Rating: 2 Units<O></O>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Playing on home favorites (ARIZONA ST) who are off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less is 57-24 ATS since 1992<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.<O

></O

>
[/FONT][FONT=&quot]ARIZONA ST is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.<O

></O

>
[/FONT]
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FGators · Oct 16, 2009

Tim Sullivan-NY Post Handicapper (decent fade)

RUTGERS (+3) over Pitt: Speaking of Cincinnati, seven weeks later, the Knights get a chance to show the nation the Bearcat Labor Day Disaster was a fluke.

SATURDAY

Ohio State (-13½) over PURDUE: The Bucks' less-than-stellar cover vs. Wisconsin last week will have Jim Tressel more than focused against the turnover-happy Boilers.

WISCONSIN (-2½) over Iowa: On the flip side, the Badgers played well enough to earn a moral victory vs. Ohio State. Now, they can shoot for the victories that count.

UCONN (-13) over Louisville: The Huskies play hard, home and road, and will have total focus after the collapse at Pitt last week.

PENN STATE (-17) over Minnesota: The Lions finally have gotten it going on offense, and should be able to contain the Gophers' overrated passing game.

BOSTON COLLEGE (-2½) over N.C. State: Good at home, bad on the road: The 2009 Boston College Eagles. This one is in Chestnut Hill.

FLORIDA (-25) over Arkansas: Points aplenty, but we don't foresee many scores out of that improved Razors offense. Remember, Alabama beat Arkansas by 28. The hefty points looked good before that game, too.

NOTRE DAME (+10) over Southern Cal: A coming-out party of sorts for the Irish, perhaps. The defense scares us, but Jimmy Clausen and Co. should be able to dent the scoreboard.

NEBRASKA (-10½) over Texas Tech: The Cornhuskers are 5-0 against the spread this year. More importantly, they are stifling on defense, and should be able to control clock here.

Virginia Tech (-3) over GEORGIA TECH: Great spot for the Hokies, as they catch an overachieving Yellow Jackets team fresh off back-to-back road wins.

AUBURN (-13½) over Kentucky: The Wildcats play hard, but have health problems, and the Tigers will be eager to return home after getting blasted at Arkansas last week.

CENTRAL FLORIDA (+14½) over Miami: The Knights' new facility in Orlando is not an easy place. Two ranked teams -- Texas and South Florida -- have played there since it opened in 2007. Both failed to cover vs. UCF.

ALABAMA (-17) over South Carolina: The Tide defense will always give you a chance for a cover, and the Gamecocks offense plays right into its hands.

OFF THE GRID

Georgia (-8) over VANDERBILT: Though we are sick of this dreadful Bulldogs team on the grid, we'll take a chance with them in this rare "OTG" sighting. Mainly because the Commodores are inept.

Brigham Young (-17½) over SAN DIEGO STATE: How did this team lose to Florida State? The Cougars have it rolling once again, and should move the ball with ease vs. the Aztecs.

Also Texas (-3.5) over Oklahoma

Records: Last week: 8-7 Overall; 2-1 Best Bets; 1-2 Off The Grid.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>Spartan 3* BIG 12 GOY

OKLAHOMA ST. -7

BOUGHT by me,
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SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 16, 2009

demarco ---wip radio show philly

wisky
texas
over usc

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

10-16-2009, 01:28 PM </TD><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid" align=right> #65 <INPUT id=plist_7126256 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 5px; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; PADDING-TOP: 0px" type=checkbox value=0 name=plist[7126256] inlineModID="inlineMod"> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>twink44<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_7126256", true); </SCRIPT>
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Sports Exchange
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>
UCF

SEC GOY
Auburn

Big 12 GOY
Kansas
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FGators · Oct 16, 2009

Colin Cowherd's Sizzling Seven (18-24 on the year overall)

South Carolina at Alabama (-17½)
USC (-10) at ND

Cardiff · Oct 16, 2009

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD></TD><TD align=right></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Consensus Group
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, October 17, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Everything is FUNNY when your making MONEY! We are making the GREEN as we are on a 102-49 run and the Boys are back at it with another PERFECT WINNER in College Football! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our team an 89% chance of covering for us! Get our CONSENSUS GROUP NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR for just $35 GUARANTEED!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/16/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>CONSENSUS NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
134 Temple -10 1:00 EST

PM me if somebody want split some capper from YouWinNow!

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NCSUWolfpack1 · Oct 16, 2009

Dr. B 0 B

Rotation #118 Michigan State (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -16.
Rotation #134 Temple (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -12.
Rotation #148 Alabama (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from 17 1/2 to 19.
Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Rotation #173 Hawaii (+9 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 4-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +5.
Rotation #200 Fresno State (-19) 2-Stars at -21 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #107 Pittsburgh (-4) Strong Opinion at -5 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 (-120 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #125 Baylor (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +2, 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #140 Ohio (-13 1/2) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Southern Miss (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #190 UCF (+15) Strong Opinion at +14 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +16.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #194 SMU (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

Tim Trushel

20* Wisconsin
Reg/Maryland
Reg/Miami Oh.
Reg/Notre Dame
Reg/Colorado

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

Black Widow

4* on Louisville +13.5(-110 at BetUs)

Connecticut is a team that should not be favored by double-digits against almost any Division-1 team. The Huskies win their games by playing sound defense and running the football, which isn't a formula for blowouts. UConn has played 5 games this season, and 4 of the Huskies' games have been decided by 8 points or less. The lone exception was a 52-10 home win over Rhode Island as a 34.5-point favorite. Louisville is coming off a huge win over a very good Southern Miss team, giving them confidence heading into Saturday's match-up with UConn. The previous week the Cardinals had Pittsburgh down at halftime before letting the Panthers off the hook. No matter how you put it, UConn is not 13 points better than Louisville. The last two meetings in this series were decided by 5 and 4 points, respectively with the Huskies winning both times. That places the revenge factor with Louisville in the upcoming 2009 meeting. The Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 October games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Louisville and the points.

