4 Unit Play. #565. Take Illinois +7.5 over Michigan State (Saturday @ 4pm est). My only regret in this game is the fact that I didn't' catch it at 8 points. In fact, if you check with your local or other books for that matter, you might very well indeed catch it at 8 points, but I have to roll with 7.5 as that is what I see currently. In fact, I thought the line might go up to +8.5 given what the public will do so I laid off selecting this game till'now. But, alas, we are saddled with the 7.5. No worries though as I have the Illini winning outright at a percentage of 40% and falling within 3.5 points with a chance of 18% and thus, I have us covering this game by a strong 58% to 61% chance which I will take any day to help us go 5-1 on the week in our college ball PODs as we just do 1 pod per day. I love the Illini. Their coach is one of my favorites, with Alex Legion transferring from Kentucky, this team is deeper, healthier and who says that this team doesn't have game? What if I told you I have Illini as a higher Power Ranking (PR) team than Michigan State? Can you believe the fact that Illinois who has won at Vanderbilt Outright, who has won at Purdue Outright is a top 20 power ranking team while Michigan State is a top 25 power ranking team? Illinois is led by sound guards, have depth in relation to their big men and is a sound free throw shooting team. Look, if Ohio State can be competitive on the road against Michigan State, you better believe this team will be more than game in a conference match up against Michigan State. Illinois is a solid 4-1 ATS over their last 5 road games and Michigan State is 1-6 ATS when facing a 7-12.5 spread at home as they are in the public eye, the Fighting Illini fight for the cover here and we will take them at the 7.5.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.