MLBPredictions
Kevin
St Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies - CARDINALS +1.5 (-120) [RUN LINE]
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2 units)
Tonight in Game 1 we will see a pair of veterans on the mound - Kyle Lohse vs Roy Halladay. These two faced each other on September 19th with Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals coming out on top in a game that was played in Philadelphia. Lohse is 14-8 on the year with a 3.39 ERA, 1.117 WHIP, and .249 opponents batting average. He has been solid over his last 5 starts giving up just 6 earned runs and getting through at least 6 innings four times over those 5 starts. Halladay has been himself going 19-6 over the course of the season with a 2.35 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and .239 opponents batting average. Note that St Louis is averaging over 5 runs on the road, while the Phillies are averaging 4.53 runs at home. The Cardinals rolled right into the playoffs winning 21 of their last 29 games, including going 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog. They are 12-2 in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record, and 13-3 in their last 16 vs National League East teams. St Louis is also 8-2 in Lohse's last 10 starts. Before pulling off four straight victories to end the season the Phillies had lost 8 in a row, which included 6 straight at home. Note the Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day. The Cardinals are feeling good and hitting the ball well lately as they had to earn their spot in the post season in September. I look for the Cardinals to give the Phillies a lot of troubles in this opening NLDS series, and that starts today. Take the Cardinals on the run line to keep it tight, or pull out an upset.
Kevin
St Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies - CARDINALS +1.5 (-120) [RUN LINE]
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2 units)
Tonight in Game 1 we will see a pair of veterans on the mound - Kyle Lohse vs Roy Halladay. These two faced each other on September 19th with Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals coming out on top in a game that was played in Philadelphia. Lohse is 14-8 on the year with a 3.39 ERA, 1.117 WHIP, and .249 opponents batting average. He has been solid over his last 5 starts giving up just 6 earned runs and getting through at least 6 innings four times over those 5 starts. Halladay has been himself going 19-6 over the course of the season with a 2.35 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and .239 opponents batting average. Note that St Louis is averaging over 5 runs on the road, while the Phillies are averaging 4.53 runs at home. The Cardinals rolled right into the playoffs winning 21 of their last 29 games, including going 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog. They are 12-2 in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record, and 13-3 in their last 16 vs National League East teams. St Louis is also 8-2 in Lohse's last 10 starts. Before pulling off four straight victories to end the season the Phillies had lost 8 in a row, which included 6 straight at home. Note the Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day. The Cardinals are feeling good and hitting the ball well lately as they had to earn their spot in the post season in September. I look for the Cardinals to give the Phillies a lot of troubles in this opening NLDS series, and that starts today. Take the Cardinals on the run line to keep it tight, or pull out an upset.
Carolina Sports
Nebraska/Wisconsin
Game 188 (8:00 pm est):Wisconsin -10
The oddsmakers are telling you something in this game. Wisconsin is really good
and Nebraska may not be all that is cracked up to be. Wisconsin offense has been
great even if they have played poor defenses and QB Russell Wilson is really making
a big impact. Wilson is completing 75.8%, 12.5-yppa and a 11:1 ratio. He now faces
a Nebraska pass defense that has yet to face a QB like Wilson. Nebraska's defense
has not been as strong as in years past under HC Bo Pelini. Wisconsin stops the
run well as they are allowing 2.9-ypr this year and should be able to gang up on
Nebraska. Wisconsin falls into several team trends that impress. Wisconsin is 8-0
ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
Wisconsin is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over
the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging
>=6.25 yards/play as the coach of Wisconsin. Wisconsin also falls into a 37-23 stat
match-up system. Wisconsin defense will have enough to shut down Nebraska while
Nebraska won't be able to stop the Badgers. Madison, WI will be out of control for
a night game against a strong Nebraska team.
Wisconsin 38-23.
Nebraska/Wisconsin
Game 188 (8:00 pm est):Wisconsin -10
The oddsmakers are telling you something in this game. Wisconsin is really good
and Nebraska may not be all that is cracked up to be. Wisconsin offense has been
great even if they have played poor defenses and QB Russell Wilson is really making
a big impact. Wilson is completing 75.8%, 12.5-yppa and a 11:1 ratio. He now faces
a Nebraska pass defense that has yet to face a QB like Wilson. Nebraska's defense
has not been as strong as in years past under HC Bo Pelini. Wisconsin stops the
run well as they are allowing 2.9-ypr this year and should be able to gang up on
Nebraska. Wisconsin falls into several team trends that impress. Wisconsin is 8-0
ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
Wisconsin is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over
the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging
>=6.25 yards/play as the coach of Wisconsin. Wisconsin also falls into a 37-23 stat
match-up system. Wisconsin defense will have enough to shut down Nebraska while
Nebraska won't be able to stop the Badgers. Madison, WI will be out of control for
a night game against a strong Nebraska team.
Wisconsin 38-23.