4* on Arkansas +24.5(-105 at 5dimes)

Arkansas is getting their act together after blowout wins in back-to-back weeks. They beat Texas A&M 47-19 two weeks ago as a 2-point favorite and then followed that up with a 44-23 victory over Auburn as a 2-point underdog. Head coach Bobby Petrino has his team peaking at the right time with Florida up next. The Gators are in a letdown spot here after beating #4 LSU 13-3 last week. That was the biggest game left on their schedule, and when Florida lets up just a little bit Saturday it will be enough for Arkansas to sneak in and get the cover against this ridiculously huge spread. Arkansas is scoring 37.4 points/game and putting up 452 yards of total offense/game. They have already faced Alabama, so they won't be phased by a team the caliber of Florida. Arkansas is battle-tested and they are playing their best ball of the season right now which gives them a fighting chance. The Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Take Arkansas and the points.

4* on Kentucky +14(-110 at sia)

Auburn finally lost their first game of the season, 23-44, to Arkansas last week. The Tigers are a bit overrated right now after their fast start, and they are not 14 points better than the Wildcats Saturday. Kentucky has faced 3 very tough games in a row, which has them battle-tested and ready to give Auburn a run for their money this weekend. The Wildcats lost to Florida 7-41, but they were down 31-0 at halftime and fought tough in the second half. They improved with their next game in a 20-38 loss to Alabama, but 4 turnovers did them in. The Wildcats lost 26-28 at South Carolina last week after a failed 2-point conversion at the end that would have tied it. So as you can see, Kentucky is improving with every game and they are primed to come out with their best effort of the season Saturday. Auburn has actually gotten worse with every game they've played this season, and their defense has given up 22 or more points in each of their last 5 games. For the season, the Tigers are allowing 27.2 points/game. We don't see Auburn getting enough stops on that end to keep Kentucky from covering this two-touchdown spread, let alone win the game. The Wildcats are scoring 34.0 points/game on the road this year. Auburn is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. Take Kentucky and the points.

5* Sooners/Longhorns ABC "T ot al" Mo ne y M a ker on OVER 51(-101 at 5dimes)

Fireworks will ensue Saturday in the Red River Rivalry as both offenses light it up once again. When you consider Oklahoma is scoring 35.0 points/game without their starting QB for half of it and Texas is putting up 47.2 points/game this season, you can see why the odds makers have set this Total well too low Saturday. Last year Texas won 45-35 for 80 combined points. Though 80 points are not expected again in this year's meeting, it wouldn't surprise us to see a similar final score in 2009. Oklahoma is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. The Longhorns are 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game since 1992. After 80 combined points last year, all value is on the OVER Saturday especially with both starting QB's in Sam Bradford and Colt McCoy back leading their offenses. Take the OVER 51 points here.

6* 2 00 9 M ou n ta in W es t G AM E OF THE Y EA R on Air Force -10(-110 at sia)

Air Force actually finds themselves sitting behind Wyoming in the standings right now. The Falcons are 3-3 after back-to-back heartbreaking losses against Navy and TCU. They lost both games by a field goal, so look for Air Force to come out very hungry Saturday at home against 4-2 Wyoming. The Cowboys have won 3 straight since losing to Colorado 0-24 on the road, and they are riding high right now. But Wyoming players are about to get knocked off their pedestal as Air Force hits them in the mouth with one of the best rushing attacks in the country. The Falcons are averaging 281 rushing yards/game this year. Air Force beat Wyoming 23-3 on the road last season behind 261 rushing yards from their offense, and 5 turnovers forced by their defense. The Falcons are forcing their opponents to cough up the ball again this year, forcing 20 turnovers in just 6 games. They have only turned the ball over 4 times for a +16 turnover margin. We always like teams like this that take care of the ball and win the turnover battle. Air Force is probably the best 3-3 team in the country, with their only losses coming by 7 points at Minnesota, 3 points against Navy and 3 points against a Top-25 TCU team last week. This team is certainly underrated right now, and that's why this line is so soft at just 10 points. Air Force is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. That's a PERFECT 25-0 ATS Angle in favor of the Falcons in a great spot at home Saturday. Take Air Force and lay the points.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

Teddy Covers

CFB 20* Big Ticket: Houston -17 (153)

CFB Virginia -3.5 (121)
CFB Baylor +1.5 (125)
CFB Wyoming +10.5 (137)
CFB New Mexico State +20.5 (169)
CFB SMU Over 56 -110 (194)
CFB Fresno State -19.5 (200)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and
PREFERENCES

11 MINNESOTA over *Penn State
Late Score Forecast:
MINNESOTA 24 - *Penn State 27

10 *IOWA STATE over Baylor
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA STATE 27 - Baylor 14

10 CENTRAL MICHIGAN over
*W. Michigan
Late Score Forecast:
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 45-
*W. Michigan 28

10 WYOMING over *Air Force
Late Score Forecast:
WYOMING 21 - *Air Force 20

10 PHILADELPHIA over *Oakland
Late Score Forecast:
PHILADELPHIA 37 - *Oakland 10

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 16, 2009

Sports Memo Brent Crow ( 6-0 )

Wisconsin

STACKSONDECK · Oct 16, 2009

dover picks

houston -16.5 4 units
iowa +2.5 2 units
utah st +9.5 1 unit
pitt -3 1 unit

miss st/middle tenn under 55 4 units
usc/nd under 49 2 units
wyoming/air force under 45 1 unit
ark st/ul monroe over 49 1 unit

side ytd 6-11-2 - 12 units

totals 3-2 plus 3 units