SCOTT SPREITZER'S CFB TAPOUT GAME OF THE MONTH! *16-0, 100%
UCLA (+21.5, ov56.0)
STANFORD (-21.5, un56.0)
Saturday, Oct 01 2011, 07:30 PM PST
Take " (150) STANFORD "
I'm laying the points with Stanford on Saturday night. The Cardinal thumped UCLA 35-0 last year in Pasadena. It was a 5-TD blowout despite a less than average game from Andrew Luck who completed just 11 of 24 passes. I expect a similar margin of victory in this one, while I also believe Luck will have a much better game. One thing that I believe won't change will be Stanford's dominating defensive performance. Last season, the Cardinal held UCLA to 233 total yards on 4.3 yards per play. QBs Richard Brehaut and Kevin Prince connected on just 11 of 21 passes for 81 yards with a pair of sacks and an interception. Seven of UCLA's 10 possessions ended in five plays or less. Neither Bruin QB is impressing us this season. The two were slammed by Texas in their only true step-up game, combining on 11 of 26 passing for 176 yards, 3 INTs and a sack. UCLA gained a rare conference road win last week, a 27-19 victory over a bad Oregon State team. But in doing so, the Bruins did get outgained. The difference came thanks to a +2 turnover margin. But against Texas, UCLA was shelled for 488 yards on 7 yards per play. Young Case McCoy tore up the Bruins like a seasoned veteran and the Longhorns ran for 284 yards on more than 5 yards per pop. Stanford is simply nasty on both sides of the ball and will look to put the Bruins away early. Making matters tougher on the Bruin offense is the loss of starting OLT Sean Sheller. The 6th year senior was lost for the season after injuring his arm against Texas. UCLA will now start a sophomore (Chris Ward) at OLT. This looks like a long night for the already struggling UCLA offense. The Bruins are on a 0-7 ATS slide against teams that average at least 4.75 yards per carry. They're 0-6 ATS against teams that average at least 5.9 yards per play. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are on an 8-0-1 ATS run overall. They're 9-0 ATS after outgaining an opponent by at least 125 yards which shows once this team gains momentum...look out. That's 4 perfect 100% spots. And the first and last add up to a 16-0, 100% combined spot. I'm laying the points with Stanford on Saturday night. Thanks!
UCLA (+21.5, ov56.0)
STANFORD (-21.5, un56.0)
Saturday, Oct 01 2011, 07:30 PM PST
Take " (150) STANFORD "
I'm laying the points with Stanford on Saturday night. The Cardinal thumped UCLA 35-0 last year in Pasadena. It was a 5-TD blowout despite a less than average game from Andrew Luck who completed just 11 of 24 passes. I expect a similar margin of victory in this one, while I also believe Luck will have a much better game. One thing that I believe won't change will be Stanford's dominating defensive performance. Last season, the Cardinal held UCLA to 233 total yards on 4.3 yards per play. QBs Richard Brehaut and Kevin Prince connected on just 11 of 21 passes for 81 yards with a pair of sacks and an interception. Seven of UCLA's 10 possessions ended in five plays or less. Neither Bruin QB is impressing us this season. The two were slammed by Texas in their only true step-up game, combining on 11 of 26 passing for 176 yards, 3 INTs and a sack. UCLA gained a rare conference road win last week, a 27-19 victory over a bad Oregon State team. But in doing so, the Bruins did get outgained. The difference came thanks to a +2 turnover margin. But against Texas, UCLA was shelled for 488 yards on 7 yards per play. Young Case McCoy tore up the Bruins like a seasoned veteran and the Longhorns ran for 284 yards on more than 5 yards per pop. Stanford is simply nasty on both sides of the ball and will look to put the Bruins away early. Making matters tougher on the Bruin offense is the loss of starting OLT Sean Sheller. The 6th year senior was lost for the season after injuring his arm against Texas. UCLA will now start a sophomore (Chris Ward) at OLT. This looks like a long night for the already struggling UCLA offense. The Bruins are on a 0-7 ATS slide against teams that average at least 4.75 yards per carry. They're 0-6 ATS against teams that average at least 5.9 yards per play. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are on an 8-0-1 ATS run overall. They're 9-0 ATS after outgaining an opponent by at least 125 yards which shows once this team gains momentum...look out. That's 4 perfect 100% spots. And the first and last add up to a 16-0, 100% combined spot. I'm laying the points with Stanford on Saturday night. Thanks!
Vegas Sports Plays
Jhonny Yang
4* Texas Rangers ML -125
4.5* Miami (OH) +15.5
5.5 Mississippi State +7
3.5* Arkansas +3
5.5* Kansas +7
3.5* Toledo +8
Brooks Riley
3* Auburn +10
3* UNDER 44 - Alabama / Florida
3* Clemson +7
3* Tulane +7
Glenn Long
3* Central Michigan +9.5
4* Marshall +11.5
3* Akron +8.5
Carter Williams
8* Nebraska +10
5* Iowa St +9
5* Kentucky +31
11* Arizona +12
The System NCAAF
Record 12 - 0
4.4* Northwestern +10
4.4* Kansas +7
4.4* SMU +10
4.4* South Carolina -10
4.4* East Carolina +7
4.4* Purdue +12
Jhonny Yang
4* Texas Rangers ML -125
4.5* Miami (OH) +15.5
5.5 Mississippi State +7
3.5* Arkansas +3
5.5* Kansas +7
3.5* Toledo +8
Brooks Riley
3* Auburn +10
3* UNDER 44 - Alabama / Florida
3* Clemson +7
3* Tulane +7
Glenn Long
3* Central Michigan +9.5
4* Marshall +11.5
3* Akron +8.5
Carter Williams
8* Nebraska +10
5* Iowa St +9
5* Kentucky +31
11* Arizona +12
The System NCAAF
Record 12 - 0
4.4* Northwestern +10
4.4* Kansas +7
4.4* SMU +10
4.4* South Carolina -10
4.4* East Carolina +7
4.4* Purdue +12
